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black rabbit
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Posts posted by black rabbit
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sorry for any spelling error's
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5 hours ago, black rabbit said:
Lipsink 6 25 Win 1/5 pt win 30/1
i have put up " what i think was the "dapper milo's speed figure's system on sat' 31 racing chat /
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"MILO" not sure it can be implemented any longer as the racing jurnel he refers to is/was "the raceform handicap weekend issue"
it involved scaning the previous weeks results and identifying the winner of all/any races that were run in "above average times"
the resulting horse would have to have won by a 3 length margin or more and attracted one the following caveat's = ran on well/ quickened clear/comfortabley/
by the raceform race reader/ the assertion been that a horse capeable of quickening up at the business end of fast run race is a serious player in the future/
he kept a hot list of these and punted them accordingly/ { that seems to be it from the scrap of paper he wrote it down on] now dont shoot the messanger
i have never ran it as to my mind it will trow up very few selections and they would probaly be short priced { given the above impressive performance ] and
i would rather shit on my hands and clap than bet short prices/
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Lipsink 6 25 Win 1/5 pt win 30/1
- kensland, LEE-GRAYS, alexcaruso808 and 1 other
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well if i"m still in the game after my "boiled bacon + cabbage" and few pints guinness/
i may phone a prostitute when i get home
- Villa Chris, Wildgarden, vikki37 and 4 others
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4 hours ago, black rabbit said:
Saltonstall 4 10 GWY 1/5 pt win 11/1
Nathaniles dream 2 30 GWY 1/5 pt win 25/1
Gabrial The Wire 3 30 Chs 1/5 pt 25/1
P/L + 141.5 pts
great ride by o"keeffe on martin"s nathaniel"s dream //
- alexcaruso808, Wildgarden, Tedthewolf and 4 others
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6
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1
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44 minutes ago, Trotter said:
Knowing how we love to come up with ratings systems I've thought of a new one using the Racing Post
It's very simple ...... you add together 2 figures from the race card ....... the RPR and the Trainers RTF
RPR is the Post's form figure for the horse ...... RTF is the trainer form figure, ie to what extent are his horses currently running up to their form
So the rating is trying to answer the question ...... how good is the horse and how likely is it that he'll run up to his level
Of course it takes no account of trip, going, track suitability but if you're concerned about all that you might as well just do your hours of form study ...... the idea here is that it's quick and simple, based on horses class and trainer form and introduces an element of randomness and whatever the opposite of subjectivity is. So hopefully it'll throw up some of those random looking winners that you probably wouldn't pick if you were studying form
Trial Run at Chester ..... number of selections based on field size and EW places
1.50 - Pink Stripes 177, Kiss N Cuddle 142
2.20 - Endeared 158, Utilis 157, Zephina 147
2.55 - Princess Shabnam 192, Ventura Diamond166
3.30 - Yanifer 199, Paws for Thought 156, Sweeping 155
4.00 - Rogue Spirit 177, Rock of England 172
4.30 - Mythical 166, Midraar 157, Wynter Wildes 142
5.00 - Cormier 153, Wots The Wifi Code 135, Golden Melody 133I'll update results later
good luck with this trotter/ somewhere in my archives is a "speed figures based system" given to me by "dapper character"
called "MILO" i recall him telling me { after far to many beers } that it was given to him by Phil Bull { possibly bullshit }
that was back in the 80's but he did seem to do quite well from his punting / perhaps i"ll try dig it out /
ive always found it difficult to bet to a system / hope yours goes well be lucky
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Saltonstall 4 10 GWY 1/5 pt win 11/1
Nathaniles dream 2 30 GWY 1/5 pt win 25/1
Gabrial The Wire 3 30 Chs 1/5 pt 25/1
P/L + 141.5 pts
- Tedthewolf, alexcaruso808, azzybear and 4 others
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5 hours ago, black rabbit said:
Trawlerman 2 10 gwd 1/4 pt win 15/2
Tabdeed 3 20 gwd 1/4 pt win 18/1
Bolthole 4 30 gwd 1/4 pt win 8/1
Woven 4 55 Tsk 1/5 pt 20/1
good birthday 4 30 Gwd 1/5 pt win 28/1
P/L + 140.50 pts
Trawlerman " delivers catch" and tabdeed ran fine race also
ive had 1/5 pt on San Andreas in the 4 10 gwy tomorrow
- Budgie 65, Villa Chris, Wildgarden and 3 others
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Trawlerman 2 10 gwd 1/4 pt win 15/2
Tabdeed 3 20 gwd 1/4 pt win 18/1
Bolthole 4 30 gwd 1/4 pt win 8/1
Woven 4 55 Tsk 1/5 pt 20/1
good birthday 4 30 Gwd 1/5 pt win 28/1
P/L + 140.50 pts
- Villa Chris, azzybear, Wildgarden and 3 others
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Nibiru 5 00 gal 1/4 pt win 7/1 [ stables other runner not out of it either ]
vertiginous 3 35 gwd 1/5 pt ew 40/1 4places
lawfull command 3 00 gwd 1/4 pt win 12/1
desert encounter 4 10 gwd 1/5 pt ew 60/1
P/L + 141.75 pts
- azzybear, The Equaliser, kensland and 1 other
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1 hour ago, Zilzalian said:
Im glad i never back odds on no matter how good a horse looks.
spot on ive been in the game as punter/owner/ breeder / for as long as i can remember and never would i back short priced horses
- LEE-GRAYS, Bronxie, The Equaliser and 2 others
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7 hours ago, black rabbit said:
grand alliance 3 00 gwd 1/4 pt win 12/1
fonteyn 3 35 gwd 1/5 pt ew 22/1
tudor city 505 gal 1/5 pt ew 33/1 extra places
P/L = + 134.5 pts
well well still life in the old dog yet { that goes for the trainer as well as the horse } tudor city wins the prize
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grand alliance 3 00 gwd 1/4 pt win 12/1
fonteyn 3 35 gwd 1/5 pt ew 22/1
tudor city 505 gal 1/5 pt ew 33/1 extra places
P/L = + 134.5 pts
- The Equaliser, justice, Villa Chris and 2 others
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Muugader 1 50 GWD 1/5 pt win 15/1
Miss carol ann 2 25 GWD 1/5 pt win 22/1
roman mist 2 25 GWD 1/5 pt win 70/1
P/L 135.25 pts
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legend of dubai 1 50 good 1/4 pt win 8/1
place galeron 2 25 gwd 1/4 pt win 9/1
wilderness girl 5 20 gwd 1/4 pt ein 14/1
P/L + 136 pts
- Wildgarden, BBBC and The Equaliser
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Tiger Crusade 2 45 Chl 1/5 pt ew 22/1
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Ropey guest 3 00 asc 1/5 pt win 16/1 extra places / some bookies
Normadic empire 2 40 york 1/5 pt ew 25/1
chiefofchiefs 3 00 asc 1/5 pt win 18/1
Broom 3 35 asc 1/5 pt win 16/1
P/L + 137.25
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Duke of wybroune 2 40 red 1/5 pt ew 33/1 N/R ( might be worth keeping a look out for when next declared }
Violette szabo 4 25 red 1/5 pt ew 28/1
P/L + 138 pts
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Rapid responce 3 14 MK 1/5 pt ew 50/1 4th
Hisnameis mrdevitt 2 41 MK 1/5 pt win 14/1
Tasman bay 1 50 Nbury 1/5 pt win 8/1
St lawrence 2 56 Nbury 1/5 pt win 18/1
Dare to hope 3 30 Nbury 1/5 pt win 20/1
yosemite valley 2 03 curr 1/5 pt win 7/1 2nd
P/L + 137 pts
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17 hours ago, black rabbit said:
STORM STEPS 5 25 FAIRY 1/5 PT WIN 15/1 2ND
P/L + 137.25 PTS
- Bronxie and The Equaliser
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STORM STEPS 5 25 FAIRY 1/5 PT WIN 15/1
P/L + 137.25 PTS
Racing Chat - July 31st
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted