BillyHills Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Some cracking action this weekend, Ive picked 3 handicaps to look at. Sandown 3.00: BETFRED HEROES HANDICAP HURDLE (GRADE 3) (Class 1) (4yo+) Winner £56,270 25 runners 2m7f98y Soft ITV4 Sandown 3.35:BETFRED MOBILE MASTERS HANDICAP CHASE (Class 2) (5yo+) Winner £31,280 20 runners 3m37y Soft ITV4 Sunday Leopardstown 4.10: CHANELLE PHARMA HANDICAP CHASE (GRADE A) (5yo+) Winner €59,000 39 runners 2m5f Soft RTE2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbles180 Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Can we do it again on any of the races lets go boys Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted February 2, 2018 Author Share Posted February 2, 2018 Trends 10/10 Carried less than 11st 7/10 ran within 50 days 7/10 Aged 7 and over 14/18 Placed in first 4 last time out Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted February 2, 2018 Author Share Posted February 2, 2018 10/10 Carried less than 11st We lose top 10 runners7/10 ran within 50 days We lose Folsom Blue, King Of Fashion7/10 Aged 7 and over We lose Doesyourdognite14/18 Placed in first 4 last time out We lose Okotoks Left with Dashing Perk, Fourth Act and Man Of Plenty Dashing Perk never ran in handicap, Man Of Plenty unproven at trip Selection : Fourth Act EW 20/1 bet365 WiggoBets 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted February 2, 2018 Author Share Posted February 2, 2018 10/10 Ran within 32 days 8/10 Aged 9 or more 7/10 carried less than 11st 8lbs 16/20 In top 6 in betting 13/20 Ran 4 times or less this season Selection Gwencily Berbas EW 16/1 Coral WiggoBets 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted February 2, 2018 Author Share Posted February 2, 2018 Trends 8/10 Ran within 42 days 7/10 Rated 143 or less 7/10 Aged 8 or more 13/20 Finished first 3 last time out 16/20 first 5 in betting 17/20 Ran 4 times or less this season 7/10 Rated 143 or less Lose top 4 horses 7/10 Aged 8 or more Lose Holly Bush henry and Wicked Willy 13/20 Finished first 3 last time out Lose Loose Chips, Vino Griego 17/20 Ran 4 times or less this season Lose Shanroe Santos Left with Sametegal, Cogry, Ballydine Cogry is british bred and the last 8 winners have been IRE or FR 1pt each Sametegal 6/1 bet365 Ballydine 7/1 bet365 WiggoBets 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbles180 Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 1 hour ago, BillyHills said: 10/10 Carried less than 11st We lose top 10 runners7/10 ran within 50 days We lose Folsom Blue, King Of Fashion7/10 Aged 7 and over We lose Doesyourdognite14/18 Placed in first 4 last time out We lose Okotoks Left with Dashing Perk, Fourth Act and Man Of Plenty Dashing Perk never ran in handicap, Man Of Plenty unproven at trip Selection : Fourth Act EW 20/1 bet365 did you not miss out BUYWISE who would have a chance on those stats Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbles180 Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 15.00 Sand BUYWISE 16/1 15.35 Sand COGRY 8/1 No Bet in Leopardstown Race 1.00pt E/W Singles 0.50pt E/W Double Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trotter Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 Trying some different trends to see if I can come up with an alternative selection trends courtesy of Juicestorm Sandown 3.00 12/12 – Had run in the last 8 weeks12/12 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger11/12 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) previously11/12 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight10/12 – Officially rated 135 or lower10/12 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles previously Applying these gives me a shortlist of 3 - Fourth Act, Doesyourdogbite, Man of Plenty I'm going for Man of Plenty at 33/1 EW bog wm hill on the basis that he's been running over shorter trips but won over 2 miles on the flat so he 'might' improve for the extra distance. He's been finishing in the first 5 on his recent outings in similar class races so shouldn't have to improve much to get competitive Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trotter Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 3.35 Sandown 13/14 – Carried 11-5 or less13/14 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before12/14 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks11/14 – Aged 9 or younger10/14 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences (UK) before9/14 – Rated 136 or lower Short list - Holly Bush Henry, Wicked Willy, Shanroe Santos Shanroe Santos is consistent but a bit one paced and might want extreme distances. Makes the odd jumping error the other two look OK Holly Bush Henry at 8/1 bog wm hill Wicked Willy at 10/1 bog Corals Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted February 2, 2018 Author Share Posted February 2, 2018 6 hours ago, Bubbles180 said: did you not miss out BUYWISE who would have a chance on those stats Been over fences, last hurdles run finished 8th, not one for me but he's right old monkey and capable of anything on his day Bubbles180 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 3.00 sand Okotoks 98.96 Fourth act ..98.94 Plenty of value in such an open race ...these two have low racing weights having shown promise last time ....okotoks looked like he definitely wanted further and trainer won last year ....so both look value bets at 28/1 !! Okotoks 5pts ew 28/1 pp Fourth act 5pts ew 28/1 pp Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 335 sand Shanroe Santos has decent figures for this race and is a little clear of the field ...has his work cut out but at 12/1 he is excellent value .... Shantroe santos 5pts ew 12/1 sj And ew doubles with above race Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 3.00 - Betfred Mobile Heroes Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m7f98y 12/12 – Had run in the last 8 weeks (12,14) 12/12 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger (1,2,10,11) 11/12 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) previously (13) 11/12 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight (3,4,5,6,7,8,9) 10/12 – Officially rated 135 or lower 10/12 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles previously (15) 7/12 – Won by a horse aged 7 or younger (16,18) 7/12 – Won by an Irish-bred horse (16,18) 1 Pt ew - Doesyourdogbite 33\1 3.35 - Betfred Mobile Masters Handicap Chase Cl2 3m110y 13/14 – Carried 11-5 or less (1,2,3,4,5) 13/14 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before (9,10) 12/14 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks 11/14 – Aged 9 or younger (6,12) 10/14 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences (UK) before 9/14 – Rated 136 or lower (7) 8/14 – Had raced at Sandown before (4 won) 8/14 – Placed last time out 7/14 – Irish-bred 1 Pt ew - Holly Bush Henry @ 8\1 WHill 1 Pt ew - Shanroe Santos @ 12\1 Bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted February 3, 2018 Author Share Posted February 3, 2018 Selections Sandown 3.00 BH: Fourth Act Bubbles: Buywise Trotter: Man Of Plenty XTC : Doesyourdogbite Richard: Okotocks, Fourth Act Sandown 3.35 BH: Semetegal, Ballydine Bubbles: Cogry Trotter: Holly Bush Henry, Wicked Willy XTC: Holly Bush Henry, Shanroe Santos Richard: Shanroe Santos Lep 4.10 BH: Gwencily Berbas Good luck Bubbles180 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbles180 Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 6 hours ago, BillyHills said: Selections Sandown 3.00 BH: Fourth Act Bubbles: Buywise Trotter: Man Of Plenty XTC : Doesyourdogbite Richard: Okotocks, Fourth Act Sandown 3.35 BH: Semetegal, Ballydine Bubbles: Cogry Trotter: Holly Bush Henry, Wicked Willy XTC: Holly Bush Henry, Shanroe Santos Richard: Shanroe Santos Lep 4.10 BH: Gwencily Berbas Good luck Im on fcast & tricast covered Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbles180 Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 Nothing in the first 1st 2nd 4th 5th in the second Fcast £28.98 BillyHills 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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