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black rabbit

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Posts posted by black rabbit

  1. 41 minutes ago, black rabbit said:

    "MILO" not sure it can be implemented any longer as the racing jurnel he refers to is/was  "the raceform handicap weekend issue"

    it involved scaning the previous weeks results and identifying the winner of all/any races that were run in "above average times"

    the resulting horse would have to have won by a 3 length margin or more and attracted one the following caveat's =  ran on well/ quickened clear/comfortabley/

    by the raceform race reader/  the assertion been that a horse capeable of quickening up at the business end of fast run race is a serious player in the future/

    he kept a hot list of these and punted them accordingly/   { that seems to be it from the scrap of paper he wrote it down on]   now dont shoot the messanger

    i have never ran it as to my mind it will trow up very few selections and they would probaly be short priced { given the above impressive performance ]  and

    i would rather shit on my hands and clap than bet short prices/   

     

     

  2. "MILO" not sure it can be implemented any longer as the racing jurnel he refers to is/was  "the raceform handicap weekend issue"

    it involved scaning the previous weeks results and identifying the winner of all/any races that were run in "above average times"

    the resulting horse would have to have won by a 3 length margin or more and attracted one the following caveat's =  ran on well/ quickened clear/comfortabley/

    by the raceform race reader/  the assertion been that a horse capeable of quickening up at the business end of fast run race is a serious player in the future/

    he kept a hot list of these and punted them accordingly/   { that seems to be it from the scrap of paper he wrote it down on]   now dont shoot the messanger

    i have never ran it as to my mind it will trow up very few selections and they would probaly be short priced { given the above impressive performance ]  and

    i would rather shit on my hands and clap than bet short prices/   

     

  3. 44 minutes ago, Trotter said:

    Knowing how we love to come up with ratings systems I've thought of a new one using the Racing Post

    It's very simple ...... you add together 2 figures from the race card ....... the RPR and the Trainers RTF

    RPR is the Post's form figure for the horse ...... RTF is the trainer form figure, ie to what extent are his horses currently running up to their form

    So the rating is trying to answer the question ...... how good is the horse and how likely is it that he'll run up to his level

    Of course it takes no account of trip, going, track suitability but if you're concerned about all that you might as well just do your hours of form study ...... the idea here is that it's quick and simple, based on horses class and trainer form and introduces an element of randomness and whatever the opposite of subjectivity is. So hopefully it'll throw up some of  those random looking winners that you probably wouldn't pick if you were studying form

    Trial Run at Chester ..... number of selections based on field size and EW places

    1.50 - Pink Stripes 177, Kiss N Cuddle 142
    2.20 - Endeared 158, Utilis 157, Zephina 147
    2.55 - Princess Shabnam 192, Ventura Diamond166
    3.30 - Yanifer 199, Paws for Thought 156, Sweeping 155
    4.00 - Rogue Spirit 177, Rock of England 172
    4.30 - Mythical 166, Midraar 157, Wynter Wildes 142
    5.00 - Cormier 153, Wots The Wifi Code 135, Golden Melody 133

    I'll update results later

     

     

     

     

    good luck with this trotter/  somewhere in my archives is a  "speed figures based system" given to me by "dapper character"

    called "MILO"  i recall him telling me { after far to many beers } that it was given to him by Phil Bull  { possibly bullshit }

    that was back in the 80's   but he did seem to do quite well from his punting /  perhaps i"ll try dig it out /  

    ive always found it difficult to bet to a system /   hope yours goes well   be lucky 

  4. 5 hours ago, black rabbit said:

    Trawlerman 2 10 gwd   1/4 pt win  15/2  

    Tabdeed   3 20 gwd    1/4 pt win  18/1  

    Bolthole  4 30 gwd   1/4 pt win  8/1  

    Woven   4 55 Tsk    1/5 pt  20/1

    good birthday  4 30 Gwd    1/5 pt win  28/1

     

     

     

     

    P/L  + 140.50 pts 

    Trawlerman   " delivers catch" and tabdeed  ran fine race also  

    ive had 1/5 pt on San Andreas  in the 4 10 gwy   tomorrow

  5. Rapid responce   3 14 MK      1/5 pt ew    50/1     4th

    Hisnameis mrdevitt      2 41   MK         1/5 pt win  14/1 

    Tasman bay  1 50 Nbury   1/5 pt win  8/1

    St lawrence  2 56 Nbury  1/5 pt win  18/1  

    Dare to hope  3 30 Nbury  1/5 pt win  20/1

    yosemite valley  2 03 curr  1/5 pt win   7/1   2nd

     

     

     

    P/L   +   137 pts

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