Peacock's Punting 2013

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013 Wed 17th Apr 2013 8.00 Kempton (9 runners) Betdaq 1st UK Race Commission Free-Everyday Handicap Class 3, 2m , Standard, 4yo+, Win: £7159 1) TAPPANAPPA (90) - Both wins have been at 1m4f and not competitive when attempting this distance before. 2) AUSTRALIA DAY (89) - Has gone well fresh in the past, stamina no issue and has finished 2nd on 2 of 4 starts on AW. Could make the frame at a nice price. 3) SHELFORD (89) - Just 5 starts to his name, all in Ireland. Won at 1m4f but can only watch on UK debut. 5) SEASIDE SIZZLER (82) - 3112 on the AW and 112 here. Goes well fresh but 2012 form a really worry. 6) DE RIGEUR (81) - Lightly raced 5yo who has gone off as favourite on all 6 UK racecourse starts. Very consistent in Germany but question mark over stamina and can't back on that basis. 7) BEAT ROUTE (76) - Won nicely over 2m LTO at Lingfield, most of winning has been done in C5's though and this represents toughest assignment to date and still 3lb higher than last winning mark. 8) BOW TO NO ONE (76) - Trip no problem, but disappointing LTO over C&D. 9) TARTAN JURA (75) - Very consistent type who is always there or thereabouts. Up in grade now and has had many chances in the past. 10) PORCINI (76) - Coming back from a break and usually needs the run, all three wins have come in Autumn and in class 5 and 6's. ========================= A wide open race but think 10yo AUSTRALIA DAY has a decent chance at a nice price. Stamina shouldn't be any issue and can go well off a break. Finished 2/14 in most recent AW over 1m4f and is sure to appreciate this step up in trip. AUSTRALIA DAY 1pt E/W @ 12/1 (BOG)

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013 I'm away from tomorrow for a few days, was supposed to be running the London Marathon but got injured and had to pull out. :( Anyway, this seems a good time to update as I won't be posting until after the weekend. [TABLE=width: 247]

[TR] [TD]Bets[/TD] [TD]153[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Winners (Win & E/W)[/TD] [TD]29[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Placed (E/W only)[/TD] [TD]15[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Total Staked (pts)[/TD] [TD]313[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Overall P/L (pts)[/TD] [TD]+9.96[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Strike Rate[/TD] [TD]19.0%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Yield[/TD] [TD]3.2%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Apr-13[/TD] [TD]-9.80[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Mar-13[/TD] [TD]+5.35[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Feb-13[/TD] [TD]+19.26[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Jan-13[/TD] [TD]-4.85[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013 Back 'up north' now after a great weekend in London. I love the capital, but it's always nice to be home, away from the dirt and people. Bloody people everywhere! :lol Anyway, Whilst I was away I decided to ditch my 'one bookie' policy and will be now shopping around for the best odds. Part of this comes from one of the excellent threads in the ATR forum and it can hopefully help this thread be in profit come the end of the year. I've no real idea why I started it, probably for ease of 'book-keeping', but as this thread and my spreadsheet does all that anyway, it's nonsense not to take the best price wherever possible. Anyway, just done a race at Pontefract, looks quite a nice contest and have got two against the field.... Mon 22nd Apr 2013 3.10 Pontefract (14 runners) Riu Palace Meloneras Handicap Class 2, 6f , Good, 4yo+, Win: £12450 1) SANTESFINO (100) - Yet to win on good and 14lbs higher than last winning mark. Only 4th attempt at 6f (has won once) and whilst it could suit, others surely have better chance. Usually needs a run, too. 2) THUNDERBALL (95) - 0/16 on good ground and still 4lbs higher than highest/last winning mark. Claimer on board will help but very disappointing here on Good over C&D LTO. 3) YORK GLORY (94) - Lots in favour, on good mark but tricky from stall number. 4) MISPLACED FORTUNE (93) - All wins have been when last seen 30 days ago or less and usually finds a couple too good at this level anyway. 5) SINGEUR (92) - Can go well fresh and on last winning mark. 0/17 at 6f though. 6) COLONEL MAK (92) - Been very disappointing in last 4 outings, all at Doncaster. Very attractive mark but recent form is prohibitive, bet-wise. 7) ESCAPE TO GLORY (89) - Done all winning at C4 or lower and usually needs the run. Seems to act best on better ground and 4lb higher than last success. 8) GALICIAN (88) - Well drawn and back to 6f which is where she has done all her winning (1211525). 9) SIR REGINALD (88) - Coming back from break but has gone well in past from similar layoff. Very handy mark but 2012 a worry. 10) HEAD SPACE (87) - Back up to 6f but still 5lb higher than last winning mark and seems to be best at 6f. 11) ALS MEMORY (86) - Very consistent sort who is back on turf for first time in 12 outings. Will need to improve and best watched. 12) ALL OR NOTHIN (86) - Seems versatile gound wise have won on heavy, good and good to firm. 13) RED AGGRESSOR (85) - Plum last on last turf start and can't fancy on all known form. 14) HAFTOHAF (77) - Lightly raced 4 year old who is consistent but this is toughest test yet by some way and is 9lb out of the handicap. ======================= GALICIAN looks to have a nice chance here. The Mark Johnston 4yo is well drawn and could very well relish the drop back to 6f where she excels (1211525). Her mark looks high but she has finished 2nd over 6f at Ascot last August in a race of the same grade and could go well again. YORK GLORY could go well at a longer odds. The Kevin Ryan grey does have a bad draw to overcome but is on a good mark and will not be disgraced at this level. Real shame about the draw as think this one can go well. GALICIAN 1.5pt WIN @ 6/1 (BOG Stan James) YORK GLORY 0.75pt E/W @ 12/1 (BOG Bet Victor)

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013

GALICIAN 1.5pt WIN @ 6/1 (BOG Stan James) YORK GLORY 0.75pt E/W @ 12/1 (BOG Bet Victor)

1st and 2nd. Didn't have the RF though! Again. :puke :lol

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013 Mon 22nd Apr 2013 6.30 Windsor (15 runners) sbobet.com Handicap Class 3, 6f , Good, 4yo+, Win: £7439 1) ELUSIVE FLAME (90) - Off course since November and usually needs the run. 9lb higher than last winning and needs career best effort to figure here. 2) POOLE HARBOUR (88) - 14/14 at Ascot LTO but obvioulsy doesn't like soft ground. Not getting much help from the hanicapper though and looks up against it here. 4) BARONS SPY (87) - 12yo veteran who was won 12 times on the flat. Is 1/21 at this sort of grade though and doesn most of winning in the summer months. 5) DEMOCRETES (87) - Won twice in 2011 debut season but mostly struggled in 2012. Can't fancy, especially at the price. 6) LEXIS HERO (86) - All wins have breen off breaks of 30 days or less, but has figured coming back from a break though and on a good mark. 2012 form not overly inspiring but could have chance if firing for new yard. 7) CHARLOTTE ROSINA (86) - 6lb higher than sole handcaip success and this race tougher. But confirmed front runner and handy draw in stall 1. 8) HARRISON GEORGE (85) - Obvioulsy very well treated on best form, but not won since 2010 when with Richard Fahey. 9) FROG HOLLOW (83) - Won two maiden events at Salisbury on 2nd and 3rd starts over 7f. No form jumps out since and cant fancy. 10) ASHPAN SAM (82) - 10lb higher than only handicap win back in October. 2/11 at Catterick after that but this much tougher. 11) JACK MY BOY (82) - 0/11 on Good but has won on GS. Has a chance on best of turf form but now won on grass since 2010 and impossible to fancy. 12) NOCTURN (82) - Unexposed and lightly raced. Finished 2nd last two outings after winning a maiden over C&D. Open to improvement and should go close. 13) GLADIATRIX (82) - Very consistent sort who has won 5 from last 6 races. Dealt well with step up in class LTO to win on the AW at Southwell. Running at 6f which is a concern, but big E/W chance. 14) LINKS DRIVE LADY (82) - Has a very good record at 6f (4335311121) and ground and trip no problem having run last twice over 7f on the AW/Heavy which doesn't seem ideal. Has made the frame from a similar break and could run well. 15) ITALIAN TOM (82) - Has won well fresh before and scored over C&D off same mark im 2012. But, is 8800 when running at this level. 16) MY KINGDOM (79) - Bottom weight and ground/trip should suit. On a decent mark but usually finds one too good (finished 2nd 6 times on the bounce in 2012) =========================== NOCTURN could take all the beating but difficult to get involved with at the price when he's only won a maiden. With that in mind I'm taking to against the field, the impressively consistent GLADIATRIX who looks a very good E/W bet and LINKS DRIVE LADY who goes well at 6f and could out run her odds. LEXI'S HERO also made the shortlist but will stick with my two. GLADIATRIX 1pt E/W @ 13/2 (BOG - Stan James) LINKS LADY DRIVE 0.5pt E/W @ 18/1 (BOG - Stan James)

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013 Mon 22nd Apr 2013 8.50 Wolverhampton (7 runners) 32Red Casino Fillies' Handicap Class 5, 1m½f , Standard, 4yo+, Win: £2588 1) SSAFA (69) - Won 1/17 with that coming at Lingfield off just 1lb higher beating QEETHAARA into 2nd. Decent 2nd at Beverley LTO off 66. Chance. 2) WAVEGUIDE (66) - Lightly raced 4yo who has yet to get head in front. This is her AW debut and a watching brief only. 3) VALE OF CLARA (65) - Won once at 6f in a maiden in Ireland, coming back after break and another one who can only watch, despite dropping grade. 4) IMITHAL (64) - 0/10 and impossible to fancy on recent form. 5) YOJOJO (62) - Consistent this year when turning to the AW, winning once (over C&D) and finishing 2nd either side. This represents highest mark but could improve yet again. 6) STYLISTICKHILL (60) - Dropped back in trip and both wins have been over C&D, but 0/12 at this level. 7) QEETHAARA (56) - 0/9 at Wolverhampton but finished 2nd here on penultimate start. ========================= An uninspiring race and not one to get too heavily involved with, but YOJOJO is my idea of the winner. The Gay Kelloway 4yo has started 2013 very well, the handicapper has obviously had his say, but the form still looks the strongest to me and could continue her improvement at the expense of many seemingly unreliable types. YOJOJO 1pt WIN @ 9/2 (BOG - Stan James)

[BillyHills]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013 Nice one Lee at Ponty:clap

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013

Nice one Lee at Ponty:clap

Thanks mate, put the wrong one up in BBOTD, though! :lol

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013 Tue 23rd Apr 2013 7.25 Yarmouth (10 runners) Burlington Palm Hotel Handicap Class 4, 1m2f , Good To Firm, 4yo+, Win: £4690 1) SPIRIT OF THE LAW (80) - Won over C&D on soft and off same mark today (less if taking into account jockey's claim). Has also won on heavy, standard and good to firm. Trip not ideal recently 2) HANDSOME RANSOM (78) - Off course for 261 days and hard to fancy, despite apparently being gelded. 3) LADY MACDUFF (78) - Potentially very nicely treated but only beaten one rival home in last 3 starts and both wins have been at 1m. 4) CHAIN OF EVENTS (77) - Ground and trip ideal, been hurdling last twice and finished off 2012 on the flat poorly. 6) CAWETT COVE (75) - Well beaten on both UK starts and impossible to make strong case for. 7) JEWELLED (74) - Been running reasonably well this year recording form of 324. However, is 0/10 at 1m2f and usually finds one too good at this level. 8) THECORNISHCOWBOY (73) - Only win on turf has been on heavy and last 3 wins have been over 1m4f. 9) TENURE (72) - Lightly raced 4yo and could be open to improvement, but turned over as 1/2F LTO in a Cl6. 10) FLYING TRADER (72) - Both wins have been on the AW but could have a chance on best of turf form from this mark, latest form not mega inpisring though. 11) MY GUARDIAN ANGEL (71) - Well beaten in all starts since winning at Doncaster in June 2012. HArd to make a case for. ==================== SPIRIT OF THE LAW looks the best of the bunch here and can hopefully follow up his C&D win from last year. SPIRIT OF THE LAW 1pt WIN @ 10/3 (BOG - Stan James)

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013

SPIRIT OF THE LAW 1pt WIN @ 10/3 (BOG - Stan James)

In the time I'd posted the price had gone up to 4/1, so have taken that.

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013 Wed 24th Apr 2013 3.55 Epsom (10 runners) Investec Property Investments City And Suburban Handicap Class 2, 1m2f , Good, 4yo+, Win: £31125 2) KINGS WARRIOR (101) - 33/1 winner of John Smiths Cup in July last year, but dissapointing efforts either side of that and looks hard to catch right. On same mark as when unplaced in the Cambridgeshire LTO and make limited appeal at 10lb higher than York win. 3) VALIDUS (101) - Question mark over stamina at this trip but is eased in grade after finishing 4L 5th in listed event at Kempton in November. 4) AREA FIFTY ONE (97) - Trip and drying conditions look perfect, but 5lb higher than last winning mark and usually needs a run. Fahey and Spencer do well when combining (43% SR in last year). 5) CLAYTON (93) - Won a Cl6 maiden on debut at Southwell, some fair places efforts since but looks high enough in weights. 6) SPANISH DUKE (92) - 3lb lower than when winning this in 2011 That was last win however and hood failed inspire at Ponte latest, used again today. 7) SPIFER (92) - Campaigned on the AW all winter, winning over 1m3f at kempton. Has form from early career on the ground but looks high enough in weights. 8) VASILY (88) - Drying conditions should suit and just 1lb higher than last winning mark but 3 career wins have been at 11.5f+ and well beaten in all starts since winning at Windsor. 9) JOHN BISCUIT (87) - Won over C&D in July last year but now looks to be in the grip of the handicapper in a race seemingly too hot. 10) LADY LOCH (87) - Won very nicely at Pontefract LTO and up 5lbs for that. Ground is a worry as 3 wins have been on GS/heavy and worst run last year was on GF. 11) RHAGORI (86) - Very consistent type who has not finished out of the frame in 8 starts. Open to improvement, but will need to take a big step. ==================== Looked long and hard at this one and it's a real toughie, but, a chance is taken on the lightly raced VALIDUS who has acquitted himself well LTO in a listed event at Kempton (been gelded since). This trip is an unknown but he goes well fresh and Kieron Fallon takes the ride who won on him at Kempton. VALIDUS 1pt WIN @ 11/2 (BOG - William Hill)

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013 Validus was perhaps a bit unlucky in running and was perhaps denied a place, but no qualms about the winner, got nowhere near. Time for an update after 160 bets ... [TABLE=width: 247]

[TR] [TD]Bets[/TD] [TD]160[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Winners (Win & E/W)[/TD] [TD]31[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Placed (E/W only)[/TD] [TD]15[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Total Staked (pts)[/TD] [TD]322[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Overall P/L (pts)[/TD] [TD]+18.71[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Strike Rate[/TD] [TD]19.4% [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Yield[/TD] [TD]5.8%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Apr-13[/TD] [TD]-1.05[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Mar-13[/TD] [TD]+5.35[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Feb-13[/TD] [TD]+19.26[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Jan-13[/TD] [TD]-4.85[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013 Thu 25th Apr 2013 3.35 Beverley (8 runners) Moorends Hotel Handicap Class 4, 1m4f , Good To Firm, 4yo+, Win: £4690 1) PALAZZO BIANCO (85) - Not been seen for 254 days when heavily beaten over 1m6f. Big question mark over trip and passed over. 2) FENNELL BAY (85) - Backed this LTO when just failing to make the frame at Doncaster. Drops another 1lb to match last winning mark, and is eased in grade. Ground no problem and could go close. 3) HIGH OFFICE (80) - Versatile with regards to trip and conditions, dropped down to a class 4 for first time since last win. Just 1lb higher today but seems hard to catch right and cant get involved at the price. Does go very well fresh though. 4) SIR BOSS (78) - Not won on turf since 2009 and 4lb higher than last winning mark. 5) TARTAN GIGHA (76) - Acts on the ground and on very workable mark but very disappointing since winning at Carlisle in Juen last year. 6) ARIZONA JOHN (74) - 0/13 on right hand courses and had enough chances recently. Last win was in a class 5 event and others preferred. 7) ROYAL OPERA (72) - Won at Catterick LTO over 1m6f, with first time blinkers to claim first handicap flat win. 0/19 on GF though. 8) MAYBEAGREY (71) - This looks tough from 2lb higher than last winning mark. ======================= FENNELL BAY has dropped another 1lb which puts him on last winning mark. He also takes a drop in grade and looks the one to side with, especially when considering Mark Johnston's record here. FENNELL BAY 1pt WIN @ 7/2 (BOG BetVictor)

[StuSimmy]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013 Good luck with tomorrow's bet. I expect this one to go well myself but fear High Office, as you said though it's a hard one to catch.

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013

Good luck with tomorrow's bet. I expect this one to go well myself but fear High Office' date=' as you said though it's a hard one to catch.[/quote'] Thanks mate. Just about called it right in the end! Just.

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013 Just about had time for a quickie tomorrow ... Fri 26th Apr 2013 2.55 Perth (7 runners) Turning Out Quality Handicap Chase Class 3, 2m , Good To Soft, 5yo+, Win: £7148 1) WOODY WALLER (124) - Yet to win a handicap and all wins have been at a lower grade. 2013 form very disappointing and cant back with any confidence, despite decent form figures at 2m. 2) QUITO DU TRESOR (123) - Trip loooks on the short side but scored round Aintree over today's 2m. Like WOODY WALLER seems out of form and hard to fancy. 3) ROSSINIS DANCER (120) - Won this last year off 103 and then followed up two races later over 2m4f. Never too far away since but likley to struggle again from this mark. 4) OPERA OG (119) - Racked up hat-trick before finishing 2nd LTO over 2m3f on heavy. Gone up a whopping 40lbs since this last year and this represents toughest assignment to date and needs to improve (is entitled to do so). Ground and trip fine. 5) AL QEDDAAF (119) - 5th of 5 last at Ayr in May after 18 month lay off. Could have needed that run but yet to prove himself in handicaps and best watched. 6) GALLOPING GANDER (116) - Making UK debut after winning 1/20 in Ireland. Can't get involved with. 7) ANAY TURGE (115) - Won well at Cheltenham LTO beating Kie who scored at here yesterday. Escapes a penalty today and must have a huge chance if reproducing anywhere near that form. ===================== ANAY TURGE looks the horse to be on in this, with many of the othes having question marks to answer. ANAY TURGE 2pt WIN @ 5/2 (BOG BetVictor)

[StuSimmy]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013 No worries, was a terrific ride from Joe!

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013 ANAY TURGE drifts to 7/2 but wins convincingly. :ok

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013 Fri 26th Apr 2013 6.25 Chepstow (10 runners) Dunraven Windows Handicap Hurdle Class 2, 3m , Good, 4yo+, Win: £12021 1) CROSS KENNON (144) - 5lb higher than highest winning mark. Not won for over 2 years but dropped in grade now and chance on best form. 2) RESTLESS HARRY (138) - Has a lot in his favour but handicap form disappointing and well out of sorts latest. 3) WEEKEND MILLIANIRE (135) - Winner nicely at Taunton LTO in 1st time cheekpieces and up 9lbs for that to career high mark. Chance if cheekpieces having same effect. 4) COCKNEY TRUCKER (133) - Not won since 2010 when winning a novice chase over 2m. Finds it difficult at this grade and has gone close several times but yet to win past 16.5f and this doesn't make him attractive as a betting proposition. 5) MONETARY FUND (130) - Usually struggles at this sort of grade and 5lb higher than last winning mark. 6) AAIM TO PROSPER (130) - Disappointed in the Albert Bartlett but that probably way to hot. 3L 2nd on ground not ideal LTO behind WEEKEND MILLIONAIRE and reopposes on better terms. 7) CONNECTIVITY (130) - Conistent this year without winning, making the frame in all 3 starts. Jockey's claim takes to below last winning mark and is another with a chance. 8) SO FINE (127) - Yet to really fire when handicapping and was beaten heavily LRO when chasing. Can only watch. 9) UMADACHAR (125) - Won a hurdle LTO at Sedgefield over 2m4f. Lightly raced but consistent and 3 wins have come over 2m1f, 2m4f and 2m6f. Did well in some good bumpers last year but this toughest test yet. Open to improvement, but will need to to take this. 10) RADMORES REVENGE (124) - Just 2/32 and both those coming on heavy ground. 0/17 at Cl3+ and passed over. ===================== A case can be made for plenty of these and CONNECTIVITY looks to have a good chance, but the price is too skinny for me. WEEKEND MILLIONAIR should also go very well back in cheekpieces, however, I'm going to side with dual Cesarewtich winner, AAIM TO PROSPER who looks to have a solid each way chance in my humble opinion. He is 212 in hurdles at this level and doesn't really act on GF ground which could excuse his 2nd to WEEKEND MILLIONAIR LTO. Disounting the Cheltenham Gr1 performance which was just too hot for him, gives him very good chance on his win at Doncaster in March. Fitted with headgear for first time over hurdles which might just make the difference. AAIM TO PROSPER 1pt E/W @ 6/1 (BOG Stan James)

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013 Sat 27th Apr 2013 2.20 Ripon (12 runners) attheraces.com William Buick Exclusive Blog Handicap Class 3, 1m , Good, 4yo+, Win: £9338 1) DUBAI DYNAMO (92) - A winner LTO at Thirsk off 88 beating XILERATOR by a neck. Ground and trip ideal but just 1/37 when on today's mark or higher. 2) XILERATOR (91) - 6600 at 1m and 2lb higher than last winning mark (September 2011). 3) TWO FOR TWO (90) - Decent record in France and finished 2nd on UK debut LTO at Redcar. This tougher though and effectively 12lb higher today without jockey's claim. 4) LORD AERYN (89) - Off course for 217 days after finishing 2012 well with a couple of placed efforts at York and Ayr, both on heavy. Acts on good though and goes well enough fresh. Only 1lb higher than last win and could go well. 5) BANCNUANAHEIREANN (89) - 10L 15th in the Lincoln LTO, not won since racecourse debut. Doesn't seem to be getting much of a hand from the handicapper but has gone close off similar marks as today's and wouldn't be surprised to see a big run. 6) JoBURG (89) - All wins have been from 60 days or less, looks too high in the weights too. 7) MUFFIN MCLEAY (88) - Well drawn and goes well here, but this may be too short. 8) GINGER JACK (86) - Plum draw in stall 1 and won a Cl2 at Redcar LTO. Up 4lbs for that but jockey takes 3 off. Has won on GF and Soft and goes very well fresh. Must have a huge chance. 9) AMAZE (85) - Lightly raced 5yo who has won a 1m2f event here last year. Struggled off this mark LTO but open to improvemment. 10) SNOW TROOPER (85) - Very consistent twip who who very nicely at Windsor two weeks ago. Up 5lbs to career high mark, but could continue to improve in this a better race. 11) DESERT CREEK (79) - Scored hat-trick late last year. Very disappointing on two subsequent appearances though from this mark and cheekpieces failed to inspire recently. 12) INVINCIBLE HERO (78) - 3/3 on Good ground and 3/9 over 1m. 9lb higher tha last winning mark though. ======================== GINGER JACK could go very well at nice price. The Geoff Harker trained 6 year old has the plum draw and despite not being seen for 203 days, goes very well fresh. His win LTO in a class2 looks to stack up nicely in this company and I like his chances. GINGER JACK 1pt E/W @ 12/1 (BOG - BetVictor)

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013 Sat 27th Apr 2013 2.55 Ripon (10 runners) At The Races Handicap Class 2, 2m , Good, 4yo+, Win: £15562 1) CRACKENTORP (96) - 182 day break is not ideal - all wins have come from breaks of between 16 and 30 days. 3lb higher than last winning mark and finds it hard to be competitive at this level. Stamina to prove. 2) ARDLUI (95) - Another who might need the run but has improved on every single flat outing. Entitled to do so again from career high mark. 3) MANYRIVERSTOCROSS (95) - Back on the flat for first time since 2009 after some decent hurdling. Could be well treated on that form, will definitely get the trip. 4) GOOD MORNING STAR (94) - Stamina to prove having not won past 1m3f and a whopping 27lb higher than last handicap win, with not a great deal of form in the interim. 5) PARTY LINE (92) - All wins at 1m4f but very consistent of late until LTO when upped another 5lb for Doncaster win. Same mark today and hard to get excited about. 6) DAZINSKI (87) - Coming off a 217 day break and has gone OK fresh in the past. Ground and trip should be fine and is one of only 2 C&D winners in the field (MONTAFF is the other). On last winning mark. 7) LADY KASHAAN (91) - Won at Musselburgh over 1m6f LTO beating MOIDORE by a head. Has improved 42lbs since this time last year and could do so again, but this will test stamina to the limits. 8) MOIDORE (90) - Consistent type only losing out to LADY KASHAAN by a head LTO. Needs to deal with step up in class and increasing mark. 9) MONTAFF (85) - Just 2/34 but one of them over C&D back in 2011 off 12lb higher. Struggled badly since though plummeting mark not sure to help. 10) LEXINGTON BAY (81) - Won at Southwell on the AW penultimate start, before not being disgraced latest in Cl2 event at Kempton. ==================== A really interesting race and one I'm finding it really hard to narrow down, there's plenty with a chance, including LADY KASHAAN, LEXINGTON BAY and MANYRIVERSTOCROSS, but I'm going to side with an outsider and think DAZINSKI can outrun his odds. If we scratch his disappointing LTO effort he was going well and wasn't beaten much in any of his races. Has won over C&D, from a similar break as today's and could just run into a place at a nice price. DAZINSKI 0.75pt E/W @ 25/1 (BOG - Bet365)

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013

DAZINSKI 0.75pt E/W @ 25/1 (BOG - Bet365)

Supplemented this with 1 PT Win on LADY KASHAAN too. LADY KASHAAN 1pt WIN @ 9/2 (BOG BetVictor)

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013 Poor day so far. Not sure what Da Silva was really doing on Ginger Jack, never seemed to try and didn't, as far as I can see, use the whip. Odd. Dazinksi just missed out on a place and Lady Kashaan couldn't quite catch the leader. Maybe have a couple tonight ... Sat 27th Apr 2013 7.15 Doncaster (8 runners) Caviars Of Bawtry & Prospect House Farm Fillies' Handicap (Str) Class 4, 1m , Good To Firm, 4yo+, Win: £5175 1) ODDYSEY (83) - Winner LTO at Redcar and up 6lbs for that but steadily improving and should go well again. 3) LISIERE (79) - Seasonal debut and goes well fresh. Has struggled at this level in the past though and both wins at 6f. 4) WESTWITHTHENIGHT (79) - Back down to 1m where she did well on 2nd and 3rd runs. Chance, but a bit of an unknown quantity. Goes well fresh. 5) SAVANNA DAYS (78) - Only win came on the All Weather at Kempton. Consistent, but looks held. 6) MODERN ROMANCE (78) - UK debut, not much form to go off but won on debut so obvioulsy goes well fresh. 7) GOLDSTORM (76) - Very consistent last year and now this, been out of the frame just once in 8 runs, winning 3. Takes step up in grade though. 8) ASKAUD (76) - Not won in 19 outings and only finihed in the frame twice in that run. Passed over. 9) DUBIOUS ESCAPADE (70) - Consistent without ever really excelling. Back off a lay off and best watched 7lb higher than last winning mark. =============== ODDYSEY looks to have a good chance of building on LTO success. Very consistent and looks at home in this company. MODERN ROMANCE could be the danger. ODDYSEY 2pt WIN @ 5/2 (BOG BetVictor)

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013 Sat 27th Apr 2013 7.30 Haydock (11 runners) GPW Recruitment 40th Anniversary Handicap Class 2, 7f , Good To Firm, 4yo+, Win: £12938 1) ES QUE LOVE (103) - Won on penultimate start upped to 1m, but disappointed on turf a week ago. Always struggled when mark has gone into 3 figures. 2) CAPE CLASSIC (97) - Making seasonal reappearance and has gone close off such lay odds in the past. Is 7lb higher than last winning mark though. 3) HIGHLAND COLORI (94) - Ground ideal, 6lb higher than last winning mark. Improved all last season though and could do the same this. 4) SMARTY SOCKS (92) - Ground and trip ideal, on winnable mark but usually always needs a run. 5) BALTY BOYS (92) - One win from 13 came in a maiden at Newbury on 2nd start. Finished last season off poorly and is discounted. 7) HI THERE (89) - Won well a month ago at Musselburgh off 80, now on career high mark. Could improve again but small question mark over going. 8) TARTIFLETTE (88) - Won at Doncaster when last seen in November. Question mark over ground and needs to improve to take this. 9) MUSIC IN THE RAIN (86) - Won on GS LTO at Leicester 3 weeks ago, up 8lbs for that. This signigicantly tougher and not sure conditions will suit. 10) IMPERIAL DJAY (85) - Should relish conditions but interesting to note he has only ever won with a break of 5 days or less. Plenty else in favour but recent form means a he's not attractive as a backing proposition, despite falling mark. 11) SUMMERINTHECITY (83) - Won 3 times at 6f but 07 over today's trip. Campaigned on all weather all winter without much success and looks up against it. 12) DOCOFTHEBAY (80) - Won 5 times on the flat but hard to make a strong case for from 4lbs bad. ====================== The Andrew Balding trained HIGHLAND COLORI shold absolutely love conditions here tonight having won his last 3 times on GF. Is coming off a break but has run 2nd before and I'm hoping a return to today's firmer conditions which when last encountered saw him win at Newmarket, should see him in with a good shout. HIGHLAND COLORI 1pt E/W @ 13/2 (BOG - BetVictor)

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013 Wow, seriously impressive there from WESTWITHTHENIGHT.

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013 Well what an awful day, 10.5 points down. All the good work of Thursday and Friday undone! :lol

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013 On a bit of a downer after today's bad run, had got the bank up to it's highest total but that has been scuppered today. I'm just going to have the one bet tomorrow, and it's one i really fancy, but I may take a step back after that for a few days, we'll see, anyway .... Sun 28th Apr 2013 3.35 Wetherby (9 runners) Yorkshire Post Ladies Evening - 30th May Handicap Chase Class 3, 3m1f , Good, 5yo+, Win: £6498 1) TIME FOR SPRING (126) - Has won two chases, the most recent of which off 122. Struggled a wee buit since. 2) TWIRLING MAGNET (125) - Beat SAVANT BLEU home LTO. Makes handicap debut today. Ground OK but yet to win past 2m7f. 3) SAVANT BLEU (121) - Has the odd blip but pretty consistent performer. 11lb higher than last winning mark but should be in with a shout. 4) RICH LORD (120) - Likely to want the ground with a bit more cut in it and nor won past 2m5f. 0/15 at Cl3 or higher and 11lb higher than last win. 5) ACRIA RUA (112) - PU on Friday at Perth over 3m7f. This trip could just be a touch too short and high enough in the weights. 6) EVERAARD (112) - Confirmed front runner who seems to do most of winning in the winter. Interesting that all 7 wins have been when last run has come 30 days or less. 7) FRANK THE SLINK (111) - Pulled up last twice which were only two starts at this grade. Hard to see extended distance heralding an improvement. 8) BLAZING BULL (108) - On four timer after winning twice here and at Catterick. Improved with each outing and 9lb rise may not stop him despite rise in grade. 9) WESTERN GALE (105) - Could have needed run LTO when unseater rider behind BLAZING BULL. Hadn't been seen since 2011 before that and discounted. ======================= As the market suggests, this looks a 2 horse race between the market principles. TWIRLING MAGNET has only had 3 chase starts and won LTO at Newbury, however, it seems he didn't really beat much that day and is yet to win past 2m7f. So I'm left with BLAZING BULL, a strong fancy, who won very nicely LTO and could still improve further despite a 9lb hike in the weights. BLAZING BULL 3pts WIN @ 5/2 (BOG - William Hill).

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013 This is my P/L graph btw. [ATTACH]4712[/ATTACH]

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013 BLAZING BULL fell when in with a decent chance, to round off an awful weekend! My numbers are below. A couple more days to try to get in the black for the month. [TABLE=width: 247]

[TR] [TD]Bets[/TD] [TD]169[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Winners (Win & E/W)[/TD] [TD]33[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Placed (E/W only)[/TD] [TD]15[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Total Staked (pts)[/TD] [TD]338.5[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Overall P/L (pts)[/TD] [TD]+15.71[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Strike Rate[/TD] [TD]19.5%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Yield[/TD] [TD]4.6%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Apr-13[/TD] [TD]-4.05[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Mar-13[/TD] [TD]+5.35[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Feb-13[/TD] [TD]+19.26[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Jan-13[/TD] [TD]-4.85[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013 Mon 29th Apr 2013 3.40 Kelso (7 runners) Happy 80th Birthday John Rust Handicap Chase Class 3, 3m2f , Good, 5yo+, Win: £6498 1) STORMING GALE (125) - Won at Ayr on penultimate start before finishing 4th LTO. That form has worked out well though with two he beat him going on to subsequently win. Drops 3lb and must be in with a decent chance. Last three runs have all been at 2m4f though so slight concern over stamina. 2) YOU KNOW YOURSELF (117) - 2nd LTO at Newcastle and on same mark again today. Excels in small fields (11211) and could run a big race but interesting to note all his wins have come on the back of avreak of at least 16 days, so may need to be fresher. 3) CAPTAIN AMERICO (115) - Has been campaigned at distances from 2m to 4m1f and has won at 3m1f and 3m3f (round here). Is on a very workable mark. 4) OR DE GRUGY (111) - Bit of a course specialist with figures of 5/17. Has won twice at 3m1f so debut at 3m2f should be OK. Lucy Alexander goes well on him (P112) and is on attractive mark if running to 2010 form. Chance, but concern over weight, now with no claimer in saddle is a lot higher than previous wins. 5) FLYING SQUAD (107) - All turf wuns have been on soft and is yet to win past 2m6f. This a step up in class, too. 6) SUPER ALLY (102) - Not completed last two starts with cheekpieces on. Has excellent record round here though - 4/8, but could find one too good. 7) ITZACLICHE (100) - Goes well fresh but pulled up last twice in 2012 after winning a 3m1f hunter chase here. Will probably find a couple too good. ================================ Any of STORMING GALE, YOU KNOW YOURSELF and ORE DE GRUGY could all win this and I'm having real trouble splitting them, so, a chance is taken with CAPTAIN AMERICO who now drops to a career low mark and goes well here (1442). His last race can be excused as was contesting a Gr3 and overall, barring a couple of blips has been pretty consistent in better races than this and he's now very well treated having won off plenty higher in the past. The trip shouldn't be a problem (finished 3rd 3 starts ago over 3m1f), however, he hasn't won since 2011 but I'm hoping first time cheekpieces can spark a bit of life into this capable 9 year old. CAPTAIN AMERICO 1pt WIN @ 7/1 (BOG BetVictor)