buga00

Yep, International Break

Those odds look familiar from last week and Bournemouth don't have a game scheduled this weekend so I guess you've somehow clicked on last weeks odds.
I'll disregard the bet stake

Good luck Division 3
@ian309 @buga00 @Zidane123 @Balearic_Beats @Fader @glavintoby @calva decoy @andellio @Advisor @Gray306 @Wanderlust @Mitchell Hart @silver fox @jockprop @MinellaWorksop @Redphil57 @Data @APitt1988 @Spajermuffin101 @Bedlam

We are taking a short break from the competition whilst I wrap up the results of season 2.  So in the meantime please post in here if you would like to join in the new 10 week competition, whether you are completely new to it, or rejoining from being eliminated or busting out. 
We will hopefully start weekend of 10th Feb, although we do have plenty of leeway before the end of the proper season so we could slip a further week back if I'm particularly slow sorting it all out!

I Know that @avongirl , but i need more stake  , or a miracle......

Both will be half your bank as you've over £10

Lyon @1.10
Real Madrid @1.11
Glasgow Rangers over 2,5 goals @1.25
 
25,225 £ in this treble please
 
thanks

We had our best week so far with 29  winners and 4 of the 5 Divisions making a profit, although quite some way to go to redeem the overall losses so far.  The abandoned games at Bolton and Reading meant quite a few bets succeeded on a reduced basis. Portsmouth were probably this week's villains.
@Gzeven racked up another winner to make it 7 from 8 and is now out on his own after micky slipped up.  Every one of those has been a winning treble.  
Bet of the week goes to @Cauncie with a 7.5 treble just beating my own 7.3 double.  Nobody has come close to current highest odds leader  @Tiffy on 40.6.
Last season's runaway winner @HERE is encountering the difficult second season, but survives an all in bet to fight on.   Top 4 of the overall all lost to varying degrees so @Tiffy is back on top.  

Napoli @1.30
Atalanta @ 1.40
 
17.89 £ in this double please, thanks

np,
just a reminder that the comp will resume on the next full list of fixtures, at the end of the month.
I'll also be doing a LMS 3 for this season. We may as well with so long of the season left.

Inter Milan @ 1.14
Girona @1.95
Half bank in this double please
 
thanks

mistake mine, sorry @Fader

Cheers bet will run as a winning single on Real

Real Madrid @1.22
Lazio @1.61
 
Half bank in this double please, thanks

Dagenham & Redbridge v Eastleigh Granted Eastleigh have not always been great away from home this season, but Dagenham continue to put some very limp performances in at home and as I highlighted in Saturday's preview even lost to Wealdstone in their last home game. I'm sure Paul McCallum will be keen to get on the scoresheet given he used to be at Dagenham and he continues to be in fine form. I'd be even more confident if Eastleigh had been better on their travels, but the price makes little sense to me and looks the best bet of Boxing Day.   Ebbsfleet v Bromley Bromley should have won with ease last night, but a mix of good defending and not being clinical enough cost them. Play like that again and they should eat an Ebbsfleet side who are struggling for wins. I don't think there is a huge amount in the price, but enough for me to play.   Dover v Aveley Granted Dover have won just once all season and they have picked up 11 draws, but I am happy to continue opposing Aveley and Dover are surely going to edge a game at some point given how close they are from gaining the 3 points.   Havant & Waterlooville v Farnborough Farnborough have only won once away all season and they were very lucky to get 3 points on Saturday against Braintree. Their goal was a penalty and they created little else whereas Braintree's xG was 2.05. Havant were unfortunate not to pick something up at Truro as it was a 30 yard wonder strike which proved to be the only goal of the game. Back at home I think they can get back to winning ways.   Torquay v Truro Torquay had a few players missing on Saturday and were poor losing at Chelmsford. Their home form has been strong to be fair and they might well bounce back, but with Truro in picking up wins I will take a chance that they can pull off a victory.   Eastleigh 2pts @ 11/5 with Bet365 and Betfred (take up to 6/4) Bromley 1pt @ 23/20 with Bet365, Paddy Power, Betfair and Betfred (take up to Evs) Dover 1pt @ 15/8 with Paddy Power, Betfair and Betfred (Skybet are 2/1 and take up to 6/4) Havant 2pts @ 6/4 with Paddy Power, Betfair and Betfred (Skybet are 13/8 and take up to 11/10) Truro 1pt @ 13/5 with Skybet, Paddy Power and Betfair (take up to 11/5)   Prices from 3pm Christmas Eve   Eastleigh 2pts @ 11/5 with Bet365 and Betfred (take up to 6/4) Bromley 1pt @ 23/20 with Bet365, Paddy Power, Betfair and Betfred (take up to Evs) Dover 1pt @ 15/8 with Paddy Power, Betfair and Betfred (Skybet are 2/1 and take up to 6/4) Havant 2pts @ 6/4 with Paddy Power, Betfair and Betfred (Skybet are 13/8 and take up to 11/10) Truro 1pt @ 13/5 with Skybet, Paddy Power and Betfair (take up to 11/5)

Aveley v Hungerford I watched a bit of the Aveley game against Welling on Monday night and when Welling had their keeper sent off I thought they would win quite comfortably. The player who they put in goal looked pretty ropey when he failed to deal with a cross along the floor in what was a slightly bizarre 2nd goal. Aveley struggled in the 2nd half though and in the end conceded again and ended up with just a point. This came on the back off losing 4-3 on Saturday to Farnborough, a side who hadn't won away all season, having been 3-1 up. I just get the feeling that after their very strong start they are beginning to reach their natural level squad wise and that for me gives Hungerford a chance here. They are in the play-offs in their division and haven't lost in 9 games in the league. They knocked out Truro in the previous round and could well knock out another NLS side here.   Barnet v Maidstone Two sides I took on last week in the FA Cup unsuccessfully with Barnet getting a draw late on (which they by all accounts did deserve) and Maidstone getting a victory over a disappointing Barrow. I'm pretty keen on Maidstone here because I think they will be taking this more seriously than Barnet will. Barnet have their replay live on TV on Tuesday night and given the winner plays Eastleigh it is a really good chance to reach the 4th Round. They will surely be putting in their effort for that and of course the league campaign and making sure they finish in the top 3. I think Brennan will rest players for this with the replay and a busy Christmas schedule in mind. Maidstone don't have another game until the following Saturday so there is no real reason why they would rest players and no doubt they will want to go and cause another Cup upset.    Chippenham v Gloucester Fair bit on the line here as both sides have players who used to play for the other team and Gloucester's manager used to manage Chippenham. As I put last week ahead of the Chester game which was called off, Gloucester's last two performances have seen a big improvement which were a 3-0 win over Braintree in this and a 4-2 win over Spennymoor in the league. They do still have to prove they can do it away, but I think they are over priced to win this given those last two efforts.   Curzon Ashton v Macclesfield I know Curzon are 6th in the National League North at the moment, but I think you can make a case for Macclesfield having a stronger side than their hosts. They have done well since Alex Bruce took over and are scoring lots of goals as well. They put 4 past Alfreton in the previous round which made up for the fact Alfreton had beaten them in the FA Cup earlier in the season. Curzon are unbeaten in their last 5 league games, but they haven't had the hardest fixtures in the world and this will be a tough test for them. I think Macclesfield are way over priced for this.   Dagenham & Redbridge v Peterborough Sports Taking a bit of a flyer here, but Dagenham haven't been overly convincing at home so far this season and Sports have been in good form on the whole in recent weeks. In the last 10 games form table they are 5th and I think they are the type of side who could potentially beat a misfiring side like Dagenham. They have only won 3 at home in the league, whilst losing the other 8 games and that has to be concerning so I give Sports a chance of causing an upset.   Oldham v Mickleover Taking even a bigger flyer here, but given how poor Oldham were against Ebbsfleet in their last game I will take a chance that high flying Mickleover can cause an upset. I'm not sure how seriously Mellon will take the FA Trophy and he might use the game to rest some of his first team, even so they are still very up and down regarding their performances. Fair to say Mickleover aren't in as strong form as they were earlier in the season and they have only won once in their last 7 league games, but they had an impressive 3-1 win at Spennymoor in the previous round. Obviously Oldham are the most likely winners, but at a huge price it is worth taking a chance on Mickleover.   Prices from Thursday 6pm   Hungerford 1pt @ 15/4 with Paddy Power and Betfair (21/5 with Coral and take up to 3/1) Maidstone 2pts @ 4/1 with Paddy Power, Betfair and Betfred (19/5 with Hills and take up to 5/2) Gloucester 1pt @ 29/10 with Paddy Power and Betfair (take up to 2/1) Macclesfield 2pts @ 100/30 with Paddy Power and Betfair (take up to 2/1) Peterborough Sports 1pt @ 9/2 with Paddy Power, Betfair, William Hill, Betfred and Bet365 (take up to 7/2) Mickleover 1pt @ 15/2 with Skybet, Paddy Power, Betfair and William Hill (take up to 6/1)

I have to say that the National League fixtures in all 3 divisions look really tough this weekend and I only have one bet. It is however a max bet at odds on which is something I rarely do, but confidence is high and for me the value is there. There are 4 other bets at Step 3.   Oldham v Ebbsfleet You could see that Micky Mellon has improved Oldham on Wednesday nightagainst Barnet. Having seen some of the comical goals that Barnet have been conceding of late I think he knew that they could allow Barnet plenty of the ball, but they would get their chances. It is no surprise to see that Barnet had 75% of the ball in the first 15 minutes and then 70% in the following 15, but they did very little with it as Oldham made themselves very hard to breakdown. The first shot Oldham had was the penalty which was gifted to them and Barent were fortunate not to have the keeper sent off. In the 2nd half Barnet equalised with a penalty which ended up being their only shot on target. They had looked more likely to kick on and win the game at that stage, but they didn't have another shot for nearly 20 minutes when the game was long gone. Oldham punished Barnet's defensive mistakes which is no surprise given they have someone of the quality of Norwood. If Barnet had taken the good chances that came their way in the first half after the goal maybe we would have seen a different result, but it was the perfect away performance and Oldham have a talented squad. I rarely tip up odds on shots especially ones as short as Oldham, but for me they look good things to beat Ebbsfleet. They did get a point on Tuesday against Maidenhead, but they created very little and had an xG of just 0.16. They are in dreadful form and Oldham should have way too much for them.   AFC Sudbury v Stourbridge I don't dip into the Southern Premier Central too often as highlighted by the fact I've only put up 3 bets in the division so far this season. 2 of the 3 bets have been winners though and I am doubling the amount of bets had on Saturday. I will also be content if the number of winners doubles as well. Sudbury have won 3 of their last 4 games including beating Coalville on Tuesday night 3-0. I'd make them favs to beat a Stourbridge who hadn't won in the league for 7 games until beating Long Eaton 3-0 on Tuesday. They are dreadful though (just 4 points so far) and Sudbury put 6 past them recently themselves. The value is there in a home win for me.   Berkhamsted v St Ives Berkhamsted aren't much better than Long Eaton and have also won just once this season although 7 draws have helped them get 10 points. St Ives had also only one just once in the league prior to their 3 game winning spell they are currently on. They have beaten Coalville and Halesowen in that spell as well so it isn't like they are beaten rubbish and there is clear improvement in the side. They were 1 up against Aveley in the FA Trophy last week as well before losing 2-1, but that was still a very good effort. If they take those performances into this game then they ought to make it 4 league wins on the bounce.   Mickleover v Nuneaton Despite all the off the field issues at Nuneaton they have been doing really well on the pitch. They have won 8 of their last 10 league games and have won 5 on the bounce. They look over priced to beat top of the table Mickleover who after going on an impressive winning run at the start of the season have now not won in 5 league games and lost to Kettering 2-0 on Tuesday night which was a big shock. I don't think there is much between these two sides and therefore the price on Nuneaton is over the odds for me.   Carshalton v Wingate & Finchley Into the Isthmian Premier for the last bet of the weekend and I think the away side are a big price to beat a Carshalton side who are struggling after a good start to the season. They have won just one in their last 8 league games and were hammered 4-0 by Hastingson Tuesday night. Wingate's last 10 games have seen them win 5, lose 5, score 19 and concede 19. They did lose on Tuesday 2-1 to Chatham, but they are better than Carshalton and I think Wingate are in better nick than their hosts at the moment. 
Prices from Friday around 10am   Oldham 5pts@ 4/6 with Paddy Power, Betfair, Betfred and Coral (take up to 1/2) AFC Sudbury 1pt @ 17/10 with Bet365 and William Hill (take up to 11/8) St Ives 1pt @ 6/5 with Skybet and Betfred (take up to Evs) Nuneaton 1pt @ 16/5 with Bet365 (take up to 2/1) Wingate & Finchley 1pt @ 15/4 with Skybet and Bet365 (take up to 2/1)

Good luck Divsion 2
@Hotpotklonk @bymatrix @LEE-GRAYS @Gizmo @adamross @Skittle @Steve75 @buga00 @u1905068 @Jediknight @MinellaWorksop @Advisor @avongirl @ian309 @Torque @Shaunbear @Johnrobertson @Alastair @Mitchell Hart @Gzeven

Rochdale v Aldershot Look it is fair to say Aldershot's away form is nowhere near the level of their home form as they have won 3 and lost 6 on their travels. Given that it does make it slightly odd they went to Swindon and put 7 past them in the FA Cup, but they have gone to Boreham Wood and Solihull to win away which are tough places to win at. I will also give them a pass at Eastleigh as their keeper got sent off and they ended up with an outfield player in goal. They are just too big not to back here though especially as Rochdale have only managed 2 wins at home this season. I wouldn't say they have played badly as such, but I do think Aldershot carry the bigger threat right now and for me 3/1 is a point bigger than it should be.   Woking v Oldham Granted Oldham's last away game in the league saw them have just 3 poor quality shots at Fylde, but they are a big price here so I will take a chance. I think Micky Mellon has a bigger task on his hands than I thought he did when he took over and they haven't really played all that well, but then Woking are in a poor place right now having finally sacked their manager after losing to Oxford City last week. I thought the Ramsgate defeat might have been the final straw but clearly not. So whilst I hardly want to go mad on Oldham they are too big a price to win this as they are more than capable of doing so. Worth adding that Fylde defeat is their only league defeat in 10 although they are drawing lots at the moment.   York v Hartlepool York are hardly ones to go mad on either, but I would have them as favs for this and I'm not surprised they are being backed. They have won just once at home in the league and drawn 5 of their 9 games, but their are signs of improvement that don't seem there with Hartlepool right now who have lost 6 of their last 8 games, beaten just Eastleigh and drew 2-2 with Ebbsfleet last week. Whilst it was a dramatic injury time with Hartlepool going 2-1 up and then Ebbsfleet equalise, Ebbsfleet had an xG of 3.12 and Hartlepool's was just 0.9. I was tempted to go 2 points on York, but will stick to a point.   Curzon v Matlock Got to chance Matlock given Margetts is now up to 28 for the season which is just mental. He's on fire right now and he will give them a chance of causing an upset against Curzon in the FA Trophy.   FCUM v Guiseley The away side are doing very well at the moment having lost just once in their last 10 league games and FCUM are having a poor season so far. They have won just once in their last 9 league games and I'd have the away side as clear favs for this.   Prices from 7pm Friday   Aldershot 1pt @ 3/1 with Bet365 (take up to 2/1) Oldham 1pt @ 12/5 with Bet365 and Skybet (take up to 2/1) York 1pt @ 17/10 with Bet365 (take up to 6/5) Matlock 1pt @ 10/3 with Paddy Power, Betfair and Betfred (take up to 5/2) Guiseley 1pt @ 6/4 with Betfred, Skybet and William Hill (9/5 with 365 and take up to 6/5)

Celtic @ 1.18
Bristol City @ 2.05

 
 
45£ in this double please
 

Rangers @1.36
Tottenham @1.50
 
22£ int his treble please
 
thanks
 
 

If everybody that is left in this could do the following for me :
THANKS to this post if you want to keep it the same
LAUGH to this post if you want to continue until one winner
CONFUSED to this post if you want to continue until UPTO 10.
SAD to this post if you want to continue until UPTO 5
I can see each member's reaction so we'll do that and go with the majority.

Real Madrid @1.28
Celtic @1.17
Bayern Munich  over 2,5 goals @1.25
25 £ in this treble please
 
thanks

Aldershot v Dagenham & Redbridge I was not impressed at all with Aldershot on Tuesday night and whilst they were a goal up and you hope any team you are on can hold on from there, it would have been harsh on Southend if they hadn't got something from the game. Granted Dagenham are struggling for wins and struggling for goals. They haven't scored in 4 games now, indeed they have featured in two 0-0s and two 1-0 defeats so there have been few goals full stop. Prior to those 4 games we were on them to beat Chesterfield and until they went a man down I thought they looked pretty comfortable at 1 up so they are more than capable of beating a side like Aldershot and they are a bit of value to do so.   Bromley v Gateshead Two of the form sides in the division as Bromley haven't lost since losing their first 2 games of the season and Gateshead are unbeaten in 7 having also just lost twice all season. They have looked very good putting 3 past Kidderminster and Maidenhead and on Tuesday 4 past Oxford City. The thing is though they are pretty much the 3 worst teams in the division and when they beat Eastleigh 6-0 recently, they were truly awful. That isn't to say that Gateshead aren't a good side because they are, but for me the kind fixture list has helped them and it has meant the are stupidly short to win this. Again that's not to say they can't win, but I just don't see how they can be odds on to beat a Bromley side who as highlighted have been impossible to beat since the opening two games of the season. If Gateshead were at home I could understand the odds on quote more, although even then I wouldn't have them that short. I think at home Bromley have to be favs and in some ways that should mean given the odds they are that we should be having a decent bet on them, but like I say this is a game between two in form sides and thus it is more a bet because of the odds rather than being really confident Bromley will win.   Hartlepool v Dorking In some ways I was surprised to see Dorking being backed and I did think I might be on my own in wanting to back them at 6/1, but that price has long gone although I still think they are a value bet. Only Rochdale have beaten them in their last 6 games and that was with 2 injury times as well. Hartlepool have gone off the boil in recent weeks having only beaten Wealdstone and Dagenham in their last 7 games. Again like above in some ways any of the 3 results wouldn't surprise, but I don't think Dorking should be as big as they are and I am happy to take a chance on them again on them to win for us for the 2nd consecutive game.   Maidenhead v Chesterfield Granted in previous seasons Maidenhead have perked up when playing the top sides and have caused all sorts of issues for them, but they are just woeful at the moment and as much as I think Chesterfield are still beatable in the title race, they should have way too much for the home side. The intensity that they started the game with at Rochdale on Tuesday was incredible and they fully deserved to be 1 up early doors. As much as Rochdale didn't cause them too many problems in the 2nd half, Chesterfield actually only managed 1 shot which is something for the other sides to cling on to. That shouldn't be an issue here though and they really should cover the -1 handicap.   Double Oldham actually got a higher xG than Kidderminster on Tuesday night, but make no bones about it Oldham were fortunate winners as Kidderminster once again played well at home but failed to win. That has been the story of their season and they just don't have the strike force to score goals. Barnet were very good at York on Tuesday and they do have the fire power to score goals. I do think though the price only has marginal value in it which is why I am sticking them in a double with Altrincham who feature in the live game against Oxford City. Oxford did have a very good spell which includes beating Hartlepool and Boreham Wood, but they were very lucky to get a point at Eastleigh and they were hopeless in their last two games against Oldham and Gateshead. Altrincham didn't create as much as I thought they would against Maidenhead on Tuesday and that is why like Barnet I think they are only marginal value, but I do think they will win.   Scunthorpe v Buxton Given what happened in the 1st game and what is happening off the field I do think Buxton are worth a bet here. If you aren't aware of what happened in the 1st game there was a torrential downpour in the 2nd half and the pitch became unplayable, but the ref only decided to call it off in injury whilst Buxton were 2-1 up. Buxton will be hoping to get the 3 points they deserve and who knows where the heads of the Scunthorpe players will be. Possibly they will want to give their fans a performance in what might be their last ever game at their home, but they might also be thinking they will be needing to look for a new club soon. At the prices again Buxton are worth a value play.   Prices from around 8.30pm on Thursday Dagenham & Redbridge 1pt @ 2/1 with Bet365, Skybet and Betfred (take up to 7/4) Bromley 1pt @ 13/5 with Paddy Power, Betfair, BetVictor and William Hill (14/5 with Coral and 11/4 with Skybet take up to 6/4) Dorking 1pt @ 9/2 with Bet365 and Coral (take up to 3/1) Chesterfield -1 1pt @ 8/5 with Skybet, Bet365 and Coral (take up to 5/4) Barnet/Altrincham 1pt double @ 3.4/1 with Bet365 and Coral (take up to 11/4) Buxton 1pt @ 7/2 with Skybet and Paddy Power (Betfair are 18/5 and take up to 5/2)