DirtyVadah Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Thanks Bairn! :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SecondSight Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Thanks from me also :D - I got 6.40 for Tamworth - a good priced winner. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohpleasemrli Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Thanks for the picks. Any midweek selections? Cheers!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn2 Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Hi all, Despite the slight change in name, this is bairn1! For some reason, I can't log-on anymore with my old username and password. Hopefully this will get sorted out soon, but in the meantime, there are no midweek bets... DateMatchOddsP/LBank (£500 start) 28/01/2012 Cambridge 0 - 1 Tamworth6£30.00£565.09 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted February 3, 2012 Author Share Posted February 3, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins 04/02/2012 | Schalke 04 v Mainz | £7.00 at 5.5 (Boyle) 04/02/2012 | St Etienne v Lorient | £8.50 at 4.35 (Pinnacle) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
knobbo Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Hvae my own system. The last 2 bets where we have the same picks were winners. Im on Lorient too.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr Hook Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins So Lorient's abandoned? Mainz gave a run for your money - 1-0 up at HT, but 1-1 FT. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted February 5, 2012 Author Share Posted February 5, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Bit unforunate looking at the report for the Mainz game, but still a loss... DateMatchOddsP/LBank (£500 start) 04/02/2012 Schalke 04 1 - 1 Mainz5.5-£7.00£558.09 04/02/2012 St Etienne p - p Lorient4.35£0.00£558.09 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lawalahmed Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Bit unforunate looking at the report for the Mainz game, but still a loss... [TABLE] [TR] [TH]Date[/TH] [TH]Match[/TH] [TH]Odds[/TH] [TH]P/L[/TH] [TH]Bank (£500 start)[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD] 04/02/2012 [/TD] [TD]Schalke 04 1 - 1 Mainz[/TD] [TD]5.5[/TD] [TD]-£7.00[/TD] [TD]£558.09[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] 04/02/2012 [/TD] [TD]St Etienne p - p Lorient[/TD] [TD]4.35[/TD] [TD]£0.00[/TD] [TD]£558.09[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Hi Bairns, I did auto run on a system similar to yours and most of the time you have similar selection, this is my finding below from the site: 90 selection (away only), 27 winner(30% strike rate), average odd of 3.98, + 17 point profit.... But what also catch my interest is Ht/ft record Out of 27 winnining selection, 18 winners from it won in half time and full time @ average odd of 5.5 and if you check the profit again is another 9 point profit.... So Bairns, can you check your selection winner record in Ht/Ft market.... Thanks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted February 6, 2012 Author Share Posted February 6, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Hi Bairns, I did auto run on a system similar to yours and most of the time you have similar selection, this is my finding below from the site: 90 selection (away only), 27 winner(30% strike rate), average odd of 3.98, + 17 point profit.... But what also catch my interest is Ht/ft record Out of 27 winnining selection, 18 winners from it won in half time and full time @ average odd of 5.5 and if you check the profit again is another 9 point profit.... So Bairns, can you check your selection winner record in Ht/Ft market.... Thanks Sounds interesting. Not sure findings like this from 90 picks are too significant, but I've got 800 or so from the last 5 seasons, so I'd definitely be interested in testing this theory out. Do you know where I can get historical HT/FT results? P.S. No picks for midweek. P.P.S. Anyone else having trouble with this site since the redesign? Often get logged out after I've written a post and have to write it all again! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lawalahmed Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Sounds interesting. Not sure findings like this from 90 picks are too significant, but I've got 800 or so from the last 5 seasons, so I'd definitely be interested in testing this theory out. Do you know where I can get historical HT/FT results? P.S. No picks for midweek. P.P.S. Anyone else having trouble with this site since the redesign? Often get logged out after I've written a post and have to write it all again! I know 90 is a small selection but that is the total selection for this season.....My initial target for away team is lost in first half then win in full time which is averagely odd of 35.0 :loon but unfortunate for me it only happen once in 27 winning selection means only once in total 90 selection:$ I did backs-testing manually with www.betexplorer.com past result... I also have the same issue with this site, imaging i want to reply you through my mobile phone yesterday night but is not going until i reach my office now... Waiting for your finding..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted February 7, 2012 Author Share Posted February 7, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins I know 90 is a small selection but that is the total selection for this season.....My initial target for away team is lost in first half then win in full time which is averagely odd of 35.0 :loon but unfortunate for me it only happen once in 27 winning selection means only once in total 90 selection:$ I did backs-testing manually with www.betexplorer.com past result... I also have the same issue with this site, imaging i want to reply you through my mobile phone yesterday night but is not going until i reach my office now... Waiting for your finding..... Sorry to be a pain, but I'm struggling to find the HT/FT odds on betexplorer. Could you point in the right direction? Cheers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lawalahmed Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Sorry to be a pain, but I'm struggling to find the HT/FT odds on betexplorer. Could you point in the right direction? Cheers. I don't think there is open site that have past Ht/Ft odd's database except past result but manually checking (by checking past scores under betexplorer).. .. We can only guess using current odd since bookmaker have fixed odd for this market. e.g Odd of 2.3 to 3.0 for away team will attract odd range of 4.5 to 7.0 for away team to win in half time and full time........while Odd of 4.0 to 5.0 will attract odd range between 6.5 to 9.0 to win this market e.t.c What we need to know is just past result of this market, just to confirm if it can meet up 21% strike rate from total selection at average odd of 5.50... Still waiting for your finding..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted February 8, 2012 Author Share Posted February 8, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Sorry, but I'm not sure that guessing at odds is a great way to back-test. Also, a strike rate of 21% at average odds of 5.50 doesn't necessarily mean a good profit, or even a profit at all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lawalahmed Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins I believe the odd is higher than that and strike is btw that range, but only to add more profit to the system if proof profitable......to get site with past odd of that market will be very hard except premium site that will demand money. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted February 8, 2012 Author Share Posted February 8, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins My home systems are churning out loads for the weekend, but just one for this one... 11/02/2012 | Man United v Liverpool | £8.50 at 4.5 (Marathon) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DirtyVadah Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins My home systems are churning out loads for the weekend, but just one for this one... 11/02/2012 | Man United v Liverpool | £8.50 at 4.5 (Marathon) Thanks. You have home systems too? ¬¬ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted February 13, 2012 Author Share Posted February 13, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Thanks. You have home systems too? ¬¬ Yes, I follow quite a few systems. Most were in profit last season, though none performed anywhere near as well as this away system. This season, things have been a bit mixed (like with this away system), but in the long term, they've always done well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted February 13, 2012 Author Share Posted February 13, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins DateMatchOddsP/LBank (£500 start) 11/02/2012 Man United 2 - 1 Liverpool4.5-£8.50£549.59 3 for tomorrow... 14/02/2012 | Brighton v Millwall | £9.00 at 4 (William Hill) 14/02/2012 | Middlesbrough v Nottm Forest | £8.00 at 4.5 (Ladbrokes) 14/02/2012 | Charlton v Milton Keynes Dons | £9.50 at 3.8 (Bet3000) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted February 16, 2012 Author Share Posted February 16, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins DateMatchOddsP/LBank (£500 start) 14/02/2012 Brighton 2 - 2 Millwall4-£9.00£540.59 14/02/2012 Middlesbrough 2 - 1 Nottm Forest4.5-£8.00£532.59 14/02/2012 Charlton 2 - 1 Milton Keynes Dons3.8-£9.50£523.09 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted February 16, 2012 Author Share Posted February 16, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Nothing for the weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted February 20, 2012 Author Share Posted February 20, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins 1 for midweek... 22/02/2012 | Motherwell v Hibernian | £6.50 at 5.5 (Ladbrokes) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted February 23, 2012 Author Share Posted February 23, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins DateMatchOddsP/LBank (£500 start) 22/02/2012 Motherwell 4 - 3 Hibernian5.5-£6.50£516.59 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted February 23, 2012 Author Share Posted February 23, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins 25/02/2012 | Crewe v AFC Wimbledon | £9.00 at 3.8 (BlueSquare) 25/02/2012 | Kilmarnock v Hibernian | £8.00 at 4.33 (Boyle) 26/02/2012 | Valencia v Sevilla | £7.00 at 5 (Bet365) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Evening Bairn1 - you're going through a tough run it seems - I'm sure it'll turn round soon. Presumably (I see this in my own betting) your personal HW systems are compensating for the poor returns on the away side? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted February 24, 2012 Author Share Posted February 24, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Evening Bairn1 - you're going through a tough run it seems - I'm sure it'll turn round soon. Presumably (I see this in my own betting) your personal HW systems are compensating for the poor returns on the away side? Yeah, other systems are doing okay and a decent profit overall for the season. This away system over-performed last year and is under-performing this year, so overall, it's still doing as expected. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Nice results this weekend :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted February 27, 2012 Author Share Posted February 27, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins A good weekend for a change!... DateMatchOddsP/LBank (£500 start) 25/02/2012 Crewe 3 - 3 AFC Wimbledon3.8-£9.00£507.59 25/02/2012 Kilmarnock 1 - 3 Hibernian4.33£26.64£534.23 26/02/2012 Valencia 1 - 2 Sevilla5£28.00£562.23 Nothing for midweek. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted March 1, 2012 Author Share Posted March 1, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Bit frustrating after last weekend's results, but nothing for this weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marockee Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Stoke-Norwich, no? :unsure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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