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Posts
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Reputation Activity
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Xtc12 got a reaction from corky in Naps - Thursday Dec 6th
18.30 Chelmsford - Glory of Paris - 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 Paddy Power
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Xtc12 got a reaction from Mfardeen in Naps - Friday 30th November
14.05 Southwell - Angel Palanas - 1 Pt Win @ 10\1 Bet365
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Xtc12 got a reaction from BillyHills in Naps - Friday 30th November
14.05 Southwell - Angel Palanas - 1 Pt Win @ 10\1 Bet365
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Xtc12 got a reaction from EviL ZippY in Short Priced Favs
La Bague Au Roi 13.50 Newbury 2 Pts Win @ 11\8 (bog)
Smart hurdler who scored 3 times last winter and made the perfect start to her chasing career when eventually overcoming Lostintranslation here on return and holds excellent claims again.
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Xtc12 got a reaction from Johnrobertson in Naps - Wednesday Nov 28th
14.50 Wetherby - Always Resolute - 1 Pt Win @ 4\1 Ladbrokes
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Xtc12 got a reaction from BillyHills in Naps - Wednesday Nov 28th
14.50 Wetherby - Always Resolute - 1 Pt Win @ 4\1 Ladbrokes
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Xtc12 got a reaction from EviL ZippY in Short Priced Favs
Mengli Khan 13.55 Punchestown 3 Pts Win @ 4\5 (bog)
Smart hurdler. 11/2, creditable 9¼ lengths third of 10 to Draconien in Champion Novices' Hurdle at this course (16.4f, good to soft). Not bred for chasing but respected on smart hurdles form.
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Xtc12 got a reaction from EviL ZippY in Short Priced Favs
1st @ 10\11 - Mostly tracked leader until before 3 out where hampered, not much room 2 out, not clear run and switched right before last, led at the last, stayed on, clear towards finish
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Xtc12 got a reaction from EviL ZippY in Short Priced Favs
Show's Over 12.20 Sedgefield 4 Pts WIn @ 4\5 (bog)
Hasn't won since 2016 but he does at least arrive here having filled the runners-up spot on 2 of his last 3 starts upon joining this yard. Respected on that basis in an ordinary affair.
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Xtc12 got a reaction from jtw1 in Short Priced Favs
Getting ready to start this again on the 23rd November with Ascot. Don't forget it will only work with the staking strategy applied.
Below are the results since I started posting back in 2011 plus the two years papertrial/backtest.
Most W & L are the most consecutive winners/losers that year.
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Xtc12 reacted to Valiant Thor in Rolling back time
2.20 Exeter LIL ROKERFELLA 5.98pts @ 2/7 B365 , just sneaks in as the selection for Sunday
After today I wont be updating this thread, the system rules means hardly any selections and then most of those are ruled out due to price
So I suggest for similar types of low odds bets (and a profit) go to the excellent thread
SHORT PRICED FAVS by @Xtc12
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Xtc12 got a reaction from Valiant Thor in Short Priced Favs
Getting ready to start this again on the 23rd November with Ascot. Don't forget it will only work with the staking strategy applied.
Below are the results since I started posting back in 2011 plus the two years papertrial/backtest.
Most W & L are the most consecutive winners/losers that year.
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Xtc12 reacted to BillyHills in KO Cup - Semi Finals (Sat 2pm Deadline)
Final Scores
Well done to Xtc and Harry
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Xtc12 got a reaction from bluemal in Naps - Sunday Nov 11th
14.55 Sandown - Destrier - 1 Pt Win @ 5\1 Bet365
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Xtc12 reacted to Valiant Thor in EW SINGLES
B365 pays 6 places @ 1/4 odds
Buzz placed 5th @ 8/1.... winner winner chicken dinner
Staked 2
Returned 3
Profit 1
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Xtc12 got a reaction from corky in KO Cup - 2nd Round (Sat 2pm Deadline)
14.25 Wincanton - Bags Groove - 1 Pt Win @ 6\5 Bet365
16.00 Naas - Westport Lady - 1 Pt Win @ 11\8 Bet365
18.30 Chelmsford - Monumental Man - 1 Pt Win @ 11\4 Bet365
Res:
14.50 Naas - Slippery Serpent - 1 Pt Win @ 7\2 Boylesports
GL Corky
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Xtc12 reacted to Valiant Thor in Rolling back time
The staking plan states a 10% rolling bank never decreasing , Im doing a 5% rolling bank giving me a max of 20 losses as a safety net
Apart from that the selection system is exactly the same
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Xtc12 reacted to Valiant Thor in Rolling back time
Windsor Avenue wins easily 5.1 @ 1.4 = 2.14 profit
Runners 2
Wins 2
Sr 100%
Bank 104.28
Next Stake 5.21
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Xtc12 reacted to Valiant Thor in Rolling back time
Going through some pen drives of mine yesterday I found some old systems from the now defunct Racing-Systems forum (some may remember it some not)
Anyway this one states approx 80% sr from selections , it must have had some substance / logic about it or else I wouldn't have saved it .
Going to give it a re-run to see how it fares , prices wont be great but as long as Im getting over 1/4 then if the sr holds up then yo ho ho as the fat guy in red says.
As I rarely bet on horses in twig hopping season this might add a bit of interest (as long as the selections dont keep falling over things like most of them do), Not going to go mad so I'll risk a max drawdown of £100 so @ 5% rolling bank per bet so its a 20 bets or out,
First bet
3.50 Sedge Im To Blame £5 @ 1.57 B365