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BillyHills

2019 Winter Derby Trial - Tips & Trends

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Withe the bad weather knocking about this weekend I though we could have a look at the big race on the AW for a change.

2.55 Lingfield

1m2f  Winter Derby Trial Stakes (Listed Race)
(All-Weather Championships Fast-Track Qualifier) 
(Class 1)(4yo+)

Previous Winners

Screen Shot 2019-01-31 at 10.11.51.png

Trends

9/10 6yo or younger
8/10 Rated over 100
6/10 Ran within 2 months
(15/20 Ran within 90 days)

11/20 Drawn 4,5 or 6
16/20 Placed last time out (7 won)
10/20 Favourites have won
15/20 Won at this trip

:ok

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9/10 6yo or younger
All qualify

8/10 Rated over 100
We lose Abe Lincoln, Chiefofchiefs, Main Street

6/10 Ran within 2 months
(15/20 Ran within 90 days)
We lose Dash Of Spice

16/20 Placed last time out (7 won)
We lose Time To Study

15/20 Won at this trip
All qualify

No French winner
We lose In The Lope

Left with 3
Wissahickon, Big Country, Court House

10/20 Favourites have won this race
Selection: Wissahickon 5/6 Hills

Comb F/C and T/C all three

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It does look impossible to oppose the odds on favourite …….. highest rated, 2-2 over CD, Gosden trained, low draw, one of the youngest and still appearing to be progressing

Just because every horse can have an off day and because there's a certain level of chaos in every horse race I'll go with Big Country who finished 2 lengths behind the favourite last time and is 8lbs better off

Big Country at 9/2

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