South_African_Punter

Wow. I don't want to be disrespectful but the players you have chose are not trustable at all... 
Goffin is in a bad form and he lost his only match played here against Alcaraz in 2 sets while Popyrin has won some matches, at least. He plays home and he won against Tsonga and Munar the last year here.
Lopez is almost 40 years old and he needs to serve really well to be competitive. He lost in 2 sets against Anderson in his only match played here. I haven't seen Li Tu playing but his story is inspiring and I have seen that he has won some decent players (Polmans, Klein,...) playing the UTR Pro Championship. 
Bencic's form is absolutely awful. She has lost in her only match here against Cirstea in 2 sets. Before that she lost against Kovinic in 2 sets in Rome. Davis is not at her best either but she has won a set against Krejcikova and her game style suits here so I don't expect an easy match for Bencic. Add to that how unstable is Bencic on court. 
Mertens is playing really well. She has won against Hibi, García, Svitolina and Kanepi. From all those players the only one who took a set from her was Elina.

Sorana Cirstea (+4.5 Games) to beat Petra Kvitova at 2.00 with William Hill
I repeat with Cirstea. Cirstea has won against Tig (6-1, 6-2) while Kvitova has won against Minnen (6-3, 6-4). Kvitova hasn't showed her best tennis here. She had a hard battle against Venus (7-6, 7-5) and lost against Podoroska (7-5, 1-6, 6-7) in her preparation matches here. As I said before, Cirstea came here in a good form. She won an ITF tournament in Dubai, beating Blinkova, Cocciaretto, Krejcikova, Hercog and Siniakova. In her preparation matches she beat Bencic and lost against Ann Li, both in straight sets. Kvitova looks quite vulnerable and Cirstea is in a good form and she usually shows her best tennis when she faces big players. 
Bernarda Pera to beat Zarina Diyas at 1.61 with bet365
This is entirely based on how Pera has played against Kerber (6-0, 6-4). Probably she has played the best match of her career... She cleaned every single line of the court, hitting really hard the ball and giving no opportunities to Kerber. In the 2nd set Pera started to play a little bit conservative and that's when Kerber started to win games but finally Pera returned to her initial version and closed the match without problems. IMO, if Pera shows a similar version than today she should win the match, easily. The last time they played was in the US Open 2020 and Pera won 7-6, 6-0.

I only have watched the Hurkacz-Harrison and Norrie-Korda matches. Hurkacz won in 2 sets playing with the foot off the pedal. Korda played really well but when he was serving for the match (40-15, 5-4), he pooped his pants. Playing against another player probably she would have lost the set, but not against Norrie. The british made a show of his politeness and gifted the next game (2 DF). IMO Hurkacz should win the Final but, as I said, I only have watched 2 matches... 
another rutine victory from Savinykh 6-4, 7-5 (easiest 5.00 ever¿?). I have been watching about her and she looks pretty decent. Actually, she looks better than some current top 100 players...Any russian punter who knows more about her?
@Olymp thanks, mate!

Kudermetova to beat Kostyuk at 1.73 with William Hill
I like how is paid Kudermetova, I was expecting something different... I have nothing much to say, she is better player and she has faced better players (Kontaveit, Badosa and Svitolina). Today she has won against Svitolina after losing the first set and I liked so much what I have seen from her. I haven't liked what I have seen about Kostyuk. She has played a lot of points with too much precipitation, looking for fast winners. She has played a horrible first set (6-0) and could have lost the whole match against Sorribes.
EDIT. When I started writing this she was paid at 1.73 in William Hill, but has dropped to 1.57...
1.61 with bet365 still has value imo

Rybakina (+4.00 Games) to beat Sabalenka with Marathonbet
Sabalenka is in a 12 winning streak or something like that...but I expect a hard match for her and I wouldn't be surprised to see her losing despite the odds. Both players have won their matches without dropping a single set. Sabalenka has more power but I see Rybakina more consistent and her serve is more reliable, this will be a nice match to watch... 
The +3.5 Games is paid at 1.90 at most bookies

Sorribes (vs. Gasanova) + Svitolina (vs Alexandrova) at 1.85 with bet365
I add this one. Gasanova has achieved the bigger wins of her career but I can't see her winning against Sorribes. Gasanova victories against Pliskova and Barthel are impressive but Sorribes' style is completely different and I think the russian has neither the quality nor the consistency required to beat Sorribes. I know how dangerous can be Alexandrova on fast courts but Svitolina is better player and her game here has been more convincing.

Sam Querrey (-1.5 sets) to beat Gianluca Mager @ 1.76
Querrey easily dealt with McKenzie in the first round and looked impressive. I haven't seen much of Mager, but I feel Querrey is really up to  winning this tournament against a depleted field and should encounter no problems in this 2nd round match-up.

Rybakina to beat Kasatkina at 1.53 with betfair
It is a little bit hard to predict at this point of the season but I like how is Rybakina priced for this one. As we all know Kasatkina is just a shadow of the player she was in 2018. Her last 2 years have been extremely disappointing and I still haven't seen any sign to think this will change now. Rybakina is one of the most improved players of the last 2 years. Her first 2 months of 2020 (just before the pandemic started) were just brutal, playing 3 Finals (Shenzhen, Hobart and Dubai) and beating players like Kenin, Pliskova (2 times), Martic, Mertens,... The surface favors Rybakina's game and her serve is a massive advantage so I expect her to win this (I think she should be priced at 1.40).

Medvedev is the obvious pick, althought strangely i've missed all his matches so far so haven't seen how he's been playing, Zverev to me is still too inconsistant to go on and I don't trust Thiem since lockdown. I would rather look at Felix, Coric, De Minaur and as complete outsider Tiafoe. The first three can out work the big servers and young and hungry to win. Tiafoe I just think the odds are far too large considering how open this is now.

Ah guys.Im just going to say this.Pironkova can win this tourney.Total playing with house money, she has 0 double faults in three matches. Considering I think she was 1001.00 to win this it’s incredible.She is blowing people off the court.I hope she plays keys cause its going to be a great price as I dont even have to scout the match.3 years away with child and shes playing like a world beater.Better call Clisters for advice..

Mannarino to win a set - 1.72 @ Sportingbet
Sascha has dropped a set in his two previous matches and I feel there is a good chance he will drop at least a set (if not lose the match) to Mannarino who has impressed me in his recent matches.

Mannarino to win a set - 1.72 @ Sportingbet
Sascha has dropped a set in his two previous matches and I feel there is a good chance he will drop at least a set (if not lose the match) to Mannarino who has impressed me in his recent matches.

I am very impressed with the game and attitude of Kostyuk. She definitely is the real McCoy. Good feisty shot maker who believes in herself. The only way is up baby!

i have a very good feeling that Li will come against a road block in Kerber. It is very evident that Kerber is beginning to motor. I have seen her play and now know for sure. Many players came here with different objectives post covid. Kerber has come to really try to win this thing.

Have you seen Pegula lately? She is strapped up to the hilt and looking tired. She is never going to beat Kvitova in that state. Kvitova is another one with a genuine outside chance.I do not see her staying within 4.5 games handicap. Expect her to stop trying somewhere into the second set.

For me it's even simpler - Krajinovic is in no way reliable as a betting proposition. There's plenty of other matches to look at 

I must say I'm tempted by the 11.0 on Thiem. Yeah I know he went out at the first round last year and was given a good beating by Krajinovic earlier this week but apparently the two show courts weren't used in the W&S Open this week and they tend to be slower than the outside courts. It is likely he will be allocated outside courses in the early part of the tournament but he shouldn't encounter any problems in the first few rounds. As #2 seed, he will then almost surely be assigned one of the show courts.

The other two considerations for the "anti-Djokovic" pick were Tsitipas but I don't view him as quite ready for a GS title and Medvedev has too few matches under his belt for me to be comfortable placing a bet on him.

Well, we are getting a Grand Slam after all – and chances are that we’re going to get another one soon after as well!
Looking at the US Open, it’s hard to be confident with one’s bets when it comes to those players that haven’t played since the coronavirus break and there’s certainly a case to be made for staying away from the first round in many match-us. I’ll be in the action, though, so let’s take a look at some of the matches.
Outright-wise, Djokovic is the big favourite in the men’s draw and that’s obviously right for many reasons. We did see him struggle in the warm-up event though and I don’t want to back him at this sort of odds no matter what. I liked Raonic, though, and I’ll be backing him to win his quarter.
On the women’s side of things, the bookmakers know that Williams isn’t such a big favourite as the media are making her out to be and there’s not much that I like honestly. Osaka has been surprising me lately with how good she is, but getting back-to-back events in such a short time frame will be tough. She’s also withdrawn from the finals as I’m writing this, so there’s that.
Now for the matches – I might add a few more later on, but, for now, I’ve got theses ones lined up. First, I’ve got Feliciano Lopez to win against Carballes Baena. The latter was pretty average on clay in Europe and the conditions in this US Open are quick enough to give Lopez a good advantage, especially given that he’s kept himself in some for during the coronavirus break. I’m taking the set handicap, as I’d reckon that RCB will win if he drags the match on and on.
Next, I’ve got Dennis Novak beating Alejandro Davidovich Fokina for largely the same reasons. Novak can be great in quick conditions, Fokina can’t – and he’s also been disappointing me for quite some time now. I had him down as a big talent, but he’s been struggling to establish himself on the main tour.
Then, I like Corentin Moutet to beat the underperforming Jiri Vesely. Vesely has some wins under his belt and that’s fine, but not against the level of Moutet and the Frenchman has been keeping himself busy on hard in the off-season against top-class players, which should do him a world of good here.
I also like the odds for Bedene to beat Ruusuvuori, as I liked his performances in New York before that and especially his win over Fritz. That was a long match in which he stayed collected throughout and was serving really well.
And, as a small double, I’ll be taking Christian Garin to beat Ulises Blanch together with Ricardas Bernakis to beat Federico Gaio. Both are way better and have played on hard recently.
On the women’s side of things, I’ve got Pera to beat Diyas. She’s been the surprise package for me since the restart and she even has mental resilience after facing Serena and doing well, while Diyas has played just a single match against Li and lost with no resistance whatsoever.
I also like Golubic to beat Lapko. She’s got a good game for faster conditions and she has one of the better serves on the WTA, if that can be even said. Moreover, Lapko hasn’t played since March and has just three wins this year against poor players. Golubic has been keeping herself busy, on the other hand, and can make an impact here.
Milos Raonic to win the 4th quarter at 5.50 with Unibet
Feliciano Lopez (-1.5 sets) to beat Roberto Carballes Baena at 2.07 with Sbobet
Dennis Novak (-1.5 sets) to beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 2.03 with Sbobet
Corentin Moutet to beat Jiri Vesely at 1.74 with Pinnacle
Aljaz Bedene to beat Emil Ruusuvuori at 1.84 with Pinnacle
Christian Garin (vs. Blanch) + Ricardas Berankis (vs. Gaio) at 1.70 with Bet365
Bernarda Pera (-3.5) to beat Zarina Diyas at 1.84 with Pinnacle
Viktorija Golubic (-3.5) to beat Vera Lapko at 1.86 with Pinnacle

At those odds, not worth it. Also unsure how committed Serena is to this tournament. Might be worth investigating the +1.5 set handicap on Rogers (haven't checked odds on that but I imagine it'd represent value).

At those odds, not worth it. Also unsure how committed Serena is to this tournament. Might be worth investigating the +1.5 set handicap on Rogers (haven't checked odds on that but I imagine it'd represent value).

WTA Prague
Eugénie Bouchard - Tamara Zidansek [email protected] 10/10 flat stake at pinnacle

Bouchard is clearly improving. After her record 15L streak last year she took a month break, and came back stronger despite her retirement in huge cold weather in Houston. She played solid in Australia and also friendlies during covid. She started to work with Stubbs, who is one of the best women coaches and her first official match under her in Prague was impressive. She gave no chance to Kudermetova, who is quite ok normally.

Now she will face Zidansek, who won over struggling Siniakova today with troubles. In Palermo she showed, that she doesnt like to be under constant pressure as she coudlnt handle Dodins big hits. Conditions in Prague are quite fast and I believe that Zidansek defence wont be enough vs "reborn" Bouchard. I dont think Genie will repeat her perfect performance vs better defence and movement of Zidansek (in compare to Kudermetova), but still see her as fav in this one and was expecting odds well below 2,0 on her. GL

Elise Mertens to beat Camilla Giorgi at 1.7 with bet365 
I know Giorgi is in good form but come on, Mertens is better than her in every aspect of the game. Makes sense to beat the Italian, I think she's gonna win the first set and the match. 

Watson to beat Brady at 2.75 with bet365
Honestly i haven’t watch single match of Watson in the Battle of the Brits. But she has all the weapons needed to beat Brady. Their last match was a long time ago, 2017, so it is not a massive factor today. Since the late 2019 season the Brit found her form and managed to reach 1 final in Tianjin, 1 semi-final in Hobart and won 1 title in Acapulco, all 3 of the tournaments are hard and outdoor tournaments like this one in Lexington.
This is two way match and both players are able to win it. Honestly the only reason why I choose Watson is the odds which personaly for me are way too high for a player with so much EX. and 4 titles under her belt against player with no WTA finals.

Barbora Strycova to beat Sara Sorribes Tormo at 1.69 with Pinnacle
Eugenie Bouchard to beat Veronika Kudermetova at 2.62 with Pinnacle
Alright, I don't see anything interesting in Lexington, but I do see two bets that I like in Prague. The first is on Strycova to beat Tormo. Both have played a lot of exhos in the meantime, but Strycova was playing on the higher level and should be more prepared. She's not as strong as Yastremska, who beat Tormo last time out, but she's strong on home turf and should be used to the conditions. Meanwhile, I like Bouchard as a value play on match practice terms, Kudermetova hasn't done anything during the off-time, while Bouchard has done surprisingly much in all fairness. I wouldn't touch her below 2.30, but I think she's worth a punt at the current odds.

Anett Kontaveit v Laura Siegemund (+1.5 sets) @ 1.62
Although Kontaveit won easily in two sets, she did lose the first three games in the 2nd set, indicating that she did not have it all her own way. Siegemund is an experienced campaigner and enjoys clay. She also has been playing many exhibition matches, racking up a score a great tally of 11W 2L (even if it was against sub-standard opposition). I believe Siegemund has it in her to win a set and possibly even the match, but I will choose the safer option.