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RACING CHAT - Tuesday 12th January


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A few outsiders 

12.30 wetherby phantomoftheoscar 20/1 :nanaplaced 3rd

12.30 wetherby early morning dew 25/1 5placed :wall

13.30 wetherby Henrygondoff 8/1:nana:nana winner

14.45 wetherby Sakhee city 16/1:wall

15.10 wetherby smiths cross 10/1:wall

12.40 lingfield in the cove 14/1 :wall

13.45 lingfield king robert 10/1:wall

14.50 lingfield verenna storm 18/1 4 places:wall

15.20 lingfield utter pendragon 11/1:nana placed 3rd

11.50 fairyhouse ardhill 28/1 6places :wall

12.20 fairyhouse rightback atya 33/1 4 places:nanaplaced 4th

13.55 fairyhouse daphenne moon 20/1 :nanaplaed 33/1 2nd bog

15.00 fairyhouse get home 14/1 :nana placed 2nd

15.25  Newcastle jorgie 11/1 :wall

16.00 Newcastle fancy footing 30/1 6places:wall

18.00 Newcastle mollys brother 30/1 5places:wall

18.30 Newcastle tommy g 45/1 4places :wall

all bets 50p e/w bet365 ???

Edited by LEE-GRAYS
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No bets so far in my non-handicap races.

12.30 Weth Mont Segur.  Left hand track should suit but I have to question its stamina on heavy going.  Dream of Home has won in PTP but has no rating so I'm confused about its chances,  No bet for me

1.00 Wet  I quite like the look of Vienna Court.  Not sure it will run prominently which is an advantage at Wetherby.  Lust For Glory hasn't won a race.  I quite like the look of Pink Legend and, if I can get say 4/1 I may play this one alone.  Having said that Venetia let me down badly yesterday despite my selection Quietlyflowsthedon being backed into 3/1 favourite from my price of 12/1 (it ran a shocker of a race)

1.30 Weth Rockstar Ronnie is obviously in good hands with the Skelton.  It has no rating from PTP so once again this to me is confusing.  It seems to have at least three live contenders so I'll pass.

3.40 Weth Tweed Skirt  is the Henderson runner and is 5/6 favourite.  I don't usually look at pedigree information but it seems to me that this is quite a tough ask for the horse to shine over 12.5 furlongs.  Steel An Icon is a distance winner in a class 5 race on soft going.  It has a 7lbs penalty and it is now racing on heavy going.  The percentage call seems to be not to have a bet so I'll pass.

Sorry if anyone feels that posting up details of races without making a selection is a waste of time.  However, I regard the day's racing just as like having a box of mixed sweets and choosing the best one's to take.  To me it is just as important to consider not having a bet when not all seems to be right than having a bet just for the sake of it

Possibly back later if I get time for more analysis.

Good luck everyone 

===========================================================================================================

Some interesting non handicap racing at Newcastle

5.00 Nc Venturous £4.50 win at 5/2 = Poss Return of £15.75 All looks too perfect for me for this one to win.  I have had a saver of 80p win at 15/2 on Royal Birth = £6.80 return if win

5.30 Nc Unmalnar £1.58 win at 2.30 (tried to get £8.30 matched but no chance now).  Had  saver on Vintager of £2 at 5.6 = poss return of £9.02.  However this now translates into a 5p net profit if Unmalnar wins and £7.47 profit if Vintager wins.  There will be a £3.58 loss should either lose.  Not to bad a bet I think.

6.00   Baileys Warrior £6 win at 2/1 = poss return of £18.  Small saver on Destacado of 90p win at 8/1 with a possible return of £8.10

£15.78 total staked today

Looks interesting to watch

========================================================================================================

Haha, I didn't heed my own advice.  Venturous looked to be the best bet and it won.  I made it even worse by having Royal Birth ew as my nap bet.  Anyway Unmalnar ran a stinker of a race finishing last at 5/4 favourite, whilst Baileys Warrior finished 6th.  The horse drifted out to 4/1 so the market got that right in the end.  Not the first time I've relied on one previous good run and got shafted. Lesson Learned.  Anyway, thankfully Venturous saved me from losing anything apart from 3p.  Hence my new balance is £534.09 (£500 Bank)

Some races to look at tomorrow but nothing staggeringly exciting

 

 

 

 

 

 

Edited by The Equaliser
Results Update
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Newcastle Selections
1525 - 3 Minster                  5/1 Bet365     4th
1600 - 5 Dawaaleeb             7/1 Bet365     4th
1630 - 3 Futuristic               7/2 Bet365     2nd
1700 - 5 Royal Birth            15/2 Bet365    unplaced
1730 - 1 Bless Him             10/1 Bet365    BOOMMMMMMM  (Best Matt Chapman impression)   WON   
1800 - 8 The Quiet Rebel     4/1 Bet365      unplaced
1830 - 8 Nordic Fire             7/2 Bet365     2nd

1700 and 1730 races are all weather fast track qualifier races

Edited by ipswich45
results being added
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7 hours ago, LEE-GRAYS said:

A few outsiders 

12.30 wetherby phantomoftheoscar 20/1 :nanaplaced 3rd

12.30 wetherby early morning dew 25/1 5placed :wall

13.30 wetherby Henrygondoff 8/1:nana:nana winner

14.45 wetherby Sakhee city 16/1:wall

15.10 wetherby smiths cross 10/1:wall

12.40 lingfield in the cove 14/1 :wall

13.45 lingfield king robert 10/1:wall

14.50 lingfield verenna storm 18/1 4 places:wall

15.20 lingfield utter pendragon 11/1:nana placed 3rd

11.50 fairyhouse ardhill 28/1 6places :wall

12.20 fairyhouse rightback atya 33/1 4 places:nanaplaced 4th

13.55 fairyhouse daphenne moon 20/1 :nanaplaed 33/1 2nd bog

15.00 fairyhouse get home 14/1 :nana placed 2nd

15.25  Newcastle jorgie 11/1 :wall

16.00 Newcastle fancy footing 30/1 6places:wall

18.00 Newcastle mollys brother 30/1 5places:wall

18.30 Newcastle tommy g 45/1 4places :wall

all bets 50p e/w bet365 ???

not a bad day only one winner but a profit

out £17

in £20.03

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