Valiant Thor
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Posts posted by Valiant Thor
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1 minute ago, alexcaruso808 said:
@Valiant Thor, does your program take things like form, jockey, trainer RTF etc, into account?
Hi Alex
Firstly I do this for a hobby, its not my program (its just my data input)
Its a machine learning program in python that anyone can use, all I do is provide the data for it to read then it does its thing.
For the database input I use impact values for
Horse (win Ratio)
Horse (A/E)
Jockey (win Ratio)
Jockey (A/E)
Trainer (win Ratio)
Trainer (A/E)
Age
Course
Distance
Class
Runners- alexcaruso808 and MCLARKE
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Just looked at the 6.30 Ayr where it has Cathayensis as Ex_Odds of 24.50
Ran that race again and same returns
Seems the upload for that race must be corrupt somewhere as it has all the runners @ Ex_Odds of 24.50 and selected Cathayensis simply because its the 1st horse (no1)I'll leave it as previously posted as I cant see 1 runner making much difference win or lose.
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17 hours ago, MCLARKE said:
This is backed up by an analysis I have made up of the naps selections, Sunday shows the worst return with a ROI loss of -12% compared to -4% for the rest of the week.
This is also reflected if I split the week into 2, Sunday to Tuesday shows a loss of -7% whilst Wednesday to Saturday shows a profit of 29 points (0.2%).
I wouldn't say its the "days" that are the relevant factor , more likely to be the class of racing(lower class jocks/trainers/horses) running on these days because they cant get in the decent races @ the weekend . Lower Class greater variance
That is what I stated @ the beginning of this thread .
Atm Im using xgboost as the algorithm on default settings,it works using decision trees on the past data you've trained it with, then it compares that with the present data (daily races) and makes its decision then puts it into pandas (Not the black and white cute ones ? , but an excel like data frame
) this then sorts it into most likely winner by race and that is what I put up, the algorithm doesn't know or care whether its Sunday or Friday as long as you keep putting in new races it keeps giving out its assessment, in fact its worst day was 21/05/22 (Sat -12) and its best day was 22/05/22 (Sun 7.5) 
Some quite high price selections today which seem a bit strange but hey ho lets see how they go.
30/05/2022 08:56:10 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 0 13.15 Lingfield Cu Chulainn 9-10 6.31 7.50 1 17.15 Redcar So Grateful 10-11 6.35 4.50 2 18.00 Ayr Red Force One 9-6 2.46 3.00 3 18.10 Windsor Winnetka 8-11 3.61 17.00 4 18.30 Ayr Cathayensis 10-2 24.50 2.25 5 18.40 Windsor Just That Lord 8-9 4.59 10.00 6 19.10 Windsor Prejudice 8-11 4.46 11.00
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Flat season and we have 4 jumps meetings today, ,just about sums racing up ?
No selections today- MCLARKE, Wildgarden, alexcaruso808 and 2 others
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A nice a 6pts profit on the day to ep and a few of 2nd placed ones again ?
28/05/2022 20:18:18 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 Result sp ep_Profit cum_ep sp_Profit cum_sp 0 14.20 Haydock Forza Orta 8-4 5.50 4.50 l 3.75 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 14.40 Beverley Percy's Lad 10-3 3.22 4.33 l 3.00 -1 -2 -1 -2 2 15.39 Catterick Cragside 9-9 2.52 5.50 l 4.33 -1 -3 -1 -3 3 15.50 Beverley Ha Long Bay 9-1 4.81 9.00 l 9.00 -1 -4 -1 -4 4 16.05 Haydock Nationwide 9-5 4.00 5.50 l 6.50 -1 -5 -1 -5 5 16.10 Chelmsford Dubai Station 9-4 1.67 13.00 w 12.00 12 7 11 6 6 16.14 Catterick Yasmin From York 8-11 1.91 3.00 w 3.00 2 9 2 8 7 16.25 Beverley Miss Mulligan 9-8 4.86 7.00 l 4.00 -1 8 -1 7 8 17.20 Chelmsford Dors Toyboy 9-5 6.93 8.00 l 9.00 -1 7 -1 6 9 17.24 Catterick The Armed Man 9-8 4.44 7.00 l 11.00 -1 6 -1 5 Update: Today takes us back into the black with an overall profit of 4.95pts date selections winners return cum_ret yield cum_yield st_rate cum_st_rate 0 2022-05-18 9 3 3.50 3.50 0.39 0.39 0.33 0.33 1 2022-05-19 14 3 -1.00 2.50 -0.07 0.11 0.21 0.26 2 2022-05-20 11 2 0.75 3.25 0.07 0.10 0.18 0.24 3 2022-05-21 12 0 -12.00 -8.75 -1.00 -0.19 0.00 0.17 4 2022-05-22 5 3 7.50 -1.25 1.50 -0.02 0.60 0.22 5 2022-05-23 6 1 -2.00 -3.25 -0.33 -0.06 0.17 0.21 6 2022-05-24 8 3 6.50 3.25 0.81 0.05 0.38 0.23 7 2022-05-25 9 1 -6.75 -3.50 -0.75 -0.05 0.11 0.22 8 2022-05-26 11 2 -1.25 -4.75 -0.11 -0.06 0.18 0.21 9 2022-05-27 6 3 3.70 -1.05 0.62 -0.01 0.50 0.23 10 2022-05-28 10 2 6.00 4.95 0.60 0.05 0.20 0.23- MCLARKE, alexcaruso808, Wildgarden and 1 other
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10 for today , hope they're better than last Saturday's ?
28/05/2022 07:31:24Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 0 14.20 Haydock Forza Orta 8-4 5.50 4.50 1 14.40 Beverley Percy's Lad 10-3 3.22 4.33 2 15.39 Catterick Cragside 9-9 2.52 5.50 3 15.50 Beverley Ha Long Bay 9-1 4.81 9.00 4 16.05 Haydock Nationwide 9-5 4.00 5.50 5 16.10 Chelmsford Dubai Station 9-4 1.67 13.00 6 16.14 Catterick Yasmin From York 8-11 1.91 3.00 7 16.25 Beverley Miss Mulligan 9-8 4.86 7.00 8 17.20 Chelmsford Dors Toyboy 9-5 6.93 8.00 9 17.24 Catterick The Armed Man 9-8 4.44 7.00
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2 nr's 1 withdrawn not under orders and 1 due to races @ Haydock being abandoned left us with 6 races of which 3 won 2 2nd's 1 loser giving 3.7pts profit on the day
27/05/2022 21:15:30 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 Result sp ep_Profit cum_ep sp_Profit cum_sp 0 14.10 Brighton The Lamplighter 9-7 1.36 3.00 l 3.5 -1.0 -1.0 -1.0 -1.0 1 15.05 Chepstow Igotatext 8-6 3.25 9.00 l 7.0 -1.0 -2.0 -1.0 -2.0 2 15.55 Brighton Poetic Force 9-3 2.88 4.00 w 3.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 3 16.30 Carlisle Makeen 9-0 1.86 2.20 w 1.9 1.2 2.2 0.9 0.9 4 18.30 Pontefract Carnival Zain 9-6 3.05 3.25 l 4.0 -1.0 1.2 -1.0 -0.1 5 21.00 Pontefract Dream Composer 9-9 3.86 3.50 w 4.5 2.5 3.7 3.5 3.4 Update date selections winners return cum_ret yield cum_yield st_rate cum_st_rate 0 2022-05-18 9 3 3.50 3.50 0.39 0.39 0.33 0.33 1 2022-05-19 14 3 -1.00 2.50 -0.07 0.11 0.21 0.26 2 2022-05-20 11 2 0.75 3.25 0.07 0.10 0.18 0.24 3 2022-05-21 12 0 -12.00 -8.75 -1.00 -0.19 0.00 0.17 4 2022-05-22 5 3 7.50 -1.25 1.50 -0.02 0.60 0.22 5 2022-05-23 6 1 -2.00 -3.25 -0.33 -0.06 0.17 0.21 6 2022-05-24 8 3 6.50 3.25 0.81 0.05 0.38 0.23 7 2022-05-25 9 1 -6.75 -3.50 -0.75 -0.05 0.11 0.22 8 2022-05-26 11 2 -1.25 -4.75 -0.11 -0.06 0.18 0.21 9 2022-05-27 6 3 3.70 -1.05 0.62 -0.01 0.50 0.23 -
Surprised there's only 8 selections with all the Hcp races today, but it picks what it picks
A few strange ones but most seem fair selections, 5 seconds yesterday hope some change to winners today ?27/05/2022 08:46:29 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 0 14.10 Brighton The Lamplighter 9-7 1.36 3.00 1 14.55 Carlisle Havagomecca 9-8 5.12 6.50 2 15.05 Chepstow Igotatext 8-6 3.25 9.00 3 15.55 Brighton Poetic Force 9-3 2.88 4.00 4 16.30 Carlisle Makeen 9-0 1.86 2.20 5 18.30 Pontefract Carnival Zain 9-6 3.05 3.25 6 20.25 Haydock Hail Sezer 9-3 5.35 8.50 7 21.00 Pontefract Dream Composer 9-9 3.86 3.50
- Nigwilliam, MCLARKE and Wildgarden
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2 winners & 5 seconds today (sigh) for a loss of 1.25 pts from 11 selections
26/05/2022 20:36:32 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 Result sp ep_Profit cum_ep sp_Profit cum_sp 0 13.10 Haydock Dogged 9-10 5.50 5.00 l 3.50 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 1 13.50 Ripon El Jad 9-5 4.25 13.00 l 17.00 -1.00 -2.00 -1.00 -2.00 2 14.20 Ripon Shake A Leg 9-7 3.79 6.00 w 5.00 5.00 3.00 4.00 2.00 3 14.50 Ripon Forest Falcon 9-9 3.95 4.33 l 4.00 -1.00 2.00 -1.00 1.00 4 15.00 Yarmouth Flower Of Thunder 9-10 2.00 3.00 l 2.38 -1.00 1.00 -1.00 0.00 5 15.10 Haydock Sound Reason 9-5 5.09 3.75 w 2.63 2.75 3.75 1.63 1.63 6 16.05 Yarmouth Anglo Saxson 8-13 3.27 3.75 l 3.25 -1.00 2.75 -1.00 0.63 7 16.25 Ripon Birkenhead 9-9 2.20 1.53 l 15.00 -1.00 1.75 -1.00 -0.37 8 19.35 Carlisle Detective 9-4 3.85 1.83 l 2.25 -1.00 0.75 -1.00 -1.37 9 20.00 Sandown Inigo Jones 9-9 6.33 3.00 l 3.25 -1.00 -0.25 -1.00 -2.37 10 20.10 Carlisle Iolani 9-2 4.05 5.00 l 4.50 -1.00 -1.25 -1.00 -3.37 Update date selections winners return cum_ret yield cum_yield st_rate cum_st_rate 0 2022-05-18 9 3 3.50 3.50 0.39 0.39 0.33 0.33 1 2022-05-19 14 3 -1.00 2.50 -0.07 0.11 0.21 0.26 2 2022-05-20 11 2 0.75 3.25 0.07 0.10 0.18 0.24 3 2022-05-21 12 0 -12.00 -8.75 -1.00 -0.19 0.00 0.17 4 2022-05-22 5 3 7.50 -1.25 1.50 -0.02 0.60 0.22 5 2022-05-23 6 1 -2.00 -3.25 -0.33 -0.06 0.17 0.21 6 2022-05-24 8 3 6.50 3.25 0.81 0.05 0.38 0.23 7 2022-05-25 9 1 -6.75 -3.50 -0.75 -0.05 0.11 0.22 8 2022-05-26 11 2 -1.25 -4.75 -0.11 -0.06 0.18 0.21 -
11 For today
26/05/2022 10:22:59 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 0 13.10 Haydock Dogged 9-10 5.50 5.00 1 13.50 Ripon El Jad 9-5 4.25 13.00 2 14.20 Ripon Shake A Leg 9-7 3.79 6.00 3 14.50 Ripon Forest Falcon 9-9 3.95 4.33 4 15.00 Yarmouth Flower Of Thunder 9-10 2.00 3.00 5 15.10 Haydock Sound Reason 9-5 5.09 3.75 6 16.05 Yarmouth Anglo Saxson 8-13 3.27 3.75 7 16.25 Ripon Birkenhead 9-9 2.20 1.53 8 19.35 Carlisle Detective 9-4 3.85 1.83 9 20.00 Sandown Inigo Jones 9-9 6.33 3.00 10 20.10 Carlisle Iolani 9-2 4.05 5.00Its gone for a few Favs/2nd fave today
Hopefully claw back the 3.5pts deficit ? -
Beverley was abandoned so 9 selections ran with a loss of 6.75pts ?
25/05/2022 20:51:29 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 Result sp ep_Profit cum_ep sp_Profit cum_sp 0 13.40 Beverley Newgate Angel 9-10 4.25 5.00 l 8.0 -1.00 -1.00 -1 -1 1 13.50 Hamilton Tantastic 9-12 11.25 6.50 l 9.0 -1.00 -2.00 -1 -2 2 14.50 Hamilton Rose Bandit 9-2 4.18 11.00 l 15.0 -1.00 -3.00 -1 -3 3 15.10 Beverley Ron O 8-10 3.72 10.00 l 5.5 -1.00 -4.00 -1 -4 4 15.20 Hamilton Arrange 9-9 3.25 4.00 l 5.0 -1.00 -5.00 -1 -5 5 15.50 Hamilton Perfect Swiss 9-11 2.88 7.50 l 17.0 -1.00 -6.00 -1 -6 6 16.25 Hamilton Shine On Brendan 9-6 4.28 2.25 w 2.0 1.25 -4.75 1 -5 7 18.25 Ripon Young Tiger 8-9 3.39 6.50 l 12.0 -1.00 -5.75 -1 -6 8 20.30 Ripon Mokaman 9-9 5.19 12.00 l 17.0 -1.00 -6.75 -1 -7 Update date selections winners return cum_ret yield cum_yield st_rate cum_st_rate 0 2022-05-18 9 3 3.50 3.50 0.39 0.39 0.33 0.33 1 2022-05-19 14 3 -1.00 2.50 -0.07 0.11 0.21 0.26 2 2022-05-20 11 2 0.75 3.25 0.07 0.10 0.18 0.24 3 2022-05-21 12 0 -12.00 -8.75 -1.00 -0.19 0.00 0.17 4 2022-05-22 5 3 7.50 -1.25 1.50 -0.02 0.60 0.22 5 2022-05-23 6 1 -2.00 -3.25 -0.33 -0.06 0.17 0.21 6 2022-05-24 8 3 6.50 3.25 0.81 0.05 0.38 0.23 7 2022-05-25 9 1 -6.75 -3.50 -0.75 -0.05 0.11 0.22 -
9 minutes ago, richard-westwood said:
Abandoned....bummer
Shooo in as well
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20 minutes ago, richard-westwood said:
Replace with bavarges
?
25/05/2022 13:45:24 Time Meeting Horse 0 16.15 Beverley Crown Princess 9-7 1 16.15 Beverley Bavardages 8-4 2 16.15 Beverley Jewel Maker 9-0
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A few to look @ today (12)
Hope its not an off day as there's quite a diverse range of horses in there by the look of the expected odds & early odds25/05/2022 09:11:41 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 0 13.40 Beverley Newgate Angel 9-10 4.25 5.00 1 13.50 Hamilton Tantastic 9-12 11.25 6.50 2 14.50 Hamilton Rose Bandit 9-2 4.18 11.00 3 15.10 Beverley Ron O 8-10 3.72 10.00 4 15.20 Hamilton Arrange 9-9 3.25 4.00 5 15.50 Hamilton Perfect Swiss 9-11 2.88 7.50 6 16.15 Beverley Crown Princess 9-7 5.17 4.00 7 16.25 Hamilton Shine On Brendan 9-6 4.28 2.25 8 16.48 Beverley Motarajel 9-11 7.12 10.00 9 17.20 Beverley Martin's Brig 9-8 3.54 7.00 10 18.25 Ripon Young Tiger 8-9 3.39 6.50 11 20.30 Ripon Mokaman 9-9 5.19 12.00 -
Back in profit
24/05/2022 19:34:54 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 Result sp ep_Profit cum_ep sp_Profit 0 13.15 Bath Bobby Kennedy 9-7 4.25 3.75 l 4.33 -1.0 -1.0 -1.00 1 14.20 Bath Vape 10-2 3.95 5.50 l 5.50 -1.0 -2.0 -1.00 2 15.50 Bath Magical Dragon 9-5 5.81 9.00 l 6.00 -1.0 -3.0 -1.00 3 16.35 Lingfield Sundayinmay 8-10 3.79 3.50 w 3.50 2.5 -0.5 2.50 4 16.55 Bath Owen Little 9-6 5.14 3.50 l 3.00 -1.0 -1.5 -1.00 5 17.00 Newcastle Stand Free 9-9 6.05 4.00 l 3.20 -1.0 -2.5 -1.00 6 17.30 Newcastle Sagauteur 9-9 4.19 4.00 w 4.33 3.0 0.5 3.33 7 19.00 Newcastle Scottish Summit 9-9 4.04 7.00 w 10.00 6.0 6.5 9.00 Update date selections winners return cum_ret yield cum_yield st_rate cum_st_rate 0 2022-05-18 9 3 3.50 3.50 0.39 0.39 0.33 0.33 1 2022-05-19 14 3 -1.00 2.50 -0.07 0.11 0.21 0.26 2 2022-05-20 11 2 0.75 3.25 0.07 0.10 0.18 0.24 3 2022-05-21 12 0 -12.00 -8.75 -1.00 -0.19 0.00 0.17 4 2022-05-22 5 3 7.50 -1.25 1.50 -0.02 0.60 0.22 5 2022-05-23 6 1 -2.00 -3.25 -0.33 -0.06 0.17 0.21 6 2022-05-24 8 3 6.50 3.25 0.81 0.05 0.38 0.23Took sp for Ep on Sundayinmay as prices on some sites said there were only 2 runners including B365 odds so they were all over the place.
- alexcaruso808, MCLARKE, Wildgarden and 1 other
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8 victims for today
24/05/2022 07:56:26 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 0 13.15 Bath Bobby Kennedy 9-7 4.25 3.75 1 14.20 Bath Vape 10-2 3.95 5.50 2 15.50 Bath Magical Dragon 9-5 5.81 9.00 3 16.35 Lingfield Sundayinmay 8-10 3.79 5.50 4 16.55 Bath Owen Little 9-6 5.14 3.50 5 17.00 Newcastle Stand Free 9-9 6.05 4.00 6 17.30 Newcastle Sagauteur 9-9 4.19 4.00 7 19.00 Newcastle Scottish Summit 9-9 4.04 7.00
- justanotherpunter, MCLARKE, Wildgarden and 1 other
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1 winner couple of placed and a nr ? 23/05/2022 19:56:11 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 Result sp ep_Profit sp_Profit cum_ep cum_sp 0 14.10 Wolverhampton Plansina 9-6 4.54 6.5 l 4.50 -1 -1.00 -1 -1.00 1 14.50 Leicester Sucellus 9-6 5.94 12.0 l 7.50 -1 -1.00 -2 -2.00 2 15.10 Wolverhampton Autonomy 9-2 2.63 4.0 w 2.88 3 1.88 1 -0.12 3 15.40 Wolverhampton Arzaak 9-1 5.06 10.0 l 15.00 -1 -1.00 0 -1.12 4 19.10 Windsor Sweet Reward 9-8 5.79 5.0 l 4.50 -1 -1.00 -1 -2.12 5 19.40 Windsor Uncle Dick 9-4 6.75 6.0 l 4.33 -1 -1.00 -2 -3.12 6 20.15 Windsor No Such Luck 9-9 5.18 8.0 nr 0.00 0 0.00 -2 -3.12-2 pts today ☹️
update
date selections winners strikerate return cum_ret yield cum_yield 0 2022-05-18 9 3 0.33 3.50 3.50 0.39 0.39 1 2022-05-19 14 3 0.21 -1.00 2.50 -0.07 0.11 2 2022-05-20 11 2 0.18 0.75 3.25 0.07 0.10 3 2022-05-21 12 0 0.00 -12.00 -8.75 -1.00 -0.19 4 2022-05-22 5 3 0.60 7.50 -1.25 1.50 -0.02 5 2022-05-23 6 1 0.17 -2.00 -3.25 -0.33 -0.06
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7 to look @ today
23/05/2022 08:46:24 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 0 14.10 Wolverhampton Plansina 9-6 4.54 6.5 1 15.10 Wolverhampton Autonomy 9-2 2.63 4.0 2 15.40 Wolverhampton Arzaak 9-1 5.06 10.0 3 14.50 Leicester Sucellus 9-6 5.94 12.0 4 19.10 Windsor Sweet Reward 9-8 5.79 5.0 5 19.40 Windsor Uncle Dick 9-4 6.75 6.0 6 20.15 Windsor No Such Luck 9-9 5.18 8.0
Sorted runners by time
23/05/2022 10:06:07 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 0 14.10 Wolverhampton Plansina 9-6 4.54 6.5 1 14.50 Leicester Sucellus 9-6 5.94 12.0 2 15.10 Wolverhampton Autonomy 9-2 2.63 4.0 3 15.40 Wolverhampton Arzaak 9-1 5.06 10.0 4 19.10 Windsor Sweet Reward 9-8 5.79 5.0 5 19.40 Windsor Uncle Dick 9-4 6.75 6.0 6 20.15 Windsor No Such Luck 9-9 5.18 8.0
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Update
22/05/2022 18:45:33 date selections winners strikerate return cum_ret yield cum_yield 0 2022-05-18 9 3 0.33 3.50 3.50 0.39 0.39 1 2022-05-19 14 3 0.21 -1.00 2.50 -0.07 0.11 2 2022-05-20 11 2 0.18 0.75 3.25 0.07 0.10 3 2022-05-21 12 0 0.00 -12.00 -8.75 -1.00 -0.19 4 2022-05-22 5 3 0.60 7.50 -1.25 1.50 -0.02 -
22/05/2022 18:26:11 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 Result sp ep_Profit sp_Profit cum_ep cum_sp 0 14.30 Nottingham Dark Shift 9-0 4.06 2.87 w 4.00 1.87 3.00 1.87 3.00 1 15.40 Nottingham Four Adaay 9-3 5.58 3.00 w 2.88 2.00 1.88 3.87 4.88 2 16.10 Nottingham Hackberry 8-9 3.82 8.00 nr 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.87 4.88 3 17.05 York Mostawaa 9-0 8.88 21.00 l 26.00 -1.00 -1.00 2.87 3.88 4 17.35 York Hyperfocus 8-10 10.38 23.00 l 21.00 -1.00 -1.00 1.87 2.88 5 18.05 York Evaluation 9-5 9.04 8.50 w 8.50 7.50 7.50 9.37 10.38
got some of yesterdays debacle back
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14 minutes ago, MCLARKE said:
Do you test this on previous year's data ?
I wouldn't be too concerned about 1 day's poor resuts, just randomness of numbers.
Its tested on 10yrs data
Yes, 1 days poor results can be put down to statistical variance , but only if derived from the same model, ATM I dont know if it was variance or due to dropping Runners from the model.
Its not the point about 1 days data its that I made a change in the way the data was read ,making any change can effect the output when modelling ,when I ran it through LazyPredict it gave different models for with and without Runners which points toward that being a possible problem. -
Ran a couple of tests this morning to see if I could suss why it performed so badly yesterday
I noticed that when I dropped Runners to clean up the printout I also dropped it from being evaluated from the main dataset as well
Running a tests through both Dabl & LazyPredict showed I should run it through different models if dropping Runners from the dataset
so Ive turned it back on in the dataset and see how it goes. ( a bit trial & error atm but has to be done)lets see how today's fare (at least there's only 6 that can lose today)
22/05/2022 11:15:15 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 0 14.30 Nottingham Dark Shift 9-0 4.06 2.87 1 15.40 Nottingham Four Adaay 9-3 5.58 3.00 2 16.10 Nottingham Hackberry 8-9 3.82 8.00 3 17.05 York Mostawaa 9-0 8.88 21.00 4 17.35 York Hyperfocus 8-10 10.38 23.00 5 18.05 York Evaluation 9-5 9.04 8.50
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Well today went down like a lead balloon ☹️
12 runners 12 losers 1 nr
21/05/2022 20:38:40
Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 Result sp ep_Profit sp_Profit cum_ep cum_sp 0 13.40 York Northern Express 9-2 6.04 6.00 l 4.33 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 14.00 Haydock Haveyoumissedme 8-9 6.90 12.00 l 6.5 -1 -1 -2 -2 2 14.28 Musselburgh Uccello 8-9 3.21 5.00 l 7.5 -1 -1 -3 -3 3 14.50 Goodwood Secret Shadow 8-4 5.54 5.50 l 5.5 -1 -1 -4 -4 4 14.55 York Look Out Louis 8-13 5.55 6.50 l 5.5 -1 -1 -5 -5 5 15.38 Musselburgh Vindobala 8-13 5.32 4.33 l 3 -1 -1 -6 -6 6 16.20 Haydock Justcallmepete 9-11 6.39 3.50 nr nr 0 0 0 0 7 16.35 Goodwood Sir Henry Cotton 9-2 6.04 5.50 l 4.33 -1 -1 -1 -7 8 16.48 Musselburgh Aquamas 9-9 9.83 3.00 l 3.25 -1 -1 -2 -8 9 16.55 Haydock Uncle Jumbo 8-13 4.95 23.00 l 15 -1 -1 -3 -9 10 17.15 York Tamaska 9-4 9.89 5.50 l 4.33 -1 -1 -4 -10 11 17.23 Musselburgh The Gloaming 9-10 4.28 4.50 l 3.75 -1 -1 -5 -11 12 19.15 Lingfield Latent Heat 10-3 6.08 11.00 l 17 -1 -1 -6 -12P&L Update
21/05/2022 20:41:00 date selections winners strikerate return cum_ret yield cum_yield 0 2022-05-18 9 3 0.33 3.50 3.50 0.39 0.39 1 2022-05-19 14 3 0.21 -1.00 2.50 -0.07 0.11 2 2022-05-20 11 2 0.18 0.75 3.25 0.07 0.10 3 2022-05-21 12 0 0.00 -12.00 -8.75 -1.00 -0.19- Wildgarden and MCLARKE
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Putting tomorrows up now as Im out early doors and for most of the day tomorrrow
Lucky 13 selections
20/05/2022 23:38:58 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 0 13.40 York Northern Express 9-2 6.04 6.00 1 14.00 Haydock Haveyoumissedme 8-9 6.90 12.00 2 14.28 Musselburgh Uccello 8-9 3.21 5.00 3 14.50 Goodwood Secret Shadow 8-4 5.54 5.50 4 14.55 York Look Out Louis 8-13 5.55 6.50 5 15.38 Musselburgh Vindobala 8-13 5.32 4.33 6 16.20 Haydock Justcallmepete 9-11 6.39 3.50 7 16.35 Goodwood Sir Henry Cotton 9-2 6.04 5.50 8 16.48 Musselburgh Aquamas 9-9 9.83 3.00 9 16.55 Haydock Uncle Jumbo 8-13 4.95 23.00 10 17.15 York Tamaska 9-4 9.89 5.50 11 17.23 Musselburgh The Gloaming 9-10 4.28 4.50 12 19.15 Lingfield Latent Heat 10-3 6.08 11.00
Handicaps
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted · Edited by Valiant Thor
its all automated
The hardest part is getting all the data together and getting it mistake free after that the learning algorithm part is quite easy .
learn the basics on Kaggle for xg boost or gradient boosting (they give you the data bases to try and step you through the learning process ) test it out with there parameters when its working ok , put your data in instead of theirs an play around thats all I did .
You used to be able to get daily racecards in excel format from HERE (I think you need to log in but still free I think)
then manipulate them how you want with a bit of VBA then save as a .csv (uses less space than an excel file I think)
Thats half the job done