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Gidds

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  1. Like
    Gidds reacted to StevieDay1983 in Championship Predictions > Oct 25th - 29th   
    Apologies, I've not had a chance to get a full preview for the Cardiff versus Rotherham game sorted due to this new role I've started but I can tell you now that Rotherham Double Chance @ 1.91 with Betfred is far better value than Cardiff to win at 1.95 with SportNation.
    I'll tell you what is an absolute mickey taker. Callum Robinson being offered as a first scorer by some bookies. The lad is suspended after throwing a ball in Ben Cabango's face 7 minutes into the game with Swansea last week! He ain't scoring anything this week! 
  2. Like
    Gidds reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions - 22nd October   
    Boreham Wood v Wrexham Wrexham 3 up at half time and I could see nothing other than having an easy Wrexham win. Wrexham then preceded to play awfully in the 2nd half and allowed Blyth to score a couple of good goals. I was watching the game and even when the 2nd Blyth goal went in I thought it would kick Wrexham back into gear and they would score more goals, but they actually created very little after that and Blyth had the best chance of the rest of the game to nearly send the tie into extra time. We have been used to Wrexham putting in poor performances away from home, but this was a rare one at home and for me it was more proof as to Parkinson's weakness as a manager. I have to take them on again on their travels. I did oppose Boreham Wood in their two games against Wealdstone and whilst they may have had a bit of fortune to win both, win them they did. They will probably have to perform better than they have been, but then Wrexham are the opponents so they should be bang up for it. They have the talent in the squad to make things very tricky for the Welsh side especially if they under perform yet again.   Halifax v Dagenham & Redbridge Hard to know which Dagenham will turn up, but if the good Dagenham turn up then they are a big price to win this game. As I mentioned on Tuesday, I was impressed with the way they despatched Beckenham last week in what was a very professional performance. Away from home in the league hasn't always been their strong point, but then Halifax aren't very good. They did get some confidence from an FA Cup win over St Ives on Saturday, but that was one of the kinder draws they could have had. I think Dagenham's side is better than Halifax and that is why I am happy to take a price of 2/1 about them winning even with the concern about what Dagenham side we shall see.   Slough v Weymouth There is a concern that Weymouth are just going to be a Cup side as they were superb last weekend when beating Havant in the FA Cup. That followed the 3-0 win over Welling in the previous round. I put them up as a bet in the league game inbetween and having gone a goal up they preceded to lose 5-1 to Eastbourne which wasn't great. I have to give them another chance here though as they will surely be winning a league game sooner rather than later. Before the season started, I would have had Weymouth above Slough so hopefully they can finally get that first league win. Slough have won 3 at home but they were against Cheshunt, Hampton and Taunton so nothing special and then they 2-0 to Hemel in their last home game. They also lost 3-0 at Dover last week and an xG of 0.13 sums up how well they played. If the two teams play as they did last week in this game then there is only going to be one winner.   Boreham Wood 1pt @ 13/5 with William Hill (11/4 with 365 and take up to 2/1) Dagenham & Redbridge 1pt @ 2/1 with Paddy Power, William Hill, Betfair and Betfred (21/10 with 365 and take up to 6/4) Weymouth 1pt @ 21/10 with Skybet and Betfred (11/5 with William Hill and take up to 6/4)
  3. Like
    Gidds reacted to Darran in Non-League Ante Post 2022/23   
    National League South I am astonished that Havant are still available at a double figure price. They certainly under achieved last season given their squad and their budget as they should have been in the play-offs at the very least. In the end they missed out on a spot by two points and it was mainly their home form which was to blame as they only picked up 29 points at home. Before Covid hit in 2020 they were just 3 points behind Wealdstone in 2nd place in their first season under Doswell. They still have one of the highest budgets in the division and Doswell has signed really well over the summer. Signing Muhammadu Faal on Tuesday looks a really good bit of business as he was a scoring machine for Enfield last season and if he can take that form into the league above then he could end up being the best signing of the summer for any team. 16/1 is a mad price and the only doubt about them I have is the manager as I just wonder if he was the reason they underperformed last season, but he knows how to win this league so hopefully they can bounce back and have a strong season. I think they should be 2nd favourites myself.    Worthing are the 2nd bets. They won the Isthmian League at a canter last season which wasn't really a surprise as they put together one of the best sides seen at that level. It was already a side that looked capable of challenging at Step 2 and with the recruitment made over the summer they can kick on again and bid for a 2nd promotion on the bounce.    The final bet is obviously a bit of a flyer as they are the outsiders, but Welling are way too big at 80/1. A change of manager at the back end of last season led to improvement and that kept them in the division. A change of the pitch has helped has well as the recruitment over the summer has been strong. I just can't see them being in a relegation battle again and really with the squad they have they should be looking at the play-offs and just maybe they can go even higher than that. Granted we are probably looking at a value loser, but I can't let them go unbacked at such big odds.   Ebbsfleet are favourites and they were so close to beating Dorking in the play-off final last season. I think they are the right market leaders, but Havant should be just behind them so it is clear where the value is. Dover have had extra cash to spend this season given they would have saved plenty last season when they were doomed to relegation before a ball was kicked. The problem they might have though is that the club is used to losing and although there are plenty of new players you it might just take a little bit of time to break that losing habit at the club. I thought David Oldfield did a hell of a job at Oxford City and I was surprised he went to Weymouth as they already looked set for relegation when he took over. They have had a huge turnover of players and whilst I like the manager I want to wait and see how they get on early doors. Dartford started the season off really well and went short for the title. After that they just struggled a bit as Steve King seemed to lose the plot a bit. They ended up going out of the play-offs at the first time of asking and King duly left. I think Alan Dowson was a good choice of replacement and they should be in contention again. The other team worth a mention are my local side Dulwich. They have by far the biggest support in the league and that has clearly led to an increase in budget based on the players they have signed. They barely won in the 2nd half of the season last term though and I still wonder if Gavin Rose is the right manager to take them to the next level. I think if they don't finish in the play-offs this season then it will surely be time for a change at the top.   National League North Clearly it is wrong that James Rowe found another job so soon after leaving Chesterfield and Fylde are the only club who would possibly have given someone like him a job. As much as I hope it ends in failure for him they are the right favourites for the title and I think they are worth backing. Usually the North is strong, but I am not sure there is much depth in the division this season and they look to have the best squad. What Rowe needs to control is his temperament as he will surely come in for abuse at away grounds this season and when he went to Gloucester last season it clearly affected him and the players as they performed poorly and lost the game. That is the only doubt I have about them winning the title as they really ought to.   If Tommy Widdrington had been in charge of Kings Lynn earlier, then I reckon they might have stayed up because they weren't too far away in the end. They look to have a strong side for this level and they could easily get a top 3 spot so they look a solid e/w bet. The other bet at a big price is Buxton. Anyone who was able to beat South Shields last season were going to have a very good side and Buxton duly did that. They are a side that is well backed and the fact they were able to get Jamie Vermiglio in as manager from Chorley says a lot for me as well. As I mention above, I don't think there is much depth in the division this season so they look well placed to challenge straight away for another promotion.   Kidderminster are 2nd in the betting which is understandable. They clearly have plenty of cash after the FA Cup run last season and although they have lost some key players they still look strong after recruiting the new ones. I did notice last season their xG was rather low given how high up the table they were and they relied on wonder goals in a few games. They will need to create better chances this season to be possible title winners for me as they can't keep relying to wonder goals. Brackley finished 2nd last season thanks to a superb defence. They have lost a lot of players though which isn't going to help, but they are nearly always in the play-offs and they can manage that again. Boston would be my 4th pick at the odds as I am a huge fan of Paul Cox and he did well to get them to the play-off final last season. They should be in the mix again.   As for the others there will be plenty of sides who hope they can get into the top 7. Darlington, Spennymoor, Alfreton, Peterborough Sports (signed surprisingly well) and possibly even my own side Gloucester look the most likely to do so for me. Chester look a bit high in the betting and I think Chorley might struggle a little after Vermiglio left.    Northern Premier League I thought South Sheilds would win this easily last year, but Buxton beat them to the title. It was their away form which really cost them as they dropped some silly points on their travels. If anything, their squad looks even better this time around and they really ought to win the title. Like Wrexham though they look short enough, but they are worth putting in some multi bets like the Welsh side. I'm going to have a couple of e/w bets and hopefully one of them can get in the top 3. The first of them is Radcliffe. They were only 15th last season, but they have made some really impressive summer signings and they really ought to improve on that this season so they look a big price. The other team I like at the prices is Warrington Town who are always contenders and look in a good position to hit the top 3 this year with the squad they have.   Isthmian Premier League I can understand why Hornchurch are favourites as they look to have a decent side yet again and can build on their 4th place finish from last season. At the prices though I prefer Bishops Stortford who finished 2nd to Worthing last season and although they never looked like catching them, they managed to score 89 goals whilst conceding just 33 which was the fewest in the division. They look to have strengthened the side well over the summer and I am surprised that they are available at a double figure price. The other team worth backing for me are Bognor Regis. They finished in 9th last season as they just lacked for consistency. I like the signings they have made over the summer and they ought to be in a position to challenge for the play-offs at least.   Southern Premier League Central Ilkeston have been heavily backed for the title and are now a pretty short price at the head of the market. I was going to put them up, but they aren't value at the current price as much as they look set to go very well in what doesn't look the strongest division. What that does mean though is that Tamworth look a good price and we can back them e/w. They had a really poor season last time around which was surprising as they looked most likely to win the title win Covid hit back in 2020. Andy Peaks came in as manager from AFC Rushden which just highlights the potential Tamworth have because they were near the bottom at the time whilst Rushden were in play-off contention. They were unbeaten under Peaks and with the signings they have made they really ought to finish top 3 at the very least. The other team I will cover are Rushall. They finished 4th last season, but only got 6 points from their last 10 games which was shocking. They look stronger this season and clearly they weren't far away last season so I am happy to get involved this term.   Southern Premier League South Hayes are favourites having gone close to winning the title last season and whilst they can go well again they look too short in the betting for me. There are two teams I like here both at double figure prices. I have put Weston-Super-Mare up for the last couple of seasons and they underperformed in the Covid season and it was looking like being more of the same last season, but then they really hit form later on in the season. Indeed, you only have to take the opening 12 games off their total and they would have finished 2nd behind champions Taunton. If they can carry last season's form into this one and they have evolved the squad nicely over the summer, then just maybe this is the year they can finally get promoted. The other team I like is Gosport who clearly have plenty of money to spend this season. They were originally put in at a stupidly big price and whilst that has long gone, I still think they are value because they have one of the best squads in the division and the odds don't reflect that.   NB As far as I know only Bet365 and William Hill have priced up the Step 3 divisions.   Solihull Moors 1pt e/w @ 11/1 with Bet365 Southend 0.75pts e/w 22/1 with Skybet Woking 0.25pts e/w @ 61/1 with Skybet and 50/1 everywhere else (sadly the 80/1 with Paddy Power and Betfair is win only) York 0.25pts e/w @ 40/1 with everyone Ollie Palmer to be top goalscorer 0.5pts e/w @ 16/1 with Bet365   National League South Havant & Waterlooville 1pt e/w @ 16/1 with Betfred Worthing 0.75pts @ 12/1 with William Hill Welling 0.5pts @ 80/1 with Betfred   National League North AFC Fylde 2pts @ 4/1 with Skybet Kings Lynn 1pt e/w @ 12/1 with Bet365, Coral and Ladbrokes Buxton 0.5pts e/w @ 33/1 with Coral, Ladbrokes and Bet365   Northern Premier League Radcliffe 0.75pts e/w @ 25/1 with Bet365 Warrington Town 0.75pts e/w @ 16/1 with Bet365   Isthmian Premier Bishops Stortford 1.5pts e/w @ 12/1 with Bet365 Bognor Regis 1pt @ 8/1 with Bet365 Southern Premier Central Tamworth 2pts e/w @ 6/1 with Bet365 Rushall 0.5pts @ 13/2 with William Hill   Southern Premier South Weston-Super-Mare 1pt e/w @ 16/1 with Bet365 Gosport 1pt e/w @ 10/1 with Bet365
  4. Like
    Gidds reacted to Darran in Non-League Ante Post 2022/23   
    I am happy enough with Kings Lynn and Fylde in the National League North, but I have to add Gloucester to the bets. As I mentioned last week getting Steve King in as boss is a huge statement for me and with the league looking weak this year and Gloucester only 5 points off the league it would be no surprise if they couldn't get in the top 3 at the very least. He has already transformed the way the team play and Phillips who looked awful under our last manager has now scored 4 in 2 games under King. Alfreton's goal last week came from a free kick which the keeper basically threw the ball into the net and although Alfreton had a lot of possession in the last 15 minutes of the game the defence was very robust. With King set to improve the squad in the coming weeks I think we will only get better and thus at 33/1 I have had to have a bet. 25/1 is available with Bet365 is also worth taking if you can only get on with them.   National League North Gloucester 0.5pts e/w @ 33/1 with William Hill and Skybet
  5. Like
    Gidds reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions - 15th October   
    Blyth Spartans v Wrexham Clearly Wrexham should be odds on to win this, but I can't resist having a small bet on the home team at 20/1. We know Wrexham don't travel well and although Blyth are hardly one of the better Step 2 sides they might be able to cause them some problems. I'm not sure Parkinson will want to risk some of his stars either which will as well. Also if Wrexham defend as well as they did against Barnet last week then Blyth have a great chance of getting a goal at the very least.   Barnet v Weston-Super-Mare Speaking of Barnet they clearly didn't defend very well either and are conceding goals for fun at the moment. The have let in 20 goals in their last 4 games and have kept just 2 clean sheets all season as well. Weston are having a cracking season so far and are the leading scorers in their league at the moment. They have real quality up front who if Barnet give them a chance can take full advantage. Barnet are scoring goals and whilst Weston will be facing very different players from who they face in the league, they have only conceded 7 goals this season. If they defend strongly then they could keep Barnet fairly quiet on that front. This is a tricky game for the home side and Weston are a spot of value to cause an upset.   Beckenham v Dagenham & Redbridge I am going to this game on Saturday as they are one of my local sides. I hadn't been to a Beckenham game prior to this season and I have been to see them in two earlier rounds of the competition including the previous round where they beat Binfield 5-3. Beckenham won their league last season and are playing at Step 4 for the 1st time. They are doing well as well and only lost their first game last Saturday when having 10 men for a lot of the game didn't help. They beat Dartford in the 2nd qualifying round so have already caused one upset and I think they have a chance of causing an even bigger one here. They have some good players in their team and striker Louis Theopanous would be the pick of them. He has been around Non-League for a while now and he is capable of scoring goals. I'm certain he will get chances in this game as Dagenham love to concede chances. York had an xG of 3 against them on Tuesday night and really should have beaten them as the game ended 1-1. Apart from beating Chesterfield, Dagenham's away form has been pretty bad and with them suffering from a few injuries I just wonder if McMahon wont want to risk some of his stars. I suspect there will be plenty of goals in the game as both teams have seen plenty of goals in their games season. Dagenham will be dreading this game and I think Beckenham have it in them to reach the 1st round for the first time in what will be their 7th game in the competition already.   Boreham Wood v Wealdstone Last week we were on Wealdstone to win at home against Boreham Wood and they lost 2-1. The first half Wealdstone weren't great, but they were much better in the 2nd half especially after they went 2 down. The Boreham Wood 2nd goal was from a rebound from a penalty and then it was pretty much all Wealdstone. Their assistant manager said that he thought they had been excellent again and that they aren't getting the rewards for the performances. That they had 8 good chances to their four and should have had a stonewall penalty. He also thought they dominated the game and should have won and whilst that is probably stretching a bit, they did more than enough to get a point at least. I'm happy to back them again here as I think last week proved their isn't much between the two sides and after their good run in the FA Cup last season I reckon the priority will be the league for the home side whereas Wealdstone will see this as a good chance to pick up some money.   Buxton v Hyde This was a league game last season and I could have understood the prices then because Hyde weren't great last term and Buxton won the league. This season though Buxton are struggling to win matches in National League North, indeed at home they have only won once and have drawn 4 times. Hyde have been doing much better in the league this time around and have only lost twice whilst recording some good victories. They did lose to a team from the league below in the FA Trophy last week, but I would imagine this game was a distraction as it is a good chance for them to get into the 1st round. Buxton clearly should be favourites, but there isn't as big a difference as the bookies have in my view.   Maidenhead v Eastbourne This is just the type of game that Maidenhead will lose. They thrive in the big games against the big clubs, but play against a lesser side in the league and they tend to struggle. Maybe it being the Cup they will perform better, but I think it is worth taking a chance on Eastbourne causing an upset. As I highlighted last week Eastbourne are very inconsistent and it was one of their better performances when they ended up beating Weymouth 5-1 after going a goal down. If they are at their best and Maidenhead under perform then an upset has a decent chance of happening.   South Shields v Scunthorpe South Sheilds have got a very good side this season and one who would be in play-off contention in National League North in my view. I know Scunthorpe have improved since the change of manager, but I suspect there probably isn't a huge amount between these two sides and certainly not as much as the odds suggest so I am happy to back the home side to cause an upset.   Alfreton v Gloucester (National League North) I am backing my own side here who are a big price to beat Alfreton on Saturday. The home side have been hard to beat at home this season with only Chorley leaving with 3 points, but Gloucester getting Steve King in as manager is a huge plus for me. Over the years I have always let it known what a big fan I am of King at this level as he has proven time and time again what a good manager he is. He usually gets his sides into the play-offs at the very least and I am expecting a big improvement to come. I wasn't sure what would happen last week against Southport so I left the game alone and City came from 2 goals down to win 3-2 which was impressive especially given King had yet to sign any players. I am expecting new players to arrive although I also expect they wont be announced until Saturday so I have no names as of yet. What was good to see last week were the positive tactics that were used compared to the negative tactics of the previous manager. I don't think there is much between these two sides at all and the odds don't reflect that so I am happy to back an away win.   Blyth Spartans 0.5pts @ 20/1 with Skybet, Paddy Power and Betfair (take up to 12/1) Weston-Super-Mare 1pt @ 100/30 with Betfair and Paddy Power (take up to 11/4) Beckenham 1pt @ 13/2 with William Hill, Betfair, Paddy Power and Betfred (15/2 with BetVictor and 7/1 with Skybet take up to 5/1) Wealdstone 1pt @ 29/10 with Betfair (take up to 2/1) Hyde 1pt @ 4/1 with William Hill, Betfair, Paddy Power (take up to 5/2) Eastbourne 1pt @ 3/1 with Paddy Power, William Hill, Betfair, Coral, Ladbrokes and Betfred (take up 11/5) South Shields 1pt @ 13/5 with Bet365 (14/5 with William Hill and take up to 2/1) Gloucester 1pt @ 100/30 with Bet365 (take up to 2/1)
  6. Like
    Gidds reacted to StefanBB in Europa League Predictions > Oct 13th   
    Manchester United vs Omonia
    Based on their previous result, Manchester United will be hoping for more of the same after a 2-1 Premier League triumph against Everton. That was their second straight win, and the Red Devils are currently fifth in the English top flight. It has been a rare occasion in recent games that Manchester United hasn’t conceded. In fact, Manchester United has seen its defense breached in 5 of their previous six clashes, leaking 11 goals along the way. Nevertheless, it seems they got back on the winning track, and the hosts want to pick up where they left off. Donny van de Beek has recently been on the sidelines with a muscular problem, but the midfielder is back in light training and has a chance of being in the squad for this match.
    Following on from a losing effort in their last game against AEL Limassol in the First Division competition, Omonia Nicosia will be aiming to make amends here. The visitors cannot be happy with their start in the domestic championship since they lost three times in six rounds. Neil Lennon's Omonia Nicosia has seen its goal attempts be successful a total of 10 times in the course of their last six matches. The aggregate of goals that have been scored against them during those same clashes comes to 8. Due to a completely injury-free group available to select from, the Omonia Nicosia manager Neil Lennon doesn’t have any fitness concerns at all before this clash.
    Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            
    The Red Devils are firm favorites in this clash, and we believe they won’t allow any unpleasant surprises. Manchester United should beat Omonia by at least two goals.
    Goals Market Prediction
    The home side has been involved in many high-scoring matches, mostly due to its poor defending. Therefore, we think the crowd should enjoy at least four goals in total on Thursday evening. 
    Manchester United AH -2 @ 1.50
    Over 3.5 FT @ 1.90
    Correct score 4:0 @ 7.50
  7. Like
    Gidds reacted to StefanBB in Europa League Predictions > Oct 13th   
    Ferencvaros vs Crvena zvezda
    Ferencvárosi TC will be looking for a repeat result of a 2-0 Nemzeti Bajnokság I triumph vs Debreceni VSC. That win broke the home side's run of two straight defeats. Stanislav Cherchesov's Ferencvárosi TC have hit the back of the net a total of 10 times over their preceding six outings. Conversely, the tally of goals that they have conceded in that same time is 8. It doesn't get much better regarding selection, with just the lone fitness concern for the Ferencvárosi TC coach Stanislav Cherchesov to be concerned with from an almost fully healthy group. Adnan Kovacevic (Pulled hamstring at the adductors) won't play.
    Crvena zvezda will go into the encounter following a 3-0 SuperLiga win in the defeat of Spartak Zlatibor Voda in their most recent game. The away side is still undefeated in the Serbian top-flight, while a convincing 4-1 win over the same rival last Thursday kept them in the game for a knockout stage ticket. Over the course of their previous six clashes, Crvena zvezda has bagged a tally of 15 goals. The visitors have also not failed to score in every single one of those games. During that period, they've had four goals go against them. Crvena zvezda wants to repeat the last week's performance and improve its chances for the top-two finish. Owing to a fully injury-free group available to select from, the Crvena zvezda boss Miloš Milojević doesn't have any fitness concerns at all ahead of this clash.
    Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            
    It is going to be an interesting clash in which both sides have a chance to secure a positive result. However, the visitors have more experience in these matches, and we think they can return to Belgrade with all three points.
    Goals Market Prediction
    Both sides have quite a strong attacking potential, and the crowd should expect to see an entertaining match. We don't believe either team will keep the clean sheet in this encounter. 
    Crvena zvezda to Win @ 2.85
    BTTS Yes @ 1.75
    Correct score 1:3 @ 23.00
  8. Like
    Gidds reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > 8th October   
    I'd be very wary of Weymouth. They had a very good win in the FA Cup against Welling last week and I think the change of manager will see a change of results as last week hinted at. I'm not sure I'd want to be backing Eastbourne at short odds against them myself.
  9. Like
    Gidds reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > 8th October   
    Bromley v Gateshead Bromley look a fantastic bet this weekend. I wasn't sure about them earlier in the season and even though they are unbeaten at home they were struggling for goals early on. They drew 0-0 with Altrincham and then they only scored 1 goal against Torquay and Scunthorpe in two victories. Given they are 3 of the worst teams in the division you would have hoped for more. The goals have finally come though and they have beaten Eastleigh 2-1 and then Maidstone and Oldham 3-0. That was at home, but away from home they had been awful including losing 4-1 at Dagenham. However, in their last 2 away games which were last Saturday and Tuesday, they have drawn 2-2 at Solihull and won 2-0 at Boreham Wood. In that Solihull game they conceded 2 goals in injury so they really ought to have won as well. They have crept into 5th in the table and now they are scoring goals they are looking dangerous and possible play-off contenders at this stage. Gateshead have been pretty poor away from home so far this season. They did well enough in their opening game at Dagenham when getting a draw, but they have then lost at Dorking, Wrexham (understandable) and Halifax. They did win their last game against Maidenhead which was on the TV, but it wasn't a great game and Bromley are certainly better than them. I don't think they have played well since beating Maidstone 4-1 which was 5 games ago and Maidstone have been poor away from home. They lost 3-1 at home to Altrincham on Tuesday night and I think they will lose this as well. I think they should be much shorter than even money for this.   Wealdstone v Boreham Wood I don't get the prices for this game at all. Boreham Wood are clear favourites, but I think the home side should be. I know that Boreham Wood have yet to lose on the road, but they haven't really convinced in their last 2 away games when drawing at Gateshead and Yeovil. Also when they won 1-0 at Torquay it was the one game where Torquay were actually a bit unlucky as they had an xG of over 3 against them. They struggled in the first half against Maidstone last week although they were better in the 2nd half, but as mentioned above they lost to Bromley on Tuesday night. What is also key is they have a lot of injuries at the moment and that might mean they lose their first away game of the season. Every Wealdstone game has either been a draw or has been won by either team by a single goal which shows how hard they are to beat especially as they have only lost twice. Granted they have come in their last 3 games, but Southend and Solihull are two of the better sides in the league and I think better than Boreham Wood. 2/1 about a home win looks a fantastic price.   Hampton & Richmond v Welling I don't get the prices in this game either as Welling look too big to beat Hampton. One of my ante-post bets for the season Welling have been doing very well given they were 66/1. They have only lost twice and that was to Worthing and Chelmsford who are both above them in the table and Welling are 5th. They have drawn in their last 2 league games, but the first was a cracking 2-2 with Havant and the other was a 1-1 draw with Dover where they had an xG of 2.61 and had 24 shots so they really ought to have won. Granted they were poor in the FA Cup last week at Weymouth when losing 3-0, but they needed a replay to beat Fisher in the previous round and Fisher are a Step 5 side so clearly they have underperformed in the Cup compared to their league form. Hampton have lost half their games in the league and won just 3 of them. They just aren't as good as Welling for me who have are unbeaten so far away from home in the league having won 3 of their 4 games on the road.    Bromley 4pts @ Evs with Bet365, William Hill and Ladbrokes (21/20 with Betfred and 57/50 if you have a Unibet account and take up to 8/13) Wealdstone 2.5pts @ 2/1 with William Hill (21/10 with Betfred and take up to 11/8) Welling 3pts @ 11/5 with Bet365 (23/10 at Coral and Ladbrokes and take up to 6/4)
  10. Like
    Gidds reacted to Bedlam in Non-League Predictions > 8th October   
    There are a trio of attractive prospects for me in National League South.
    Dartford  are odds against to win at Dulwich Hamlet, who's desperate form this season, saw them sack their manager of 13 years, Gavin Rose. , their victory over the struggling Cheshunt ended a run of six league defeats, whilst 3rd placed Dartford are living up to their billing as one of the promotion favourites.
    Braintree,  one of the favourites for relegation before a ball was kicked have been the surprise package of the league so far, currently sitting 8th in the league, go to Dover, who continued their desperate form of last season, until they stopped the rot with a win & a draw in their last two games. Braintree's matches have been entertaining, and they've been playing expansive football home and away, winning more than they've lost are the outsiders in this match, and represent value for me.
    Eastbourne  at odds-against have to be value to beat Weymouth, who have only picked up 2 points this season with a goal difference of -15. Mid-table Eastbourne, who are expected to be challenging for promotion in May, are my main bet of the day.
  11. Like
    Gidds reacted to StevieDay1983 in Championship Predictions > Oct 4th & 5th   
    Cardiff vs Blackburn
    The Championship action is back again for a midweek dose of pain and torture but that's just me talking as a Cardiff fan. My team host Blackburn in an 8pm BST kick-off on Tuesday night at the Cardiff City Stadium. Fortunately, I'm at a wedding later so I won't be able to attend. Unfortunately, the wedding party are all season ticket holders so ensuring a live feed of the game is being putting on! 
    Cardiff are a team that were moving in such a positive direction under Steve Morison and even though results weren't going our way and the scoring issue was a persistent problem there was a feeling that overall things were improving. Morison has now gone and he's been replaced by fan favourite and former club captain Mark Hudson. The bad news is that Hudson is clearly not managerial material and is better-suited to coaching. It's also annoyed the fans that there was reportedly a chance to bring in Sol Bamba as a coach (he's impressed a lot of people apparently) but the board have opted for the cheaper option of Joe Ledley. Dark times. The team are down in 18th place and just 2 points above the relegation zone. We were very lucky to scab a 1-1 draw at home to Burnley on the weekend and it's now just 1 win from the last 8 league games. Enthusiasm amongst the fans is already waning.
    Blackburn have been the epitome of inconsistency so far this season. I had doubts about the appointment of Jon Dahl Tomasson as their new gaffer and after their pre-season and first three league games of the season I thought I'd got it horribly wrong. Rovers have since been unable to string a run of positive results together with 5 losses from their last 8 league games. The team have also lost 3 of their previous 4 league matches on the road and have only scored 1 goal in that run as well. Even when they are winning they are struggling to win matches convincingly with 4 of their last 5 victories coming by a single goal. They do still have prolific scorer Ben Brereton Diaz in their squad though after fending off all suitors on transfer deadline day so with him they always have a chance.
    I'm going to have to say that I can see Blackburn winning this one by a single goal. Cardiff just look even more cautious and negative now than we did under Morison. I really don't think Hudson is the man for the main job, as much as I like him, and I can see us just wasting opportunities to get points on the board whilst he's in caretaker charge. We should be going out to lure Rob Edwards or Chris Wilder but our board won't fork out the money for them. Blackburn to win here, hardly any action or goals. Another backwards step. Isn't football great! 
    Blackburn Draw No Bet @ 2.30 with SBK
    Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.67 with VBet
  12. Like
    Gidds reacted to Darran in Non-League predictions - Saturday 1st October   
    Dorking v Dagenham & Redbridge Dorking have seen 41 goals in their 10 games so far and Dagenham have seen 39. A lot of those goals in Dagenham games have come recently. They had 4 games on the bounce when there were 5 and then there was the 5-4 thriller against Barnet last week. 6 Dagenham games have seen over 3.5 goals and 7 Dorking goals have seen the same. Cue this game ending 0-0! Seriously though how is there not going to be lots of goals in this game given what we know about both teams. Over 3.5 is well worth backing.   Oldham v Wrexham Wrexham have been superb at home this season. Hammering some of the lesser sides in the division and only Eastleigh have given them any issues. It will be interesting to see what happens when some good sides travel to the Racecourse, but away from home they have been anything but impressive. Not surprisingly they put 5 past a Dorking side who can't defend, but they have really struggled to create chances in their other games. I'm certain as I can be that they only beat Woking because they went down to 10 men. In their other 3 away games against Yeovil, Chesterfield and Southend the highest xG they have managed is 0.45. A team of Wrexham's quality should be anywhere that level against any team in this division and it is Parkinson's fault as he is the one who does the tactics. Quite why he doesn't get them to be as attacking minded as they are at home I don't know. Oldham are no Chesterfield or Southend, but they are at least as good as Yeovil. Granted a new inexperienced manager is a concern as to if he will be able to outperform Parkinson, but they did sign John Rooney this week and that is a cracking signing at this level. Clearly Wrexham should be favourites and are the most likely winners, but at 5/1 I am happy to take a chance Unsworth can get his first win in charge.   Torquay v Scunthorpe There does seem to be a bit of improvement from Scunthorpe and given I think Torquay are basically the worst side in the division at the moment I will back the away win here. The sacking of Keith Hill has worked and they did well to come from 2 down against Dorking to end up winning 3-2. That was their first win since the opening day of the season and that will give them great confidence. Torquay really are lucky to have any points this season given how they have been playing and more than happy to take them on again.   Double Notts County host Altrincham and Chesterfield host Maidenhead this weekend and both look home bankers. Even at a shade of odds on both look good bets. Granted Chesterfield were lucky to win at Maidstone last week, but back at home against a side who travel poorly they really ought to be winning. It was good to see Tshimanga back as well last week and he took his goal well. County were good at York and put the freak result against Dorking behind them. Altrincham needed a penalty against 10-man Aldershot to get their 1st win of the season and Aldershot were poor. Again, it would be a big surprise if it wasn't a home win. I'm happy to even take a shade of odds on about the double.   Boreham Wood v Maidstone The live game doesn't exactly look like it is going to be a cracker. Strangely Boreham Wood aren't doing all that well at home this season given that is usually their strong point. They have drawn to Altrincham and lost to Aldershot. They only beat Maidenhead 1-0 although they did get a deserved point against Notts County. I do think they will win this though as Maidstone have not been good on the road this season. They have lost their last 2 4-1 at Gateshead and 3-0 at Bromley and I don't think we will see the same Maidstone performance as we saw last week against Chesterfield. However, I am not sure we are going to see many goals here as Boreham Wood rarely score heavily and I think there is a spot of value in backing them to win and for there to be under 2.5 goals in the game.    Leamington v AFC Telford (National League North) I am really keen on Leamington here and more than happy to keep on opposing Telford. Amazingly given the managerial changes at this level this week (although granted one of them was due to a certain person being charged with sexual assault!) I am surprised that Paul Carden hasn't been sacked as Telford manager. They have only scored 5 goals all season and their away form is shocking. They didn't win away at all last season and their only win this season was at home. They have had a couple of draws away from home this season, but they have only scored twice and they were especially bad in their last away game at Gloucester. Leamington have only conceded 4 goals this season so there is a very strong chance that they keep Telford out here. The slight concern is in front of goal as they managed 4 against Farsley on the opening day, but after that they have only scored 1 or not at all. They are strong at home having won 4 and lost 1 in their 5 home games and there is every chance 1 goal will be enough to see them edge it.   Dorking v Dagenham over 3.5 goals 2pts @ 31/20 with Paddy Power and Betfair (take up to 5/4) Oldham 1pt @ 5/1 with Bet365, William Hill, Coral, Betfred and Ladbrokes (take up to 7/2) Scunthorpe 1pt @ 9/5 with William Hill, Coral, Betfred and Ladbrokes (take up to 6/4) Chesterfield/Notts County 3pts @ 0.96/1 with Bet365, William Hill, Coral and Ladbrokes (take up to 8/11) Boreham Wood and Under 2.5 goals 1pt @ 100/30 with Bet365, Skybet, Paddy Power, Betfair and Coral (take up to 11/4) Leamington 3pts @ 13/10 with Paddy Power, Betfair and Betfred (take up to 10/11)
  13. Like
    Gidds reacted to Bedlam in Non-League Predictions > 24th September   
    Cheshunt will fancy their chances of ending a seven game losing streak in the league, by beating my local team Tonbridge today.  Tonbridge have an injury crisis, and had 13 players unavailable last week when they were thrashed 4-0 in the FA Cup by Binfield from two leagues below. Some players are back this week that were cup tied, but are still short of a number important players.
    Cheshunt have generally competed well during their losing run, with one goal defeats to the likes of Dartford, Worthing and Welling, and defeated St Neots in the FA cup last week.
    The odds on Cheshunt are around 3.3
  14. Like
    Gidds reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > 24th September   
    Altrincham v Aldershot I put Altrincham up last week as I thought they had a chance of beating Dagenham who had looked poor, but Altrincham didn't really put up much of a fight. They did actually record a higher xG than their hosts, but most of that was down to 3 chances they had after the game was beyond them. Granted at home they have played better and they have drawn 3 and lost just once to Chesterfield in their 4 home matches. Based on that some of you might want to look at covering the draw in the double chance or draw no bet markets, but I do think the outright win price on Aldershot is too high. They were the only winners for us last week and did it in really good style as well. Granted Halifax were poor, but they took full advantage of that. They have lost 3 of their 4 games on their travels and won their other, but they have had to go to Chesterfield and Notts County already and they have performed with credit in all their away games so far. This looks to be their easiest away fixture yet and with the Barnet and Halifax wins giving them plenty of confidence they look too big a price for me to get the 3 points.   Buxton v Chester (National League North) As I mentioned a couple of weeks ago Buxton have been disappointing as I did expect more from them. They have only won a couple of times in the league although they did beat Alfreton in the FA Cup last week. As mentioned above they were poor against Boston and I think Chester can get the better of them. I opposed them about a month ago against Peterborough Sports and although it was a winning bet Chester were unlucky not to get something out of the game. They have done well since including coming from 3 down to get a 3-3 draw against top of the table Kings Lynn. I like their chances of getting 3 points here.   Southport v Leamington (National League North) When Southport went 5 up in their opening game of the season against Boston it was a bit of a shock. The game ended up 5-3, but it has mainly been downhill since then with just 1 other win so far and a 0-0 draw against Telford. There have been some poor performances as well and they host a Leamington side who have had a fantastic start to the season. They have only lost once and have drawn all 3 of their away games which include matches at Kidderminster and Kings Lynn albeit both of them had 27 shots and xGs of over 2.5. Clearly those sides are much better than Southport though and although Leamington did lose to Nuneaton in the FA Cup last week it is hard to see how they are as big a price as they are to see off a Southport side they are better than.   Aldershot 2pts @ 5/2 with Bet365 (3/1 with Skybet and take up to 2/1) Chester 2pts @ 9/5 with Paddy Power and SBK (19/10 with Hills and take up to 11/8) Leamington 2.5pts @ 19/10 with William Hill (take up to 6/4)
  15. Like
    Gidds reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > 3rd September   
  16. Like
    Gidds reacted to StevieDay1983 in Championship Predictions > Aug 30th & 31st   
    Cardiff vs Luton
    The midweek Championship games provide some very intriguing fixtures and the one I'm focusing on is the 7:45pm BST kick-off on Tuesday night between Cardiff and Luton at the Cardiff City Stadium. It was the home team who were struggling with the away side knocking on the door of the promotion race last season but it's been a firm case of role reversal in this early stage of the season.
    Cardiff once again fell victim to possessing a lack of fire power in their 0-0 draw with Preston at home on the weekend. Steve Morison's side dominated proceedings with even the opposition manager Ryan Lowe keen to point out how impressive the Bluebirds were. Unfortunately, the Max Watters goal drought continued and another missed one-on-one from the beleaguered striker cost Cardiff 2 more points. The team are now down in 14th place but still only 1 point outside the play-offs. It's three league games without a win and no goals scored during that period but the evidence suggests that the capital city side should be placed higher in the table after a string of encouraging possession-based displays that have been hampered by the lack of a clinical finisher up top. Cardiff recorded 22 shots on goal on Saturday yet still failed to score. It's not rocket science to work out what the issue is but finding proven strikers at this level is very tough.
    Luton fell just short in the play-off chase for promotion last season but Nathan Jones deserves all the credit in the world for the work he's done with the club. The Hatters were tipped for relegation carnage last season but finished in the top 6 and punched way above expectations. A summer of departures and arrivals has arguably left the squad weaker than last season but there are still enough players at the club to make you feel they could consolidate mid-table this season. Unfortunately, Luton currently sit down in 19th position and just 1 point above the relegation zone after just 1 win from their opening 6 league games so far. Scoring goals also appears a problem for Jones's side with the club failing to even score in 50% of their league games thus far. The team did pick up a 2-0 win in their last away game which was also in Wales against Cardiff's rivals Swansea. It was a result Jones enjoyed being a Cardiff fan himself.
    When these two teams met at this ground last season it ended in a narrow 1-0 win for Luton. I'm anticipated a similarly tight affair in this one. Both teams have struggled for goals so far this season and I wouldn't be surprised to see the odd goal separate these two teams. I think if this was on a Saturday afternoon with the Cardiff City Stadium bouncing then it would end in a narrow Cardiff win. The lack of a potent finisher or any striker with some sort of self-belief is killing us and it's preventing me from feeling comfortable backing us winning.
    Draw @ 3.20 with Bet365
    Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.63 with SBK
  17. Like
    Gidds reacted to yossa6133 in Championship Predictions > Aug 30th & 31st   
    I was going to back WBA away to Wigan but the price has gone. So I'll just have a small single on Reading who keep drifting out, 5.8/1 on SBK is too big given the form they've been in for the last 3 games.
    Might do Blackpool tomorrow as Blackburn have been poor recently. 
  18. Like
    Gidds reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > 29th August   
    Didn't have time to write previews but here are my bets for this afternoon.
    Wealdstone v Yeovil - Wealdstone to win 1pt @ 31/20 with Bet365  (take up to 11/10) Barnet v Eastleigh - Eastleigh to win 1pt @ 12/5 with William Hill (13/5 with Bet365 take up to 21/10) AFC Telford v Buxton - AFC Telford to win 1pt @ 11/8 with William Hill (13/9 with SBK take up to 6/5) Alfreton v Chorley - Alfreton to win 2.5pts @ 13/8 with Skybet, Paddy Power and Betfair (17/10 with Hills and take up to 6/5) Brackley v Kidderminster - Kidderminster to win 1pt @ 2/1 with Bet365, Skybet, Paddy Power, William Hill, BetVictor and Betfair (take up to 13/8) Darlington v Farsley Celtic - Farsley to win 1pt @ 29/10 with William Hill (3/1 with Bet365 and take up to 2/1) Dulwich Hamlet v Welling - Welling to win 1pt @ 100/30 with Paddy Power and Betfair (take up to 2/1) Hungerford v Weymouth - Weymouth to win 1pt @ 3/1 with Bet365, Skybet, Paddy Power, Betfair and Betfred (take up to 2/1)
  19. Like
    Gidds reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > 27th August   
    Hailfax v Notts County As much as I thought Chesterfield should have beaten Notts County on Saturday you still have to give them credit for coming from 2 down. It was the subs made on the 60-minute mark which seemed to make the difference as it was the first time Cedwyn Scott had paired up with Langstaff after they both moved from Gateshead in the summer. Sam Austin also came on and it was Scott's pass to Austin and then Austin's superb cross which led to their 2nd goal. I'd imagine both might well start on Saturday and I think they will thrive against a struggling Halifax. Obviously, we opposed Halifax last week when they were favourites to win at Wealdstone and the bookies continue to price Halifax up as if they were last season's Halifax side who finished in the play-offs. They are though a mile away from that Halifax side with key players leaving and of course manager Pete Wild going to Barrow. They have yet to score a goal and the only game they have looked like scoring in was their defeat against Torquay where they should have won. I can't believe that County are going to give them much of look in here either and really it should be a routine victory for the away side on everything both sides have shown so far this season.   Woking v Wrexham The live game on BT Sport this Saturday is the first chance for viewers to watch the hot favourites for the title Wrexham. Wrexham fans and Phil Parkinson will have been very relieved that they put Maidstone to the sword last Saturday when they won 5-0 after what has been a very tough start to the season. It was probably the best fixture they could have had though as Maidstone were poor and made it very easy for Wrexham. Paul Mullin got a hat-trick and if you aren't playing well, he is going to have a field day. I think though that the win could well have just papered over the cracks and this game will be a much bigger test for them. This game was key last season as well as after a run of games at home which they won they then went to Woking and played poorly and lost. It was one of Darren Sarll's first games in charge of Woking as well and they have had a good start to this season as well after their defeat to York on the opening day. We were on Woking last week and they were unfortunate to lose to Barnet on Saturday. Barnet yet again created very few chances, 4, and just 2 of those were on target and they were the 2 goals. Barnet surely can't keep that up although they are at Chesterfield on Friday night and there is no value in opposing them as much as I think the home side will win. Back to this game though and I think Woking have more than enough to beat Wrexham especially if they put in the sort of performance, they have in their two away games so far this season where they have been very poor.   Gloucester City v Brackley (National League North) I am off to this game on Saturday and I do think I will be watching a home win. Gloucester have put in two good performances at home so far this season beating Boston and Peterborough Sports. Last season they were hard to beat at home as well and it was away where they struggled to pick up points especially when faced with a grass pitch. They were awful last Saturday at Blyth and for whatever reason the players just seem to struggle to play as well on grass as they can on a 3g pitch. Brackley finished 2nd in the league last season, but they look a shadow of the team who did that so far this season. Defence was their strong point last season, but after keeping a clean sheet in their opening game they have gone on to concede 7 goals, 3 of which came against Farsley on Saturday. Granted they played most of the game with 10 men, but it was still a poor performance. I'd have Gloucester as solid favourites to win this.   Scarborough v Boston (National League North) Another play-off side to be in poor form so far this season is Boston. We were really unlucky not to get paid out when I opposed them with Banbury last week and that is their only point so far this season. They were hammered 4-1 at home to Chorley last week which given Chorley hadn't really started the season stronger was a poor effort. Scarborough are unbeaten since losing to Brackley on day 1. They have beaten Hereford and Fylde and came back from 2 down to get a deserved point against Bradford Park Avenue. They deservedly beat Fylde last week as well away from home and back at home they can heap more misery on Boston.   Spennymoor v Darlington (National League North) Darlington's average xG for the season is 0.81 and they are yet to have a figure higher than 0.89 whilst their xG against is averaging at 1.29. If that continues, then clearly, they are going to lose more games than they win. I'm annoyed I didn't oppose them last week with Banbury who beat them 2-1, but I will take them on this week. Spennymoor got their first win of the season last week at Leamington and they are probably a bit unfortunate not to have more points on the board. After conceding 3 on the opening day in a draw against Hereford they have limited their opponents to xG's of 0.26, 0.2 and 0.43. Given Darlington are struggling to create chances it could well be that 1 goal is enough.   Notts County 2pts @ 5/4 with Bet365, Betfred, Betfair, Paddy Power, Ladbrokes and Coral (take up to Evs) Woking 1pt @ 11/4 with Bet365 (SBK are 14/5 and take up to 11/5) Gloucester City 2pts @ 9/5 with Skybet and SBK (19/10 with Hills and take up to 5/4) Scarborough 1pt @ 7/5 with Coral and Ladbrokes (Bet365 are 29/20 and take up to 5/4) Spennymoor 1pt @ 6/5 with SBK, Coral and William Hill (take up to Evs)
  20. Like
    Gidds reacted to bromsgrovegreen in Non-League Predictions > 20th August   
    Went to Bromsgrove  v Alvechurch  on Tuesday night, it was a cracking game in monsoon conditions with Bromsgrove winning 3-1... They rode their luck early doors as Alvechurch could have been two or three up early doors but after that Bromsgrove played really well. Alvechurch  are a decent side despite two back to back defeats and I fancy them at evens to beat a struggling Rushden side today at Lye Meadow.
     
  21. Like
    Gidds reacted to ipswich45 in Non-League Predictions > 20th August   
    thanks for giving us the kiss of death there Darran ? 

    As a steward for Sports i dont think anyone at the club could have wrote the start we have had having drawn first game of the season at home against buxton and with us having to play 43 mins with 10 men then as you say beating Southport,  Today will be an interesting game our first time having to segregate supporters (its not compulsory for all games just `high profile' ones  -  i would happily take a point today however

    on a side note its nice to see the side who came up with us from the Southern League Central Banbury doing fantastic and shows both sides are not there just to make the numbers up 

    Sports coming up play Kidderminster (A) and Kings Lynn (H) after today
  22. Like
    Gidds reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > 20th August   
    Some of these prices have gone, but as always a min price is given for a guide as what to take.
    Barnet v Woking
    Not sure many people would have had Dean Brennan's Barnet as toping the table after 3 games, but that is where they are after wins against Bromley and Yeovil and a draw at Gateshead in between the two victories. However, when we look at the stats, I think they are over achieving at the moment. Halifax were awful against them in the opening day of the season only having an xG of 0.13 although Barnet's was just 0.81 albeit they scored twice. They have actually score twice in all 3 games so far and against Gateshead they had their highest xG of the season with 1.34, but they only had 5 shots during the game and Gateshead managed a higher xG. Then against Yeovil on Tuesday night they only had an xG of 0.88 and had just 7 shots. They have the finishing of Nicke Kabamba to thank as he scored both goals and his chip over the keeper for his 2nd was sublime. Yeovil really should have beaten them though as their xG was 1.72 and they created some really good chances. Clearly Barnet have been very clinical so far, but that won't last and I think Woking have got a huge chance of beating them here. I was confident they would beat Scunthorpe on Tuesday and they easily won 2-0. They had a massive 22 shots during the game and had an xG of 1.9. Kyran Lofthouse got both goals and his finish for the 2nd was great from a narrow angle. The one sight concern is that they were so bad in their opening game of the season at York and this is their first away game since, but it would be harsh to judge from a sample of one especially as it was the first game of the campaign. Woking have already been really well backed and you could have got as big as 5/2 which in all honestly would have been a max bet for me. The value isn't as big now so the stakes will not be as big, but I still make them a bet.
     
    Dorking v Gateshead
    3 games for Dorking and every game has not only been over 2.5 goals, but they have been over 3.5 goals! It was 4 in the opening game against Chesterfield and then 5 on the TV last Saturday against Oldham. On Tuesday night they made it 6 goals in a 4-2 victory over Maidstone. Not surprisingly we saw two big xG's with them having 2.81 and 2.82 from 19 and 22 shots respectively. If they want to follow the pattern then this game should have 7 goals on Saturday although I will settle for their just being over 2.5 goals again. I have mentioned on Twitter how I think we will see plenty of goals in Dorking games this season because of the way Marc White sets up the team. He has them as being very attacking and that means they will score goals, but it also leaves them short at the back as we have seen and Gateshead are more than capable of exploiting that Gateshead did really well to get a point against Notts County on Tuesday night and not surprisingly they weren't as attacking as they had been in their other two games against Barnet and Dagenham & Redbridge which both ended in 2-2 draws. I'm not sure I have ever put up an over 2.5 goals as it just isn't something I usually focus on, but here we have two teams capable of goals, but also capable of conceding goals if this game doesn't have over 2.5 goals we will have been very unfortunate. Also, crucially I don't think the bookies have caught up yet with how many goals we will see in Dorking games this season so I am happy to back over 2.5 goals here.
     
    Notts County v Chesterfield
    This is the live game on Saturday tea-time and it should be a cracker given we have two sides who ought to be in the play-offs at the very least come April. County have dominated possession in all 3 games they have played so far having recorded 74%. 75% and 69%. The problem is that possession hasn't been turned into victories and actually their lowest xG has come in their one victory so far against Maidenhead. Macaulay Langstaff scored two good goals against Maidenhead, but he hasn't looked quite as threatening in the other two games and I do wonder if he is going to be the main striker that they are looking for. Chesterfield didn't need Tshimanga on Tuesday night as he stayed on the bench, but they didn't need to risk him given they had a very comfortable 2-0 victory over Wrexham. I will talk more about how bad Wrexham were in the preview on their game, but Chesterfield had little problem in beating them recording a huge 21 shots for an xG of 1.76. Last season I thought Paul Cook looked clueless when he came in as Chesterfield manager, but the evidence on the first 3 games of the season is that he has learnt from last season and I might have got him wrong. I think this game is much closer than has been priced up so I am happy to back Chesterfield here.
     
    Torquay v Boreham Wood
    I'm really surprised by how bad Torquay have been so far this season. I really like Gary Johnson as a manager at this level as you probably know. Granted they lost some key players over the summer, but I trusted Johnson to get the right players in. The evidence so far is that apart from the goalkeeper Mark Halstead he looks to have a pretty weak team. Halstead's xCG is 5.48 so far this season and yet he has conceded just 1 goal. That goal came against Bromley on Tuesday night and it was a wonder strike which no keeper would have saved. The problem is he isn't always going to save them and the xG's against them really does tell a story. Against Oldham it was 1.81, against Halifax it was 3.31 and Bromley even topped that at a huge 4.46! Torquay's xG's have been 0.84, 0.33 and 0.36. The fact they beat Halifax last Saturday will be one of the most fortunate victories we will see this season as Halifax dominated them. I put Boreham Wood up to beat Aldershot on Tuesday and was very surprised they lost to them 2-1, but they will consider themselves unlucky as Aldershot's xG was only 0.79 and they only had 3 shots on target. Wood's xG was 1.83 and they had 19 shots. For me they are a better side than Torquay and the odds don't reflect that at all. Obviously, I am worried about Halstead's form, but there is no way Wood should be such a big price for this game and hopefully they can find the breakthrough.
     
    Wealdstone v Halifax
    It's been a very mixed back from Wealdstone this season as they have been really good twice when beating Bromley and Oldham, but they were awful when losing 1-0 in between to Eastleigh. An xG in that game of 0.03 tells you all you need to know about how well they played. The were good on the opening day of the season though winning 3-2 and then they did really well to win at Oldham on Tuesday night. The move for the 2nd goal could well end up as the best team goal we see all season in the National League. There was a huge 23 passes leading up to the goal and it is very unusual to see that sort of thing at this level even from the sides who like to pass the ball around. I thought they made some decent signings in the summer and they certainly have their strongest looking squad since getting promoted. Halifax obviously had that really high xG against Torquay, but I have a feeling that is more down to how bad Torquay are rather than how good Halifax are. They created very little against Barnet on the opening day and then on Tuesday night their main chance came from the Southend keeper giving the ball away so it wasn't even something they created. It was a game were both teams seemed to cancel each other out as there was little goalmouth action with Southend's only decent chance coming from the penalty spot. Halifax are strong favourites for the game and I just don't think they should be and these two sides are much closer ability wise than the betting suggests
     
    Wrexham v Maidstone
    Phil Parkinson is under huge pressure now and I think if Wrexham don't win this game then he might well be sacked. After Tuesday night's effort against Chesterfield the fans on Twitter were pretty unanimous about wanting him out and I totally agree with them. Based on their 3 performances so far this season it is clear to me that they won't win the league whilst he is still in charge. I even think he might have lost the dressing room given how poor they were against Yeovil and Chesterfield. Yeovil you could possibly forgive a little given how hot it was, but the effort on Tuesday was unforgivable given you are playing against one of your possible title rivals. They managed 7 shots, but all bar two of those were blocked and their xG was just 0.2! This is coming from a team who have Paul Mullin and Ollie Palmer in their side. They are clearly very short for this game and in truth they should win it given how superior their side is, but if it doesn't start going their way then the fans are going to get on the players backs quickly and the pressure will be huge. Maidstone lost out in that high scoring game with Dorking on Tuesday night, but that could have gone either way and they did well in their first two games against York and Altrincham. Clearly this is a very different contest to those 3 matches and in theory they should lose, but I think at a huge price they are worth chancing to pile more misery on Parkinson and Wrexham.
     
    Woking 3pts @ 31/20 with Bet365 (8/5 with William Hill and take up to 11/10)
    Dorking v Gateshead over 2.5 goals 4pts @ 17/20 with William Hill and Bet365 (take up to 4/7)
    Chesterfield 1pt @ 21/10 with Coral, Betfred and Ladbrokes (take up to 7/4)
    Boreham Wood 2pts @ 2/1 with BetVictor, William Hill, Paddy Power, Betfair, Coral and Ladbrokes (Betfred are 11/5 and take up to 6/4)
    Wealdstone 2pts @ 12/5 with Betfred and William Hill (take up to 6/4)
    Maidstone 1pt @ 17/2 with Bet365, William Hill and Betfred (9/1 with Coral and Ladbrokes take up to 5/1)
     
    Cheshunt v St Albans (National League South) St Albans have done very little in 3 games so far and have not created much at all. Cheshunt haven't started life at this level too badly at all including beating Hampton. They look way over priced here.   Hungerford v Eastbourne (National League South) Just 2 goals in Hungerford games so far as they have had two 1-0 defeats and a 0-0 draw. Eastbourne meanwhile have seen plenty of goals in their games having scored 8 of them themselves. They did concede 4 against Bath and 3 against Ebbsfleet on Tuesday night, but given Hungerford haven't scored at all yet you get the feeling 1 goal might just be enough. They certainly look a better side than their hosts and happy to back them.   Peterborough Sports v Chester (National League North) I would make the home side favourites for this. They did deserve to lose to Gloucester on Tuesday, but as their manager said after the game their players had to go straight from work and Peterborough to Gloucester is not a quick journey. They still did fairly well though and they were especially impressive against Southport last Saturday. I'm not sure Chester are that great this season and I'm happy to take them on here.   Bowers & Pitsea v Herne Bay (Isthmian League) Bowers look a very poor side this season and they have lost both games so far. Herne had to play on Sunday and Tuesday. They lost to Potters Bar 1-0 but had an outfield player in goal for the last half hour or so. For them to then go and win 4-2 against Haringey just a couple of days later was a hell of an effort and odds against looks well worth taking.   Potters Bar v Billericay (Isthmian League) Speaking of Potters Bar they are value to win this game. After that win they only lost 1-0 to Bishops Stortford which given they are one of my bets for the title was a good effort just a couple of days after their opening game. They look way over priced against a Billericay side who lost to league newcomers Aveley on Tuesday having beaten Cray on the opening day.   Cheshunt 1pt @ 9/4 with William Hill, Paddy Power and Betfair (12/5 with Bet365 and take up to 7/4) Eastbourne 2pts @ 6/5 with Skybet, Paddy Power, Betfair, Coral, Betfred and Ladbrokes (13/10 with Hills and take up to 10/11) Peterborough Sports 1pt @ 7/4 with Skybet, BetVictor and Betfred (9/5 with Hills and take up to 6/4) Herne Bay 2pts @ 11/10 with Betfair and Paddy Power (take up to 10/11) Potters Bar 1pt @ 14/5 with Betfair and Paddy Power (take up to 2/1)
  23. Like
    Gidds reacted to bromsgrovegreen in Darren knows his stuff   
    Waiting for his tips for tomorrow ?
  24. Like
    Gidds reacted to PercyP in Darren knows his stuff   
    With the lower leagues playing on Tuesday and Wednesday I decided to place a bet on them.
    Not knowing much about the lower leagues I relied on Darren’s Ante-post write up and went for teams highlighted by Darren.
    Tamworth (Won) Weston Super Mare (Won) Hornchurch (Won) Gosport (Won) Hayes (Won)
    Bishop Stortford (Won) and Bognor Regis (Drew 2-2).
    Thanks Darren.
  25. Like
    Gidds reacted to bromsgrovegreen in Non-League Predictions > 13th August   
    Needham Market are at home to my side Bromsgrove Sporting. We lost 2-1 last Saturday at home to perennial strugglers St Ives which doesn't bode well although it's still very early days. It was a poor game tbh,not much quality.
    Needham are 10-11 which is worth a small bet imo
     
     
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