Racing Chat - Wednesday 20th January

[Bathtime For Rupert]

All prices Bet365:
 

11.45 Newcastle - 1pt e/w Colorun Des Carles @ 20/1

12.55 Newbury - 1pt e/w Il Re Di Nessuno @ 33/1

1.25 Newbury - 1pt win Harambe @ 6/1

2.00 Newbury - 1pt e/w Lady in Hiding @ 8/1

2.30 Newbury - 1pt e/w Zamani @ 14/1

2.40 Chepstow - 1pt e/w Star of Rory @ 12/1

3.05 Newbury - 1pt e/w Sweet Adare @ 15/2

[calva decoy]

B.Ellison has done well in the last 2 Bumper meetings at Newcastle.

2.20 - Swaffham Bulbeck 5/1 most firms 2nd 7/1

3.25 - Prussia With Love 7/2 betfair

Newcastle long shot

12.15 - Rock On Sweetie 50/1 ew bet365

2.40 Chepstow - Caswell Bay 11/2 ew bet365

4.05 Newberry - Fine Casting 16/5 betfair. 1st

 

Edited January 20, 2021 by calva decoy
Results update

[alancraik]

todays top rated selections


NEWBURY 13:25 Funambule Sivola 6/5 win

NEWBURY 14:30 Naizagai 11/2 e/w 4 Places (nb in ratings # 5 & 14)

NEWBURY 15:05 Panic Attack 6/4 win

NEWBURY 15:35 El Kaldoun 4/1 win

[LEE-GRAYS]

A few outsiders ???

12.45 Newcastle largy mouth 8/1

13.50 Newcastle en colleur 12/1 nr tabou beach boy 25/1

14.55 Newcastle wise eagle 8/1 winner

15.25 Newcastle luck of the clover 14/1 4places non runner mccrakens gate 12/1 4places

16.00 Newcastle vins choice 12/1placed

12.55 Newbury il re di nessuno 25/1 4places

13.25 Newbury le ligeruen 17/2 3places

14.00 Newbury aurelia or 14/1placed

14.30 Newbury zamperini 22/1 4places

15.05 Newbury sweet adare 15/2

15.35 Newbury nadaitak 6/1

13.05 Chepstow sempione park 12/1

14.10 Chepstow barricane 12/1

15.15 Chepstow evensteveens 7/1placed

16.20 Chepstow iron port 16/1

18.00 Southwell foresee 16/1placed

19.00 Southwell poppy jag 10/1

19.30 Southwell archimedes 6/1

15.45 Dundalk fahee 33/1 5places nr listening mode 35/1 4places

16.15 Dundalk cousin Harry 40/1 6places      placed                                                                                                                                                           16.

17.45 Dundalk cisne 6/1placed

18.15 Dundalk eloy d’amerval 40/1 4plces

18.45 Dundalk ahundrednotout 14/1

19.15 Dundalk togoville 6/1

16.45 dundalk sam missile 40/1 5placesplaced

all bets 50p e/w bet365 

Edited January 20, 2021 by LEE-GRAYS

[roger2256]

Jan +27.5

1pt level stakes win only 

14.00 New Colours of my Life 25/1 Lost

15.15 Che Miss Molinari 28/1 Lost

16.20 Che Harry Haze 10/1 Lost

16.20 Che Cold Shoulder 11/1 Lost

19.00Sou Dubai  Paradise 6/1 Lost 

Prices as of now b365 

-5

Jan + 22.5

 

 

Edited January 20, 2021 by roger2256
Result

[The Equaliser]

Late to the plate today again

6.30 Sou Van Dijk £5.94 win at 3.15 = poss profit of £9.0. and False ID £3.56 at 5.6 = poss profit of £10.23 (got better odds on this one)

Van Dijk has proved itself twice over this CD recently and although the RP Spotlight says that Susie Javea could improve for the second attempt on Fibresand I would rather go with proven form.  I have chosen False ID as my second choice because I'm led to believe that the horse holds its form when it comes into form ?

Don't know what to make of the 7.00 Sou Loads of money has been piled on to San Juan to make it a best price of around 5/2.  There is nothing in the form book to support this so this is not for me.  Amazing Amaya looks tempting and did well to get 2nd at Wolverhampton recently at 25/1.  Who knows if this was just a flash in the pan.  Although 7/2 seems a fair price I don't think that it is worth taking the chance so I'll leave the race alone

 

[Villa Chris]

53 minutes ago, The Equaliser said:

Late to the plate today again

6.30 Sou Van Dijk £5.94 win at 3.15 = poss profit of £9.0. and False ID £3.56 at 5.6 = poss profit of £10.23 (got better odds on this one)

Van Dijk has proved itself twice over this CD recently and although the RP Spotlight says that Susie Javea could improve for the second attempt on Fibresand I would rather go with proven form.  I have chosen False ID as my second choice because I'm led to believe that the horse holds its form when it comes into form ?

Don't know what to make of the 7.00 Sou Loads of money has been piled on to San Juan to make it a best price of around 5/2.  There is nothing in the form book to support this so this is not for me.  Amazing Amaya looks tempting and did well to get 2nd at Wolverhampton recently at 25/1.  Who knows if this was just a flash in the pan.  Although 7/2 seems a fair price I don't think that it is worth taking the chance so I'll leave the race alone

 

Hugh Taylor has selected Amazing Amaya, and it has held its value. He tipped it at 4/1 and it was 7/2 about an hour ago. His other selection won at Southwell 6.00 but that horse halved in value from Hughs price of 11/4. RP have also napped Amazing Amaya . 
 

Just checked and it’s 11/4 now. 

Edited January 20, 2021 by Villa Chris

[The Equaliser]

1 hour ago, Villa Chris said:

Hugh Taylor has selected Amazing Amaya, and it has held its value. He tipped it at 4/1 and it was 7/2 about an hour ago. His other selection won at Southwell 6.00 but that horse halved in value from Hughs price of 11/4. RP have also napped Amazing Amaya . 
 

Just checked and it’s 11/4 now. 

Well Chris, looks like the horse for the early money obliged (by a head) at a drifted price of 13/2. Amazing Amaya finished fifth.  Hope you didn't have much on it.

I failed in my bid in the 6.30 as Van Dijk did its usual and went to sleep for a lot of the race which was my worry anyway. In the end it only lost by half a length.  Looks like Spotlight was right after all ?.  I am annoyed with myself for swallowing RP comments about False ID being reliable when it hits form.

[LEE-GRAYS]

8 hours ago, LEE-GRAYS said:

A few outsiders ???

12.45 Newcastle largy mouth 8/1

13.50 Newcastle en colleur 12/1 nr tabou beach boy 25/1

14.55 Newcastle wise eagle 8/1 winner

15.25 Newcastle luck of the clover 14/1 4places non runner mccrakens gate 12/1 4places

16.00 Newcastle vins choice 12/1placed

12.55 Newbury il re di nessuno 25/1 4places

13.25 Newbury le ligeruen 17/2 3places

14.00 Newbury aurelia or 14/1placed

14.30 Newbury zamperini 22/1 4places

15.05 Newbury sweet adare 15/2

15.35 Newbury nadaitak 6/1

13.05 Chepstow sempione park 12/1

14.10 Chepstow barricane 12/1

15.15 Chepstow evensteveens 7/1placed

16.20 Chepstow iron port 16/1

18.00 Southwell foresee 16/1placed

19.00 Southwell poppy jag 10/1

19.30 Southwell archimedes 6/1

15.45 Dundalk fahee 33/1 5places nr listening mode 35/1 4places

16.15 Dundalk cousin Harry 40/1 6places      placed                                                                                                                                                           16.

17.45 Dundalk cisne 6/1placed

18.15 Dundalk eloy d’amerval 40/1 4plces

18.45 Dundalk ahundrednotout 14/1

19.15 Dundalk togoville 6/1

16.45 dundalk sam missile 40/1 5placesplaced

all bets 50p e/w bet365 

one winner if only could get 2 or 3 small koss

£25

in £24.70

[Villa Chris]

2 minutes ago, The Equaliser said:

Well Chris, looks like the horse for the early money obliged (by a head) at a drifted price of 13/2. Amazing Amaya finished fifth.  Hope you didn't have much on it.

I failed in my bid in the 6.30 as Van Dijk did its usual and went to sleep for a lot of the race which was my worry anyway. In the end it only lost by half a length.  Looks like Spotlight was right after all ?.  I am annoyed with myself for swallowing RP comments about False ID being reliable when it hits form.

Didn’t have it mate, I don’t bet on the AW, but I like to look at Hugh Taylor’s tips from time to time to see how he’s doing. They usually slash in price quickly but this one was still 7/2 an hour before the off, and with RP napping it, it was of interest . 

[The Equaliser]

4 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

Late to the plate today again

6.30 Sou Van Dijk £5.94 win at 3.15 = poss profit of £9.0. and False ID £3.56 at 5.6 = poss profit of £10.23 (got better odds on this one)

Van Dijk has proved itself twice over this CD recently and although the RP Spotlight says that Susie Javea could improve for the second attempt on Fibresand I would rather go with proven form.  I have chosen False ID as my second choice because I'm led to believe that the horse holds its form when it comes into form ?

Don't know what to make of the 7.00 Sou Loads of money has been piled on to San Juan to make it a best price of around 5/2.  There is nothing in the form book to support this so this is not for me.  Amazing Amaya looks tempting and did well to get 2nd at Wolverhampton recently at 25/1.  Who knows if this was just a flash in the pan.  Although 7/2 seems a fair price I don't think that it is worth taking the chance so I'll leave the race alone

 

RESULTS UPDATE

Well, I picked the wrong second horse for my bets.  I feared that Van Dijk would be slow away and was worried it wouldn't quite get there.  Susie Javea was the one that beat it by half a length.  £9.50 loss for the day.  My new balance is now £521.52 (Bank £500).  Just to think on the 15th January my balance was £570.38 almost £50 down! just goes to show that even betting on graded races only it is still very tricky to make a regular profit.

Let's hope I can find at least a winner tomorrow