PercyP

NFL Week 14 Predictions
(1) Dolphins to win ATS -3.0 points @ 5/6
Last week the Dolphins came against the 49ers defence this week should be easier. Trends suggest the Dolphins can win this. Dolphins are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games as the favourite. and are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games against LA Chargers.
(2) Seattle to win ATS -3.5 points @ 10/11
Home field advantage should be the deciding factor. Seattle are 7-5 and will be playing to get into the play offs. For the 4-8 Panthers the season is over and they will be more interested in getting a top pick in the draft.
(3) New England to win ATS -1.5 points @ 10/11
The Cardinals home record is awful 1-6. Patriots are 7-1 SU and ATS in their last 8 games against Arizona.
(4) Browns to win ATS +6.0 points @ 10/11
The Bengals beat the Chiefs and the public will be fully behind them. Browns have won the last 5 straight up against the Bengals including a 32-13 victory in October. To win the Browns will need Watson to play like an elite QB.
(5)Titans to win ATS -4.0 points @ 10/11
Since 2017 the Titans have won nine of the last ten meetings against the Jags. Derrick Henry has been quite the last few weeks but last time he played the Jags he scored 3 touchdowns and carried for 130 yards. Good luck stopping him this week.
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365
 
(6) Vikings to win ATS +2.5 points @ 10/11
The Vikings own the Lions winning 9 of the last 10 meetings. Last weekend the Lions (5-7) demolished the Jags (4-8. Can they beat the Vikings (10-2) with Cousins, Jefferson, Thielen and Cook. The answer is no. The last four match ups have been decided by four or less points. It should be close so I am taking the points with the Vikings.
(7) Bills to win ATS -9.5 points @ 10/11
The Bills will want revenge over the Jets for the 20-17 defeat earlier in the season.
(8) Steelers to win ATS -2.5 points @ 20/23
Wow games between the Steelers and Ravens are close. Earlier in the season at Baltimore the Steelers won 16-13 in overtime. Steelers are better at home and an injury to Lamar Jackson makes the Steelers the pick.
(9) Rams to win ATS +6.0 points @ 10/11
3 weeks ago no one would choose the Raiders (2-7), but three wins later they are all the rage (5-7). Those wins came against the Bronco’s, Seattle in overtime and the Chargers. The season is over for the Rams (3-9) but they showed a glimmer of fight last week against Seattle. They could cause a surprise.
(10) Cowboys to win ATS -16.0 points @ 10/11
Yes, Dallas need to win this game and there is no reason to believe they will not. However the risk is Dallas will not have to give 100% to win this and the Texans may get garbage points as they did against the Dolphins.
Bet:
10 x 0.5 point trebles
5 x 1.5 point 4 timers
2.5 point accumulator
15 points staked

I'm going for a two-fold this week. The two standout spreads are the Chiefs (-9.5) against the Broncos and the 49ers (-3.5) against the Bucs.
If you analyse recent form you will find a huge points difference between the Chiefs and the Broncos. The Chiefs average 29 points per game and 33 points on the road meanwhile the Broncos average 14 points per game and 12 at home. 
Elsewhere, the 49ers have been unreal since trading McCaffrey and their offense has been electric recently. They have average 28 points in their last three games and average 23 points at home. Whereas, the Bucs offence has struggled this year even with the GOAT Tom Brady. They rank 27th in the NFL for points-per-game on the road (16 points) so I think the 49ers will cover the spread.
Chiefs (-9.5)
49ers (-3.5)
@3.81

NFL Week 14 Predictions
(1) Dolphins to win ATS -3.0 points @ 5/6
Last week the Dolphins came against the 49ers defence this week should be easier. Trends suggest the Dolphins can win this. Dolphins are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games as the favourite. and are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games against LA Chargers.
(2) Seattle to win ATS -3.5 points @ 10/11
Home field advantage should be the deciding factor. Seattle are 7-5 and will be playing to get into the play offs. For the 4-8 Panthers the season is over and they will be more interested in getting a top pick in the draft.
(3) New England to win ATS -1.5 points @ 10/11
The Cardinals home record is awful 1-6. Patriots are 7-1 SU and ATS in their last 8 games against Arizona.
(4) Browns to win ATS +6.0 points @ 10/11
The Bengals beat the Chiefs and the public will be fully behind them. Browns have won the last 5 straight up against the Bengals including a 32-13 victory in October. To win the Browns will need Watson to play like an elite QB.
(5)Titans to win ATS -4.0 points @ 10/11
Since 2017 the Titans have won nine of the last ten meetings against the Jags. Derrick Henry has been quite the last few weeks but last time he played the Jags he scored 3 touchdowns and carried for 130 yards. Good luck stopping him this week.
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365
 
(6) Vikings to win ATS +2.5 points @ 10/11
The Vikings own the Lions winning 9 of the last 10 meetings. Last weekend the Lions (5-7) demolished the Jags (4-8. Can they beat the Vikings (10-2) with Cousins, Jefferson, Thielen and Cook. The answer is no. The last four match ups have been decided by four or less points. It should be close so I am taking the points with the Vikings.
(7) Bills to win ATS -9.5 points @ 10/11
The Bills will want revenge over the Jets for the 20-17 defeat earlier in the season.
(8) Steelers to win ATS -2.5 points @ 20/23
Wow games between the Steelers and Ravens are close. Earlier in the season at Baltimore the Steelers won 16-13 in overtime. Steelers are better at home and an injury to Lamar Jackson makes the Steelers the pick.
(9) Rams to win ATS +6.0 points @ 10/11
3 weeks ago no one would choose the Raiders (2-7), but three wins later they are all the rage (5-7). Those wins came against the Bronco’s, Seattle in overtime and the Chargers. The season is over for the Rams (3-9) but they showed a glimmer of fight last week against Seattle. They could cause a surprise.
(10) Cowboys to win ATS -16.0 points @ 10/11
Yes, Dallas need to win this game and there is no reason to believe they will not. However the risk is Dallas will not have to give 100% to win this and the Texans may get garbage points as they did against the Dolphins.
Bet:
10 x 0.5 point trebles
5 x 1.5 point 4 timers
2.5 point accumulator
15 points staked

NFL Week 14 Predictions
(1) Dolphins to win ATS -3.0 points @ 5/6
Last week the Dolphins came against the 49ers defence this week should be easier. Trends suggest the Dolphins can win this. Dolphins are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games as the favourite. and are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games against LA Chargers.
(2) Seattle to win ATS -3.5 points @ 10/11
Home field advantage should be the deciding factor. Seattle are 7-5 and will be playing to get into the play offs. For the 4-8 Panthers the season is over and they will be more interested in getting a top pick in the draft.
(3) New England to win ATS -1.5 points @ 10/11
The Cardinals home record is awful 1-6. Patriots are 7-1 SU and ATS in their last 8 games against Arizona.
(4) Browns to win ATS +6.0 points @ 10/11
The Bengals beat the Chiefs and the public will be fully behind them. Browns have won the last 5 straight up against the Bengals including a 32-13 victory in October. To win the Browns will need Watson to play like an elite QB.
(5)Titans to win ATS -4.0 points @ 10/11
Since 2017 the Titans have won nine of the last ten meetings against the Jags. Derrick Henry has been quite the last few weeks but last time he played the Jags he scored 3 touchdowns and carried for 130 yards. Good luck stopping him this week.
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365
 
(6) Vikings to win ATS +2.5 points @ 10/11
The Vikings own the Lions winning 9 of the last 10 meetings. Last weekend the Lions (5-7) demolished the Jags (4-8. Can they beat the Vikings (10-2) with Cousins, Jefferson, Thielen and Cook. The answer is no. The last four match ups have been decided by four or less points. It should be close so I am taking the points with the Vikings.
(7) Bills to win ATS -9.5 points @ 10/11
The Bills will want revenge over the Jets for the 20-17 defeat earlier in the season.
(8) Steelers to win ATS -2.5 points @ 20/23
Wow games between the Steelers and Ravens are close. Earlier in the season at Baltimore the Steelers won 16-13 in overtime. Steelers are better at home and an injury to Lamar Jackson makes the Steelers the pick.
(9) Rams to win ATS +6.0 points @ 10/11
3 weeks ago no one would choose the Raiders (2-7), but three wins later they are all the rage (5-7). Those wins came against the Bronco’s, Seattle in overtime and the Chargers. The season is over for the Rams (3-9) but they showed a glimmer of fight last week against Seattle. They could cause a surprise.
(10) Cowboys to win ATS -16.0 points @ 10/11
Yes, Dallas need to win this game and there is no reason to believe they will not. However the risk is Dallas will not have to give 100% to win this and the Texans may get garbage points as they did against the Dolphins.
Bet:
10 x 0.5 point trebles
5 x 1.5 point 4 timers
2.5 point accumulator
15 points staked

NFL Week 14 Predictions
(1) Dolphins to win ATS -3.0 points @ 5/6
Last week the Dolphins came against the 49ers defence this week should be easier. Trends suggest the Dolphins can win this. Dolphins are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games as the favourite. and are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games against LA Chargers.
(2) Seattle to win ATS -3.5 points @ 10/11
Home field advantage should be the deciding factor. Seattle are 7-5 and will be playing to get into the play offs. For the 4-8 Panthers the season is over and they will be more interested in getting a top pick in the draft.
(3) New England to win ATS -1.5 points @ 10/11
The Cardinals home record is awful 1-6. Patriots are 7-1 SU and ATS in their last 8 games against Arizona.
(4) Browns to win ATS +6.0 points @ 10/11
The Bengals beat the Chiefs and the public will be fully behind them. Browns have won the last 5 straight up against the Bengals including a 32-13 victory in October. To win the Browns will need Watson to play like an elite QB.
(5)Titans to win ATS -4.0 points @ 10/11
Since 2017 the Titans have won nine of the last ten meetings against the Jags. Derrick Henry has been quite the last few weeks but last time he played the Jags he scored 3 touchdowns and carried for 130 yards. Good luck stopping him this week.
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365
 
(6) Vikings to win ATS +2.5 points @ 10/11
The Vikings own the Lions winning 9 of the last 10 meetings. Last weekend the Lions (5-7) demolished the Jags (4-8. Can they beat the Vikings (10-2) with Cousins, Jefferson, Thielen and Cook. The answer is no. The last four match ups have been decided by four or less points. It should be close so I am taking the points with the Vikings.
(7) Bills to win ATS -9.5 points @ 10/11
The Bills will want revenge over the Jets for the 20-17 defeat earlier in the season.
(8) Steelers to win ATS -2.5 points @ 20/23
Wow games between the Steelers and Ravens are close. Earlier in the season at Baltimore the Steelers won 16-13 in overtime. Steelers are better at home and an injury to Lamar Jackson makes the Steelers the pick.
(9) Rams to win ATS +6.0 points @ 10/11
3 weeks ago no one would choose the Raiders (2-7), but three wins later they are all the rage (5-7). Those wins came against the Bronco’s, Seattle in overtime and the Chargers. The season is over for the Rams (3-9) but they showed a glimmer of fight last week against Seattle. They could cause a surprise.
(10) Cowboys to win ATS -16.0 points @ 10/11
Yes, Dallas need to win this game and there is no reason to believe they will not. However the risk is Dallas will not have to give 100% to win this and the Texans may get garbage points as they did against the Dolphins.
Bet:
10 x 0.5 point trebles
5 x 1.5 point 4 timers
2.5 point accumulator
15 points staked

NFL Week 13 Results
First selections W4 L1 – Staked 30 points returned 67.68 for a profit of 37.68 points
Second Selections W3 D1 L1 – Staked 15 points returned 17.06 points
Overall week 13 W7 D1 L2 – Staked 45 points returned 84.74 points for a profit  of 39.74 points.
 YTD: Total selections 130 – W56 D9 L66 staked 585.00 points returned 587.53 for an overall seasonal profit of 2.53 points.
  (1) Vikings to win ATS -3.0 points @ 10/11 – Won – Vikings hold on 27-22
Could they beat the Vikings with Cousins, Jefferson, Thielen and Cook. The answer is no Vikings have won 11 straight as favourites. Vikings led 20-6 at half time but could have lost this game. Awesome defence, held out on the one yard line.
(2) Browns to win ATS -7.0 points @ 10/11- Won – Browns won 27-14
The Texans are tanking and want the number one pick. The browns with Amari Cooper, Nick Chubb, Miles Garrett and Deshaun Watson will take this. Houston’s offence was abysmal.
(3) Steelers to win ATS -1.0 points @ 10/11- Won – Steelers stopped the Falcons run game to win 19-16
Steelers have the better defence, better coach and better QB. In short Steelers are the better team. Steelers jumped out to a 16-6 lead and held on.
(4)Jags to win ATS -1.0 point @ 10/11 – Lost – Jags take huge beating by the Lions 14-40
Despite being 4-7 the Jags and Trevor Lawrence have a positive points record (+12) whilst the 4-7 Lions have a negative points difference (-35). It’s time for Trevor to shine. Lawrence did not play well with only 17 of 31successful  pass attempts.
(5) Saints to win ATS +3.5 points @ 10/11- Won – Despite the “ Brady Magic” made it a 17-16 win for Tampa
Picking a team who did not score last week could be risky however the Saints are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games at Tampa Bay. Whilst the Bucs, are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games at home. The Buccaneers trailed the Saints16-3 with three minutes left, then the Brady Magic happened scoring with just three seconds on the clock.
(6) Bills to win ATS -4.0 points @ 10/11 – Won – Bills take care of the Patriots 24-10
If the Patriots want to go toe to toe with the Bills then the Patriots will come unstuck. Bills comfortable.
(7) Raiders to win against the money line @ 21/20 – Won – Raiders win 27-20
This will be close and high scoring. I am hoping Josh Jacob’s has a monster game. Josh Jacobs steamrolled the Chargers defence running for 144 yards. The Raiders have now won three on the trot.
(8) Dolphins to win ATS +4.0 points @ 10/11 – Lost – 49Ers win 33-17 but the scoreboard did not fully reflect the closeness of this game.
 I love the 49Ers who I believe are bound for the Super-Bowl however, the Dolphins have a great passing offence which could help Miami keep this close.   Not Tua’s best game of the season Nick Bosa sacked him three times. Miami where still in the game at 23-17 until the final minutes.
(9) NY Giants to win against the money line @ 23/20 – Draw – Sides finished all square at 20-20
Washington’s good run is predicted to come to an end here. New York is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings overall with Washington. Giants led 20-13 with two minutes to go before conceding. The Giants had a chance to win the game in the final minute of overtime but the lengthy field goal attempt fell short.
(10) Packers to win against the money line @ 20/37 – Won – Packers continue to have the Bears number 28-19
The Chicago Bears are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games against NFC North opponents. Make that 1-8.

Slough v Concord A change of manager at Slough led to a win in the FA Trophy win, but back in the league and it has been two defeats. They not surprisingly lost to Ebbsfleet on Saturday, but more worrying has to be the 5-1 loss to Eastbourne the week before. It is just 2 points for them in their last 10 games now and they are really struggling. Concord have also changed their manager and as I highlighted a few weeks ago they have improved for the manager switch. Their only defeat in the last 6 league games was against Dartford and they have won 4 of those 6 games. Quite why they are as big a price as they are for this I don't know as they are in much better shape than their hosts right now and they are cracking value.   Welling v Farnborough Welling started off very well and the ante-post bet on them was looking a fair shout, but their form has fallen off the edge of a cliff as they have won just once in 10 games. They have drawn 3 of their last 5 which isn't bad, but they are suffering a bit with injuries at the moment. I'm happy to back Farnborough again here as they were a bit unlucky not to win for us on Saturday. Their good form continues though so I think they can get back to winning ways here.   Kidderminster v Chester For the first time since Setanta showed the play-offs back in 2007 we have a live National League North game on TV to look forward to. With a blank day in the World Cup BT are showing this game on Wednesday night and on Sunday lunchtime they are showing the National League South game between Braintree and Dulwich. It is handy they have chosen this game because I really fancy Chester. Quite how the bookies have come up with the prices they have for this game I don't know. The home sides only win in their last 7 games was a lucky one against bottom side AFC Telford. I mentioned when I backed Gloucester against them that they weren't playing well and they duly lost that game. On Friday night they only drew 1-1 against an Alfreton side who had gone down to ten men and had to put the reserve keeper in goal after their first choice got injured. They now host a Chester game who have won 7 and drawn 3 of their last 10 league games. They have scored 21 goals in that time, scored in every game and conceded just 7, 4 of which came in the 3 draws. As that shows they are in cracking form at the moment and their price is crazy as I would nearly make them favourites. At the price they are for me they are a max bet.   Concord 2pts @ 5/2 with Betfair and Paddy Power (take up to 7/4) Farnborough 1pt @ 17/10 with Paddy Power, Betfair and Coral (take up to 11/8) Chester 5pts @ 11/4 with Bet365, Betfred and Skybet (Coral are 3/1 and take up to 6/4)

Worthing, who are now 5th in the table after their 5-1 thrashing of 2nd place Havant on Saturday, have lost only once in their last 9 games, have to be value at a best price of 5.0 (more widely 4.75) to beat Ebbsfleet, who have lost 2 their last 3 league games, and won't be relishing the prospect of a Tuesday evening visit to Worthing.
I will be returning to the Eastbourne well for their trip to Tonbridge tonight, I saw they were available at a touch under 3.0 yesterday and I'm kicking myself for not getting on then, but still see value in the 2.3 currently on offer. With 6 wins & a draw from their last 7 matches with Hutchinson & Remy on fire, against a Tonbridge side who have been blowing hot & cold & still have important players out injured. I'm expecting an Eastbourne win.

Top picking MinellaWorksop ??

Top picking MinellaWorksop ??

It's so close this year, i think any from 10 teams could win it. Certainly makes for exciting viewing.

Bloody nfl accas are killing me, lol.
Everytime I try a team on a run, they get beat, lol.
Eagles have one defeat, ,guess when I bet them?
Them it was ravens, then minnesota (got beat by about 40 points) and last night Chiefs.
Have Bills to win the whole thing, although hope Dolphins win it.

Two Money line games I like for similar reasons to @PercyP are:
Minnesota Vikings 1.66
Pittsburgh Steelers 1.95
And three anytime Touchdown scorers I like are:
Justin Jefferson (Minnesota Vikings) 2.05
Tee Higgins (Cincinnati Bengals) 2.05
CeeDee Lamb (Dallas Cowboys) 2.05
All prices Bet365

Thanks MC for all your hard work.

Thanks MC for all your hard work.

Thanks MC for all your hard work.

Second set of selections
(6) Bills to win ATS -4.0 points @ 10/11
If the Patriots want to go toe to toe with the Bills then the Patriots will come unstuck.
(7) Raiders to win against the money line @ 21/20
This will be close and high scoring. I am hoping Josh Jacob’s has a monster game.
(8) Dolphins to win ATS +4.0 points @ 10/11
I love the 49Ers who I believe are bound for the Super-Bowl however, the Dolphins have a great passing offence which could help Miami keep this close.
(9) NY Giants to win against the money line @ 23/20
Washington’s good run is predicted to come to an end here. New York is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings overall with Washington.
(10) Packers to win against the money line @ 20/37
The Chicago Bears are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games against NFC North opponents.
Bet:
10 x 0.5 point trebles
5 x 1.5 point 4 timers
2.5 point accumulator
15 points staked

NFL Week 13 Predictions
(1) Vikings to win ATS -3.0 points @ 10/11
The Jets will be popular with the public who will think Mike White was magic last week. It was against the Bears minus Justin Fields! Could they beat the Vikings with Cousins, Jefferson, Thielen and Cook. The answer is no Vikings have won 11 straight as favourites.
(2) Browns to win ATS -7.0 points @ 10/11
The Texans are tanking and want the number one pick. The browns with Amari Cooper, Nick Chubb, Miles Garrett and Deshaun Watson will take this.
(3) Steelers to win ATS -1.0 points @ 10/11
Steelers have the better defence, better coach and better QB. In short Steelers are the better team.
(4)Jags to win ATS -1.0 point @ 10/11
Despite being 4-7 the Jags and Trevor Lawrence have a positive points record (+12) whilst the 4-7 Lions have a negative points difference (-35). It’s time for Trevor to shine.
(5) Saints to win ATS +3.5 points @ 10/11
Picking a team who did not score last week could be risky however the Saints are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games at Tampa Bay. Whilst the Bucs, are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games at home.
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365

NFL Week 12 Results
First selections W1 L4 - Loss 30 points
Second Selections W3 D1 L1 – Staked 15 points returned 19.39 points
Overall week 12 W4 D1 L5 – Staked 45 points returned 19.39 points for a loss of -25.61 points.
YTD: Total selections 120 – W49 D8 L64 staked 540.00 returned 502.79 for an overall seasonal loss of -37.21 points.
 (1) Bengals to win ATS –1.5 points @ 10/11- Won – Bengals win by four 20-16
The Bengals (6-4) are chasing the Ravens (7-3) in the AFC North and with difficult fixtures ahead, the Bengals need this win. Bengals needed the win and got it.
 (2) Bills to win ATS -9.5 points @ 10/11- Lost – Bills win but only by three 28-25
Josh Allen in a Thanksgiving TV game against one of the worst defences in the NFL makes the Bills an obvious choice.
(3) LA Chargers to win ATS -4.5 points @ 10/11- Lost – Chargers win but only by one 25-24
Playing away from home does not worry the Chargers who are 39-19-3 against the spread in their last 61 Road games. Whilst the Cardinals are not that impressive at home being 2-8 against the spread in its last 10 Home games. Chargers seem to have the Cardinals number being 4-1 against the spread in the last 5 meetings. Not this time.
 (4)The Colts to win ATS -2.5 points @ 10/11- Lost – The Steelers win 24-17 this could have been a different result if the Colts had played properly in the first half.
 The Colts still have a chance to keep their season going. The return to form of Jonathon Taylor could be a big factor in this game. Steelers play better at home and are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games on the Road. The Colts had zero yards offence in the first quarter and were 13-0 behind.
 (5) New England Patriots to win ATS +2.5 points @ 10/11- Lost – Vikings win a shoot out 33-26
 The Vikings (8-2) were demolished by Dallas but still have a massive lead over the chasing teams (4 wins) in the NFC North. They do not need the win as much as the Patriots. Their defence is number one in the NFL only allowing 87 passing yards in the last two games. Good exciting game, could have gone either way.
 (6) 49Ers to win ATS -9.5 points @ 10/11 – Won - 49Ers win 13-0
 Battling with Seattle in the NFC West, the 49Ers need to beat the Saints. I think the 49Ers are bound for the Super Bowl whilst the Saints struggle to score. Saints four wins have all been against modest opposition the Falcons (5-6), Seahawks (5-5), Rams (3-7) and Raiders (3-7). The Saints are also 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The 49Ers defence was immense.
 (7) Seahawks to Win ATS – 3.5 points @10/11- Lost – Seahawks lose 34-40 in overtime
 Home advantage could be the deciding factor here. The Seahawks Lumen Field is so noisy it is always difficult for the away team. Seattle also need a win to keep pace with the 49Ers. The Seahawks defence allowed the Raiders a massive 576 yards of offence. That is horrendous.
 (8) Packers to win ATS +7points @ 10/11 – Draw – Eagles won 40-33 with Aaron Rodgers throwing two interceptions.
The Eagles (9-1) have been cooling off in the past few weeks. A win will suffice whereas Green Bay are desperate. With Aaron Rodgers anything is possible. Rodgers injured.
(9) Jets to win ATS -4.5 points @ 10/11- Won – Easy for Jets 31-10
The Bears have done well with Justin Fields leading the offence. If he does not play (or carries an injury) the Jets could keep up their AFC East chances. Justin Fields did not play.
 (10) Dolphins to win ATS -13 points @ 10/11- Won – Dolphins won 30-15 after leading 30-0
Home advantage is huge for Miami. The Dolphins are 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 games at Home. Easy win for Miami.

Time for desperation
6.20 Kempton - Tea Sea E.Way 250/1 Bet365
 

I agree that the Bengals will cover the spread here. Titans have conceded the 5th most passing touchdowns this season and are playing against Joe Burrow who is 3rd in passing yards and 2nd in touchdowns. Ja'Marr Chase is questionable but the Bengals have enough to get it done with Tyler Boyd and Tee Higgins.
Meanwhile, Justin Fields' injury status will determine who I back on the spread between the Bears and the Jets. Right now, Justin Fields is the Bears offense and with the spread currently at six, I fancy the Jets to cover if he's absent - but backing Fields to cover if he plays.

NFL Week 12 Predictions
Favourites are only 43.7% for the season ATS but this will change this week as the battle for league supremacy continues.
(1) Bengals to win ATS –1.5 points @ 10/11
The Titans (7-3) are holding a clear lead in the AFC South and may take is it easier than normal. The Bengals (6-4) are chasing the Ravens (7-3) in the AFC North and with difficult fixtures ahead, the Bengals need this win.
 (2) Bills to win ATS -9.5 points @ 10/11
Josh Allen in a Thanksgiving TV game against one of the worst defences in the NFL makes the Bills an obvious choice.
(3) LA Chargers to win ATS -4.5 points @ 10/11
Playing away from home does not worry the Chargers who are 39-19-3 against the spread in their last 61 Road games. Whilst the Cardinals are not that impressive at home being 2-8 against the spread in its last 10 Home games. Chargers seem to have the Cardinals number being 4-1 against the spread in the last 5 meetings.
 (4)The Colts to win ATS -2.5 points @ 10/11
 The Colts still have a chance to keep their season going. The return to form of Jonathon Taylor could be a big factor in this game. Steelers play better at home and are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games on the Road.
 (5) New England Patriots to win ATS +2.5 points @ 10/11
 The Vikings (8-2) were demolished by Dallas but still have a massive lead over the chasing teams (4 wins) in the NFC North. They do not need the win as much as the Patriots. Their defence is number one in the NFL only allowing 87 passing yards in the last two games.
 Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365
(6) 49Ers to win ATS -9.5 points @ 10/11
 Battling with Seattle in the NFC West, the 49Ers need to beat the Saints. I think the 49Ers are bound for the Super Bowl whilst the Saints struggle to score. Saints four wins have all been against modest opposition the Falcons (5-6), Seahawks (5-5), Rams (3-7) and Raiders (3-7). The Saints are also 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings
 (7) Seahawks to Win ATS – 3.5 points @10/11
 Home advantage could be the deciding factor here. The Seahawks Lumen Field is so noisy it is always difficult for the away team. Seattle also need a win to keep pace with the 49Ers.
 (8) Packers to win ATS +7points @ 10/11
The Eagles (9-1) have been cooling off in the past few weeks. A win will suffice whereas Green Bay are desperate. With Aaron Rodgers anything is possible.
(9) Jets to win ATS -4.5 points @ 10/11
The Bears have done well with Justin Fields leading the offence. If he does not play (or carries an injury) the Jets could keep up their AFC East chances.
 (10) Dolphins to win ATS -13 points @ 10/11
The AFC East is extremely competitive with just one win separating all four teams. A win is imperative for Miami. Home advantage is huge for Miami. The Dolphins are 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 games at Home.
Bet:
10 x 0.5 point trebles
5 x 1.5 point 4 timers
2.5 point accumulator
15 points staked

NFL Week 11 Results
The Bills allowing the Browns garbage time points resulted in a draw scuppering the profit from the first set of tips.
The Week 11 Record was W5 D2 L3 – 45.00 points staked 39.58 points returned for a weekly loss of -5.42 points.
The YTD record is now: Total selections 110 – W44 D7 L59 staked 495.00 returned 483.40 for an overall seasonal loss of -11.60 points.
(1) Patriots to win ATS @ -3.0 points @ 5/6 – Won – Patriots score a game-winning 84-yard punt return in final minutes of the game
The Patriots have beaten the Jets 13 times in a row dating back to 2015 (9-4 ATS). New England were by far the better team, the record continues.
(2) Bills to win ATS -8.0 points @ 10/11 – Draw – Bills win beat the Browns by 31-23
Home field advantage, icy conditions should see Josh Allen and the Bills return to winning ways. Bills win but the Browns were allowed two garbage-time touchdowns to make the score look close and prevent the ATS win.
 (3) Steelers to win ATS +4.0 points @ 10/11- Lost – Bengals win 37-30 (by 7)
Whilst they may not beat the Bengals the return of T J Watt should keep this close.  Close but not close enough.
(4) 49Ers to win ATS -8.0 points @ 10/11 – Won – 49Ers hammer the Cardinals 38-10
My eyes are telling me the 49Ers could be Super Bowl bound. 49Ers were even more impressive this week.
(5) Cowboys to win ATS -1.5 points @ 10/11 – Won – Cowboys hammer the Vikings 40-3
Minnesota has won 7 on the bounce to establish a big lead in NFC North so they could take it easier this week, whilst the Cowboys desperately need to win to keep their season going.  Vikings took it easy.
(6) Commanders to win ATS -3.0 points @ 10/11- Won – Easy win 23-10 for Washington
The Texans season is already over and with the worst run defence in the league the Commanders will get the win to keep them in the play-off picture. This game clearly demonstrated the Texans are the worst team in the NFL and have finished for the season.
 (7) Chiefs to win ATS -5.5 points @ 10/11 – Lost – Chiefs win but only by 3
Chiefs (7-2) have won 7 straight at Chargers (5-4) and 7-1 ATS past 8 visits. This was the game of the week and hats off to the Chargers who led with two minutes to go. Mahomes magic wins the game.
(8) Raiders to win Moneyline @ 13/10 – Won – Raiders win in overtime 22-16
Two of the most disappointing teams this season face off. The Raiders have won the last five in this rivalry including a 32-23 win earlier this year. Raiders win again in this match up.
(9) NY Giants to win ATS – 3.0 Points @ 10/11 – Lost – The Lions win easy 31-18
Playing outside in the cold will not suit the Lions QB Jared Goff. Lions are 1-12-1 SU in their last 14 games on the road. The Lions cannot stop the run, so Saquon Barkley should thrive. This was a poor game for the Giants. QB Daniel Jones has an off day and Barkley rushed for just 22 yards. Is he injured?
(10) Bears to win ATS +3.0 points @ 1/1 – Drew – Atlanta win by 3 points thanks mainly to a 103-yard kickoff return
Both these teams struggle to pass the ball. So Justin Fields may continue to run the ball (325 rushing yards in two weeks). The Bears are also 4-0 ATS at the Falcons. Fields picked up a shoulder injury and the Chiefs cooled off in the second half.

NFL Week 12 Predictions
Favourites are only 43.7% for the season ATS but this will change this week as the battle for league supremacy continues.
(1) Bengals to win ATS –1.5 points @ 10/11
The Titans (7-3) are holding a clear lead in the AFC South and may take is it easier than normal. The Bengals (6-4) are chasing the Ravens (7-3) in the AFC North and with difficult fixtures ahead, the Bengals need this win.
 (2) Bills to win ATS -9.5 points @ 10/11
Josh Allen in a Thanksgiving TV game against one of the worst defences in the NFL makes the Bills an obvious choice.
(3) LA Chargers to win ATS -4.5 points @ 10/11
Playing away from home does not worry the Chargers who are 39-19-3 against the spread in their last 61 Road games. Whilst the Cardinals are not that impressive at home being 2-8 against the spread in its last 10 Home games. Chargers seem to have the Cardinals number being 4-1 against the spread in the last 5 meetings.
 (4)The Colts to win ATS -2.5 points @ 10/11
 The Colts still have a chance to keep their season going. The return to form of Jonathon Taylor could be a big factor in this game. Steelers play better at home and are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games on the Road.
 (5) New England Patriots to win ATS +2.5 points @ 10/11
 The Vikings (8-2) were demolished by Dallas but still have a massive lead over the chasing teams (4 wins) in the NFC North. They do not need the win as much as the Patriots. Their defence is number one in the NFL only allowing 87 passing yards in the last two games.
 Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365
(6) 49Ers to win ATS -9.5 points @ 10/11
 Battling with Seattle in the NFC West, the 49Ers need to beat the Saints. I think the 49Ers are bound for the Super Bowl whilst the Saints struggle to score. Saints four wins have all been against modest opposition the Falcons (5-6), Seahawks (5-5), Rams (3-7) and Raiders (3-7). The Saints are also 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings
 (7) Seahawks to Win ATS – 3.5 points @10/11
 Home advantage could be the deciding factor here. The Seahawks Lumen Field is so noisy it is always difficult for the away team. Seattle also need a win to keep pace with the 49Ers.
 (8) Packers to win ATS +7points @ 10/11
The Eagles (9-1) have been cooling off in the past few weeks. A win will suffice whereas Green Bay are desperate. With Aaron Rodgers anything is possible.
(9) Jets to win ATS -4.5 points @ 10/11
The Bears have done well with Justin Fields leading the offence. If he does not play (or carries an injury) the Jets could keep up their AFC East chances.
 (10) Dolphins to win ATS -13 points @ 10/11
The AFC East is extremely competitive with just one win separating all four teams. A win is imperative for Miami. Home advantage is huge for Miami. The Dolphins are 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 games at Home.
Bet:
10 x 0.5 point trebles
5 x 1.5 point 4 timers
2.5 point accumulator
15 points staked

NFL Week 12 Predictions
Favourites are only 43.7% for the season ATS but this will change this week as the battle for league supremacy continues.
(1) Bengals to win ATS –1.5 points @ 10/11
The Titans (7-3) are holding a clear lead in the AFC South and may take is it easier than normal. The Bengals (6-4) are chasing the Ravens (7-3) in the AFC North and with difficult fixtures ahead, the Bengals need this win.
 (2) Bills to win ATS -9.5 points @ 10/11
Josh Allen in a Thanksgiving TV game against one of the worst defences in the NFL makes the Bills an obvious choice.
(3) LA Chargers to win ATS -4.5 points @ 10/11
Playing away from home does not worry the Chargers who are 39-19-3 against the spread in their last 61 Road games. Whilst the Cardinals are not that impressive at home being 2-8 against the spread in its last 10 Home games. Chargers seem to have the Cardinals number being 4-1 against the spread in the last 5 meetings.
 (4)The Colts to win ATS -2.5 points @ 10/11
 The Colts still have a chance to keep their season going. The return to form of Jonathon Taylor could be a big factor in this game. Steelers play better at home and are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games on the Road.
 (5) New England Patriots to win ATS +2.5 points @ 10/11
 The Vikings (8-2) were demolished by Dallas but still have a massive lead over the chasing teams (4 wins) in the NFC North. They do not need the win as much as the Patriots. Their defence is number one in the NFL only allowing 87 passing yards in the last two games.
 Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365
(6) 49Ers to win ATS -9.5 points @ 10/11
 Battling with Seattle in the NFC West, the 49Ers need to beat the Saints. I think the 49Ers are bound for the Super Bowl whilst the Saints struggle to score. Saints four wins have all been against modest opposition the Falcons (5-6), Seahawks (5-5), Rams (3-7) and Raiders (3-7). The Saints are also 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings
 (7) Seahawks to Win ATS – 3.5 points @10/11
 Home advantage could be the deciding factor here. The Seahawks Lumen Field is so noisy it is always difficult for the away team. Seattle also need a win to keep pace with the 49Ers.
 (8) Packers to win ATS +7points @ 10/11
The Eagles (9-1) have been cooling off in the past few weeks. A win will suffice whereas Green Bay are desperate. With Aaron Rodgers anything is possible.
(9) Jets to win ATS -4.5 points @ 10/11
The Bears have done well with Justin Fields leading the offence. If he does not play (or carries an injury) the Jets could keep up their AFC East chances.
 (10) Dolphins to win ATS -13 points @ 10/11
The AFC East is extremely competitive with just one win separating all four teams. A win is imperative for Miami. Home advantage is huge for Miami. The Dolphins are 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 games at Home.
Bet:
10 x 0.5 point trebles
5 x 1.5 point 4 timers
2.5 point accumulator
15 points staked