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Trotter

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    £20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    bank 810.19

    3.00 Aintree - Old Roan Chase handicap

    Big race of the day and I'm taking on the favourite, Cloudy Dream. He finished a close 2nd in this last year but seems to got out of the habit of winning and finishes 2nd quite a lot. Going with the obvious 2nd favourite and one of the less exposed types up in class

    Flying Angel at 4/1

    Javert at 9/1

    Racing Chat - Friday Oct 26th

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    I'm having a crack at the big jumps handicap of the day ….. the 3.10 at Cheltenham

    There are another two handicaps at the meeting but they're for Amateur and Conditional riders which puts me off a bit

    3.10 Cheltenham - 21 furlongs, class 3, 20 runners, handicap hurdle

    gone for 5 and 6 year olds, distance winners …….. that left me with 3. I've dumped Roi du Dubai who appears to be out of form and that's left me with -

    First Assignment 9/1

    Christmas in April 14/1

    Racing Chat - Thursday Oct 25th

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    I've been wondering if my strategy for looking at the big handicaps on the flat might be applicable to the jumps

    obviously there is no draw so that's one variable that can't be included

    On the flat I like to concentrate on the youngest two age groups ……. so 4 and 5 year olds in a 4yo plus race and 3 and 4 year olds in a 3yo plus race...….. the reason being that they're more likely to be unexposed and improving than horses that have been racing for a few years. Not clear how I could apply this to jumps where there tends to be a much bigger age range and where horses might be best at a later age. …….. maybe skip the youngest ones. Trial and error I think

    Anyway I've picked the big handicap chase, the 3.40, at Carlisle for a trial run ……..

    gone for 7 and 8 year olds, Distance winners ……. and didn't have to go any further to be left with 2 runners

    3.40 at Carlisle

    Sharp Response 5/1

    Mahler Lad 14/1

    Racing Chat - Thursday Oct 25th

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Been having a good run over the last few weeks at picking out once raced two year olds who might showed improved form on their second outings

    Generally this would involve them having shown signs of promise, eg running on late, travelling well, being in front until fading late...…… that sort of thing.

    It helps if they're dropping down the track grades, say from Newbury to the all weather

    It helps if the trainer has a modus operandi of giving horses a considerate introduction and leaving something to work on, Other trainers of course like to have them ready to go full steam on debut

    It helps if some horses from their debut race have come out since and run well

    Today's selection is Homesick Boy at Chelmsford 5.45, currently 25/1

    Noted running on late at Windsor first time out, trainer Ed Dunlop leaves a lot to work on ……….. not much has run since from the race so that's a negative and there's a lot of two year old races at Windsor so they can be a bit average. Not one to go overboard about but EW at 25/1. Watch out though because there's just 8 runners ,,,,, a NR could scupper EW betting

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