BillyHills Posted October 17, 2018 Share Posted October 17, 2018 430 Ascot Saturday 1m (Str) Balmoral Handicap (Sponsored By Qipco) (Class 2) (3yo+) Only four previous runnings so the Trends are a bit thin on the ground Trends 4/4 Ran within 21 Days 4/4 Aged 4 or 5 3/4 Carried 9st or more 3/4 Rated 100 or more 3/4 Drawn single figures 3/4 Placed last time out Bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted October 17, 2018 Author Share Posted October 17, 2018 The other big betting handicap this weekend is at Catterick 330 Catterick 5f William Hill Catterick Dash Handicap (Class 2) (3yo+ 0-100) Trends 9/10 Aged 5 or less 9/10 Ran within 35 days 7/10 Carried less than 9st 6/10 Rated less than 90 11/14 not in first 3 last time 11/14 ran at least 6 times this season 12/14 Won at 5f previously Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted October 18, 2018 Share Posted October 18, 2018 Impossibly difficult race to rate .....lots out of form .....form horses penalised....ground conditions poor .......I'm.going to take a punt on low draws 13 or below as that's where 3nor 4 past winners came from in short history suggesting a low draw bias so I rated them.....13 and below Balmoral handicap Zwayyan 313 Mitcham swagger 312 Waarif 307 Southseas 307 Can't back with any degree of confidence but if low draws do have an advantage then top 2 could have a big advantage at big prices so I'll roll the dice in tricky race Zwayyan 5pts ew 14/1 bet365 Mitcham swagger 5pts ew 20/1 pp black rabbit and BillyHills 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted October 18, 2018 Author Share Posted October 18, 2018 Final Decs Ascot Catterick Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted October 18, 2018 Author Share Posted October 18, 2018 430 Ascot 4/4 Ran within 21 Days We lose Hathal, Mjjack, Safe Voyage, South Seas, Another Batt, Humbert, Original Choice, Poets Society4/4 Aged 4 or 5 We lose Flaming Spear, Circus Couture, Mitchum Swaggr, Aquarium, Rasing Sand, Via Via, Argentello, Raydiance3/4 Carried 9st or more We lose Via Serendipity, Zwattan, Kynren3/4 Drawn single figures We lose Escobar, Tricorn, Waarif Selection: 1pt EW Sharja Bridge 16/1 Betfair skylark2009, black rabbit and richard-westwood 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted October 18, 2018 Author Share Posted October 18, 2018 330 Catterick 9/10 Aged 5 or less We lose Captain Colby, Foolaaad, Bowson Fred, Duke Of Firenze, Classic Pursuit. 9/10 Ran within 35 days We lose Storm Over 7/10 Carried less than 9st We lose Dakota Gold, Copper Knight, Bengali Boys, Evergate, Blue De Vega 11/14 not in first 3 last time We lose none 11/14 ran at least 6 times this season All qualify Tan is out of the handicap Selections 1pt EW East Street Revue 9/1 WH 1pt EW Excessable 16/1 Coral richard-westwood and skylark2009 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trotter Posted October 19, 2018 Share Posted October 19, 2018 Ascot 4.30 Another tricky one ! I've taken a view on the draw as my memory is that straight mile races at Ascot usually get won by the far rail which would be the low drawn side. So I've gone low draw 1 to 10, aged 4 or 5, Distance winner ………. and I'm only left with one horse Waarif EW at 33/1 richard-westwood and skylark2009 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted October 19, 2018 Share Posted October 19, 2018 Catt dash Dakota gold 288 Captain Colby 285 Blue de vega 282 Top 2 are in form and still look well treated ...dakota gold 4pts win 7/2 Will hill Captain Colby 4pts win 6/1 willh skylark2009 and BillyHills 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trotter Posted October 19, 2018 Share Posted October 19, 2018 3.30 Catt Dog leg track so I think the low draws definitely have an advantage gone low draw 1 to 7 (half way) aged 4 or 5 CD winner Just the one horse left - Storm Over EW at 12/1 richard-westwood and skylark2009 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tedthewolf Posted October 20, 2018 Share Posted October 20, 2018 3.30 Catt- After studying the form really fancy my chances in this. Shouldnt be much between Evergate 7/1 who has been running well of late & Blue De Vega 12/1 who is on last winning mark the soft ground should suit both ok if i really had to choose one it would probably be the later but i dont so e/w on both with corals paying 4 places 1/5 odds & a RFC on both. 4.30 Ascot-Was lucky enough to get Mitcham Swagger 16/1 boyles 1-5 1/5 last night should run a big race and be in the mix and is my main bet. Have had a 2 fair e/w bets on 2 outsiders who i think will outrun there prices Tricon 33/1 & Circus Courture 40/1. Best Of Luck All richard-westwood and skylark2009 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted October 20, 2018 Share Posted October 20, 2018 On 18/10/2018 at 10:33 PM, BillyHills said: 430 Ascot 4/4 Ran within 21 Days We lose Hathal, Mjjack, Safe Voyage, South Seas, Another Batt, Humbert, Original Choice, Poets Society4/4 Aged 4 or 5 We lose Flaming Spear, Circus Couture, Mitchum Swaggr, Aquarium, Rasing Sand, Via Via, Argentello, Raydiance3/4 Carried 9st or more We lose Via Serendipity, Zwattan, Kynren3/4 Drawn single figures We lose Escobar, Tricorn, Waarif Selection: 1pt EW Sharja Bridge 16/1 Betfair Great call and nice price .....another winner BillyHills 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted October 20, 2018 Author Share Posted October 20, 2018 46 minutes ago, richard-westwood said: Great call and nice price .....another winner Cheers mate my turn this week Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trotter Posted October 20, 2018 Share Posted October 20, 2018 well done BH …….. the thread keeps turning up the winners ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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