harry_rag Posted September 20, 2015 Share Posted September 20, 2015 Unlucky, I did consider that myself as it looked a decent price. New Zealand v Argentina: Bought A Smith try minutes at 10 with SPIN, Cubelli try minutes at 3 with SPIN and backed Creevy to score a try at 11/1 with VC Creevy tipped as "massive" at 8/1 by the RP, Smith has 4 in 6 v Argentina and, whilst skinny at 12/5 anytime, doesn't look bad at what I'd equate to better than 7/2. Cubelli looks cheap enough given his reasonable tryscoring stats. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted September 21, 2015 Author Share Posted September 21, 2015 Latest preview is up for Wednesday first game between Japan and Scotland. Think that South Africa are a team in a serious slump whereas Scotland are on the rise and this will be telling against the Brave Blossoms. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 21, 2015 Share Posted September 21, 2015 Have looked at the handicaps for the Wednesday games based on the ratings I'm using. Scotland +14 v Japan Australia +26 v Fiji France +36 v Romania Scotland handicap line was 14/15 last night but has moved to 16/17 and may edge further upwards so Japan could become a bet. I was hoping to get a line that was too low on the back of Japan's heroics v South Africa and Scotland being fresh. Aus line is 25/26 so pretty much bang on the ratings. I have seen a tip for Aus to cover the 2nd half handicap line. Romania could be backed at evens +50 last night which would have been a great bet. I got on +48 at 10/11 earlier today and sold France supremacy at 48. Handicap line is now in the low 40s and spreads are similar. So far no favourite has won by more than the ratings predicted (France came closest when falling 1 short) and with Romania still being fresh I fancy this to have the characteristics of an opening round game. Still some juice to be had at current handicaps but it's gone from a very strong bet to an ok one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted September 21, 2015 Author Share Posted September 21, 2015 Definitely agree with the French bet. Romania are just the type of team to rattle a French side and with so many changes I can't see them being fluid enough to inflict that much damage BTW here is my preview for the Australia Fiji game Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted September 23, 2015 Author Share Posted September 23, 2015 Hey folks! So unfortunately during our swanky new upgrade we seem to have misplaced the threads from the past few months. We are currently working on retrieving them but in the mean time here are the previews and predictions for the upcoming games today and tomorrow.Japan v Scotlandhttps://www.punterslounge.com/rugby-union-betting-world-cup-preview-japan-v-scotlandAustralia v Fijihttps://www.punterslounge.com/rugby-union-betting-world-cup-preview-australia-v-fijiFrance v Romaniahttps://www.punterslounge.com/rugby-union-betting-world-cup-preview-france-v-romaniaNew Zealand v Namibiahttps://www.punterslounge.com/rugby-union-betting-world-cup-preview-new-zealand-v-namibia vikki37 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sir Puntalot Posted September 23, 2015 Share Posted September 23, 2015 Cheers PJ.Should be back here tomorrow latest. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
P-H Posted September 23, 2015 Share Posted September 23, 2015 Focus on finding the value on the underdog to beat the first half handicap in the early stage matches. You won't have to look too far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted September 23, 2015 Author Share Posted September 23, 2015 Preview is up for Friday nights game between Argentina and Georgiahttps://www.punterslounge.com/rugby-union-betting-world-cup-preview-argentina-v-georgia Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ardie Posted September 24, 2015 Share Posted September 24, 2015 After watching Tonga v Georgia on Saturday, I came to one conclusion.; two very very suspect sides. The 22 spread is probably a bit big of my liking. Tonga were woeful IMO & were outmuscled by the Georgians. It's definitely an interesting matchup.Argentina are by far a superior side. I see them coming out on top by approx 15-20. Arg were very strong defensively on Sunday (apart from the last quarter). I think they'll keep Georgia to under 14.5 points anyway... a couple of footnotes. I really liked the Georgia SH. Really competent and composed for a kid. Their goal kicking leaves a lot to be desired (the standard of tier 2 teams goal kicking has been particularly poor IMO) a forward to to score the first try @ 2's looks the Value. No prices up for the over/under tries market. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
owenclass Posted September 24, 2015 Share Posted September 24, 2015 (edited) New Zealand vs Namibia Sam Kane First tryscorer 14/1 paddy powerSam Kane to score Two tries 7/2 paddy powerSam Kane to score a Hat trick of tries 30/1 paddy powerSam Kane to score anytime 8/11 paddy power Kieran Read to score Two tries 2/1 paddy power Sonny Bill Williams to score Two tries 7/5 paddy power Tonight will be so easy for New Zealand and i can see them running riot and with the players they have got nearly all of them can score a try I do fancy two forwards to score and i think Kane and Read will be the ones as Kane is suppose to be the next Richie Mccaw and can challenge him for place in the side if he impresses tonight also Read scores tries and he can score again tonight against easy opposition The other player that should score is Sonny Bill Williams who is stop hard to stop and can easily score two tries Edited September 24, 2015 by owenclass Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted September 24, 2015 Author Share Posted September 24, 2015 Tough night at the office for the NZ game. But lessons have been learned, never back a B Team even if it is one as good as New Zealand! Anyway, onwards and upwards. The preview for this weekend's biggest game is up, England v Wales. https://www.punterslounge.com/rugby-union-betting-world-cup-preview-england-v-wales Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 24, 2015 Share Posted September 24, 2015 Argentina v Georgia: had a system bet on Kvirikashvili to score a try at 10/1 with PP.Took the following a few days ago and didn't post because of the forum update, handicap down a point to 10 but still easy to back the halftime lead at 6/1 or 13/2.Georgia +11 half time handicap at 10/11 with Hills and to be leading at half time at 6/1, also with Hills. Outright handicap appealing enough but I've gone for them keeping it competitive, or even leading, at the break. Meetings in 2007, 2011 and 2013 saw Argentina's winning margin reduce from 30 to 18 to 11. The half time scores were 6-3, 7-5 and 12-9, the latter 2 in Georgia's favour. Both teams impressed in their opening games and with Georgia having an extra day's rest, I fancy the trend for closer encounters to continue, particularly at the break.Have also had 3 try minute buys. Bought Cubelli's at 9 with SPIN, Gorgodze's at 7 with SPIN and Tkhilaishvili's at 3 with Spreadex. All strike me as offering considerably better value than the fixed odds anytime prices and look decent on the players' stats. The latter pair both scored in Georgia's victory over Tonga and it's worth the relatively low risk involved that they can manage at least one try between them against Argentina. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted September 25, 2015 Author Share Posted September 25, 2015 Heya fellas, latest article is up. Really rate Scotland as a team to make some coin off of. https://www.punterslounge.com/rugby-union-betting-world-cup-preview-scotland-v-usa Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sir Puntalot Posted September 25, 2015 Share Posted September 25, 2015 Sorry about the delay with missing threads, just squashing a few bugs and should get it back real soon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 25, 2015 Share Posted September 25, 2015 South Africa/Samoa: Louw to score a try at 4.31, Ioane and Lam at to score a try, both at 11.12Louw tipped by the RP at 3/1 but that's been cut, still 3 figures to back at 4.3 on BF. Lam has 3 in 15 appearances and is a tryscorer system pick, Ioane 1 in 4 and reasonable stats in the domestic game.I can see why Samoa are fancied with a 20ish start but don't know what sort of reaction to expect from SA after the Japan defeat so won't be getting involved with the outcome betting. These 3 players at those prices make for an acceptable interest in the game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
owenclass Posted September 26, 2015 Share Posted September 26, 2015 (edited) Australia vs UruguayDrew Mitchell to score Two tries 10/11 paddy powerKurtley Beale to score Two tries 4/1 paddy power These two have a great chance of scoring a lot of tries and these two great players can run riot and also create a ot of chances Edited September 27, 2015 by owenclass Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted September 27, 2015 Author Share Posted September 27, 2015 Really like Beale to score Owen, he'll get a lot of ball in space and is a deadly finisher Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 Australia vs UruguayDrew Mitchell to score Two tries 10/11 paddy powerKurtley Beale to score Two tries 4/1 paddy power These two have a great chance of scoring a lot of tries and these two great players can run riot and also create a ot of chancesAm on Mitchell at 11/8 and would have followed on Beale at that price. Well done on getting that as he's 17/10 with them now (and only 6s for a hat trick) and 5/2 best. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 Australia/Uruguay: Mitchell to score 2 or more tries at 11/8 and to score a hat trick at 8/1, both with Lads, and Uruguay penalty to be the first scoring play at 19/4 with 888Just following the RP's tips here. They make a decent case for the bets on Mitchell and I've chosen to shoot for the hat trick and just back the 2 or more as a saver. They tip the first scoring play bet at 5/1. It happened against Wales and the main logic is that it's a big price given that Australia won't be too bothered about Uruguay nicking 3 points early on.Also on Tomane, Mitchell and Speight all to score a try at 2/1 with Lads. Decent enough for their 3 most fancied tryscorers all to oblige. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 Scotland/USA: Bought Pyrgos try minutes at 9 with SPIN, Strauss to score a try at 7/2 with Spreadex and Russell to score a try at 5/1 along with to score 2 or more at 40/1, both with SkybetPyrgos tipped in the preview above at 5/2. 7/2 available but I make a buy at 9 better than 4/1 anytime. Russell at 5/1 is the best of the bets for me, 7/2 best elsewhere is the very most I'd expect to see. Strauss just about makes the cut. Basically, no support from stats but price is such a standout that I can't pass up the apparent value. 5/2 best elsewhere but sub 2/1 in most places, the spread firms also have him as around a 2/1 shot.For the USA, Durutalo to score a try at 10.5 (plenty of 9/1 available) and Scully to score a try at 17/2 with VCBoth score enough tries to appeal at those prices, even in a game where they're around 20 point underdogs. Both system picks, as are Strauss and Russell. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 Ireland/Romania: Bought Madigan's try minutes at 14 with SPIN, Heaslip to score a try at 3/1 with Spreadex, Macovei to score a try at 14/1 with Skybet and to score 2 or more at 100/1 with Lads, bought Romania front 5 try minutes at 6 with SPINThe Irish duo are tipped as anytime tryscorers in the RP preview but at much shorter odds so, given the case they make and the better terms I'm getting, I'm happy to follow those. Romania may not score a try but I don't think Macovei deserves to be as big as he is. Gone for the cheap buy of their front 5's try minutes on the basis of a couple of players having reasonable tryscoring stats though haven't looked too closely at when and against who they scored them! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 Can't resist Ireland to win by 50 or more points at 5/2 with LadsThink Romania will struggle to recreate their heroics against France and that Ireland could end up winning by a distance. Ratings I've been using have them 45 points superior and they've had 4 days more rest than their opponents. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted September 27, 2015 Author Share Posted September 27, 2015 Not much luck with the Ireland game harry. I've learned to be cautious when backing a team that names a second string outfit, ESPECIALLY when Ian Madigan is named at 10. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 Yeah, was shaping up to be a bad day for me until Tonita's late try for Romania. It would have been a big loss if I'd drawn a blank on both of the latter games but the 72 point profit from that bet made for a modest net profit on the day. It was a shame Mitchell couldn't complete his hat trick in the opening game but the brace was better than nothing.Romania performed well just 4 days after the France game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
owenclass Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 (edited) Can Wales qualify Edited October 1, 2015 by owenclass Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
potus Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 Very poor by Tonga, fairly poor by the referee and loads of bets on Tonga winning by loads go down the pan. Impressive again from Namibia though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted September 29, 2015 Author Share Posted September 29, 2015 Unlucky Potus, Namibia threw everything at Tonga in search of that first win. Tonga has been dross so far this World Cup and are a shadow of the team that beat France four years ago. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted September 29, 2015 Author Share Posted September 29, 2015 The preview for the Wales Fiji game is up. I originally fancied Fiji to stay within the cap but some key injuries made me change my mind https://www.punterslounge.com/rugby-union-betting-world-cup-preview-fiji-v-wales Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted September 29, 2015 Author Share Posted September 29, 2015 Next preview for France Canada. France have failed to beat the cap for a while now so that's where my main bet is https://www.punterslounge.com/rugby-union-betting-world-cup-preview-france-v-canada Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sir Puntalot Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Thread merged with old one, and other threads imported. harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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