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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

Villa Chris

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Posts posted by Villa Chris

  1. 8 hours ago, Villa Chris said:

    Wincanton 1.50 

    Frodon 9.97 9/4 won 

    Rocco 9.72 16/1 

    El Presente 9.72 16/1 4th 

    Cap Du Nord 9.42 15/2 3rd 

    Frodon  has been re routed from a grade 1 in Ireland because of the ground being too soft. Off this mark I’d be disappointed if he never won if I was Paul Nicholls . Goes well fresh and should be too good for these . Some nice prices behind , but Frodon looks the bet because he’s a class above these . I’ll try a small r/ forecast as well . 

    5 points win frodon , 2 points R/F top 3 

    Superb stuff From Frodon 

  2. 4 minutes ago, Tedthewolf said:

    Ill buck the TV out the window if Spirit wins i have backed soooo many time  giving it a by ball Today,  I like french import GRESSKILLE  a lot i'm on @12's e/w 4P bog will be most disappointed  if i don't get some sort of return!

    You know what’s going to happen now. At least you won’t have to watch the wolves ?

  3. Wincanton 1.50 

    Frodon 9.97 9/4 won 

    Rocco 9.72 16/1 

    El Presente 9.72 16/1 4th 

    Cap Du Nord 9.42 15/2 3rd 

    Frodon  has been re routed from a grade 1 in Ireland because of the ground being too soft. Off this mark I’d be disappointed if he never won if I was Paul Nicholls . Goes well fresh and should be too good for these . Some nice prices behind , but Frodon looks the bet because he’s a class above these . I’ll try a small r/ forecast as well . 

    5 points win frodon , 2 points R/F top 3 

  4. 7 hours ago, Zilzalian said:

    I love the Breeders cup did grim last year but made lots of dosh previously so im going to have a good scrutinise of the Keenlad cards for fri and sat. must be able get 4 out of that lot, and if anyone can get anywhere near 1/1 for flightline get your wheel barrow out and fill it with your grannies money and wheel it to the bookies?

    What’s day/time is he racing ? 

  5. 4 hours ago, MCLARKE said:

    Still fine tuning my systems for the winter jumps season but one factor that stands out is the success of 5 year olds in November and December. The AE for them is 1.05.

    I have read somewhere that horses reach their peak at 4.5 years, which is equivalent to 5 for UK horses (as they all have the same birthday, 1st January).

    It would seem logical then to back them in races where they are the only 5 year old.

    Tomorrows selections.

    Fontwell 1.40 Sayadam 11/4
    Down Royal 2.05 David Garrick 80/1
    Fontwell 2.15 Family Business 16/1
    Hexham 2.35 Twoshotsoftequila 8/1
    Down Royal 2.40 Alice Avril 11/2
    Down Royal 3.50 Carnfunnock 9/4

    Is that also true for Jump horses? I’d have thought Jump horses reach their peak older than that, but if the stats say otherwise. 

  6. Exeter 3.35 

    Greaneteen 8.92 3/1 won 

    Dolos 8.45 15/2 2nd 

    Third Time Lucki 8.2 13/8

     Although giving plenty of weight away, if he’s as ready as Paul Nicholls says he is then Greaneteen could be too good for these. Dolos is well handicapped , and unless Third Time Lucki has some significant improvement I can’t see him being good enough to win this . War Lord probably wants it softer .

     

    3 points each on the Nicholls pair top two 

  7. Exeter 3.00 

    St Erney 9.7 13/2 4th 

    Minella Buster 9.2 10/3

    One More Fleurie 9.2 28/1

    Killer Kane 9.1 7/2

    Competitive chase with most of them scoring high ratings . Killer Kane has the class to win this certainly and is the class horse . Minella Buster could still be way ahead of the handicapper. St Erney rides the course well and usually runs to a few Ibs higher around Exeter and is last years winner of the race . Harry Kimber who is in pretty hot form at the moment takes off 5Ibs and has won on him before. 
     

    5 points win St Erney 

  8. 7 hours ago, Villa Chris said:

    Only managed to go through two races last night and haven’t got notes to hand but top two in each race are….

    12.50 Newbury 

    Herbiers 9/2 won 

    Caster Gandolfo 11/2

    3.05 Newbury 

    Flemcara 8/1 4th 

    Didtheyleaveuoutto 2/1 3rd 

    I’ll play top two in first race 3 points win each . Second race I’ll play top rated 4 points win . I’ll leave second rated alone at that price as it won’t even cover my out goings if it won. 

     

    6.50 profit on the day with a 9/2 winner 

    P/L jump season start date 8th October 2022 -1.94 points

  9. Only managed to go through two races last night and haven’t got notes to hand but top two in each race are….

    12.50 Newbury 

    Herbiers 9/2 won 

    Caster Gandolfo 11/2

    3.05 Newbury 

    Flemcara 8/1 4th 

    Didtheyleaveuoutto 2/1 3rd 

    I’ll play top two in first race 3 points win each . Second race I’ll play top rated 4 points win . I’ll leave second rated alone at that price as it won’t even cover my out goings if it won. 

     

  10. 9 hours ago, Villa Chris said:

    Musselburgh 3.37 

    Coup De Pinceau 9.45 12/1 3rd 

    Flying Verse 8.79 7/1 won 

    Rapid Raider 8.56 9/2 non runner 

    Marathon race just shy of 3 mile 8 furlongs. With predicted rain on soft going. Top rated looks over priced considering he stays the distance and is proven on soft. There’s some unexposed types in the race but I’m not sure they will want it too testing. The selection also runs well fresh and has some decent form from his last few runs and is on a winning mark. 
     

    5 points win top rated 

     

    Ran well enough but finished 3rd. Flying Verse won . 3 non runners . 
     

    P/L jump season start date 8th October 2022 -8.44 points

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