amity

@Duffyduck74 english is my second language also as I am swedish. I don't know what level of english the austrian population has in general but I know germans prefer to write and speak german so maybe it's the same i Austria. Sorry for complaining on you.

Bump

Well, I wont argue with you @four-leaf
I just want to say that my estimation for the probabilities were bigger than the probabitity the odds of the bookies reflected.
Tiafoe - Coric @ 2,56 --> Bookie: 39,1 %;  my estimate: ~ 49 %
Sweeny - Cerundolo @ 3,32 --> Bookie 30 %; my estimate ~ 44%
Marozsan - Cilic @ 2,225  --> here I already said my estiation was probably incorrect.
O'connell- Garin @ 3.02 --> Bookie: 33%; my estimation: ~ 50%
Halys - Harris @3.27 --> Bookie: 30,6 %; my estimation: ~ 40%#
So for me they were valuebets. Two of them were lost very close, one worked out, one was interesting when one watcheed the game (Tiafoe - Coric) and on one i obviously misjudged, yes.
You might of course disagree on my estimations, I could also elaborate how I got to them (mixture of ELO, Form, H2H, cross-references) and you might still disagree. Well that happens.
But in the future, as you wish, I will only put in my bets, when I have time to elaborate, why I pick them and why I see value. As I don't have the time for this anymore now, I just don't post them for today.
Have a nice evening (it is late in Austria now).
PS.: English is only my 2nd language, just before you criticize my formulations or my spelling too...

He can't complain about the chances he(Mark) had to make it closer, hope Ali gets stuffed by Ronnie tomorrow! 17-1 H2H doesn't bode well for him. Reminds me of that funny tennis quote by Vitis Geralitis about getting beaten 17 times in a row.

What strange tournament this has been, so many easy mistakes and missed chances in almost every match. I wonder how it measures up to other years for centuries or even 50 breaks, on the the other hand there's been 2 147s 🤔🤔🤔🤔

I give Murphy a chance today. I would normally be backing centuries in that match but who knows which Ronnie turns up. 

Best of luck @Foo_Fighter but for me Korda has absolutely no chance and isn't worth backing even at those odds. The quarter maybe, but not a prayer for the tournament. He's far too flaky. I'd love to see Murray do well but it's very difficult to see him having any sort of run as he seems to be involved in long slog-fests every time he plays and his body just isn't up to that any more.

X post removed. You could try being at least semi-polite, as all the other posters are. I don't go around posting X links willy nilly on here, as you well know, and if I did post one or two before, it was quite some time ago. I remember posting one comment about the Aussie Open in another thread which wasn't specifically a thread for the Australian Open, but it was a general comment and absolutely nobody had an issue with it, except it seems, you. Seriously dude, let's just keep the talk to tennis (and other sports in the other sections) and be respectful to each other, and we'll all get along fine. 

All good man, yeh it's good to know re the X posts, that's pretty annoying how it does that, yeh definitely won't be doing that again. Cheers. 

Sorry, I didn't mean to be impolite but the smart TV I used went crazy over all the X content. It was just to much and it slowed down the browsing completely. Android u know and cheap Samsung. And I've not seen anyone post content from X here so if you have done it I haven't noticed.

Yes, just post official links of draws from ausopen.com and so on

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That worked out. Ronnie went odds against when it looked like he might go 4-2 behind, but after making it 3-3 he didn't lose another frame. Poor standard from both though - I thought Hawkins might get ahead by playing better than Ronnie but it was actually because Ronnie was worse than an average Hawkins. Pot success not even close to what's required to win this tournament so unless it was just on off day from O'Sullivan he'll do well to win the tournament on today's showing.

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X post removed. You could try being at least semi-polite, as all the other posters are. I don't go around posting X links willy nilly on here, as you well know, and if I did post one or two before, it was quite some time ago. I remember posting one comment about the Aussie Open in another thread which wasn't specifically a thread for the Australian Open, but it was a general comment and absolutely nobody had an issue with it, except it seems, you. Seriously dude, let's just keep the talk to tennis (and other sports in the other sections) and be respectful to each other, and we'll all get along fine. 

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What the hell is going on in frame 7, a comedy of errors!

if it wasn't Ronnie, Id be wondering if it was a betting scandal, this match  so weird.

As if it wasn't the professional era anymore and we'd be back in the 50s or earlier where nobody could make a century. That's Ronnie/Hawkins today.

I don't rememeber seeing such a stop/start match for a while. God knows what the pot % is
it's almost as if Ronnie doesn't want centuries today. 
Ugh god, this match is so frustrating. Nobody can string a break together of more than 50

very average from Ronnie and very average from Hawkins, too  

Absolutely , Ronnie should be 3-1 up if not 4-0 , damn

Both Ronnie and Barry should have a century each by now but both screwed up with amateurish positional play 🤦‍♂️. Hawkins very lucky to be on level terms, Ronnie sometimes displaying his 'can't be bothered' attitude. Needs to get his head down and focus on winning this and stop fooling around. 

But I think Richard Mann might be spot on about Murphy/Lisowski as a century each is fully possible. Pays 2.75 at Coolbet

That both players couldn't hit a barn door at ten yards? 😆 Bloody hell I thought the standard in Hawkins Robertson was poor but this one takes the cake! 🤣