Heisenberg68

2:15 St cloud 
1. rue des irlandais @7/1 william Hill 

I think Rob has abit of a hex on Shaun  3-1 at the first break and really, without even having to play well.
Missing some real shockers. I reckon Murphy needs 5-3 down at worst playing like this.

good luck !

? Hello friends , I hope everything is going well for you!
 
Update before we start again next week:
- Deposit of £200 in January and February
- No bet in February and March  
- Next deposit in May
This is the new business plan :
  Start of the month Bank +£200 Win 3 % 01/23 £0 £200 £206 02/23 £206 £406 £406 03/23 £406 £406 £406 04/23 £406 £406 £418 05/23 £418 £618 £637 06/23 £637 £837 £862 07/23 £862 £1 062 £1 094 08/23 £1 094 £1 294 £1 332 09/23 £1 332 £1 532 £1 578 10/23 £1 578 £1 778 £1 832 11/23 £1 832 £2 032 £2 093 12/23 £2 093 £2093 + £300 £2 465  
See you next week to start April ?
 

Link to the rules for anybody new - ⬇️⬇️⬇️
 

A brand new Last Man Standing will kick off with 1st selections on Saturday April 1st 2023.
We will be also be running a Consolation competition for those knocked out of the main comp.

⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️
One difference for this competition will be at the end of the season the consolation competition will have to end, also.
So in effect, both competitions are likely to be 10weeks. This is only for LMS3 and is because we only have around 10 match-weeks left.
⬆️⬆️⬆️⬆️⬆️⬆️
The prize for winning the LMS Competition will be £250 which will be deposited into you PayPal account. The prize for winning the Consolation Competition will be £50. (No other method of payment considered) There will be a thread for selections later today. Good luck ?
Fader
 

of course I will be there for a new and hopefully better season

of course I will be there for a new and hopefully better season

of course I will be there for a new and hopefully better season

@PercyP @nawoo @Alastair @Data @Heisenberg68 @runadrum @Gary66 @Joelavfc @skyblues88 @imavillan please either like this post or reply if you would like to join back in
 

Bet 72.20: 15 points on 30+ booking points in B Munich v PSG at 1/8 with Sky Bet
Reasonable enough ref appointment, finely balanced tie, fairly intense rivalry. Prospects of at least 30 points seem better than those odds imply.

A lot of work to do when I get back from holiday ?
I don't spend enough time following the football news so I think I won't play this month. 
No deposit either because no bet . 

Group 1 bet:
£30 Sheffield United v Middlesbrough @5/2 Draw

That's a bit 'left field'. I thought I was out on a limb looking around South American Women's games for a goal. ? There really is a hell of a lot of untapped stuff around the world when you think of it. The only problem I have is that it's purely stats based info that you have to go on and I would usually like a bit more than that.

All bets will be on football draws. Bets stake will increase by 1.5 if it loses,  (maximum 5 bets). If it wins it will go back to original stake of £20. Each group will operate individually.
 
Group. 1 bet.  £20 Lincoln v Bristol Rovers @12/5 Draw
Group 2 bet.  £20 Ipswich v Sheffield Wednesday @5/2 Draw

cheers guys, threads are up now, apologies for late show this week

Double £5
Arsenal @1,40
Psg @1,30

good luck

Hello beautiful people!?
Let's try the kelly criterion system
Soocer betting
%estimation
Use of half kelly criterion (stake divided by two)
Initial bank 1000$
--------------------‐-----------------------------------
First bet:
 
Game: M. Utd vs leeds
Bet m.utd
% of winning=81%
Booker odds=1.50
Kelly stake=215$

✅ Back Madrid @1,84 / +£0,64
? New Bank : £405,36

✅ Lay Rennes @2,46 / +£6,37
? New Bank : £404,72

I think Murphy wins (forgetting my outright)
outrights I think Trump beats Allen in final.

Bet 9:
 

Bet 9 lost..back to the start!
Bet 1: