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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

Bairn's Value Away Wins


bairn1

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Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins

Hi Bairn1, A nice weekend for you to get you back on track. I'm curious to know what you thought of Atalanta this weekend and why it didn't crop up. Massive value on my ratings (and others I know of). Keep up the good work. Matt
Hi Matt, As gilbertm kindly posted, the system doesn't look at Italian leagues. It back-tested very poorly against results in this league and was the only league for which it would have made a loss, had I been following it from 2007. When I looked into this a bit more to try to find out why, I found that (in recent seasons) the percentage of home wins in Serie A was much higher than the percentage of home wins in all of the other leagues. Not really sure why this is, but decided to stay clear of Serie A anyway.
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Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Coming thick and fast at the moment... 25/10/2011 | Shrewsbury v Accrington | £6.50 at 5 (Ladbrokes) 25/10/2011 | Morecambe v Rotherham | £9.50 at 3.4 (Ladbrokes) 26/10/2011 | Mallorca v Sp Gijon | £7.00 at 4.4 (Bet3000)

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Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins

What peoples view on a progressive staking plan. I was thinking of if my bank makes upto £200 i will do £20 per selection' date=' then £300, £30 etc. Discuss.[/quote'] I personally like this kind of staking plan, and use something similar for a number of systems. Increasing stakes in this way makes sense to me as basically your bank is increasing so you have more available to bet with. So it takes advantages of winning runs by paying out more. On the downside, it can get a bit disheartening when you spend a while building up a good bank, increase the stakes, and hit a losing run.
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Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins 7 picks for the weekend... 05/11/2011 | Newcastle v Everton | £10.00 at 3.6 (Boyle) 05/11/2011 | Man United v Sunderland | £2.50 at 15.5 (Pinnacle) 05/11/2011 | Ipswich v Doncaster | £6.50 at 5.5 (Bet3000) 05/11/2011 | AFC Wimbledon v Barnet | £8.00 at 4.5 (Ladbrokes) 05/11/2011 | Kilmarnock v Inverness C | £9.00 at 4 (Ladbrokes) 06/11/2011 | Rennes v Valenciennes | £6.00 at 6 (William Hill) 07/11/2011 | St Johnstone v Aberdeen | £10.00 at 3.6 (Bwin)

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Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins

DateMatchOddsP/LBank (£500 start)
05/11/2011 Newcastle 2 - 1 Everton3.6-£10.00£522.52
05/11/2011 Man United 1 - 0 Sunderland15.5-£2.50£520.02
05/11/2011 Ipswich 2 - 3 Doncaster5.5£29.25£549.27
05/11/2011 AFC Wimbledon 1 - 1 Barnet4.5-£8.00£541.27
05/11/2011 Kilmarnock 3 - 6 Inverness C4£27.00£568.27
06/11/2011 Rennes 1 - 1 Valenciennes6-£6.00£562.27
07/11/2011 St Johnstone p - p Aberdeen3.6£0.00£562.27
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Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins 4 for the weekend... 26/11/2011 | Sunderland v Wigan | £6.50 at 5.65 (Pinnacle) 26/11/2011 | Cardiff v Nottm Forest | £9.00 at 4.2 (Boyle) 26/11/2011 | Accrington v Dag and Red | £8.50 at 4.33 (Coral) 26/11/2011 | St Johnstone v Hibernian | £9.50 at 3.9 (Boyle)

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Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins I quite fancy all of these too and going to try them in a Yankee.. £3.18 per bet (11 bets), 6 doubles, 4 trebles and accumulator...£34.98 total. Minimum returns as follows.... 2 winners - £52.09 3 winners - £389.16 4 winners - £2811.27 :eek None of them are really playing anyone beyond their capabilities and I think bairn is due a full house!

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Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins

DateMatchOddsP/LBank (£500 start)
26/11/2011 Sunderland 1 - 2 Wigan5.65£30.23£579.00
26/11/2011 Cardiff 1 - 0 Nottm Forest4.2-£9.00£570.00
26/11/2011 Accrington 3 - 0 Dag and Red4.33-£8.50£561.50
26/11/2011 St Johnstone 3 - 1 Hibernian3.9-£9.50£552.00
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Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Busy one tomorrow night... 29/11/2011 | Southampton v Hull | £5.50 at 6.5 (Marathon) 29/11/2011 | Hartlepool v Preston | £12.00 at 3.02 (Pinnacle) 29/11/2011 | Barrow v Alfreton Town | £8.00 at 4.65 (Unibet) 29/11/2011 | Southport v Forest Green | £9.00 at 4 (Coral)

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Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins

DateMatchOddsP/LBank (£500 start)
29/11/2011 Southampton 2 - 1 Hull6.5-£5.50£546.50
29/11/2011 Hartlepool 0 - 1 Preston3.02£24.24£570.74
29/11/2011 Barrow 1 - 0 Alfreton Town4.65-£8.00£562.74
29/11/2011 Southport 1 - 3 Forest Green4£27.00£589.74
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Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins 6 for the weekend... 02/12/2011 | Motherwell v Hibernian | £8.00 at 5 (Bet3000) 03/12/2011 | West Ham v Burnley | £6.00 at 6.65 (Pinnacle) 03/12/2011 | Brighton v Nottm Forest | £11.00 at 3.54 (Pinnacle) 03/12/2011 | Southport v Alfreton Town | £6.50 at 6 (Bet365) 03/12/2011 | Montpellier v Lorient | £7.50 at 5.1 (Unibet) 04/12/2011 | Osasuna v Betis | £10.50 at 3.81 (Pinnacle)

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