buga00

Here are the tables after week 4.  Lower leagues seem to be winning at the moment.
If anyone spots any errors please let me know.

 

 

 

 

It has been a good couple of weeks with plenty of big price winners landed. Hopefully that can continue on Saturday as I have 7 bets across the divisions.
Chesterfield v Woking
The home side went ahead via a penalty on Tuesday night, but Hartlepool got 2 goals back to give us a winning selection and I am going to oppose Chesterfield again here. Woking have made a really good start to the season winning both games and they are making a similar start to the one they made last season. They deservedly beat Solihull and then put in the perfect away performance when beating Weymouth on Tuesday 1-0. That came from a set piece and they were dangerous from those all night. I can see them causing Chesterfield issues here and they look over priced at 12/5 to make it 3/3.
Dagenham & Redbridge v Wealdstone
This is the live game on BT Sport and I think the away side are a big price at 16/5. Dagenham have to be disappointed with their efforts so far. They weren't great at Halifax last week when losing 2-0 and then they lost 2-1 to Barnet having taken the lead. Granted they were down to 10 men, but given Barnet had been stuffed by Eastleigh on the opening day of the season that was not good. They should be capable of better, but clearly there are gelling issues at the moment. Wealdstone's opening day game was called off, but on Tuesday they got a very good point at Yeovil in a 2-2 draw. I think they will fancy their chances here given Dagenham have been misfiring.
Maidenhead v Hartlepool
Kings Lynn left it late to beat Maidenhead as they came from behind twice and then added the winner in injury time, but Maidenhead's two goals came from penalties and it was a deserved win for the away side in the end. Hartlepool are already shortening for this game and it is no real surprise and I think they should be odds on to make it 3/3 against a Maidenhead side who look set to struggle this season.
Solihull Moors v Kings Lynn
Happy to stick with Kings Lynn again here. They have now scored 5 goals in their 2 games and although Solihull beat Wrexham on Tuesday night, they didn't perform great and as mentioned above they were poor against Woking. Kings Lynn are full of goals and I think they have a much better chance than the odds of 15/4 suggest.
Blyth Spartans v AFC Telford
Blyth would have gone down if the season had ended and even after 1 game it already looks like they could be in trouble this time around. They were easily beaten 4-0 at Guiseley on Tuesday night and with Telford impressing in a 3-0 win over Brackley this ought to be an away win. Telford do seem to have strengthened well over the break and they could be outside candidates for the play-offs.
Enfield Town v Leatherhead (Pitching In Isthmian Premier)
Not sue why Leatherhead are such a big price here. Take out the 7-0 horror show against Bowers & Pitsea and they are having a good season so far and it was a superb effort to edge out Worthing in a 7 goal thriller on Tuesday night. Enfield had two easy games to start the season, but their weakness are showing in their last two games losing 4-1 and 5-2. 21/10 looks a big price for an away win.
Hednesford v Stratford
Just a handful of games into a 3 year contract and Hednesford decide to to sack Andy Morrell. That's a surprise, but they have had a shocking start to the season. They have 1 point, scored just once and conceded 9 goals in 4 league games. That is not good and Stratford have won 3 of their 4 league games having scored 9 goals in the process. Their one defeat came to current top of the table Needham Market and I am happy to take the 7/5 about them beating a Hednesford needing a manager.
Woking 1pt @ 12/5 with Bet365
Wealdstone 1pt @ 16/5 with William Hill
Hartlepool 2.5pts @ 6/5 with BetVictor
Kings Lynn 1pt @ 15/4 with William Hill
AFC Telford 2.5pts @ 11/8 with Betfred
Leatherhead 1pt @ 21/10 with Betfred
Stratford 2pts @ 7/5 with Bet365

correct @avongirl

PSG to win @1.12
Bayern Munich game  over 2,5 GOALS , YES @1.25
Celtic to win @1.27
108,00£  on this treble please.
 
thanks
 

Great to land another big number on Saturday with Eastleigh romping to a 5-1 victory over Barnet. Barnet were the team I wanted to back to go down, but there is still no sign of prices sadly and obviously it would be shorter than it would have been after that defeat. Games are going to come thick and fast now and I have 3 bets in the National League plus one bet in the National League South as the Step 2 get their seasons underway after their FA Cup games on Saturday.
Chesterfield v Hartlepool
I was keen to oppose Chesterfield on Saturday and I am keen to oppose them again. I think missing out on playing on Saturday could be a negative thing as it extends the amount of time since they last played a competitive game and Hartlepool got their eye in on Saturday when beating Aldershot 2-1. They certainly look the stronger side on paper and they played pretty well at the weekend. As I mentioned in Saturday's preview Chesterfield have only played 3 friendlies and they look underprepared for the start of the season.
Maidenhead v Kings Lynn
Maidenhead were poor on Saturday as they lost 3-0 to Sutton and as much as Alan Devonshire always seems to work his magic in getting them to survive he could struggle to do that this time around. They survived by less than a point on PPG last season and there is a strong chance they would have gone down if the season continued. I thought Kings Lynn did well on Saturday against Yeovil and it showed great character to come back from a goal down twice. They carry plenty of threat up front and I think the Maidenhead defence could struggle to contain them. I am really surprised they are as big as 14/5 as I would have it at least a point shorter.
Solihull v Wrexham
Solihull were outplayed by Woking on Saturday and that has to be a concern going forward and they face a really tough first home game of the season against Wrexham. Wrexham had a tough first home game themselves against a very good Boreham Wood side and they edged it 2-1 and I certainly think they will have a better season they did last time around. Indeed, this game seems to be priced up on last seasons form rather than what happened on Saturday and their respective squads. 12/5 looks a big price about an away win.
Maidstone v Welling
Welling suffered a big cup upset on Saturday losing 2-0 to Sheppey a team 3 leagues below them. That is hardly a good start to the season and they could struggle here against a Maidstone side who beat Dover 3-0 in their last pre-season friendly game and won at Hendon in the FA Cup on Saturday. I wouldn't want to chase the price down too much, but it really would take some turn around from Welling's effort at the weekend to get an opening day 3 points here.
Hartlepool 2pts @ 15/8 with Bet365
Kings Lynn 2pts @ 14/5 with Bet365
Wrexham 1pt @ 12/5 with Bet365
Maidstone 2pts @ Evs with Bet365

St Ives v Lowestoft ( Southern Premier Central)
Adding Lowestoft to the bets after being alerted to the fact that the St Ives manager has tested positive for Covid and that at least 6 players are showing symptoms and have taken tests although wont find out the results until Wednesday. At this stage the league are forcing St Ives to play the game, which quite frankly is crazy in my view, although I guess they might see sense tomorrow and call the game off. Anyway if it does go ahead clearly St Ives are going to be pretty weak and I guess hey might even struggle to get a whole team out, but that is only a guess at this stage.
Lowestoft 2pts @ 5/4 with Betfred

At this stage we don't have any prices for the FA Cup matches which sees the Step 2 sides make their seasonal return so at the moment the focus is on the opening day of the National League season and I have one bet at Step 3.
Barnet v Eastleigh
There is been huge changes at Barnet since they lost to Notts County in the play-offs in July. There has been a change in manager as well as big changes in the squad. Peter Beadle is the new manager which was a surprising choice. I know he used to play for them, but he hasn't managed since Hereford sacked him a couple of years ago and it does strike me as if Barnet have gone for the cheap option. They are one club we know have suffered badly with the current situation and the squad doesn't look a strong one. I am surprised they have been given odds on quotes for this game. I don't think Eastleigh are going to be going to promotion or anything like that, but to me they have the better side on paper and haven't had such a rushed preparation for the new season. They look a good price at 14/5.
Halifax v Dagenham & Redbridge
Halifax had an amazing season last time around as they defied those of us who thought they would go down by reaching the play-offs although I think they were fortunate in that regard that PPG was used. I can't see them repeating that feat this season and they look a bottom half side to me. Dagenham will be hoping to be in and around the play-offs and they have a squad capable of doing that especially with McCallum up front who is always going to be a threat. 2/1 looks a good price in my view.
Wealdstone v Chesterfield
In some ways it is a shame that Chesterfield are playing Wealdstone on the opening day because I think Wealdstone will struggle this season, but Chesterfield are coming into this season under prepared. They have only played 3 friendlies and some of their players haven't even got a 90 minutes in their legs. It could take them a few games for them to get into gear. Also the manager didn't seem overly happy with the squad he has as he talked about it would be great if they could get more players in, but money is tight. Wealdstone caused a bit of a shock by winning National League South last season, but they deserved it. I like their manager and it will be interesting to see how he gets on for the first time at this level. They have signed Maldon & Tiptree's frontline from last season and although that is 3 steps below this one they did look class players as they showed in the FA Cup so I think they can prove up to this level. It does also show though that they are having to look to promote players up the levels which might not be good for their long term prospects. This though is a good time to be playing Chesterfield and they are good enough to beat them on Saturday.
Enfield v Kingstonian
Fair to say that even after just 3 games that I am not massively liking my bet on Kingstonian for the title. They lost to both Cray and Worthing by 4 goals although they played well in defeat to Horsham in the FA Cup and did get a last minute winner on Wednesday night. Hopefully that 3 points will give them a boost going into this game. Enfield did win their first two games, but I think they got lucky with who they played and they were undone by Bishops Stortford in midweek. To me there shouldn't be as big a difference as there is in the prices so the away side have to be a bet at 100/30.
Eastleigh 1pt @ 14/5 with Bet365
Dagenham & Redbridge 2pts @ 2/1 with Bet365
Wealdstone 1pt @ 8/5 with Bet365
Kingstonian 1pt @ 10/3 with Betfred

Decent profit on Saturday so hopefully more of the same of Tuesday night where I have 5 bets across the 4 Pitching In divisions.
Grantham v Stafford
Going to try Grantham again here despite the loss on Saturday. Stafford have lost both their first two games and are struggling to get going at the start of the season. Obviously it wasn't great that Grantham lost, but it was a late penalty which meant Atherton got the win and they do look stronger than the away side here.
Gainsborough v Whitby
Warrington were one of the winners on Saturday when they beat Gainsborough, but despite the 3-0 score line they were fortunate to win. Two of the goals came about because of goalkeeper mistakes and the other one was a penalty. Gainsborough played well and it was a much improved performance from the FA Cup game. I think they are over priced to win this as Whitby were fortunate to come from two down to draw on Saturday against Buxton who were cruising and then conceded two quick goals. I would make the home side favourites.
East Thurrock v Carshalton
The home side were taken over by a very rich man in the summer, but he hasn't really spent on the team and they have struggled to far this season losing both their league games. They also have injury issues at the moment and Carshalton really ought to be too strong for their hosts. They were 2-0 up and dominating on Saturday at Margate, but conceded an own goal and a 90th minute penalty to draw 2-2. This game should be easier and 6/4 is a big price in my view.
Needham Market v Royston
Needham were well backed on the opening day of the season, but could only draw against Redditch, which on the face of it looked a poor result. However Redditch then went and won on Saturday so maybe they are going to be better than myself and others were giving them credit for. Needham won as well beating Stratford 4-2 in a comfortable victory. Royston look like they might struggle to reach last season's heights. They have drawn both league games so far against Banbury and at Alvechurch on Saturday. Alvechurch should be one of the strugglers and it took a 93rd minute goal to get Royston a point. The prices are massively out here in my view and there is no way the home side should be 3/1.
Rushall Olympic v Bromsgrove Sporting
Another game were the home side are wrongly priced at 3/1. Rushall eased passed Leiston on the opening day, but they were even better when drawing against Peterborough Sports on Saturday. They were down to 10 men whilst a goal down as well, but deserved the point. Bromsgrove won for us on Saturday, but didn't really deserve to win as Biggleswade deserved at least a point. Bromsgrove haven't really convinced so far this season and are struggling to match their performances of last time around at the moment. Rushall have got a much better chance of winning this than the prices suggest.
Grantham 1pt @ 11/10 with Bet365
Gainsborough 1pt @ 17/10 with Betfred
Carshalton 2pts @ 6/4 with Betfred
Needham Market 1pt @ 3/1 with Bet365
Rushall Olympic 1pt @ 3/1 with Bet365

More like it this week with Warrington, Bromsgrove and Brightlingsea all winning. Nice to land a lumpy price about the latter as well.

Small loss to start the season last week thanks to two of the selections conceding two penalties each. This week I have 5 bets across the 4 divisions.
Grantham v Atherton Collieries
I opposed the away side last week which paid off and I think Grantham can beat them again here. Grantham did well to come from a goal down against Morpeth last Saturday especially as they had gone down to ten men. They backed that up with a win via a penalty shootout against Rushall in the FA Cup. Both those sides are better than Atherton and odds against quotes look too big.
Warrington v Gainsborough Trinity
Granted Trinity were very good last week when beating Hyde, but they were awful in the FA Cup losing 3-0 to AFC Mansfield. They have had to work with a reduced budget because of Covid and Warrington should be in the promotion hunt yet again. They won at Basford in the opening game and then drew with South Shields in the FA Cup (lost on pens). They should be too strong for Trinity.
Lewes v Brightingsea Regent
Two sides who look set to struggle this season, but the betting suggest Lewes are much the better side which I disagree with. They were stuffed 4-1 at Enfield on the opening day and Enfield had been struggling to train as a lot of the team had to self-isolate. They then lost 3-1 to Bedfont Sports in the FA Cup. The away side have also lost both games so far, but only 2-1 both times and as much as it is far from a lump on job they certainly look more than good enough to pick up 3 points here at 3/1. No way should Lewes be odds on based on their opening efforts.
Biggleswade Town v Bromsgrove
Biggleswade look pretty hopeless so far. They lost 1-0 to St Ives on the opening day and they are a side who will be in the bottom 6 I would imagine this season. They were then stuffed 5-1 at Leiston in the FA Cup which was another shocking effort. Bromsgrove will be expecting to be at the other end of the table. They got a late goal to get a point against Coalville and although they lost in the FA Cup to Stratford that was still a decent effort. Bromsgrove should be picking up their first win of the season here.
Poole v Hayes & Yeading
Hayes were involved in a good opening day game against Taunton and ended up with a point. They then beat Margate in the FA Cup and are looking in decent shape this season based on those two efforts. Poole ended up with a bye in the FA Cup and did win on the opening day, but they only created a couple of clear chances and scored from both of them. Granted that's being very clinical, but that isn't going to happen every week and I think Hayes are the better side so look value to me.
Grantham 2.5pts @ 11/10 with Bet365
Warrington 2pts @ Evs with Bet365
Brightlingsea Regent 1pt @ 31/10 with Bet365
Bromsgrove 2.5pts @ 13/10 with Bet365
Hayes & Yeading 1pt @ 9/4 with Betfred

thanks @StevieDay1983 it´s a pleasure to give here some help on Portuguese football
 

Great to have you here as our Portuguese specialist, @buga00! 

for the first round I already tried this bets 
CD Tondela 0.25 @ 1.92  
CD Santa Clara -0.25 @ 1.90 
 

Famalicão - Benfica   18/09 - 19:00h
This is a game between two teams with  different potential. On normal conditions, Benfica would already be a favorite, it becomes even more so, because Famalicão lost practically the whole team and should have difficulties to get a good performance in the various moments of the game in these first challenges. Jorge Jesus' team seeks to react quickly to the elimination in the Champions League and should make a display with sufficient quality to add the three points in the debut in the 2020/21 championship.
 
Benfica to win @1.43  (1xbet)  confidence 5
Benfica -1 handicap  @1.67  (1xbet)  confidence 4
over 1 goal halftime  @1.64  (1xbet)  confidence 4
 

Famalicão - Benfica   18/09 - 19:00h
This is a game between two teams with  different potential. On normal conditions, Benfica would already be a favorite, it becomes even more so, because Famalicão lost practically the whole team and should have difficulties to get a good performance in the various moments of the game in these first challenges. Jorge Jesus' team seeks to react quickly to the elimination in the Champions League and should make a display with sufficient quality to add the three points in the debut in the 2020/21 championship.
 
Benfica to win @1.43  (1xbet)  confidence 5
Benfica -1 handicap  @1.67  (1xbet)  confidence 4
over 1 goal halftime  @1.64  (1xbet)  confidence 4
 

i changed my  stake £ 50  to £25

@Gray306 ?????  true mate 

thanks BH for another great competition

buga00
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the tip important sure but important as well to explain what in your mind good
I like your league and your tips 
I normally dont watch or follow these leagues , doing this now only because my main leagues in break and soon will back
so thanks and Good luck mate in your future tips too 

thanks BH for another great competition

Braga - Porto 21:15h
 
This will be a game where Braga will be under a lot of pressure, due to the obligation to add the three points, in order to still reach 3rd place, also having to wait for Sporting to lose in the Lisbon derby. The champion FC Porto with great shape moment of form and trying to maintain a good tone before the final of the Portuguese Cup, next weekend, against rival Benfica. Due to the difficulties in practicing good football that Braga revealed recently, allied to the fact that Conceição's team appears free of pressure and motivated, a game with some ascendant of the new national champions is expected
 
Porto draw no bet @1.94 (1xbet) confidence 3

Benfica - Sporting   21.15h
At the end of the championship, this will be the main dish of the last day, in the “derby” with the greatest history in the city of Lisbon. Benfica seeks to maintain the good pace before the final of the Portuguese Cup, against a Sporting that needs to score, but that has been breaking the performance in terms of results and that has not convinced in terms of exhibition. Given the rise in form of the team that already knows that Jorge Jesus will be watching closely, we expect a game with a more or less clear upside on the part of the red team.
 
Benfica to win @1.84 (1xbet) confidence 3

buga00
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Thanks mate 
Yes sure Risky ....This Braga if play like last week and attack serious and make chances can score more than one goal and win easy , better to stay away like what you said