vikki37

Ashleigh Barty to win the 1st quarter at 2.87 with bet365
Barty will face Kovinic in the 1st round, Sorribes/Gavrilova in the 2nd round, S.Zheng/Krejcikova/Trevisan/Alexandrova in the 3rd round, Kontaveit/Sasnovich/Kr.Pliskova/Watson/F.Jones/Rogers/Danilovic/Martic in the 4th round and Bencic/Davis/Kuznetsova/Strycova/Zhu/Osuigwe/Leylah/Mertens/Muchova/Ostapenko/Barthel/Cocciaretto/Collins/Bogdan/Paolini/Ka.Pliskova in the QFs. IMO I don't see too many players there who can beat her and she has a big advantage: she can win most of the players  without even playing good... Alexandrova in the 3rd round could trouble her a little bit but I can't imagine her winning the match. Then Kontaveit, Rogers and Martic in the 4th round. I watched her against Rogers and despite dropping a set against her the sensation of superiority was clear. Martic is far from her best form and Kontaveit hasn't showed her best tennis recently either so I don't see them as big threats for Barty. In the QFs the player I fear the most is Mertens. I don't expect too much from Karolina Pliskova, and Bencic's form is really poor as well. Collins is a player to be considered but, as I said, I think Barty has been lucky with the draw and I expect her to win this quarter.
Danielle Collins (vs Bogdan) + Iga Swiatek (vs Rus) at 1.61 with 888
Bogdan ended 2020 with a negative record (7-8). She has played a couple of matches here, winning against Rakhimova and losing against Barty, both in straight sets. As I said before, Collins has played her best tennis ever here in Australia and she has done well recently, winning against Bonaventure, Stojanovic and Karolina Pliskova. She finally lost against Serena but she took a set from her (2-6, 6-4, 6-10). 
Rus' record in Australia is pretty bad and she hasn't done well recently.
She lost her last match played here against Venus (6-1, 6-3) and she also lost in the 1s round in Abu Dhabi against Xiyu Wang. Swiatek has played a couple of matches here. She won against her best friend Kaja Juvan in the 1st round but then lost in 2 sets against Alexandrova. The current RG champion did well here the last year. She won against Babos, Carla Suárez Navarro and Vekic, all of them in straight sets, and finally lost against Kontaveit in a tight match.
Victoria Azarenka (vs Pegula) + Nadia Podoroska (vs McHale) at 1.82 with 888
Azarenka has withdrawn from her QFs match against Kontaveit. She said she had a lower back problem but it's pretty obvious she had nothing and she did to be fit for the AO. Osaka also has withdrawn from her match against Mertens... They just don't want to risk the AO. Pegula's record on hard courts is impressive, but the 99% of her victories are on american soil. The only time she has played the AO 
was in 2020 and she lost in 2 sets against Towsend while Azarenka has won the whole tournament 2 times... Pegula has won here against Mladenovic and Barthel, and she has lost against Kenin in a 3 set match. In Abu Dhabi she lost in the 1st round against Svitolina, in straight sets. Azarenka has won her only match here against Putintseva. Despite being Pegula a good hard court player it would shock me a lot to see Azarenka losing this match considering how good she has been playing, especially in the USO. McHale was one of the players who was under a strict quarantine. She has  lost in her only match played here against Kontaveit (1-6, 3-6) and that's the only one she has played since RG. As I said before, Podoroska is in her best moment right now. She has won here against Jones, Minnen and Kvitova. She finally lost against Vondrousova despite taking the 1st set.
Sorana Cirstea to beat Patricia Maria Tig at 1.52 with 888
Cirstea is in a good form. She comes from winning an ITF tournament in Dubai, where she beat Blinkova, Cocciaretto, Krejcikova, Hercog and Siniakova. She has won against Kalashnikova and Bencic, both in 2 sets, and she's still to play against Ann Li in so she's currently in a 7 winning streak. Tig has lost the only match she has played here against Babos (6-7, 3-6). Cirstea is in a good form and feels so much better than Tig on hard courts so I expect her to win this match.
Barbora Krejcikova to beat Saisai Zheng at 1.53 with 888
I haven't seen Saisai for a while... looks like she has been a little bit inactive due to the pandemic. She has played 1 match here, against Begu (6-3, 5-7, 4-6) and then she has no matches played since February 2020. In the other side, Krejcikova looks great. As I said before, the former world number 1 on doubles had a great 2020 on singles, and looks like that good form is still going on in 2021 cause she has won here against Davis and Rybakina and she’s still to play against Brady.
Anastasija Pavlyuchenkova to beat Naomi Osaka at 5.00 with bet365
Osaka has been really unlucky. As I said before, Pavlyuchenkova always has played really well here. The last year here she lost against Gauff in the 3rd round while Pavlyuchenkova reached the QFs, where she lost against Muguruza in a tight match. Before that she beat Kerber and Karolina Pliskova. Osaka is the big favorite but it deserves a try at these odds.
I know some tournaments still on but i'm out for the weekend. GL.

Still tweaking ....got plenty of time yet ....so these big hcaps are ideal to test the percentages .
240 leopard  sunday 
Kashhari 6.4 11/1  14/1 value 
Dandymag 5.3 13/1 12/1 no value 
Articulum 5.3 13/1 20/1 value 
Frontal aspect 4.8  15/1 12/1 no value 
Articulum is difficult to weigh up changing disciplines so I'll oppose ...top 2 look ew bets so I'll play 
Kashhari 10pts ew at 14/1 
Dandymag 10pts ew 12/1 

1821 result: 1st. Won £120
Profit to date £1979.26

1819 result: Perth Glory won 2-1.  Won £180
Profit to date £1909.26

A good start. 3 out of 3 in the outright picks are through to the last 64. That's Yuelong, Holt & Sam Craigie.
Milkins & Higginson play tonight, whilst Gould, Ford, Akani, Pang and Clarke all play tomorrow. Unfortunately, Pang plays Jamie Clarke and so if 9 out of 10 could get through to the 2nd round, it would be the ideal start.

Secret ambition value bet wins easily ....the non hcaps ran well today so just need a few more test races to confirm things are working but happy so far 

Mouheeb  wins ...meshakel 2nd ...happy with that 

Hope you can make your next thread a profitable one Heisenberg. The one thing I did notice is that you do too many bets at a time. Why not concentrate on one sport that you are knowledgeable about and stick with that for a while (Football is probably best). 
With your first £200 you could stake a maximum of 5% of your bank for each bet (less to start with is probably better).
I have never been able to stick with any staking plan myself but it really is the best way to go. I always back the team I expect to win rather than hope to win, so the majority of my bets are odds on.
A few people will laugh at me for giving advice as I am the most undisciplined gambler on this site. My latest thread has been going for just over two years and it has been profitable enough to pay my energy bills in full, so it can be done.
I'm sure you could make £40+ a week (£6 a day) with some kind of plan. I look forward to seeing a thread from you in the near future. 

Clayton is the final spot for the Premier League
Would have loved to see King in the Premier League. I think Clayton is quite boring but took his chance well with recent performances

My form isn't the best at the moment with Snooker. A not so great start to 2021 but that also happened last year and getting a winner of this last year kicked off a good end season result. I had Holt to win this last year and he comes into this with a chance to perform well once again. It's a wide open event really, set on stop clock speed. You need to be a fast player, really, to win this. You also need abit of luck.
Ronnie, Robertson and Judd have declined this event. Selby is our favourite but when the favourite is 16/1, you know it's an open event.
I'll do what I normally do for this event. I tend to pick a good number (around 8-10 players) at small stakes and look for a big price. I'll tend to pick players who I think get through to Round 2. Funny enough, my picks are quite similar to last years. 15pts staked.
good luck
2pts Z,Yuelong to win Shoot Out 28/1 boylesports
--------------------------------------------------------
1pt E.W M.Gould to win Shoot Out 40/1 unibet (4 places, 1/4th)
1pt E/W T.Ford to win Shoot Out 50/1 boylesports (4 places, 1/4th)
1pt E/W M.Holt to win Shoot Out 50/1 skybet (4 places, 1/4th)
1pt E/W S.Craigie to win Shoot out 80/1 skybet (4 places, 1/4th)
Outsiders
0.5pts E/W R.Milkins to win Shootout 100/1 skybet (4 places, 1/4th)
0.5pts E/W S.Akani to win Shootout 1501/ paddypower (4 places, 1/4th)
0.5pts E/W A.Higginson to win Shootout 150/1 paddypower (4 places, 1/4th)
0.5pts E/W P.Junxu to win Shootout 175/1 paddypower (4 places, 1/4th)
0.5pts E/W J.Clarke to win Shootout 200/1 betvictor (4 places, 1/4th)

Trying some non hcaps 
Uae 2000 guineas thurs meydan 340
Mouheeb  9.6 4/1 11/8   no value 
Naval crown 9.5  4/1 6/4 no value 
Meshakel  8.1 5/1 9/2 no value 
Only 6 runners so mainly just to check ratings 

Mission boy was 4th ....been one of those funny outsider days today ...

1816 result: 1-3.  Won £80
Profit to date £2009.26

off topic .......
Just seen that Captain Tom has died of Covid ........
RIP
?

Good luck with your selections today; I have actually backed Okavango at 7/2 last night.  I am just wondering if you are aware of the PL Naps competition.  It has a top prize for the monthly winner of £60 and is hugely popular.  As we are almost at the beginning of a new month it would be good if you will join in the fun.

Sigh! I thought it was too good to be true. King didn't really turn up. I've backed Clayton many times over the past 12 months. He would have to win one when I don't. A good outcome for the event though and King making the final means a 20/1 result. 
Masters tips +41.75pts
Darts 2021 +41.75pts 

Yeah, minimum we have now is a 20/1 payout 

Hi everyone ?
It's me again. I'm a loser right now, can't win. I can't manage my bank. I can't manage a thread.
I don't forget my last threads all losers. ?
my-challenge-for-2021
Road to 2021
I absolutely have to fix my problem, because I can't deposit more than £100 a month. ?
I love this forum, I really like the members ?
@Fader in with snooker and darts
@JdsGooner90 @waggy @Skittle  for their threads (skittle doesn't like me lol )
@StevieDay1983 for his analyses and also the members of the tennis party .

 That's also why I want to continue and succeed. 
I absolutely have to play sports that I know well such as soccer ⚽️ tennis ?  rugby ? Cricket ?  snooker ? 
For tennis, I must absolutely play only ATP. Not the challengers, not the WTA, not the ITF. 
➡️ To be successful, I will put a stop loss of 10% per day, and limit deposits on bet fair to £100 per month. So if I lose, it's over. 
So I'm begin with only £500 and deposit £100 a month until December. 
I'd like to win £50 a month ideally.
If all goes well, by December 2021 I'll have £2000.
That would be wonderful but there is work to be done. 
➡️ I'm counting on you to fight me if I don't play by the rules. 

you can ban me if I don’t respect my rules ?
 
? see you tomorrow 
 
——————————————————
Hi , 
Finally I realise that being away from home for this business trip gives me even more time to devote myself to betting. So I'm not going to take up this thread again. 
A few changes : 
Starting bank: £500. 
Monthly deposit: £100 
Target December 2021: £2000 

? No more than 5% per bet 
➡️ No more than 1 bet in progress 
? Limit Loss: £90 per day  (Reset at 6:15 Pm) 
? Deposit limit: £100 per month

Start: £500
Deposit: March +£100 
? Bank: £600

sure am, buddy! Either way, well done to you and King for making it into the finals! 

Peter Wright has beaten King 11 times in a row, so anybody following me on the outright bet will be cheering on Clayton  

VERY happy to be wrong about that one. Merv King makes the final. I would be so happy to see him win one of these events. 

My laptop is playing up at moment. Pile of crap. I can’t do a proper write up on the semi finals. I’m going to take a double on price and Peter Wright though. I hope that King can prove me wrong and beat Price because that would mean a placing payment atleast on King.
4pts price and wright double 6/4 paddypower 

1811 result: Sundowns won 2-0. Won £44.44
Profit to date £2224.26

Only a 5 horse race in the end

I was looking to get something up lastnight but the markets wasn't up yet. Ofcourse, it was King that I was interested in and that's too late now. I'm going to leave Chisnall and hope he can get through and I can't personally see Lewis getting past Price. The only outsiders chance I like is Clayton to beat Wade. He has won the last two between the two. The only worry is that normally a poor performance comes after a big win against the likes of MVG. 
all in all, I'm not too excited by the QFs. Maybe semi-finals will be better, tonight. Semi-final and final all played tonight.
2.5pts J.Clayton to beat J.Wade 6/5 betfred