LEE-GRAYS

No bets so far in my non-handicap races.
12.30 Weth Mont Segur.  Left hand track should suit but I have to question its stamina on heavy going.  Dream of Home has won in PTP but has no rating so I'm confused about its chances,  No bet for me
1.00 Wet  I quite like the look of Vienna Court.  Not sure it will run prominently which is an advantage at Wetherby.  Lust For Glory hasn't won a race.  I quite like the look of Pink Legend and, if I can get say 4/1 I may play this one alone.  Having said that Venetia let me down badly yesterday despite my selection Quietlyflowsthedon being backed into 3/1 favourite from my price of 12/1 (it ran a shocker of a race)
1.30 Weth Rockstar Ronnie is obviously in good hands with the Skelton.  It has no rating from PTP so once again this to me is confusing.  It seems to have at least three live contenders so I'll pass.
3.40 Weth Tweed Skirt  is the Henderson runner and is 5/6 favourite.  I don't usually look at pedigree information but it seems to me that this is quite a tough ask for the horse to shine over 12.5 furlongs.  Steel An Icon is a distance winner in a class 5 race on soft going.  It has a 7lbs penalty and it is now racing on heavy going.  The percentage call seems to be not to have a bet so I'll pass.
Sorry if anyone feels that posting up details of races without making a selection is a waste of time.  However, I regard the day's racing just as like having a box of mixed sweets and choosing the best one's to take.  To me it is just as important to consider not having a bet when not all seems to be right than having a bet just for the sake of it
Possibly back later if I get time for more analysis.
Good luck everyone 
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Some interesting non handicap racing at Newcastle
5.00 Nc Venturous £4.50 win at 5/2 = Poss Return of £15.75 All looks too perfect for me for this one to win.  I have had a saver of 80p win at 15/2 on Royal Birth = £6.80 return if win
5.30 Nc Unmalnar £1.58 win at 2.30 (tried to get £8.30 matched but no chance now).  Had  saver on Vintager of £2 at 5.6 = poss return of £9.02.  However this now translates into a 5p net profit if Unmalnar wins and £7.47 profit if Vintager wins.  There will be a £3.58 loss should either lose.  Not to bad a bet I think.
6.00   Baileys Warrior £6 win at 2/1 = poss return of £18.  Small saver on Destacado of 90p win at 8/1 with a possible return of £8.10
£15.78 total staked today
Looks interesting to watch
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Haha, I didn't heed my own advice.  Venturous looked to be the best bet and it won.  I made it even worse by having Royal Birth ew as my nap bet.  Anyway Unmalnar ran a stinker of a race finishing last at 5/4 favourite, whilst Baileys Warrior finished 6th.  The horse drifted out to 4/1 so the market got that right in the end.  Not the first time I've relied on one previous good run and got shafted. Lesson Learned.  Anyway, thankfully Venturous saved me from losing anything apart from 3p.  Hence my new balance is £534.09 (£500 Bank)
Some races to look at tomorrow but nothing staggeringly exciting
 
 
 
 
 
 

A few outsiders 
12.30 wetherby phantomoftheoscar 20/1 placed 3rd
12.30 wetherby early morning dew 25/1 5placed 
13.30 wetherby Henrygondoff 8/1 winner
14.45 wetherby Sakhee city 16/1
15.10 wetherby smiths cross 10/1
12.40 lingfield in the cove 14/1 
13.45 lingfield king robert 10/1
14.50 lingfield verenna storm 18/1 4 places
15.20 lingfield utter pendragon 11/1 placed 3rd
11.50 fairyhouse ardhill 28/1 6places 
12.20 fairyhouse rightback atya 33/1 4 placesplaced 4th
13.55 fairyhouse daphenne moon 20/1 plaed 33/1 2nd bog
15.00 fairyhouse get home 14/1  placed 2nd
15.25  Newcastle jorgie 11/1 
16.00 Newcastle fancy footing 30/1 6places
18.00 Newcastle mollys brother 30/1 5places
18.30 Newcastle tommy g 45/1 4places 
all bets 50p e/w bet365 ???

small lose bit sick not to make profit today 
out £15
in £14,25
 

A few outsiders 
12.30 Doncaster avithos 16/1 6places  placed
13.05 Doncaster etoilie du matin 25/1 6places 
14.05 Doncaster tamango 45/1 6places 
14.05 Doncaster ewood park 20/1  placed 40/1 bog
14.40 Doncaster donnie Branco 11/1 
12.50 Hereford sendhervictorias 28/1 5places 
13.20 Hereford silver nickel 14/1 
15.50 Hereford talk of the storm 35/1 6places 
16.15 Wolverhampton viola park 14/1
18.15 Wolverhampton mutabaahy 10/1
19.15 Wolverhampton siavash 25/1
19.15 Wolverhampton hamaron 25/1
14.30 Dundalk griffyndor 10/1 
15.00 Dundalk mariciuz 11/1 
15.30 Dundalk falak 10/1 winner
all bets 50p e/w bet365 ?????

I find the UK tough enough, foreign racing impossible.

A few outsiders 
12.30 Doncaster avithos 16/1 6places  placed
13.05 Doncaster etoilie du matin 25/1 6places 
14.05 Doncaster tamango 45/1 6places 
14.05 Doncaster ewood park 20/1  placed 40/1 bog
14.40 Doncaster donnie Branco 11/1 
12.50 Hereford sendhervictorias 28/1 5places 
13.20 Hereford silver nickel 14/1 
15.50 Hereford talk of the storm 35/1 6places 
16.15 Wolverhampton viola park 14/1
18.15 Wolverhampton mutabaahy 10/1
19.15 Wolverhampton siavash 25/1
19.15 Wolverhampton hamaron 25/1
14.30 Dundalk griffyndor 10/1 
15.00 Dundalk mariciuz 11/1 
15.30 Dundalk falak 10/1 winner
all bets 50p e/w bet365 ?????

Would have thought that either Sporting Life , Racing Post & or At The Races would have had wind of this but diddly .
If football was locked down with teams like Aston Villa , Derby or anyone with Kyle Walker in the squad flouting rules I can see but think racing is a far better sporting example !

Seeing as NH Racing has sene me pick a few winners last few days so im concentrating on that for Monday

Doncaster
1230 - 1 Airton                            8/1 Paddy Power    unplaced
1305 - 5 Ernesto                         12/1 Paddy Power   unplaced
1335 - 2 Minella Trump                15/2 Bet365   3rd
1405 - 14 Truckers Pass              11/10 Bet365   4th
1440 - 1 Big Nasty                       15/2 Paddy Power  2nd
1510 - 6 Getaweapon                   5/2 William Hill  unpaced
1540 - 3 Flemenstide                    7/4 William Hill   non runner

Hereford - Subject To Inspection
1250 - 2 Bangers And Cash          10/3 Bet365    unplaced
1320 - 5 Gio's Girl                        5/1 Bet365  unplaced
1350 - 4 The Mulcair                    7/4 Bet365   3rd
1420 - 8 Volcano                          4/1 William Hill  4th
1450 - 6 Winds Of Fire                  11/2 Bet365   2nd
1520 - 2 Just So Cool                    6/1 Bet365  unplaced
1550 - 6 Jaunty Freyja                   10/3 Paddy Power  2nd

Wolverhampton
1615 - 1 Bold Decision                   11/2 Paddy Power   unplaced
1745 - 1 Strawbs                           7/2 Bet365  non runner
1915 - 2 First Response                 7/2 Bet365

Dundalk
1430 - 5 Wild Shot                         6/1 William Hill    unplaced
1530 - 2 Take A Turn                      13/2 William Hill   4th
1630 - 12 Glow Worm                     2/1 William Hill  2nd

Still got the French USA and German to keep us going ??

Final results are in for our 20/21 season 2.   There were a few games running on til Mon/Tues but all bets which included those have already fallen down so we are done!  I'll post more details tomorrow so the winners can send their details to claim but in the meantime if there are any queries please let me know.  If you thought you had a winner in week 8 that has been settled as losing, please remember that Extra Time and Penalties don't count.  Hopefully I have settled them all correctly!
Well done to our overall top 5.   Like A Roughie had a big win in week 1 and was never caught.
Some movement at the top of individual leagues with several players going for the final big win with hefty half bank bets.  Division 8 won the day with 2 good treble wins and a big weekly overall profit
I'd just like to thank everyone for supporting this competition, we didn't lose very many players overall to no shows and most of you were  exemplary in how you posted your bets making it so much easier for me to check and settle them.  to the rest
I'll have a look at the fixture list and try check the best way to split up the final seasons, as we might manage 9 week runs (I'm up for help and suggestions here) but we'll be straight back with Season 3 next week

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
 

small profit but thats the way to go 
out £7
in £7.75

small profit but thats the way to go 
out £7
in £7.75

I will concentrate on my young handicappers system as this performed well in December and is back in profit now for the season.
The profit is 52 points from 1,013 selections with an AE of 1.022.
If I limit the selections to one in a race by using the shortest forecast odds then the profit is 82 points from 467 selections with an AE of 1.13.
There is a selection in the 3.40 at Exeter tomorrow, FELTON BELLEVUE, available at 20/1. 
 
 

Sha Tin Selections
0500 - 8 On Excel Star - unplaced
0530 - 4 City Legend - 2nd
0600 - 5 Treasure Chest - 3rd
0630 - 8 Winning Steed  - unplaced
0700 - 5 Amazing Rocky - unplaced
0735 - 4 Cheerful Days - 2nd
0805 - 3 Tornado Twist - 2nd
0835 - 3 Gunnar - 2nd
0910 - 5 Super Football - WON
0945 - 7 Amazing Chocolate - unplaced

Southwell Selections
1250 - 3 Swinton Noon    4/1 William Hill                  unplaced
1320 - 2 Severus Alexander  4/1 Paddy Power          unplaced
1350 - 3 Young John  7/2 William Hill                       unplaced
1420 - 2 Compass Point  11/2 Paddy Power             unplaced
1450 - 8 Geography Teacher 4/1 Bet365 (Nap)          unplaced
1520 - 9 Tellmeyourstory  11/8 Bet365                      3rd
1550 - 7 Jazz Legend 10/1 Bet365                           unplaced

Exeter Selections
1310 - 2 Sandymount Rose  13/2 Paddy Power  - WON SP 15/8
1340 - 4 Gladiateur Allen  7/4 Bet365                   3rd
1410 - 4 Bear Ghylls  6/4 Bet365                         WON SP 10/11
1440 - 6 Francky Du Berlais  7/1 Bet365             WON SP 6/1
1510 - 3 Ask Me Early  11/2 Bet365 -                   NON RUNNER
1540 - 6 Neetside  11/2 William Hill                      2nd
1610 - 5 Landen Calling  8/1 Bet365                     unplaced

Cagnes Sur Mer - Grade 3 chase
1315 - 3 Enola Gay  10/1 Bet365   unplaced

Despite only 7 winners it was another profitable day for the naps. @Like A Roughie makes it 3 14/1 winners in a row (cumulative odds of 3,374 to 1 !).
@BARNSLEYCHOPand @Jediknight storm in to the top 5 with their first winners of the month, 22/1 shot BAYSTON HILL.

Nothing much doing today from my end.  Only 3 qualifying non handicap races. The 3.20 at Southwell is very confusing to me with lots of horses carrying different weights; almost looks like a handicap.  All this brought about because the colts are up against the fillies.  I'll let someone else figure that one out.
I have had £8.30 to win at 5/4 on Karl Philipe in the 1.40 at Exeter.  This is a Fergal O'Brien trained horse that ran very well on debut.  It looks as thought it has one main opponent in the form of Gladiateur Allen.  This horse was showing up at 11/8 last night and it easy to back at 2/1 now.  The David Pipe horse doesn't look anything special so I'll go with the bigger yard over Mrs Jane Williams smaller one.
In the 4.10 at Exeter the claims of Flemenstide are obvious.  It does have live competition though and I will have a small wager of £1.50 at 8/1 on the Fergal O'Brien trained Landen Calling.  It seems to me to be a very difficult task to calculate how much any horse will improve on the basis of just one run so I'll take the better price for a very successful trainer once again.
Total stakes = £9.80 total stakes today.
Good luck to all the diehard's betting today
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Ah well. perhaps one day I will learn.  It was obvious about Gladiateur Allen but I still didn't have an insurance bet which was very possible on the Pipe horse.  Nit brain   I am waiting to see the winning distance as my selection was matched at 1.04 in-running
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Not a good day as my even money favourite got beat.  Landen Calling ran a very strange race going all over the track.  Anyway £9.80 loss today. This means that my c/fwd balance is now £523.98 (£500 Bank)
Some interesting non handicap racing tomorrow.  Possibly some opportunities
 
 
 
 
     

A few outsiders 
1.20 Southwell Tyrell 30/1 3places  
1.50 Southwell bond angel 18/1 3places  placed
3.20 Southwell panzer tank 20/1 4places
3.50 Southwell Leo davinci 10/1
1.40 Exeter no drama 45/1 4places placed
3.10 Exeter mr clarkson 20/1 4places
2.40 Exeter one more fleurie 25/1 4places
50p e/w singles bet365 ???

A few outsiders 
1.20 Southwell Tyrell 30/1 3places  
1.50 Southwell bond angel 18/1 3places  placed
3.20 Southwell panzer tank 20/1 4places
3.50 Southwell Leo davinci 10/1
1.40 Exeter no drama 45/1 4places placed
3.10 Exeter mr clarkson 20/1 4places
2.40 Exeter one more fleurie 25/1 4places
50p e/w singles bet365 ???

another good day 
out £8
in £12.94

A few outsiders 
11.30 lingfield Henry Croft 30/1 5places  
13.05 lingfield luckys dream 15/2 3plces   winner
13.40 lingfield central city 14/1 
14.50 lingfield agent of fortune 14/1 4places 
15.25 lingfield Zulu zander 9/1 
13.30 wincanton thunderstruck 15/2 4 places 
15.45 wincanton jackson hill 10-1 winner
3.10 Chepstow cloudy glen 20/1
all bets 50p e/w ??? bet365 

reims btts (y) 2.00
10 pts single plz

It was a good day for Nicholls with 7 winners but again the TV pundits went over the top claiming he had a 10,000 to 1 accumulator, omitting the fact that he had 20 runners on the day. Perhaps I wasn't very receptive because I'd picked his GLAJOU as my nap which was rubbish.

Fairly decent afternoon of results  4 winners  and a couple of the place runners on another day would have won 

congratulations to Daryl Jacob on his 5 timer at Wincanton and Paul Nicholls who appears to have settled with 8 wins today

another good day 
out £8
in £12.94

another good day 
out £8
in £12.94