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black rabbit
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Posts posted by black rabbit
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1 minute ago, Tedthewolf said:
Wow that deep lol
is that me or the system ted ? { i have been in the deep end many times ] ?
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1 hour ago, Tedthewolf said:
Maybe if you explained the system they use (if that's ok) it will let people decide if they want to follow it or not.
Just a thought Mate ?
i would not know where to start i had few drinks in me and it sounded like a cross between irish folklore and egyptian hyroglifics
- ill be back there weeknd { pub } and try get copy of it
- LEE-GRAYS and Tedthewolf
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7 minutes ago, LEE-GRAYS said:
Do you think 1pt e/w would be better not sure myself with the bigger prices ?
lee i am not sure its worth considering punting at all yet / if you check my chats with tedthewolf over last weeknd you"ll see how
i "bumped" into it sort to speak / landlord and few his mates put it together 6 months ago / asked me what i thought { not much but ill dry run it for a few weeks}
he sends over the selections each morning and i put them up for the craic i would'nt advise punting them yet anyway / i need to get a proper look at the system
again and see if i can tweek or something i had a few drinks in me when he was explaining it to me { and it sounded shite} but as they say lets see
where it is in a month { dont punt it yet anyway ] my advice is "drink" what you were going to bet be a better bet for now anyway " good luck"
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18 minutes ago, Zilzalian said:
Value is dependent on the evaluator so is different for everyone, i give u an example from my perspective, Alpinista i thought should have been evens i got 9/4 which for me is value, tomorrow Stradavarius is 11/8 fav, Trueshan 11/4 2nd fav, idealy trueshan needs softer ground, Stradavarius is at the end of its career so the book is set up for popularity rather than the chance of the horse so is bad value, if it threw it down overnight trueshan would be value at said 11/4 but as it stands neither is value. i sit and reason Quickthorn is value ew at 16/1 or even tashkan at 9/1. and even reshoun at 50/1. in an 8 runner race.
all very valid including m clark/ harry's comments ? / but in respect of myself i go back to my comments few weeks ago
" i would rather shit in my hands and clap than punt short priced horses" but thats only IMO to each his own
- harry_rag, Tedthewolf and MCLARKE
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2 hours ago, MCLARKE said:
Sounds a bit complicated to me.
That's probably why it's so difficult to make a profit these days, too many clever people doing things like that.
the clever people stay away from lumping on "odds on " shots ?
- harry_rag and Tedthewolf
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7 hours ago, black rabbit said:
Ouzo 3 00 Y 1/10 pt ew 33/1
Redemption time 2 25 Y 1/5 PT WIN 8/1
Lilac road 3 35 Y 1/10 PT WIN 10/1
P/L + 150 pts
ouzo hangs on for 5th
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THURSDAY - 18TH AUG
YORK- Queen me , Matching sox , Bass player, Poptronic, Supagirl, Courageous knight,Eidikos,
Chepstow- Miss houdini, Alpha cru, Topofthetrifle, The cola kid, Clashaniska, Fossos,
STRATFORD- Stigwood,Petit palais, Tiger orchard , Arvico bleu, Colonel lesley, Regaby, Amidnightstar,
FONTWELL- *****, Inferno sacree, Honest pound, Some day soon, Lanfear, Dindin, Millies mite,
LEICESTER- Spireite boy, Sid annie, Tabsheer, Lake eloise, Codswallop, Yauthym,
again i stress no one punts these untill we have at least a months results to assess the figures
after yesterdays crash and burn the P/L stands at - 4.5 pts
- MCLARKE, justanotherpunter and LEE-GRAYS
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Ouzo 3 00 Y 1/10 pt ew 33/1
Redemption time 2 25 Y 1/5 PT WIN 8/1
Lilac road 3 35 Y 1/10 PT WIN 10/1
P/L + 150 pts
- Wildgarden, maxironchin, Tedthewolf and 1 other
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4 hours ago, black rabbit said:
Nomadic empire 1 50 Y 1/10 pt ew 25/1 6 places
Deauville legand 3 00 1/4 pt win 9/2
+148.25 pts
Nomadic placed and deauville "home and hosed" ?
- Zilzalian, Tedthewolf, The Equaliser and 4 others
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Nomadic empire 1 50 Y 1/10 pt ew 25/1 6 places
Deauville legand 3 00 1/4 pt win 9/2
+148.25 pts
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WEDNESDAY - 17th AUG
system had lots of placed selections yesterday + 7/1 winner leaving them with P/L of + 14.5 overall /
i repeat my comment i dont advise backing selections for at least a month then lets see the P/L data
York - Ancient times, Shaquille, Grand alliance, High definition, Frankenstella, Guilded, Bakeel,
Wolverhampton- Symbol of hope, Arnie angell, Samara star, Spice store, Taskheer, Latent heat , Arabist,
Musselburgh- Just dottie, Cwenhild, Earn your stripes, Toussarok, Ruby port, World cruise,
Kempton - My bonnie lassie, Giddy aunt, Almarin, Zealotalot, Neat and dandy, Alezen, Sun emperor
Worcester- anightinlambourn, Halifax, Cheltenam de valge, Universal island, Dasher riley , Rebel roxy, Gataway mission, Merchant house,
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6 minutes ago, Tedthewolf said:
To be fair it has not raced on anything better than good so any thing else is unknown may well be ok and trainer has a top jock booked but if there was rain and it got into the ground i would have a decent tickle on it.
well may the gods be with the horse ted /
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3 minutes ago, Tedthewolf said:
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/gcx4z4e44#?date=2022-08-16
Looks like fairly try guys.
Shame i have got my eye on one would love a down pour!
RAIN DANCE TED [ nothing else for it ] / dont be put off
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18 minutes ago, Tedthewolf said:
Dog & Duck have got a fan club already!
Landlord will be selling the system next!
? i have the feeling you know him ted "he'd sell his own mother" ? lets see where they are in a months time/
i know that if they keep plying it in every race ? it will only take a bad week to put a large hole in the bank they have/
still all good fun { watching not punting ]
- MCLARKE, Tedthewolf and LEE-GRAYS
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3 minutes ago, alexcaruso808 said:
Yes, but, if one was to follow them, I assume they are all suggestions to back?
not really i have suggested no one punts untill we have at least a months results to look at and see where the P/L figures are/
clearly states this in opening post this morning /
- alexcaruso808, Bang on and MCLARKE
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Just now, alexcaruso808 said:
Are you backing all the horses suggested?
as stated earlyer i am not backing any of them
- Tedthewolf, Bronxie and alexcaruso808
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11 minutes ago, LEE-GRAYS said:
Morning all ? do you do them win each way looking at some of the prizes . I’ll have a bash if you put them up ??⚒??
i am not punting them lee/ in fact i layed the selections for them over the weeknd but as of yesterday they poping their
bets on in lad"s i think ?/ @ a fiver a pt/
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anyone looking for bit of back ground on this please refer to exchanges between me and Tedthewolf on sat/sun 13th/14th aug/
they { dog and duck} have put aside a bank of 500 pts from which they are having 1pt win singles on all selections
having started on sat 13th/ they are + 33.5 pt up / { i still predict it wont last ] but as they say ?-
for a bit of fun M Clark has kindly agreed to run the selections to evaluate /
Kempton - rowdown roza, limelight, astronomic, my mate ted , spanish star, wonder elzaam, lenclum,
Hamilton- zealous, indication rocket, kilconquhar, zig zag zyggy, squire street, crownthorpe samuri sneddz,
Chelmsford - opera ghost, havana goldrush, phoenix star, reigning profit, cappoquin, arab cinder ,
Wolverhampton- viewfromthestars, slate cracker, monelisa, vocal ring, lower street, secluded, my boy charles,
i dont suggest anyone punt these / lets see where their P/L account is in a months time /
I HAVE ADDED THE REPLACMENT SELECTIONS THEY PROVIDED IN PLACE OF EARLY NON RUNNERS
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3 hours ago, black rabbit said:
ted theres one in the pump for you at the "duck" after todays result ?
ted that was in referance to my investment to day { lipsink } won
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12 minutes ago, harry_rag said:
There seems a contradiction in those sort of market moves being observed and the notion of "no-one" wanting to back odds on shots. Maybe a case of a lot of punters tending to leave them alone but some seriously shrewd money being piled on the "good" ones. So all you need to do is identify the ones that are going to shorten drastically before they actually do!
really well good luck with that ? id rather try and find hens teeth ?
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10 hours ago, Tedthewolf said:
lets see how they do at York this week
ted theres one in the pump for you at the "duck" after todays result ?
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7 hours ago, black rabbit said:
they sent over todays / Lingfield - bond spirit, lordman, jazzy princess, inaam, jade country, suanni, - ZERO WINS
catterick - western beat, emerald duchess, the grey boy, magical effect, obee jo, profiles mix , hoot scoup, - 10/1 winner
they ended up + 14 pt over the weeknd
windsor- sea galaxy, thisworth only ta, kings gem, thismydream, harb, zing fei, danville, "Winners @ 11/2 - 6/1 - 7/1
bangor- razzo italiiano, tommydan, coal stock, eritage, shetland bus, lignou, ravens raft, - ZERO wins
++ i was wrong in the + 14 pt figure they were + 24 pt up on a level 1pt win on all selections
but in my opinion they will crash and burn ?
TED they picked up another = +9.5 pts profit today hence a + 33.5 pts total { taking weeknd results on board}
do you think we should start a section for this ? as your an established member perhaps you could run it by administrators please
{ what you think ? }
- MCLARKE, Wildgarden and Tedthewolf
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Racing Chat - Saturday 20th August
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted · Edited by black rabbit
selection
Benaud 3 35 Y { put up in my posting on 14th aug @ 38/1]
oneforthegutter 5 20 Y oneforthegutter 1/10 pt ew 40/1
yimou 5 35 San yimou 1/10 pt win 20/1
okita soushi 3 35 1/10 pt win 15/1
good birthday 3 50 san 1/10 pt win 30/1
P/L + 149.75 pts