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DrO

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Posts posted by DrO

  1. On 7.1.2019. at 8:41 PM, DrO said:

    While i'm still thinking about Olga's match i did find something interesting in Men Q

    C. Ruud - H.Laaksonen under 22.5 games @1.95 (local)
    I think that bookies have something wrong here. Laaksonen's game is more suitable for indoor conditions than outdoor hard courts. And h2h is also speaking in favour of this bet 'cause Ruud have beaten him twice in relatively easy fashion. The last match was just a week ago at Playford Challenger and Casper won 63 64. I don't see what could change for Henri in 7 days.

    Obviously the match did not go as I expected, but I guess that wining bet is all that counts. :lol

  2. While i'm still thinking about Olga's match i did find something interesting in Men Q

    C. Ruud - H.Laaksonen under 22.5 games @1.95 (local)
    I think that bookies have something wrong here. Laaksonen's game is more suitable for indoor conditions than outdoor hard courts. And h2h is also speaking in favour of this bet 'cause Ruud have beaten him twice in relatively easy fashion. The last match was just a week ago at Playford Challenger and Casper won 63 64. I don't see what could change for Henri in 7 days.

  3. Thank you so very much @four-leaf

    The thing is..Olga Danilovic will play her R1 match of the AOQ tonight. Against Swiatek. Now..Olga is from Serbia and i follow her career closely. She's very talented and she became the first female player born after Year 2000 who won a WTA Tournament. It was event in Moscow last year.
    Yes it whas on clay and yes Olga still didn't prove herself on hard courts,but since i never heard anything about this girl from Poland i thought that value lies on Olga's side tonight. Olga has hired a proven coach couple months ago - Petar Popovic. Petar achieved decent results in the past with the players like Filip Krajinovic,Ivo Karlovic and Andrea Petkovic. I know him in person and i can tell you that he's very ambitious,hard working and dedicated guy. That's why i think that this "collaboration" will be good for young Danilovic.
    They've made a strong preparations for the upcoming season in Los Angeles and i expect Olga to continue her tennis progress. 

    But now after what you wrote,i think it's better to stay away from this match. 
     

  4. On 29.12.2018. at 7:14 PM, opole said:

    ATP Pune

    Pablo Andujar @ 3.14 Pinnacle 5/10

    I know Andujar was playing on clay most of the time in 2018 but he is a player who can be solid on any surface out there as he is very skilled and moving well. He did very well in 2018 coming back from a longterm injury and establishing himself in Top 100 again. Props to him. Donskoy is one of those players who are playing average for 8 or 9 months but having some good moments throughout the year but overall i am not afraid of him here. Andujar should have a good shot winning this.

    Andujar was 6-2 up in the tb of a 3rd set and somehow menaged not to win. :@

  5. 15 minutes ago, Carovie said:

    thanks money44 for your answer. Really do you think Napoli is favourite here? In my opinion Napoli have some great players but as team, I think Liverpool is superior and more used to play this kind of matchs and playing at Anfield, you know what it supposes for the rival team. The only problem I see (it is big) is that Liverpool need to win by two goals of difference and this can make that they lost their mind in any moment during the match

    I think that a simple 1-0 victory works for them. In case of Napoli scores, then home side need to win by two goals margin.
    I`m wrong?

  6. Crvena zvezda - PSG

    Group C has been one of the most competitive in this season's Champions League and going into the final round of matches it is Paris Saint-Germain who are in seemingly in the best position to qualify.

    The French champions will make it through to the last 16 if they beat Crvena zvezda in Belgrade, although they would also progress if Liverpool fail to beat Napoli.
    Crvena Zvezda for their part have perhaps taken more points in this group than many people thought they would and while we cannot make the last 16 we could still finish third with a win and qualify for the Europa League.

    We had lot of problems in this campaign in away fixtures,but we were very strong on our Marakana stadium. Vujadin Savic is questionable while holding midfielder Nenad Krsticic is suspended. Milan Pavkov,our local hero who scored a double against Liverpool,is available.

    Neymar and M`bappe had some small injury problems recently,but they both could play here.

    Like i said we made a fortress of our stadium again and still didn`t concede a single goal in home fixtures. I`m affraid that this could change after Tuesday night because PSG have too much firepower upfront with Cavani,Neymar and M`bappe. They trashed us by 6-1 in Paris even tough i don`t expect something similar to hapen in Belgrade.

    On the contrary, I expect a much more tight encounter with the possibility of Crvena zvezda to score a goal. PSG are the second highest scoring side in this season's Champions League but are yet to keep a clean sheet. PSG have kept just two clean sheets in their last 12 away games in the Champions League and while they have faced a lot of quality opposition during that time, they have also conceded away to the likes of Basel and Ludogorets.

    Crvena zvezda AH1(+2) @1,91 local
    BTTS @2,25 local

     

  7. Motive is a money prize. For every single victory in UCL you get 2,7 million euros and for a draw 900.000 approximately. Also there is something called coefficient points in Europe Cup competitions. The more points you collect in the group stage, this will also increase your club's coefficient. And this is important because it gives you a position of a seeded club and a possible softer draw for the next campaign.  I do not know if I was clear enough because my English is far from solid.

  8. Borussia Dortmund - Club Brugge 

     First i wanted to stay away, from this... cause of the fact, that one point will be enough for Dortmund, to go through the Group Stage.... but yeah...
    I am sure, they want to get the first place from Atletico Madrid and that would only be possible, with a win...
    Currently Dortmund is in heaven really... it looks good in the Bundes league and Champions League.... no injuries also... and last but not least... they play at home here...
    Indeed, nothing speaks against another win.... for Dortmund...

    For sure, not the form of their opponents either, they have lost their last two league games which you dont see often usually.... so it seems, they have some kind of problems...
    They were able, to beat Monaco, with 0:4, which was a big success... even considering the current form, of Monaco...
    Another problem for Brugge here, is the current fact, that they have alot of players, who are very doubtful... for this game... 7 or 8 players.... are not really ready here, due small injuries

    Anyway.... conclusion....
    Dortmund to win & over 2.5 goals @ 1.74 (local)

    Anytime scorer Paco Alcacer @ 1.90 (local)

    Atletico Madrid - Monaco 
     

    Diego Simeone's men are clear favourites against the bottom side in Group A yet we should not expect them to run riot at the Wanda Metropolitano. 
    One of the biggest surprises in last season's Champions League saw Atletico Madrid fail to get out of the group stages.This year, though, Diego Simeone's men are in a strong position to make sure they qualify for the last 16 and Los Rojiblancos will book their place in the knockout stages with a win over Monaco.

    The Ligue 1 side have been in disastrous form this term and head to the Spanish capital second bottom of the French top flight, whilst they are also bottom of Group A after picking up just one point from a possible 12.
     

    Diego Costa is a doubt for the hosts after coming off at the weekend against Barcelona with a knock. Uruguayan centre-back pairing Diego Godin and Jose Maria Gimenez both missed the draw with the Catalans, although the latter has a chance of returning on Wednesday.

    Monaco have endured a whole host of injury problems this season, although they were boosted by the return of Radamel Falcao at the weekend and the Colombian should be fit to face his former club.
     

    There is little to make us oppose a home win, with Atletico clearly a superior outfit to a struggling Monaco.
    The hosts won 2-1 in France back on matchday one and in the 13 matches they have played since then, they have suffered just one defeat. Atleti should win on Wednesday yet, most of their victories come in relatively low scoring games.In 23 of the 26 matches they have won in their new stadium, fewer than four goals have been scored, with Atleti failing to score more than three goals in any of their last 18 matches in all competitions. 

    Atletico Madrid to win & under 3.5 goals @1.92 (local)
    Anytime scorer A.Griezmann @1.65 (local)

  9. Serbia - Montenegro

    Local derby.
    Serbia is at the top of the table with 8 points. Montenegro has 7, Romania 6. There are still two rounds left and with both victories Serbia will definitely win the group.

    The Serbian team has several absences, but there are players who will replace them. Montenegro also has a lot of injured players, but it will be much harder for them to replace them since they don`t have that much wide in their team.. This will be a big problem for the visitors.


    I usually do not bet on Serbia but in such circumstances I will. It's true that you never know with Serbia , but I think we are a better team, we play before the home fans and I expect a positive outcome.

    The first match in Podgorica ended 2-0 (Mitrovic scored a double) and I expect something similar today.

    Serbia to score in both half @2.35 (local)
    Anytime scorer Aleksandar Mitrovic @1.90 (local)

  10. Red Star travels to Paris where they will face the super-strong PSG side.
    The team and individual quality gap is just huge and I`m afraid of a big defeat.
    But the odds on handicap and goals Market are very low,so there is nothing interesting to me.

    I really like Dortmund tonight.
    After a disappointing campaign in Champions League last season they`ve made some changes in team,brought new players and made interesting mixture of young and experienced players. Under new coach Lucien Favre they look very solid
    at the beginning of the season.
     
    Monaco is going through some kind of transition.
    It's obvious that they are making a new, young team. There are still some familiar faces at Monaco like Falcao,Glik and Sidibe,but it`s not the same,strong team that reached the UCL semi-final couple years ago.
    Also, some important players missing for away team - Subasic, Rony Lopes and Jovetic.

    Dortmund looks really impressive upfront and in the final third of the pitch. With likes of Reus,Paco,Pulisic and Sancho they are sharp and clinical. I agree with @newjack - we could see some goals here as well  in this match.

    For me
    Dortmund&over 2.5 goals @1,80 (local)
    Anytime Scorer  Paco Alcacer  @1.90 (local)

    Double parlay
    Atletico Madrid & Dortmund @1,83  (local)


     

     

  11. Alright then..

    Crvena zvezda - Napoli

    So Red Star Belgrade,Rotern Stern or Stella Rossa di Belgrado is back where it`s belong - in top European competition.
    It's little strange that journey took so long,but there you go. Better late than ever i guess.

    In the first match of the group stage we will face Napoli, runners-up of the two consecutive seasons in Serie A.  A very strong team that you know quite a lot about so I will not waste my time writing too much about them.

    Match will be played in amazing atmosphere.

    Tickets are sold out for all three home matches so the Rajko Mitic Stadium will be packed with fans. The match will be attended by members of the Zvezda`s golden generation who won the Champions Cup in 1991 such as Dejan Savicevic,Robert Prosinecki, Sinisa Mihajlovic, Vladimir Jugovic,Darko Pancev etc. So it`s going to be quite a spectacle.

    The team is looking good,still without a defeat in season. In play-off round of qualifications we knocked-out Salzburg with 2-2 aggregate result on aways goals with both of my picks (Crvena zvezda AH2 +1  and CZ to qualify) winners.
    It is very important to mention that we finally have all players available. Lorenzo Ebicillio is back from injury,so is Jonathan Cafu who we signed from Bordeaux.

    On the last day of transfer window we lost Nemanja Radonjic who went  to Olimpique Marseille,
    but we bought three very good players - Causic, Boakye and Marin (former German internarional and former Chelsea player). All three of them are expected to start tomorrow. In particular, the return of Boakye is a significant reinforcement because Zvezda has stuggled a bit upfront.

    I saw Napoli in couple of occasions in this season. Even though they didn't change their squad at all i feel that they are in some kind of transition under new coach,legendary Carlo Ancelotti,trying to adopt to his ideas and football philosophy.
    Their backline look a little bit shaky and in this i see some chance for us to keep a tie tight and maybe even avoid a defeat,altough Napoli is stronger side with more quality.

    Initially i was going for AH1 (+2/+1,5) because i think this will be much closer than odds suggest,but odds has dropped significantly so i`ll try with more risky pick.
    Crvena zvezda to score over 0,5 team goals @1,85 

    With Boakye,Marin,Ben&co. i think we have enough firepower to score at least one goal.
    GL!

     

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