NFL - week 11

[PercyP]

NFL Week 11 Predictions

The season is racing along, time to get back to winning ways.

(1) Patriots to win ATS @ -3.0 points @ 5/6

The Patriots have beaten the Jets 13 times in a row dating back to 2015 (9-4 ATS). The last time the Jets won in Foxborough was in 2008. The Patriots usual win against young QB’s 53-5.

(2) Bills to win ATS -8.0 points @ 10/11

The Browns struggled against the Dolphins and the Bills play similar. Home field advantage, icy conditions should see Josh Allen and the Bills return to winning ways.

 (3) Steelers to win ATS +4.0 points @ 10/11

The Steelers are 5-1 straight up against the Bengals. Whilst they may not beat the Bengals the return of T J Watt should keep this close. The Steelers coach Mike Tomlin is 15-2-1 ATS at home.

(4) 49Ers to win ATS -8.0 points @ 10/11

My eyes are telling me the 49Ers could be Super Bowl bound. History says the Cardinals have the 49Ers number (Cardinals are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games against San Francisco). Eyes win.

 (5) Cowboys to win ATS -1.5 points @ 10/11

Minnesota has won 8 on the bounce to establish a big lead in NFC North so they could take it easier this week, whilst the Cowboys desperately need to win to keep their season going. The Cowboys seem to have Kirk Cousins number (8-2).

Bet:

10 x 1 point trebles

5 x 3 point 4 timers

5 point accumulator

30 points staked

All prices Bet365

 

(6) Commanders to win ATS -3.0 points @ 10/11

The Texans season is already over and with the worst run defence in the league the Commanders will get the win to keep them in the play-off picture.

(7) Chiefs to win ATS -5.5 points @ 10/11

Chiefs (7-2) have won 7 straight at Chargers (5-4) and 7-1 ATS past 8 visits. A win at the weekend will on put the Chiefs in a great position to win the AFC West.

(8) Raiders to win Moneyline @ 13/10

Two of the most disappointing teams this season face off. The Raiders have won the last five in this rivalry including a 32-23 win earlier this year.

(9) NY Giants to win ATS – 3.0 Points @ 10/11

Playing outside in the cold will not suit the Lions QB Jared Goff. Lions are 1-12-1 SU in their last 14 games on the road. The Lions cannot stop the run, so Saquon Barkley should thrive.

(10) Bears to win ATS +3.0 points @ 1/1

Both these teams struggle to pass the ball. So Justin Fields may continue to run the ball (325 rushing yards in two weeks). The Bears are also 4-0 ATS at the Falcons.

Bet:

10 x 0.5 point trebles

5 x 1.5 point 4 timers

2.5 point accumulator

15 points staked

[harry_rag]

Matched on Lazard at 3.45 tonight.

Henry and Jones the more likely scorers but not expecting to get matched on them.

[MinellaWorksop]

Two I like for today are:

Pittsburgh Steelers 2.60 Bet365

Like @PercyP rightly points out. The Steelers have a great record at home. The Bengals will be a tough contest, though the tougher the contest the better The Steelers play.

New England Patriots 1.57 Bet365

Beat the Jets away only two starts ago. Now with home advantage, I see them winning again.

[harry_rag]

Just Cook (Minnesota) for me this week, 11/10 with Lads.

Pushed for time NFL wise with the World Cup starting.

[PercyP]

NFL Week 11 Results

The Bills allowing the Browns garbage time points resulted in a draw scuppering the profit from the first set of tips.

The Week 11 Record was W5 D2 L3 – 45.00 points staked 39.58 points returned for a weekly loss of -5.42 points.

The YTD record is now: Total selections 110 – W44 D7 L59 staked 495.00 returned 483.40 for an overall seasonal loss of -11.60 points.

(1) Patriots to win ATS @ -3.0 points @ 5/6 – Won – Patriots score a game-winning 84-yard punt return in final minutes of the game

The Patriots have beaten the Jets 13 times in a row dating back to 2015 (9-4 ATS). New England were by far the better team, the record continues.

(2) Bills to win ATS -8.0 points @ 10/11 – Draw – Bills win beat the Browns by 31-23

Home field advantage, icy conditions should see Josh Allen and the Bills return to winning ways. Bills win but the Browns were allowed two garbage-time touchdowns to make the score look close and prevent the ATS win.

 (3) Steelers to win ATS +4.0 points @ 10/11- Lost – Bengals win 37-30 (by 7)

Whilst they may not beat the Bengals the return of T J Watt should keep this close.  Close but not close enough.

(4) 49Ers to win ATS -8.0 points @ 10/11 – Won – 49Ers hammer the Cardinals 38-10

My eyes are telling me the 49Ers could be Super Bowl bound. 49Ers were even more impressive this week.

(5) Cowboys to win ATS -1.5 points @ 10/11 – Won – Cowboys hammer the Vikings 40-3

Minnesota has won 7 on the bounce to establish a big lead in NFC North so they could take it easier this week, whilst the Cowboys desperately need to win to keep their season going.  Vikings took it easy.

(6) Commanders to win ATS -3.0 points @ 10/11- Won – Easy win 23-10 for Washington

The Texans season is already over and with the worst run defence in the league the Commanders will get the win to keep them in the play-off picture. This game clearly demonstrated the Texans are the worst team in the NFL and have finished for the season.

 (7) Chiefs to win ATS -5.5 points @ 10/11 – Lost – Chiefs win but only by 3

Chiefs (7-2) have won 7 straight at Chargers (5-4) and 7-1 ATS past 8 visits. This was the game of the week and hats off to the Chargers who led with two minutes to go. Mahomes magic wins the game.

(8) Raiders to win Moneyline @ 13/10 – Won – Raiders win in overtime 22-16

Two of the most disappointing teams this season face off. The Raiders have won the last five in this rivalry including a 32-23 win earlier this year. Raiders win again in this match up.

(9) NY Giants to win ATS – 3.0 Points @ 10/11 – Lost – The Lions win easy 31-18

Playing outside in the cold will not suit the Lions QB Jared Goff. Lions are 1-12-1 SU in their last 14 games on the road. The Lions cannot stop the run, so Saquon Barkley should thrive. This was a poor game for the Giants. QB Daniel Jones has an off day and Barkley rushed for just 22 yards. Is he injured?

(10) Bears to win ATS +3.0 points @ 1/1 – Drew – Atlanta win by 3 points thanks mainly to a 103-yard kickoff return

Both these teams struggle to pass the ball. So Justin Fields may continue to run the ball (325 rushing yards in two weeks). The Bears are also 4-0 ATS at the Falcons. Fields picked up a shoulder injury and the Chiefs cooled off in the second half.

Edited November 23, 2022 by PercyP
Number correction