morphine_K

@sealebet
@rolandcooper
Guys I have deleted your posts as the KO Cup is on Saturday, not today.

200 Doncaster
Monbeg River 11/4 bet365
Not a lot of value about tomorrow but Monbeg River is big enough at 11/4 to warrant a bet. The favourite is Master Burbidge and I can see why as he won easily last time, he now has a penalty and that was a weak contest so I have my reason for opposing him here.
The selection ran a blinder at Wetherby first time back from a break and should be spot on now, the trip and the ground are ideal and the yard are just beginning to get going.
 

5.10 Kempton: Flavius Titus win

1.30: Min
    2.10: Douvan
    2.50: Un Temps Pour Tout
    3.30: Annie Power
    4.10: Vroum Vroum Mag
    4.50: Minella Rocco
    5.30: Killala Quay

3.15 Haydock : Peter Marsh Chase
 
Verdict:
Fingal Bay is the horse for the trend followers; he has the perfect rating, goes well on the ground and as been in decent form this season. He’s a bit short in the market really but you can’t ignore his chances in this company.
Of those a big bigger in the betting I like the chances of Seventh Sky from the Charlie Mann yard. He has been a very consistent chaser this season and I reckon there is more to come over tis kind of trip. He has a lot of weight and has been pretty busy but he seems to be a tough sort who can stand his racing and you need that for a race such as this. Katenko and Splash Of Ginge are others for the shortlist in what should be a fascinating contest.
 
Selections: 
Seventh Sky EW 14/1 Stan James
Fingal Bay 6/1 Paddy Power
 

2.40 Southwell
Appleby runs three in this and on jockey bookings Kelly’s Finest looks first string on her first run for this yard. She will no doubt pop up at some point around here knowing this yard however first time cheekpieces need to have a big effect to be winning given what she has shown thus far, remains a frustrating maiden.
Northside Prince has been well below his best for some time now but if recapturing his best form he is so well handicapped and although not won here has run well here.
Lexington Bay is a useful sort however he has been off the track since May and has just a fair record flat, but record here is eye catching 3 wins and 4 placed efforts from 9 starts likely to be thereabouts again.
That said Frosty Berry looks the one they all have to beat having won in impressive style on debut for this yard at Redcar over 2f further in first time hood, a 6lb rise still leaves her looking potentially well treated. Yet to try this surface but her liking for soft ground should stand her in good stead.

 
1pt win Frosty Berry 9/2 PP

Sprinter Sacre - 20 Runs with 14 Wins
Think i backed him all the 6 defeats  
Same with Kauto Star, first time i backed him he fell.

Sir Richard Johnson.........I salute that STUNNING ride in the 3:50 @ Wetherby
It's rides like that that keep me coming back for this DAM FINE game they call horse racing.

15:50 Wetherby
Full result
1st6 Village Vic (IRE)11/4 f2nd5 Upepito (FR)3/13rd3 Final Assault (IRE)11/2Winning TrainerP Hobbs Winning JockeyR Johnson

Hi all decided to start up another ratings thread for the upcoming jumps season 2015/16. Had done these ratings threads in the past and have worked pretty well so thought I'd post up again for the jumps season.

All bets will be 1pts win with BOG. 
 
 

Owner and trainer expecting a good run from X Raise in the 7.50 at Wolves tonight. 2 starts ago they tried the application of cheek-pieces and adopting front running tactics. This seems to have resulted in an upturn in form. Should also help that this is a classified stakes race rather than a handicap as X Raise carried bottom weight due to her age. Currently 9/1. Good luck if getting on.

Well done, mugged me on the line, What a Dream 

Well done, gave it a peach of a ride, backed it myself but could only get 11/2
But nice call 

6.10 Wolverhampton - Sunblazer @10 betway 
First of all, sorry Chris I have to go against you though I quite like this race
Brandon Castle, Cotton Clue and Moshe are the market leaders here, ran quite well last time out and could go on from that.
Sunblazer - from K Bailey yard that is in good form over jump, the horse has won here over 1m6f , and was beaten 10l flat race last time over 2m on tuft though the selection overall flat record is much better than his jumps especially he has run really well here, so if the market leaders fail to score today he must have a big chance and at 9s is good value.
 

Fourth Act in the 3.25 at Carlisle, 1/2 pt e/w 6/1 Stan James. Colin Tizzard send his runners on the long journey up from Dorset, and Fourth Act has to be reasonably good value in this poor race.

150 donc 
bigtime   98.98
withernsea   98.94
adams ale    98.91
predominance  98.86
 
interesting big hcap .predominance is fav ...lightly raced and possible improver but in a 22 runner race a 4/1 quote looks dire value  .... adams ale is quoted at 25/1 but hes best at 5f ....can stay 6f but this 7f is a huge question so no value even at big price .....bigtime and withernsea have good recent form ....have both recorded good speed ratings and look ready to run well ....prices of 12/1 and 14/1 are just what u want in such an open race ...nice value bets 
bigtime   2 pts ew  12/1 p.p
withernsea  2 pts ew 14/1 wh 

Nov 6th
MorphineK gets his deserved winner after some near misses
 

 
 

4.10 Southwell - Abonos @51 Bet365         
Ran prominently at the start on debut at Wolverhampton last month but reported hung right now tacking a straight 5f at Southwell so it might suit her better. No big priced winners at the course so far, it could be anything but with an angle to look at it might be the lucky last.

3.05 Asc - Fascinating Rock - win at 16/1 bog bet365
Champion Stakes - group one 10f
Over the last few years the older horses have dominated this race.......I suppose there might be a logic in that the top class 3yo have probably been on the go since the Guineas and Derby/Oaks trials in the spring which is a long season for young horses
The favourite is Jack Hobbs......he's won the Irish Derby and been beaten in the Derby and Dante. He's only been beaten by Golden Horn so he's probably pretty good and has been given a long break with just a easy run out at Kempton to tick him over. Probably ought to be favourite but there is a doubt over him coming back in trip as well as the long season
My selection is a 4yo who has won 4 times at group 3 level but been beaten when stepping up to higher grades. That is obviously a worry but on the plus side he ran the best race of his career last time out and might now be on an upward curve. I get the impression he was very highly regarded as a younger horse but never quite fulfilled his potential at 3. This looks to be his trip and his ground and he has a terrific turn of foot
 

12.45 Ascot - Flying Officer @ 15/2 Bet365
1.20 Ascot - Muhaarar @ 3/1 Bet365
2.30 Ascot - Solow @ 6/4 Bet365
 
Res: 1.55 Ascot - Arabian Queen @ 18/1 Bet365

Kempton 19.40 Dakota City 20/1 Coral
One win and a second place in 9 runs for Dakota City. Besides the positive return on level stakes and high average winnings per race due to the 16/1 priced win at Lingfield in July, nothing really stands out for this horse, but I am still not convinced the win was a lucky random thing. This might be the type of horse that only shows what it can when the odds are "conveniant" and nobody is expecting it... if you know what I mean...

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If you are a new member or just want to enter for the first time, simply post in the Daily NAPS thread for that day and you'll be included. The competition will be run each calendar month. The winner will be the tipster with the most accumulated profit over the month. Top 25 qualifiers will be automatically entered in the following months KO Cup.  If totals are level for any prizes the amount of winners selected takes precedence, then amount of bets placed).  1pt win or 0.50pts EW each day allowed. (Losses will be incurred for losers)(Win bet taken if not specified) STRICTLY no editing of posts containing tips, if you need to correct something do it in another post, any late edits will result in disqualification from the competition. 1 bet per day, Max. If a member posts twice the earliest one will count towards the competition unless it is a non runner. If a member selects more than one horse in the same post, it will be void (unless a reserve is stated). A minimum of 15 bets is required to qualify for any prizes in that particular month, including qualification for the followings months KO Cup. (NR's at Abandoned meetings do not count towards bet total) International races can be selected and early prices can be taken for them but If the international selection wins evidence must be provided in the form of a screen shot showing the selection, the price taken and the time the bet was placed. Selections must run no later than the time of the last race in UK or Ireland.  Reserves will be allowed in case of doubts about original selection running. All bets posted must be at least 5 mins before the race time (no exceptions) and include the Time, Course, Price and Selection. Early prices can be taken but must be available at the time of the post in the competition thread (with a leeway of 10 minutes), these will be checked against Odds-checker and if the price was not available then SP will be used. Bookies allowed: Bet365, BetVictor, Paddy Power, Betfair, William Hill, Betfred, Ladbrokes, Coral, Boylesports (All BOG for competition purposes). Prices can't be changed once posted and must be in the original post, the first price taken is the only one that will count, all edits can be seen by moderators. Any bets with no price quoted or eligible bookmaker stated will be taken at SP. No Exchange Prices are allowed. R4 5p and 10p will be waived for the purpose of the competition. If a R4 deduction takes the price less than the SP then the bet will revert to the SP. R4 will be taken from the William Hill results service. No conditional bets or special offers by any bookmaker will apply to the competition. On the final two days of the month anyone found posting a tactical selection (ie Copying) which gains an unfair advantage (whether that be to decide a prize winning opportunity or a Cup qualification place) will be penalised and that selection will be deemed a loser.  
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Final Table Punterpete wins the comp this week with a terrific total. :clap Jimmy gets second after a fine 25/1 winner, unfortunately the leader did the same horse at a price big enough to hang on. Soi Bongkot ends up in third spot. Can all winners contact Aidy with your following details; Skrill name, PL name and prize won. [email protected] £25: Punterpete £15: Jimmy £10: Soi Bongkot :ok [TABLE=border: 1, cellpadding: 1, cellspacing: 0, width: 376] [TR] [TD] [/TD] [TD=colspan: 3]Weekly Naps Competition - Week 18[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Pos:[/TD] [TD]Name[/TD] [TD]Todays Win[/TD] [TD]Total[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]PunterPete[/TD] [TD]Won 16/1[/TD] [TD=align: right]33.33[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Jimmy2shoes[/TD] [TD]Won 25/1[/TD] [TD=align: right]31.50[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3[/TD] [TD]Soi Bongkot[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD=align: right]12.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4[/TD] [TD]Barnsley Chop[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD=align: right]11.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]5[/TD] [TD]Trotter[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD=align: right]11.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]6[/TD] [TD]Jediknight[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD=align: right]10.45[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]7[/TD] [TD]Tipsterix[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD=align: right]9.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]8[/TD] [TD]Xtc12[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD=align: right]7.50[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]9[/TD] [TD]Striker[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD=align: right]4.50[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]Mr Benn[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD=align: right]3.50[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]11[/TD] [TD]Bluemal[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD=align: right]2.80[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]12[/TD] [TD]Sugardaddyken[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD=align: right]2.50[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]13[/TD] [TD]Woodys Way[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD=align: right]2.50[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

Final Table Helderjma hangs on to win the comp in what was a terrific week of big prices:clap Morphine and Bymatrix share second spot with 50/1 winners. Prizes £25: Helderjma £12.50: MorphineK £12.50: Bymatrix Can all winners pass on their details to Aidy at team@punterslounge He needs Skrill email, PL name and prize being claimed. [TABLE=border: 1, cellpadding: 1, cellspacing: 0, width: 409] [TR] [TD] [/TD] [TD=colspan: 3]Weekly Naps Competition - Week 16[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Pos:[/TD] [TD]Name[/TD] [TD]Todays Win[/TD] [TD]Total[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]Helderjma[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD=align: right]59.10[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]MorphineK[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD=align: right]50.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3[/TD] [TD]Bymatrix[/TD] [TD]Won 50/1[/TD] [TD=align: right]50.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4[/TD] [TD]Tedthewolf[/TD] [TD]Won 66/1 EW[/TD] [TD=align: right]41.25[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]5[/TD] [TD]Bathtime For Rupert[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD=align: right]40.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]6[/TD] [TD]Boulder5111[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD=align: right]28.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]7[/TD] [TD]Infinity[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD=align: right]20.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]8[/TD] [TD]Geeuppy[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD=align: right]11.25[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]9[/TD] [TD]Andymac[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD=align: right]10.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]Tipsterix[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD=align: right]6.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]11[/TD] [TD]Gbettle[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD=align: right]5.83[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]12[/TD] [TD]Trotter[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD=align: right]5.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]13[/TD] [TD]Procalc[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD=align: right]4.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]14[/TD] [TD]Btugero[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD=align: right]2.00[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]