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Snooker: World Championships

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Re: Snooker: World Championships Luckily for WS, I'm opposing him in the match starting soon:lol S.Hendry (+4.5 frames) to beat M.Selby, 3pts @ Evs Totesport S.Hendry vs M.Selby, high break over 124.5, 5pts @ 5/6 Skybet I'm a huge fan of Mark Selby but just don't fancy him to run away with this like many pundits do. Hendry is still a force to be reckoned and played some terrific stuff in the 1st session against Joe Perry before struggling later on. If he can reproduce his 1st session, then Selby will not be winning that easily. The Jester ran out a convincing 10-1 winner over Jimmy Robertson but, in fairness, I'd have beaten JR:lol. He wasn't the fluent Mark Selby we all know & love and, if he gives chances to Hendry like he did to Robbo, he'll be losing quite a few frames along the way. Both players like to go for their shots and are capable of making massive breaks. Hendry's had a maximum this season and hit a 133 against Perry whilst Selby struggled to gain momentum in round 1 but, with a bit more pressure on, I expect his scoring to be a little more consistent. Overall, I'm going for a match of 13-9 or closer, with a big break in amongst the 22+ frames. After the damp squib of Murph/Rocket, I'm hoping for something a little better this evening.

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Re: Snooker: World Championships

S.Hendry vs M.Selby, high break over 124.5, 5pts @ 5/6 Skybet Both players like to go for their shots and are capable of making massive breaks. Hendry's had a maximum this season and hit a 133 against Perry whilst Selby struggled to gain momentum in round 1 but, with a bit more pressure on, I expect his scoring to be a little more consistent. Overall, I'm going for a match of 13-9 or closer, with a big break in amongst the 22+ frames. After the damp squib of Murph/Rocket, I'm hoping for something a little better this evening.
Comes in after frame 1. Cheers Skybet:lol:lol:lol:lol

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Re: Snooker: World Championships +22.03pts now with Dott outright still running for me and Ronnie looking good to bring more profit in. One for tomorrow morning and it's a max bet. My first in snooker. 10pts J.Higgins (-6.5 frames) to beat R.McLeod 4/5 Paddy Power This is a handicap which looks big on paper but for the life of me I don't see how Rory McLeod is taking 7 frames off a Higgins who's just slapped in 4 tons against a very competent Stephen Lee. Higgins was ultra special in the scoring phase of the game against Lee and the difference in class here is absolutely huge. Rory's playing his first 25 frame match and he's a bit camera shy at the best of times. I don't see how he's winning frames here. If frames go scrappy then there's nobody with a better tactical mindset than Higgins and if he keeps the frames open with the balls split Higgins will tie him in knots with the safety and then hoover up what's left. I don't know if the little spat with Walden after their first round match will affect Rory here but even so he's out of his depth massively. Higgins probably has a point to prove after losing to Davis in this round last year and might be under a bit of pressure from the snooker public to set up that magical quarter final. He copes with pressure well and with the Old Firm game on Sunday lunchtime I'll take the Wizard of Wishaw to race into a big lead very quickly and not surrender it. Higgins by at least 7 frames for me but I wouldn't be surprised if this one doesn't see it's scheduled 3rd session on Monday afternoon.

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Re: Snooker: World Championships One for me, and following Kev's max bet. J.Higgins (-6.5 frames) to beat R.McLeod, 8pts @ 5/6 Bet365 I'm with Kev here although not going with a full 10pts. Let's face it, Rory is totally outclassed here and, despite his gritty win over Ricky Walden, he just won't be up to the quality of Higgins here. McLeod won 10-6 but, quite frankly, the standard was crap (I've seen Mowgli play better:lol). Just 6 50's between them in 16 slow frames, that isn't great. Higgins, on the other hand, played an in form Stephen Lee and disposed of him easily, 10-5. 5 tons in this match, 4 of which came from John as well as 4 more 50+ breaks. He's been in great form this season and is a player that doesn't let himself get bogged down by playing an inferior player. No surprise to see a 7-1 or 8-0 scoreline from this mornings session, the only thing that could stop this coming in is if Rory really bores the pants off John and makes it too tactical. Doubtful though.

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Re: Snooker: World Championships Ding Junhui vs Stuart Bingham match to go to deciding frame 9/4 skybet total frames over 23.5 8/11 skybet i think this match will be close bingham has not been in this situation before so he will be quite nervous Ronnie O Sullivan vs Shaun Murphy match to go to deciding frame 7/2 skybet this could go all the way Murphy is a fighter and will make it hard for O Sullivan to win

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Re: Snooker: World Championships Frustrating day for me today. No surprise that Selby made short work of finishing off Hendry from 12-4 up to land the handicap bet, but Ronnie waited too long to start firing in the centuries so the overs went down. Which all leaves me -0.31pts down for the championship, with my Williams outright still running. One for tomorrow for now: 3pts - Graeme Dott to beat Judd Trump @ 2.14 with Betfair Really hard to call this match, but I think the odds should be 50/50 or even slightly in Dott's favour, so that makes him the value pick here. Judd followed up his victory over an out of sorts Neil Robertson with a performance of real maturity against Gould, although Martin made him sweat a bit more than the scoreline suggests. In fact, I'd say the whole match swung on the 13th frame, where Judd won on a respot after Gould had missed the frame-winning black. Had he potted it, I think the match would have been a lot closer, but instead Gould crumbled and Judd ran out quite comfortably. Contrast that with the war of attrition between Dott and Carter. I'm sure the Captain is still wondering how he could play so well in the 2nd & 3rd sessions, yet still lose the match with a frame to spare. That performance sums up Dott at the Crucible - he's so tough to beat and has the ability to stay in a match or a session even when he's not playing his best. For that reason, I think he'll present a very different challenge to Trump than he's faced so far, and I fancy him to put the youngster under some real pressure. It'll be fascinating to see who comes out on top but, at these odds, I see Dott as the clear value pick.

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Re: Snooker: World Championships

Ding Junhui vs Stuart Bingham match to go to deciding frame 9/4 skybet total frames over 23.5 8/11 skybet i think this match will be close bingham has not been in this situation before so he will be quite nervous
Nice pick mate. :clap

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Re: Snooker: World Championships Agree with you WS. Especially when you factor in Dott's 4-0 and 4-1 wins over Trump in the PTC's earlier in the season. I'm on Dott outright so I'll probably leave it be. I've got a sneaky feeling for Mark Allen but I think I'll see a session before committing given his off table problems and such like.

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Re: Snooker: World Championships I think the Higgins v O'Sullivan match is one that is best watched without a bet attached. Good arguments can be made for backing both players. O'Sullivan saw off a very determined Shaun Murphy, and it can be said that Higgins struggled somewhat to put (an also very determined) Rory McLeod away - which would lead you to backing O'Sullivan. The danger of doing so is that O'Sullivan is highly predictable, and can go to sleep during matches. It is said that O'Sullivan is untouchable when on his game - I personally think the only player that can give him a game in that mood is John Higgins. Higgins still has a point to prove here, winning the world title will help to heal the wounds of last year's controversy, and this tournament is all about getting through the rounds, not about blitzing through the first couple of matches and being knackered for when thr longer games come. So sit back, keep the powder dry and hopefully enjoy the best match of this year's championship do far. :ok

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Re: Snooker: World Championships Well, Dott's nicely poised to bring home the bacon on my first quarter-final bet. :lol Seriously, that was very impressive from Judd Trump and a joy to watch even though I backed the other guy. Graeme played poorly and the fact that the only frame he won was from needing a snooker says it all. Could easily (and deservedly) have been 8-0. I won't write Dotty off completely yet, but he needs a 6-2 or better scoreline tonight if he wants to stop Judd here. So, let's see who I can jinx this afternoon: 5pts Mark Selby (-2.5 frames) to beat Ding Junhui @ 1.98 with Betfair 2pts Selby v Ding - over 3.5 hundred breaks @ 1.79 with Betfair For me, the Jester is rightly the firm favourite here. He was imperious against Hendry and he looks very focused and "in the zone". In contrast, Ding has played exceptionally well in patches, but really struggled to overcome Bingham and I think that tough match could take its toll here. I still don't think he really likes the Crucible set up and has yet to look settled or produce his best game at the venue. It would be rude not to have a dabble on the centuries market as well after Selby's record breaking 6 tons in the last round. I don't expect a repeat performance here, but these two are well capable of knocking in 4 centuries between them, even if I do expect Selby to triumph with a few frames to spare.

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Re: Snooker: World Championships +13.53pts overall now. Taking 3 in this afternoon's matches. 4pts M.Selby vs D.Junhui - Over 3.5 centuries 10/11 Boylesports 3pts M.Selby to win 1st session 11/10 Blue Square I'm sometimes reluctant to take a relatively high line at odds on but I do think these two can cover it. Ding's hit 3 tons in the tournament so far and Selby 7 and I don't see a lot of safety play being played in this one. Both are heavy scorers and given the form they've shown so far I think this is a line that's achievable in a 25 frame match. I don't see either winning it too easily so we should get more than enough frames to bring this line in. I do however think Selby could have an advantage in the opening session of this match. Ding finished relatively late last night and the emotions of his thrilling comeback and the adrenalin it takes out of you must have some kind of negative effect on him this afternoon. Selby basically had a lengthy practice session against Hendry and that would have taken nothing out of him. I wouldn't be surprised in the slightest if Ding struggles for 4 or 5 frames today and that can lead Selby into an overnight lead. 5pts R.O'Sullivan vs J.Higgins - Over 22.5 frames 11/10 Skybet 4pts Over 16.5 50+ breaks 8/11 Betfred I absolutely can not wait for this match. If it's anything like some of their past meetings then this will be an epic. Some snooker matches stick in my mind for a long time and one of them was the Masters final these two played out in 2006 which was of the highest quality for 18 frames then Higgins stepped it up to a new level with 'that' clearance in the decider. Both men are playing well enough for this to be like that match. Unlike some of their meetings there hasn't really been too long for this to be overhyped so both can relax and treat us to some lovely snooker. Ronnie has looked close to his best at periods in this tournament and although Higgins was dogshit last time out that was as much due to his opponent as it was him. He'll get a better rhythm in this match and we saw in the opening round he's still playing as well as anyone. This should be set up for a superb night of snooker on Wednesday night as it's a match I can't see being won any easier than 13-10 either way. We've just seen a session of snooker which contained 10 50+ breaks and while I don't think these two will produce 10 in a session because they are more clinical, I do think most of the frames will be won in one visit in this match. I foresee 24 or 25 frames in this and I refuse to believe 7 frames will go without a 50 break between these two expert technicians of the sport. Overs for me in frames and 50's.

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Re: Snooker: World Championships One more for the QF's. 2pts M.Allen to beat M.Williams 4/1 Betfred Mark Allen goes into tonight's second session 5-3 down but he could and probably should have been 6-2 up. He hit 6 50+ breaks in this morning's session and came out of it with 3 frames to his name. We know he's a battler and he often comes on even stronger in adversity and the two centuries he hit from 5-1 down to come out 5-3 shows so much resolve it's untrue. Mark Williams has been on cruise control in this event but going into today's match he'd only made 5 80+ breaks in the 23 frames he's won in the tournament so he isn't finishing frames off at the first time of asking. Indeed 2 of the frames he won this morning were from a mile back with good clearances after 50 breaks from Allen. If the Northern Irishman can just add a consistent 10-15pts onto his scoring then I think this match is still well within his reach over the next couple of days.

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Re: Snooker: World Championships 10 points O'sullivan -1.5 frames against Higgins (I/R) 2.32 BETFAIR. Lousy market so 2.4/2.5 may well be possible. O'sullivan finds himself in the rare position of not being favourite to win the World Championship and rightfully so based on numerous poor performances at tournaments all over the world for a few years now. However Ronnie has shown enough this week to tell me he still wants to win another world title and this could be his year. He will pick up his form and race clear of Higgins, I predict a 13-9 victory, 10/1 with sporting bet. 10 points O'sullivan -1.5 frames (I/R) Betfair 2.32 (6/5 ish) 2 points O'sullivan to win 13-9 (I/R) Sporting Bet 10/1 Good Luck

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Re: Snooker: World Championships 5pts R.O'Sullivan to beat J.Higgins @ 10/11 Bet365 All level at 4 a piece after the first session and were in for an entertaining match here. I was waiting to see how Ronnie would play in this one but I think he has looked something like his past so far in this World Champs, he looks up for the fight and more importantly when losing position he isn't making erratic decisions ie going for impossible pots, instead he is making good safeties and waiting for John to make mistakes, if he continues in the same frame of mind then he has a great chance of getting through. Higgins is hard to beat but Ronnie on his game can do just that.

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Re: Snooker: World Championships Right, will update on my quarter-final disaster-in-the-making tomorrow, but for now I'm taking one for this evening. 3pts - John Higgins to beat Ronnie O'Sullivan @ 1.94 with Betfair Higgins played like a drain in this afternoon's session and it's barely conceivable that he got out of it on level terms. On the other hand, Ronnie played in fits and starts, but had his chances to take a decisive lead from 8-5 up and blew them. You don't often get two cracks at beating John Higgins and I think the Rocket may just have lost the match in this session. Of course, Ronnie could come out tonight and blow John off the table, but he hasn't really been in that sort of form in this tournament. He looks like he's struggling to keep things on the level to me and his long distance potting is still very erratic. With the momentum now fully behind him, I fancy Higgins will have too much for O'Sullivan tonight.

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Re: Snooker: World Championships D.Junhui v J.Trump - D.Junhui to win 1st Frame of match @ 9/10 VCbet 3pts Obviously not huge stakes on a bet like this but I quite fancy Ding to take the first frame of the match here. Both players have never been to this stage but Ding has plenty more experience then Trump, it could be a bit daunting for both players now its down to one table but I feel more so for Trump. He claims he feels invincible at the moment which is quite a statement to make going into a World Semi's aged just 21, he is young and we've seen in other sports the pressure can get to you easily and in snooker its even more so, especially at Sheffield. I could be wrong and he comes out with no nerves I mean I don't know the guy personally - its just I put myself in his shoes and the occasion would be big, it might takes 10-20 minutes to settle down on the one table setting and of course at this level you'll be punished, Ding's not been here before but he has won The Masters & UK Champs so I'd expect less nerves and to put his marker down early. I'd have this priced up 4/6 Ding, 11/10 Trump, just for opening frame or two depending on how he settles, after a lot closer.

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Re: Snooker: World Championships Higgins saved my bacon somewhat, but the quarter-finals were still a bit of a disaster for me and I'm now -7.61pts for the tournament. I have Williams on the outright, but I'm still tempted to back him against JH in the semis - will decide on that later, but for now I'll take one in the 1st semi. 3pts - Judd Trump (+1.5 frames) to beat Ding Junhui @ 2.0 with Betfair I expected Trump to meet his match against Graeme Dott in the last round, but he simply brushed the Scot aside and played some breathtaking snooker in the 1st session which he really should have won 8-0 such was his dominance. There's no doubt his current form is exceptional, having beaten Selby and Robertson over long distances in the last month, and he seems unaffected by his sudden success which bodes well here. Ding was excellent against Selby, never falling behind after the 2nd frame and responding well when Selby won 4 on the bounce for 10-10. I think he'll enjoy the one table set up, but I'm not so sure he'll enjoy playing Trump in his current form. Selby made some uncharacteristic mistakes against Ding and let him in first in the majority of the frames, which was a fatal error. Trump meanwhile has proved very adept at taking the initiative early in the frame, and his long potting has been a match for anyone in the tournament. If he keeps that up, then he has the game to beat Ding, no question. My only concern is that Ding has played so well in tight situations against Bingham and Selby, and if this does come down to the wire, his experience just might tell. Hence, I'll take the +1.5 handicap to avoid the disappointment of a close loss.

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Re: Snooker: World Championships A very impressive display of potting from Judd Trump. To those that remember him in his youth at The Crucible, there must be a touch of the Jimmy White's about his display this afternoon. However these matches are over a long time and I can't help but worry his lack of experience is going to hurt him. I think Ding will be delighted to only be two frames down especially as Judd had the run of the balls. If the youngster continues to attack like he did today I think Ding will get his chances and at 2.52 on Betfair represents great value. 3PTS DING 2.52 Betfair

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Re: Snooker: World Championships John Higgins vs Mark Williams over 4.5 centuries 5/6 skybet over 29.5 frames 5/6 skybet higgins to win 17-15 10/1 skybet this will be a close match it could go either way which is why it is a fascinating match both players are playing great and also when they get in among the ball they are hardly missing them so you are going to see a great match

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Re: Snooker: World Championships Bit late with these two :$. 6pts M.Williams vs J.Higgins - Over 29.5 frames 10/11 William Hill 4pts Over 22.5 50+ breaks 5/6 Skybet I can't wait for this match. If it's anything like their UK Championship final then it will be an absolute classic. I can't see either of them winning this easier than 17-13. Both are playing too well to let the other run away with it and I just don't see any session in this match being won 6-2 either way. Both are masterful tacticians of the game and when the balls are open both can win frames in one visit. Speaking of one visit snooker I really do believe the quality of this semi final will be such that most of the frames will be won in one visit. Both men are capable of big breaks and I've especially taken this line rather than the tons line because Williams doesn't always push himself for the ton whereas he'll need the 50+ to win most frames. I wouldn't be at all surprised if this is 17-15 or closer so we should have more than enough frames to get the required 23 50+ breaks in what I fully expect will be one of the great matches of the tournament.

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