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Posts posted by four-leaf
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1 hour ago, harry_rag said:
29/10 Forsberg for Sweden also; seems to score more like a striker than a midfielder when playing for the National team.
As the match is going on now and it's 0-3 for us (Sweden) it might happen to be a case of being satisfied and Forsberg get's substituted in second half. To bad if it happens otherwise I'd say it's certainly a wise bet beforehand.
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I'm also gonna add Murphy/Mertens over 7.5 frames at 2.33 with Unibet
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Ben Mertens (+2.5 frames) to beat Shaun Murphy at evens with Unibet
Here's my contribution for tonight. Belive it or not but Mertens who's 18 already has taken Murphy to the brink of defeat in last years CL and I belive in this Belgian guy. Leclerq didn't win today and so will Ben fail or impress? I think he's gonna impress the shit out of us and Murphy.
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@CzechPunter tagging along on Peyton
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Linda Noskova to beat Ons Jabeur at 2.45 with Unibet
I can see an upset here. Partly because Ons isn't likely to defend every point earned and she is under pressure to keep delivering. Noskova doesn't have to same kind of pressure and can play freely and she also defeated Ons in Adelaide 9 months ago.
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15 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
Daria Kasatkina (-3.5) to beat Sofia Kenin at 1.83 with Bet365
Yafan Wang (-2.5) to beat Katie Boulter at 1.86 with Unibet
Two favorites that I trust a lot here. Kasatkina has been much better than Kenin all year long, and Bogdan could've easily taken Kenin out in the last round were it not for nerves. Kasatkina should have no such problems, and I also expect Wang, who is on an incredible winning streak at the moment, to beat the ever-shaky Boulter.
By all means @CzechPunter I think you're wrong on Kenin, perhaps you missed out on her raise of level and I noticed she had the same determination as when she won AO20. Kenin could have turned a serious corner this week and Kasatkina you say has been better all year long. Well you can't live on past merits. Now is what matters not how both played last 6 months.
- CzechPunter and lelit
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16 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
Kaja Juvan to beat Lauren Davis at 2.10 with Bet365
I saw both Juvan and Davis in round one, and I'm not quite sure why Juvan should be the underdog in this one. She looked better, fit, and confident from the qualifying, while Davis looked a bit unfit and struggled to get going against Kovinic, she also seemed to be limited by some sort of a niggle, with her arm being covered in a bandage. I like Juvan at odds against.
As the match has got going now I see some tendency with Juvan to bottle som games already after 1 game and Davis is the one with the better groundstrokes
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@matrixman it's even under 36.5 which means you should sit relatively safe even if Ramos grabs a set.
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24 minutes ago, matrixman said:
Wow entire world on vera now..i liked her bigtime at +190 but pass now..
Also like Strycova today..parks a sprinkle,friedsam a sprinkle,bogdan too
men..pella,van de schulp,vukic a sprinkle(man he has come on in summer,grab a set is a good bet),de alboran, humbert alot,
Disagree on ramos..think he gets a set here..
but thank you all for your imput!
Under 35.5 means Ramos may have a set but no more. Even if Ramos grabs a set it could go under.
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9 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
Ana Bogdan to beat Sofia Kenin at 2.43 with Unibet
It's Sofia, not Sonja, @four-leaf, but otherwise I agree :).
Clara Burel to beat Caroline Dolehide at 1.60 with Unibet
Dolehide has been underperforming all season long, really, while Burel is basically at her career-best rankings-wise, which tells a story. The recent form book is also on Burel's side here.
Vera Zvonareva to beat Yanina Wickmayer at 2.55 with Unibet
Ideally you'd take this with a one-ball bookie, but a one-set bookie will have to do for me here. Wickmayer has a chronic back issue, and she was crying with pain in the final qualifying round, getting through only as a lucky loser after retiring in set one of that showdown. Zvonareva looked fair enough on her own as well, so I'm quite surprised by the odds here.
I have avoided Wickmayer just because I'm also surprised by the odds and I don't really dare touching Vera. Acctually it's both Sonja and Sofia if you want to go by what she calls herself. It's like Cori Gauff and Coco Gauff. I also agree on Burel.
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Quentin Halys to beat (-1.5 sets) Benjamin Bonzi at 2.05
Bonzi is no more a name to count on. His form has kept going down for several months. Halys always had Bonzis number. Has beaten him 3 times without a fuzz and no loss of a set in best of 3. Now this is best of 5 and since it is a grand slam things can change but still I do expect Halys to get the job done in less than 5 sets.
Christopher O'connell to beat (+5.5 games) Max Purcell at 1.53
@CzechPunter has already said last week that Max will probably be to tired for USO and even if I belive Purcell might lose this I play it safe and go for +5.5.
Daniel Altmaier to beat (-1.5 sets) Constant Lestienne at 2.43
Lestienne never was the type of player to succeed as a player inside top 100. He had his best season of his career last year but this season when he's played less challengers he's shown that he isn't talented enough for top 100. I can't pick this frenchman to win 2 sets or more, it would be illogical when his opponent is 7 years younger, more talented and has shown he can beat difficult players on ATP level.
Albert Ramos/Alex Michelsen under 36.5 games at 1.87
Don't see how Ramos will have anything to say here. Michelsen is a serious hardcourt and grass talent and top 100 is waiting for him. Ramos is mostly focusing on clay nowadays and likely comes to Flushing without ambitions bigger than picking up the round 1 cash.
Ana Bogdan to beat Sonja Kenin at 2.43
Bogdan is doing better than Sonja now and has been since last season. Kenin hasn't played since Wimby and even lost her only hardcourt matchup with Bogdan in 3 sets. Kenin hasn't done well for a long time and her low odds is probably because of her name. Bogdan is the better player at this stage of these two players careers.
Daniil Medvedev/Attila Balazs under 24.5 games at 1.58
It's very likely that Attila who's best surface is clay where he doesn't even win anything nowadays will get blown off the court. I see no reason why Meddy can't win this 6-3 6-2 6-1 at the very least.
Six-fold at 54.72 with Unibet
- CzechPunter and ThunderDan9
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Well SST wins her second International WTA title by frustrating Alexandrova with clever returns and loads of grit. To bad I had to blow all my wins away from yesterday on snooker but my decision to back SST big proved to be a fortunate choice and I'm in the green for the week..
- amity and CzechPunter
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Alright it's 4 all rn and Sorribes serving for 5-4.. Deja vú?
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9 minutes ago, Torque said:
You can't be surprised @four-leaf I'd have thought just this sort of thing would have been in your thoughts when you backed Sorribes Tormo. This is fairly standard Alexandrova stuff whether she wins or loses and as you say you're wanting her to lose.
I guess you're right, Alexandrova hasn't been much different from how she usually is...
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Alexandrova probably will stand for the biggest mental breakdown performance this week just before USO
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Painful to see from some point of view but I guess it's welcome for me..
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Errors are coming from left and right from Alexandrova, she's really lost her head..
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Geez, Alexandrova is falling apart like a house of cards.. Not impossible Sorribes turns it around.
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Since losing a lot on snooker today I'll make this quick..
I'm going big on Sorribes tonight starting in 5min.
Sara Sorribes Tormo to beat Ekaterina Alexandrova at 2.25 with Unibet
Simple outright win for Sara is what I fully expect. Done all in earlier on snooker so everything from Mirjam yesterday was lost so new deposit.
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This match turned out to be a dissaster for me
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One last stupid in-play then..
Going all-in Higgins -1.5 frames again at 1.81 with Unibet
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Ok that didn't go according to plan
Gonna try one more in-play
Higgins to win frame 7 at 2.00 with Unibet
The frame handicap at poor odds is still pending so I'll try to cover the losses on last 2 bets.
Tennis Tips - September 18 - September 24
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted
Thanks Czech I do a double on that