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BBOTD 5th Dec


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2.00 Lingfield Plenty of pace in this race from Huzzah, Sweet Secret, Daruband and The Holyman all like to be up with the pace and although it has paid to be prominent most of the time at Lingfield recently this race could be setup for a finisher given the amount of front runners. Sweet Secret won a decent enough handicap at Kempton last time out under Spencer giving him a brilliant ride from the front, had the run of the race that day and will find things tougher this time round. Aqulifer beat Hereford Boy last time out by a short head only just holding on and finds himself 3lb higher today, that was rather out of the blue although course record speaks for itself 4 wins from 7 runs around here but Hereford Boy should be able to reverse those placings on a 1lb better terms today and will be well suited to the strong gallop that is likely. He is still 2lb below his last winning mark and like the rest of his yard he has been running well recently and looks ready to build on those promising runs. Peponi is worth a saver, although still a maiden only has a few miles on the clock and has looked the sort that could pick up a race or two up over the winter especially considering he is fresher than most. Met plenty of trouble in the finish last time out but still finished well behind Lockantanks who ran a solid race off an 8lb higher mark in a much better race which suggests that form will hold up and he runs off the same mark today. 1pt win Hereford Boy 6/1 bet365

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Re: BBOTD 5th Dec Follow The Flag - Lin 2.00 (e/w 14-1 BET365 BOG) I agree with Chris34 that there should be plenty of pace in the race, which should hopefully set the race up for Follow The Flag. The selection has dropped 14lb in the weights since March, largely because of his poor efforts on turf over the summer. He is a much better horse on the A-W, and showed signs of his old ability two runs ago at Wolverhampton. He drops down to Class 5 today, and returns to the scene of his last success a CD win at Lingfield. If he finally sparks back to life then he could feature in the finish at a big price.

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Re: BBOTD 5th Dec 2.00 Lingfield King Of Windsor e/w 16/1 PaddyPower The Beckett stable are in decent enough form at the moment and this horse looks to have been given a great chance of going close here. He is unexposed on the all weather having only had 2 runs. The last of these came last September in a better race than this one where he was rated 84. The race wasn't run to suit that day with them going very slowly up top and he didn't really get involved. Since that run he has put in many disappointing efforts on turf but this race represents a drop in grade and he is a full 10lbs lower than that run at Kempton. He is well drawn in 2 so may be able to just sit in behind the front runners who will hopefully force a fast pace which will suit him. Jim Crowley takes the ride and is in good form at the moment. Think he is definitely one of the most interesting horses in the field given he could potentially be very well handicapped here.

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Re: BBOTD 5th Dec Molinero - Musselburgh 12:20 Still a maiden but interesting that this horse is being brought over from Ireland and put into a small field with Peter Carberry booked. Ran well enough at Kilbeggan two starts back to suggest it would be able to figure in this race, when 4th of 10 behind Ahorsecalledmolly. This is the trainers first ever runner across the water, so i find that very interesting and ill have a punt. WIN @ 10/1 Bet365 BOG

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Re: BBOTD 5th Dec 13:10 Plumpton Invictus Win (2,63) PaddyPower The hattrick seeking Invictus, will face a tuff challenge, from Gift Of Dgab. It looks like a two horse race, and it will properly be one of these two, who takes to victory. Invictus have shown great form on his last run a Hereford, when beating his competitors by 11L. He still looks decent in the weights dough and his exceptional jump technique, gets him to vote. Invictus recent form. UR-3-0-1-1 The jockey Robert Thornton are the only rider who has ridden this horse, so far. He knows what to expect and are there for the logical choice. Thornton won 5 of his last 36 runs.

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Re: BBOTD 5th Dec Aquilifer - 2.00 Lingfield This horse is definitely a course specialist, winning 4 races out of 6 here. It's last race came over course and distance and it beat Hereford boy, which it runs against today, by a short head. The horse is also 3 from 8 over todays distance so the trip is not a problem. Unfortunately I also think that one or two others have a good shot here but because it is on this track and over this distance, Aquilifer should notch up it's 5th win at the course Aquilifer win @ 13/2 Ladbrokes*

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Re: BBOTD 5th Dec Ling 2.00 - Aquilifer - win at 13/2 bog Laddies I think Aquilifer is good value at 13/2.......... Beat Hereford Boy and Mazamorra into 2nd and 3rd last time out and as that was his first run for a couple of months might come on a bit. Loves this track. In a relatively short career of 14 runs has won 4 times here Has gone up 3 lbs since that win but Hereford Boy has gone up 2lbs and Mazamorra looks a bit one paced and might always be vulnerable to a finisher I think Aquilifer should beat those two again and they're the 3 market leaders

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Re: BBOTD 5th Dec 2.20 Musselburgh - 1pt win Gordonsville @ 5/1 (Boyles) I think 5/1 about this horse is a fine price, even in this fairly competitive handicap hurdle. A useful 83 rated stayer on the flat, Gordonsville isn't the quickest, so a hurdling career could be the making of him (even moreso). He lacks that real turn of pace even in staying races. Last time out at Dundalk, for example, he made good headway to challenge 2f out or so before being outpaced into a sound 4th. However, the run showed he was still in form, and a return to hurdling can see him return to the winners enclosure. He has run three times over hurdles, with his debut coming at Musselburgh. He ran a sound race over 2 miles to be 3rd of ten behind the very useful Ascendant. He still looked to need the experience when returning to the discipline over a year later at Perth. He ran keen over the 2m5f trip and made mistakes. They took their toll and he was a disappointing 6th in the end. However, the race did work out well with the hot favourite scooting in by 14l and the runner-up hacking up next time. He's remained in good form since including a 3rd in the Cesarewitch trial. He managed to get his head in front for the first time over hurdles at the third time of asking, rallying having been outpaced to score over the 2 mile trip from a subsequent winner. 2 miles over hurdles was always likely to be a bit short given he stays that far at least on the level. That win was also at Musselburgh and he does enjoy the Scottish venue, winning 3 of his 5 career successes here. That's obviously a plus that he runs here again and is up in trip to 2m4f. He'll hopefully settle better than at Perth, and if he does, it should unlock some more ability over the obstacles. His mark of 118 doesn't look restrictive to me - especially at this trip, and I can't really see a bad run coming from him unless perhaps the rain pours (not out of the question). Even still, he's no forlorn hope on soft ground. Chester Lad must be respected having bounced back to form for his new yard, but he perhaps had the run of the race last time before faltering late on (possibly lacking in race fitness), and I prefer the Jim Goldie trained individual. He should get it run to suit and his finishing effort is likely to be stronger in this type of race than a 2 mile flat contest! I'm sure there's more to come from him, and hopefully today will show that.

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Re: BBOTD 5th Dec 1.40 Plumpton Misstree Dancer is back down to her last winning mark, albeit that was over fences but she has won over this C/D before over hurdles and this slightly shorter distance seems to suit her best. Ground won't be an issue and she has run creditably in better races than this recently. Decent jockey and stable amongst the winners, definitely worth an interest at the price, if she runs anywhere near her best she will go very close. 0.5 Pts E/W 12/1 Ladbrokes

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Re: BBOTD 5th Dec Musselburgh 2.20 Chester Lad win - 11/4 Boyle Lads Kicked for home at Carlisle and was done in the final 50 yards, but off same mark I expect him to be very competitive. Used to be a lot higher in the past and now joined a top yard, who is in great form. Trip will suit and many are out of form in the race.

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Re: BBOTD 5th Dec 2.00 Lingfield: King of Windsor 1pt win @ 10/1 Will Hill BOG This should be run at a decent clip which may play into the hands of one of the hold up performers. Think King of Windsor has a great chance here - been given a major chance by the handicapper and consequently drops into weakest handicap company the horse has had to face to date, stable in decent form as is jockey Jim Crowley. Could go close here at a nice price IMO.

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Re: BBOTD 5th Dec One or two jockey's in the last at Plumpton only have the 1 ride BUT i'll stick with the very man that done the business yesterday in the last at Kelso. Yipp T.Murphy only has one sole ride in the N/H Flat race in the last, sure its a hot looking race but its always taking a wee chance when Timmy makes the journey for one or two rides. His mount could be a bit fitter than a few of these as he's already had a few runs, however the 5yr old had had a nice wee break of almost 100 days and if H.Evans has him wound up he could take home some wages with atleast a place. H.Evans has also been in pretty good form so his sole runner on the card IMO makes for a wee e/w bet. Plumpton 3:40 - Trackmate. 0.5 e/w bet 16/1 Bet365 ''BOG'' 16/1 with a few others. Have a nice Day Troops, at ease.

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Re: BBOTD 5th Dec 1240 Plumpton: Tindaro 1pt 5/2 Ladbrokes A useful debut when second at Wetherby finishing in front of one or two decent types, he then ran against Cinders And Ashes and Broadbackbob at Ascot and was still in with a chance turning for home, thats solid form and should make his presence felt in this grade.

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Re: BBOTD 5th Dec Beaumont's Party - 12.50 Muss 1pt win 9/4 SJ Taking a chance on the hurdling debut of Beaumont's Party. If he takes to his hurdles then he should give a good account of himself based on his rating from the flat. He had very smart when trained by Andrew Balding - most recently seen behind the likes of Fallen Idol and Taqleed. That included some big field handicaps over 1m 2f on ground similar to today. So he should be well used to the hussle and bustle he'll encounter over jumps. Trainer in good form with a couple of winners over the weekend. He has a few runners at Musselburgh today but has Jason Mcguire booked for this particular ride. I'm not a big fan of High Chaparrals but this fella has been gelded and nice to see a strong jockey on board. Worth a shot at the price.

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Re: BBOTD 5th Dec INDIAN DAUDAIE 1.10 Plumpton. 1 point win. Needs to find a bit on the bare form of things, but the trip and ground shouldn't be a problem and gets a weight pull with the two principals. In turn, they should give the race a fast pace and that could see us closing in well at the end. A decent price with only a small field. 4/1 Paddy Power BOG

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Re: BBOTD 5th Dec

2.20 Musselburgh - 1pt win Gordonsville @ 5/1 (Boyles) I think 5/1 about this horse is a fine price, even in this fairly competitive handicap hurdle. A useful 83 rated stayer on the flat, Gordonsville isn't the quickest, so a hurdling career could be the making of him (even moreso). He lacks that real turn of pace even in staying races. Last time out at Dundalk, for example, he made good headway to challenge 2f out or so before being outpaced into a sound 4th. However, the run showed he was still in form, and a return to hurdling can see him return to the winners enclosure. He has run three times over hurdles, with his debut coming at Musselburgh. He ran a sound race over 2 miles to be 3rd of ten behind the very useful Ascendant. He still looked to need the experience when returning to the discipline over a year later at Perth. He ran keen over the 2m5f trip and made mistakes. They took their toll and he was a disappointing 6th in the end. However, the race did work out well with the hot favourite scooting in by 14l and the runner-up hacking up next time. He's remained in good form since including a 3rd in the Cesarewitch trial. He managed to get his head in front for the first time over hurdles at the third time of asking, rallying having been outpaced to score over the 2 mile trip from a subsequent winner. 2 miles over hurdles was always likely to be a bit short given he stays that far at least on the level. That win was also at Musselburgh and he does enjoy the Scottish venue, winning 3 of his 5 career successes here. That's obviously a plus that he runs here again and is up in trip to 2m4f. He'll hopefully settle better than at Perth, and if he does, it should unlock some more ability over the obstacles. His mark of 118 doesn't look restrictive to me - especially at this trip, and I can't really see a bad run coming from him unless perhaps the rain pours (not out of the question). Even still, he's no forlorn hope on soft ground. Chester Lad must be respected having bounced back to form for his new yard, but he perhaps had the run of the race last time before faltering late on (possibly lacking in race fitness), and I prefer the Jim Goldie trained individual. He should get it run to suit and his finishing effort is likely to be stronger in this type of race than a 2 mile flat contest! I'm sure there's more to come from him, and hopefully today will show that.
Cracking write up :ok
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