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Zilzalian

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  1. Like
    Zilzalian got a reaction from black rabbit in NOTEBOOK HORSES 2022   
    Feel free to add a horse and a brief reason.
    Harrys Bar Meydan11th Feb Ran very well from a very bad draw.
    Enemy        Meydan 18th Feb a unusually fast run race and thus speed figure won by the hugely impressive Manobo. Enemy came from a mile back and met a bit of obstruction to finish 4th at 66/1 stepped up to 1m6f for the first time by Ian Williams, (formerly trained in France by F Graffard) If it doesn't win here at Meydan it is one for the notebooks when returning to the UK.
  2. Like
    Zilzalian got a reaction from In Play Race Reader in NOTEBOOK HORSES 2022   
    Baratti A Fabre, Chantilly on its first run of the year (1st march) from what the commentator and betting said before the race will come on for the run.
    It duly won with ease.
  3. Like
    Zilzalian reacted to MCLARKE in Underbet Non-Hcap Cheltenham Chase favourites - February 2022   
    I suppose one issue with this is knowing which horse is going to be favourite, in the 1.45 Full Time Score was only favourite at the off.
  4. Like
    Zilzalian reacted to In Play Race Reader in Racing Chat - Saturday 26th February   
    The race was decided as soon as Tone the Barone missed a beat at the start ,,One night stand got an uncontested lead ,,Strong powers strength has been coming off a contested early pace ,,think he proved himself well up to listed class in the circumstances,,he’ll have another day 
  5. Like
    Zilzalian got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Saturday 26th February   
    Well for me its quite simple, I personally think weight is well over-rated and I am a speed figure man I have my own formula and I back my judgement win lose or draw i live with it. I rarely back any horse below 8/1 my average that many would have heart attacks with is around 16/1 - 33/1 the price never puts me off, I very rarely do EW either which some would argue is crazy but what I do works for me and I make a healthy profit (last year I didn't to be honest, I lost 3 quid on betting turnover of over 15 grand) If you look at this race as a pro would you would be stuck between any one of 4 but apart from Mondammej (5/1) your not getting 4/1 for 3 of them lets be honest non are prolific winners that's got to be grim in my book, I'm going to be well hard and also do the r/forecast with one night stand. none of what I say means Strong Power will win no such thing as a cert but i would rather go down on a 9/1 shot than any one of 3 at  3/1 or less. It will be interesting if nothing else. My max bet is £50, my average is £30 on my speed figure bets. i have had just 3 £100 bets in 3 years 2 won one lost that loser was on a very rare for me favourite. I do however respect and understand your reasoning.
  6. Like
    Zilzalian got a reaction from Bang on in Racing Chat - Saturday 26th February   
    Likewise my solution is i never have the sound on, works a treat for me.
  7. Like
    Zilzalian reacted to Trotter in Racing Chat - Saturday 26th February   
    Since I jacked in Racing TV a few months ago I'm having to watch ITV Racing 
    I haven't watched terrestrial TV coverage for 10 years or more and there's something 'new' (to me) that I find annoying ...... it's this idea of stopping commentary mid-race so the commentator can have a chat with whoever the presenters are 
    Could they not have a chat after the race has finished ?
    grrrrrrrrrr .............
  8. Like
    Zilzalian got a reaction from MCLARKE in Racing Chat - Saturday 26th February   
    Intriguing race indeed last nights outsider wins strong power 3rd that buggered my forecast up a tad. but hey ho i could have gone down on the favs like many did. what do you think interesting eh?
  9. Like
    Zilzalian got a reaction from BBBC in Racing Chat - Saturday 26th February   
    Well for me its quite simple, I personally think weight is well over-rated and I am a speed figure man I have my own formula and I back my judgement win lose or draw i live with it. I rarely back any horse below 8/1 my average that many would have heart attacks with is around 16/1 - 33/1 the price never puts me off, I very rarely do EW either which some would argue is crazy but what I do works for me and I make a healthy profit (last year I didn't to be honest, I lost 3 quid on betting turnover of over 15 grand) If you look at this race as a pro would you would be stuck between any one of 4 but apart from Mondammej (5/1) your not getting 4/1 for 3 of them lets be honest non are prolific winners that's got to be grim in my book, I'm going to be well hard and also do the r/forecast with one night stand. none of what I say means Strong Power will win no such thing as a cert but i would rather go down on a 9/1 shot than any one of 3 at  3/1 or less. It will be interesting if nothing else. My max bet is £50, my average is £30 on my speed figure bets. i have had just 3 £100 bets in 3 years 2 won one lost that loser was on a very rare for me favourite. I do however respect and understand your reasoning.
  10. Like
    Zilzalian got a reaction from Bang on in Racing Chat - Saturday 26th February   
    Well for me its quite simple, I personally think weight is well over-rated and I am a speed figure man I have my own formula and I back my judgement win lose or draw i live with it. I rarely back any horse below 8/1 my average that many would have heart attacks with is around 16/1 - 33/1 the price never puts me off, I very rarely do EW either which some would argue is crazy but what I do works for me and I make a healthy profit (last year I didn't to be honest, I lost 3 quid on betting turnover of over 15 grand) If you look at this race as a pro would you would be stuck between any one of 4 but apart from Mondammej (5/1) your not getting 4/1 for 3 of them lets be honest non are prolific winners that's got to be grim in my book, I'm going to be well hard and also do the r/forecast with one night stand. none of what I say means Strong Power will win no such thing as a cert but i would rather go down on a 9/1 shot than any one of 3 at  3/1 or less. It will be interesting if nothing else. My max bet is £50, my average is £30 on my speed figure bets. i have had just 3 £100 bets in 3 years 2 won one lost that loser was on a very rare for me favourite. I do however respect and understand your reasoning.
  11. Like
    Zilzalian got a reaction from MCLARKE in Racing Chat - Saturday 26th February   
    Yes you are indeed correct he didn't initially adjust for weight however he did concede and started to re-evaluate his thinking eventually. I think one of the distinctions must be made between pattern races and handicaps i think we can all agree that you can't keep putting weight on a horse forever, common sense tells us that. What i am saying here is for pattern races don't adjust for weight but in handicaps you must give it due consideration. Mordin was a very clever man (i wont say genius) and a good thinker. I have his book here somewhere and i used to collect all those System articles he used to write in the sporting life (i miss that publication) weekender.
  12. Like
    Zilzalian got a reaction from In Play Race Reader in Racing Chat - Saturday 26th February   
    Yes you are indeed correct he didn't initially adjust for weight however he did concede and started to re-evaluate his thinking eventually. I think one of the distinctions must be made between pattern races and handicaps i think we can all agree that you can't keep putting weight on a horse forever, common sense tells us that. What i am saying here is for pattern races don't adjust for weight but in handicaps you must give it due consideration. Mordin was a very clever man (i wont say genius) and a good thinker. I have his book here somewhere and i used to collect all those System articles he used to write in the sporting life (i miss that publication) weekender.
  13. Like
    Zilzalian got a reaction from black rabbit in Racing Chat - Saturday 26th February   
    Yes you are indeed correct he didn't initially adjust for weight however he did concede and started to re-evaluate his thinking eventually. I think one of the distinctions must be made between pattern races and handicaps i think we can all agree that you can't keep putting weight on a horse forever, common sense tells us that. What i am saying here is for pattern races don't adjust for weight but in handicaps you must give it due consideration. Mordin was a very clever man (i wont say genius) and a good thinker. I have his book here somewhere and i used to collect all those System articles he used to write in the sporting life (i miss that publication) weekender.
  14. Like
    Zilzalian got a reaction from The Brigadier in Racing Chat - Saturday 26th February   
    Well for me its quite simple, I personally think weight is well over-rated and I am a speed figure man I have my own formula and I back my judgement win lose or draw i live with it. I rarely back any horse below 8/1 my average that many would have heart attacks with is around 16/1 - 33/1 the price never puts me off, I very rarely do EW either which some would argue is crazy but what I do works for me and I make a healthy profit (last year I didn't to be honest, I lost 3 quid on betting turnover of over 15 grand) If you look at this race as a pro would you would be stuck between any one of 4 but apart from Mondammej (5/1) your not getting 4/1 for 3 of them lets be honest non are prolific winners that's got to be grim in my book, I'm going to be well hard and also do the r/forecast with one night stand. none of what I say means Strong Power will win no such thing as a cert but i would rather go down on a 9/1 shot than any one of 3 at  3/1 or less. It will be interesting if nothing else. My max bet is £50, my average is £30 on my speed figure bets. i have had just 3 £100 bets in 3 years 2 won one lost that loser was on a very rare for me favourite. I do however respect and understand your reasoning.
  15. Like
    Zilzalian got a reaction from The Brigadier in Racing Chat - Saturday 26th February   
    Got to agree with you about Strong Power, those 3 speed figures topped by the track record in one of them reads really well and is a max bet for me.
  16. Haha
    Zilzalian got a reaction from MCLARKE in BILLY HILLS NAP TABLE - February 2022   
    Squeaky bum time at the top......
  17. Like
    Zilzalian got a reaction from MCLARKE in Naps - Thursday 24th February   
    337 South Mulzim 25/1 bet365
  18. Like
    Zilzalian got a reaction from yossa6133 in NOTEBOOK HORSES 2022   
    Feel free to add a horse and a brief reason.
    Harrys Bar Meydan11th Feb Ran very well from a very bad draw.
    Enemy        Meydan 18th Feb a unusually fast run race and thus speed figure won by the hugely impressive Manobo. Enemy came from a mile back and met a bit of obstruction to finish 4th at 66/1 stepped up to 1m6f for the first time by Ian Williams, (formerly trained in France by F Graffard) If it doesn't win here at Meydan it is one for the notebooks when returning to the UK.
  19. Like
    Zilzalian got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Saturday February 19th   
    Anyone else noticed De Boinville at Wincanton for just one ride for Henderson Monte Cristo (one for Symonds 33/1 outsider)?
  20. Like
    Zilzalian got a reaction from Nigwilliam in Racing Chat - Wednesday 16th February   
    Im always sceptical when they (especially WH) offer a "special"
  21. Like
    Zilzalian got a reaction from MCLARKE in Racing Chat - Friday 11th Feb   
    A few observations from today at Meydan,
    firstly           This prat failed to include and back "Appreciated"
    secondly      The 11/2 I got for Lord Glitters negated any costs for today
    thirdly           one for the notebook is Harrys Bar who ran a cracker from a very bad draw.
    forth             Canvassed ran out of racetrack and I bet Atzeni would want another go at the winner without the zigzag manoeuvre.
    As for Zainhom.... not sure what happened there but the jockey gave away the trap3 draw for some reason only beknown to himself.
  22. Like
    Zilzalian got a reaction from black rabbit in Racing Chat - Friday 11th Feb   
    I have done a few races speed figures for Meydan tomorrow.
    I will just post the top ones here.
    3:10 Bendoog                        7/2
    3:45 Zainhom                        22/1 PP (I think this may just prevail from stall 3 so I have it as my nap)
    4:55 Lord Glitters                  7/2
    5:30 Canvassed                     6/1
    I will do the singles and a small Lucky 15 me thinks.
  23. Like
    Zilzalian got a reaction from LEE-GRAYS in Racing Chat - Friday 11th Feb   
    I have done a few races speed figures for Meydan tomorrow.
    I will just post the top ones here.
    3:10 Bendoog                        7/2
    3:45 Zainhom                        22/1 PP (I think this may just prevail from stall 3 so I have it as my nap)
    4:55 Lord Glitters                  7/2
    5:30 Canvassed                     6/1
    I will do the singles and a small Lucky 15 me thinks.
  24. Like
    Zilzalian got a reaction from MCLARKE in Racing Chat - Friday 11th Feb   
    I have done a few races speed figures for Meydan tomorrow.
    I will just post the top ones here.
    3:10 Bendoog                        7/2
    3:45 Zainhom                        22/1 PP (I think this may just prevail from stall 3 so I have it as my nap)
    4:55 Lord Glitters                  7/2
    5:30 Canvassed                     6/1
    I will do the singles and a small Lucky 15 me thinks.
  25. Like
    Zilzalian got a reaction from MCLARKE in Naps - Thursday 10th February   
    135 Donc Thunder Ahead 20/1 bet365
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