Alex's low odds rolling bets thread

[alexcaruso808]

I've decided to start my own one goal challenge.  All bets are with Bet365.  I won't be placing a bet every day as I sometimes don't have time due to work commitments.  

1st bet - Chelsea vs Burnley 

£5.00 @ 1.05

 

EDIT:  I have now changed to Smarkets.  All winning bet totals will include any comission that Smarkets have charged me.  

I'm also just going to use this thread to track all my bets.  

Edited September 16, 2022 by alexcaruso808

[Skittle]

Slow but sure is probably better anyway. 

[alexcaruso808]

17 minutes ago, Skittle said:

Slow but sure is probably better anyway. 

Thank you @Skittle - I do believe it is!  After seeing the success of @harry_rag, @glennhughes, yourself and others, I was inspired to give it a go myself.  

[harry_rag]

Good luck with the thread mate tho not sure my approach is the slowest or the surest! Just recording all my posted bets for the year and seeing how it ends. I have tried to adjust the quantity to quality ratio in favour of the latter of late to be fair.

[alexcaruso808]

1 hour ago, harry_rag said:

Good luck with the thread mate tho not sure my approach is the slowest or the surest! Just recording all my posted bets for the year and seeing how it ends. I have tried to adjust the quantity to quality ratio in favour of the latter of late to be fair.

Thanks mate.  ?

[alexcaruso808]

1st bet wins - bank = £5.25

-----------

2nd bet - West Ham vs Liverpool

£5.25 @ 1.02

 

[alexcaruso808]

2nd bet - won - £5.36

 

[alexcaruso808]

Bet 3 - Lazio vs Salernitana

£5.36 @ 1.03 

[alexcaruso808]

Bet 3 won - £5.53

[alexcaruso808]

Bet 4 - acca - FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United @ 1.025

New England Revolution vs Inter Miami CF @ 1.015

£5.53 @ 1.04. 

[alexcaruso808]

Bet 4 won - new bank total £5.76.

[alexcaruso808]

Bet 5 - Coventry City U23 vs Crew Alexandra U23

£5.76 @ 1.07

All bets from here on in are with Smarkets.  I find they offer more selections on 0.5 goals.  Bet365 sometimes only let you select over 2.5 goals.

 

[alexcaruso808]

Bet 5 won - new bank total £6.15

[alexcaruso808]

Bet 6 = 

Standard de Liège Women vs Royal Charleroi SC Women

Over 1.5 goals - £6.15 @ 1.02

 

[alexcaruso808]

Bet 6 won.

New bank = £6.27

 

[alexcaruso808]

Bet 7 

Republic of Ireland vs Portugal - 11th November 2021 (I didn't see any games that I fancied until Thursday, plus I have work tomorrow so wont get time to properly look at any bets).    

Over 0.5 goals - £6.27 @ 1.04

 

[alexcaruso808]

Bet 7 lost ?.  

I don't know what the odds were for a draw, but they must have been half decent. 

[harry_rag]

4 hours ago, alexcaruso808 said:

Bet 7 lost ?.  

I don't know what the odds were for a draw, but they must have been half decent. 

It was tipped by the RP at 4/1. They took the view that Portugal’s main motivation would be to avoid defeat ahead of their final game at home to Serbia. Unlucky mate.

[alexcaruso808]

3 hours ago, harry_rag said:

It was tipped by the RP at 4/1. They took the view that Portugal’s main motivation would be to avoid defeat ahead of their final game at home to Serbia. Unlucky mate.

What are RP's footy tips like in general? Are they any good? 

[harry_rag]

They’re not bad, worth a read if you want an informed take on a game. I don’t know whether they show a profit overall. Kevin Pullein is profitable as per the long running thread in systems and strategies but he’s very much quality over quantity (pretty much one tip per week with International weeks off).

[alexcaruso808]

56 minutes ago, harry_rag said:

They’re not bad, worth a read if you want an informed take on a game. I don’t know whether they show a profit overall. Kevin Pullein is profitable as per the long running thread in systems and strategies but he’s very much quality over quantity (pretty much one tip per week with International weeks off).

Thanks Harry. I have been following your bets in the Kevin Pullein thread. I think quality over quantity is a better way to go - that or a low odds steady pace kind of bets. 

[alexcaruso808]

OK, starting again.

Bet 1 - England vs Albania 

£5.00 @ 1.2   

[alexcaruso808]

Bet 1 won.

New bank = £5.98 (2p comission)

 

[alexcaruso808]

Bet 2 - France Vs Kazakhstan 

£5.98 @ 1.02

[alexcaruso808]

Bet 2 won.

New bank = £6.10

[alexcaruso808]

Bet 3 - acca

Orange County Blues vs Oakland Roots
San Antonio FC vs Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion FC

All games over 0.5 goals - £6.10 @ 1.06
 

[alexcaruso808]

Bet 3 lost as the Orange County game went to penalties. No more accas for me. ?

[JdsGooner90]

9 minutes ago, alexcaruso808 said:

Bet 3 lost as the Orange County game went to penalties. No more accas for me. ?

This challenge is hard enough one bet at a time you have no chance with trebles especially at low odds of 1.06.

Have you thought of using an exchange? Odds are a lot better. 

[alexcaruso808]

1 hour ago, JdsGooner90 said:

This challenge is hard enough one bet at a time you have no chance with trebles especially at low odds of 1.06.

Have you thought of using an exchange? Odds are a lot better. 

Yeah, I am using Smarkets.  The chances of over 0.5 goals in each of those games were quite low, so I thought that I would stick them in an acca.  There's always one that lets you down, eh!?  ?

[alexcaruso808]

Bet 1 - Armenia vs Germany 

£5.00 - Over 1.5 goals @ 1.09