Racing Chat - Tuesday July 2nd

[BillyHills]

EW bet
315 H: Meccas Gift 10/1

Nap
445 H: Mondain 7/4

Mugs Trixie (I live by the Sea)

215 H: Coastal Mist 9/4
630 C: Dramatic Sands 8/11
830 C: Sea Art 9/2

 

[Darran]

I put up Hidden Charmer as a bet when he ran at Fontwell two starts back and he faded very tamely after leading. That run meant I didn't fancy him much at Newton Abbot last week when he ran in the same race as Ballyknock Cloud. Coming to two out I thought Hidden Charmer was going to win the race, but he blundered and that was his chance over. It is interesting they are running him so soon and not waiting to see if the handicapper dropped him anything for his run. He is dropping slightly in trip and looks on paper like he will get an easy lead at a track that suits front runners. I think the Newton Abbot race was stronger than this as well so at 9/1 it looks worth having a small e/w bet on him. Damut Im Out won well at Bangor and the 2nd has won since although he has been put up 9lbs for that win and it is basically 1st as his jockey claimed 5lbs at Bangor. That looks plenty enough for me. Starlight Court ran better than I thought he would here last time behind a horse who was clearly very well handicapped. I'm not sure there was much depth to that race though. Still the step up in trip looks in his favour and he could be the main danger.

 

That comes in race 5 and race 6 is the bumper where Durouyn makes his rules debut. I put him up as one of the bets in the Aintree point-to-point bumper, but he was a non-runner. He then went unsold at the sales which was slightly surprising given he looked good winning his point bumper at Hereford. He clocked a time a second faster than the other division and the winner of that carried less weight. Granted that horse ran way below expectations in that Aintree race, but I'd be amazed if that was her true running. Durouyn did it well and looked like he would benefit from the experience as well. Vinnie's Gataway is odds on at the moment and was odds on over course and distance a month ago when a one paced 2nd. The slow pace might not have suited that day, but then chances are this race won't be a strong gallop either and he doesn't look like he should be an odds on shot to me. Nomountainhienough doesn't really look the part on paper, but his trainer has a 31% strike-rate in bumpers and has sent him down from Scotland. He has also only sent 1 horse to Stratford before and that won. Now given the time of year there won't be that many options if a trainer in Scotland wants to run one in the bumper, but even so those stats suggest he has to be a danger. 11/4 about Durouyn looks a fair price to me though and hopefully he can add to the Hereford win.

[MCLARKE]

 

Thanks DARRAN.

Off to Stratford tomorrow so will have a score on each of these. Part of my plan to visit every racecourse in the UK, really just an excuse for me and a couple of mates to have a day / night out.

[richard-westwood]

545 ham 

Dancing mountain 225

Ill be good 223

These 2 are 6 pts clear of next horse so gotta be worth a punt ...might have a rev forecast too 

Dancing mountain 6pts win 3/1 b365

Ill be good 3pts win 9/1 bet365 

2x1 pt rev forecast at 29 and 35 ...bet365

[BillyHills]

23 hours ago, BillyHills said:

EW bet
315 H: Meccas Gift 10/1

Nap
445 H: Mondain 7/4

Job done