[DOG and DUCK SYSTEM]

3 15  YRK/    DUSKY LORD                               4 PT WIN

                      LETHAL NYMPH                          3 PT WIN

                      GULLIVER                                     2 PT WIN

                      MR WAGU                                     1 PT WIN

3 40 YRK/    AHORSEWITHNONAME               4 PT WIN

                     RUN FOR OSCAR                          3 PT WIN

                    GIBRALTAR                                     2 PT WIN

                      EVALUATION                                1 PT WIN

3 45 CUR/    COMA PARK                                 4 PT WIN

                      LUNAR POWER                            3PT WIN

                     GULLIVERS TRAVEL                     2 PT WIN

                     HARRYS LEGACEY                        1 PT WIN

5 00 YRK/     LATTAM                                        4 PT WIN

                      ZIGGY                                            3 PT WIN

                       YORKSHIRE LADY                        2 PT  WIN

                       FIRST EMPRESSION                     1 PT WIN

[NOTEBOOK HORSES 2022]

22 hours ago, black rabbit said:

Vintage Clarets  goes  in the 4 25 Yrk

2nd  ran very well/     28/1

[£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome]

WITHOLD    3 40 NEWM/  5 SQUID EW   40/1

TASHI      3 45 CURAH/   5 SQUID  EW    50/1

 

[Racing chat-saturday 8th Oct]

Vino  Victrix     3 40 Nwm/    1/20th of a pt win   16/1

Myristica      5 00  Yrk/       1/20 th pt wn        75/1

Dear My Friend    1 50Yrk     1/20th of a pt win    10/1

Pretty Boy Floyd   3 10 Curh/    1/20 th of a pt  win    20/1

Metahorse   1 30 Yrk/      1/10 th of a pt win      12/1

Pink Crystal  4 50 Nmk/     1/10 of a pt win     8/1

Give Us A Sub    4 15 Yrk     1/20th of a pt  ew    36/1

 

 

 

 

P/L   +161 pts

[Racing Chat- Friday 7th October]

9 hours ago, black rabbit said:

Vintage Clarets     4 25 Yrk     1/20th of a pt  ew  28/1

Nordic Empire    4 25 Yrk       1/10 of a pt win  6/1

Isla Kai                 2 40 Yrk       1/10  of a pt win    12/1

Maksud                4 10 Nwm    1/10   of a pt win     12/1

Viva Sistina           5 50 Nwm     1/20 th of a pt win   16/1

 

 

 

 

 

P/L   +161 pts     

vintage clarets  2nd  { each way money  ]

Isla Kai     3rd

Viva Sistina   2nd  { should have won a minute ?}  not his best ride  stable have left some hefty bets behind

[DOG and DUCK SYSTEM]

The Dog and Duck have finally settleted on a rating system to move foward on { we shall see jury still out ? }

 2 40  yrk/   HELM ROCK  4 pt win.

                    EMPIRERSTATEOFMIND  3pt win

                    NORTHERN EXPRESS      2 pt win

                   SUBSTANTIAL                  1 pt win   -     WON    7/1

4 25 yrk/    NORDIC EMPIRE         4 PT  WIN

                   MATTICE                       3 PT win

                   CATCH CUNNINGHAM     2pt  win

                   SHOW ME SHOW ME        1pt  win

4  10 yrk/   LA  YANKEL              4 pt  win

                   EDUCATOR               3 pt win 

                   FIRST  RULER            2 pt  win

                  MAKSUD                     1  pt  win

5 35  yrk/  ASTRAL BEAU            4 pt  win

                 YANIFER                        3 pt  win      -    WON    7/2

                 DEVILWALA                   2 pt  win 

                 MUNTADAB                   1 pt  win 

 

i  suggest a watching brief only till  we see the  yeild from  say  100 rated races 

all are staked at S/P  i am told

[NOTEBOOK HORSES 2022]

Vintage Clarets  goes  in the 4 25 Yrk

[£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome]

Broken Spear    2 40 Yrk   5 squid  ew  60/1  { not normaly on this tread lee ? }

Cosmic Desert   4 10 Yrk   5  squid  ew  50/1

 

[Racing Chat- Friday 7th October]

Vintage Clarets     4 25 Yrk     1/20th of a pt  ew  28/1

Nordic Empire    4 25 Yrk       1/10 of a pt win  6/1

Isla Kai                 2 40 Yrk       1/10  of a pt win    12/1

Maksud                4 10 Nwm    1/10   of a pt win     12/1

Viva Sistina           5 50 Nwm     1/20 th of a pt win   16/1

 

 

 

 

 

P/L   +161 pts     

[Racing Chat-Tuesday 4th October]

8 minutes ago, Zilzalian said:

Traditionally the forecast was worked out thus- add 1point to the second horse and multiply the 2 together eg  10/1 and 9/1 =100 but they cut and cut and cuts the cuts and we are where we are now the tricast same as foecast but and then multiply with the 3rd they now use a formula that noone can work out but the bookies, because they wont say what it is. The exacta, trifecta, and the placepot/jackpot are all pool bets from the tote. in the above example there was a rule 4 of 30p in the pound but it was still a shocking return.

??

[Racing Chat-Tuesday 4th October]

was at a race meeting recently and a horse that was freely on offer  @ 11/2 and 5/1  accross the boards at  the off { won } and was returned @ 7/2 SP

[Racing chat -Monday 3rd Oct]

Graphite   3 12 Wnsr/    1/20th of a pt  win   25/1

[Arc de triomph Sunday 2nd October]

On 9/29/2022 at 9:14 PM, Zilzalian said:

I personally think the draw angle is a bit of a red herring in the arc, 4 winners from 20 renewals thats actually 20% . the ground is most significant factor for me if it is Heavy

apparently it is soft at the moment with lots of rain forecast, Alpinista is a horse i have highly rated since its first run and i have made plenty of money out of it.

Going to give my tips based on soft/heavy going which excludes all the 3year olds, this race is gruelling and the soft/heavy ground means they will be floundering in the last furlong they are just not strong enough at 3yo.

The fav on all known form should be Alpinista. Torquator tasso 4yo has been there and done it, is this year stronger than last? No chance. Just look at the result from last year 2nd tarnawa 5yo 3rd hurricane lane 4th adayar 5th sealiway 6th snowfall, broome 11th

I wanted to recomend Alenquer ew at 100/1 but Haggis has chosen to experiment by fitting first time blinkers, anyone doing an in depth study on fto blinkers will know that they actually scare/panic a horse into running faster which means they will burn out sooner than they would without them, this is exagerated if they have to run around a bend. so unless Haggis has seriously tried the blinkers at home it is around a 100/1 chance it will win despite any other considerations. ( going to cover this with just a £2 ew just in case foolish bet) The Japanese runners seem to hate heavy ground as they have little or no experience of it so its safe enough to rule those out.

So i am left with 6 runners

Alpinista              11/2                       dr6                                                                                           likely winner

Torquator Tasso   15/2                      dr18          Ger                                                                          likely 2nd/3rd

Mendocino           33/1                      dr1           Ger                                                                          likely 2nd/3rd

Mare Australis      20/1                     dr19          Ger                                                   Fabre had many options  also Murzabeyev booking seems significant.

Sealiway                33/1                     dr15           beaten 4,1/2/ last year as a 3yo

Bubble Gift            66/1                     dr 13          beaten 5,1/2L last year (finishing well) as a 3yo

Conclusion.

Already backed Alpinista at 20/1 & 16/1

going to cross first 4 in forecasts and Tricasts

best ew is probably mendocino (beat torquasor lto and it didnt look a fluke to me)

well done mate ?

[Racing Chat - Sunday 2nd October]

25 minutes ago, Tedthewolf said:

 

Wow money flying on it as low as 9/1!!

yeah couple of pals of mine from back home { MEATH } Probaly a little of there"s ?

[Racing Chat - Sunday 2nd October]

Attoe    4 55 Kls/       1/20th pt win    33/1    {price change}

 

 

 

P/L   + 161.50  pts    

[Racing Chat - Saturday 1st October]

4 hours ago, black rabbit said:

Candleford   3rd

Fonteyn  {  delivers the goods ?   hope you had a few shekels  on ted ?

Asjad   3rd { not "donohoe" finest ride ?"}

Other punts U/P     but i'll settle for the "bullseye"  on Fonteyn ?

great card tomorrow at Longchamp  good hunting to all ?

[Racing Chat - Saturday 1st October]

On 9/30/2022 at 3:11 PM, black rabbit said:

Asjad       3 36 Asc      1/20th of a pt win   16/1

Cairn Gorm   7 30 Wol   1/20 th of a pt win   14/1

Candleford  2 25 Asc     1/2oth of a pt win  28/1

Fonteyn  2 42 New       1/20th  of a pt win   38/1

Ehraz   3 00 Asc          1/20th of a pt win       14/1

Tiber Flow   3 00 Asc    1/20th of a pt win   20/1

 

 

 

P/L    +  159. 8/10th   PTS

Candleford   3rd

Fonteyn  {  delivers the goods ?   hope you had a few shekels  on ted ?

Asjad   3rd { not "donohoe" finest ride ?"}

Other punts U/P     but i'll settle for the "bullseye"  on Fonteyn ?

[Arc de triomph Sunday 2nd October]

 Aspen Grove     1 50      1/20th  of a pt win 18/1

Castle Star     4 25      1/20th  of a pt  win  28/1     { now a N/R }

Broome      3 05       1/20th of a pt place  30/1 

Titleholder  305      1/10th of a pt win     12/1

Mooniesta   4 25     1/20th of a pt  win    28/1

Vadeni       3 05   1/10 pt win    9/1

A Case Of You   4 25  1/20 of a pt win   22/1

 

 

 

 

P/L       + 161. 5/10 th's  pt 

[NOTEBOOK HORSES 2022]

36 minutes ago, black rabbit said:

out tomorrow 7 30 wolv's  have had a modest investment /

should have mentioned been sold on out of appleys yard and have not been able to confirm

how the horse is now working/ so lap of gods time in now  punting /

[NOTEBOOK HORSES 2022]

On 5/13/2022 at 1:28 PM, black rabbit said:

Cairn Gorm   4 y o    form fell apart last year / having shown great promise in early runs/

moved to mick appleby some months ago starts season off on a mark of 93 

given to understand he has started to work quite well 

out tomorrow 7 30 wolv's  have had a modest investment /

[Racing Chat - Friday 30th September.]

20 minutes ago, Tedthewolf said:

Lock up your daughters  there is a rich rabbit  on the loose.

?  had a "bulls eye" on it ted  { richard has put one up " mums tipple" in the 3 36 ascot

ive already punted asjad as i know its working the house down at home / but richards is 50's

so im having a "cockel" on cant let it go at that price ?

[Racing Chat - Friday 30th September.]

8 hours ago, black rabbit said:

Able Kane   2 00 ASC/     1/20th of a pt  win    16/1

Raising Sand  4 55 ASC/  1//20th of a pt win   16/1

James Watt    8 15 NEW/   1/20th of a pt win    22/1

 

 

 

what a trojan  "raising sand is'  home and hosed ?

[Racing Chat - Friday 30th September.]

?

[Racing Chat - Saturday 1st October]

Asjad       3 36 Asc      1/20th of a pt win   16/1

Cairn Gorm   7 30 Wol   1/20 th of a pt win   14/1

Candleford  2 25 Asc     1/2oth of a pt win  28/1

Fonteyn  2 42 New       1/20th  of a pt win   38/1

Ehraz   3 00 Asc          1/20th of a pt win       14/1

Tiber Flow   3 00 Asc    1/20th of a pt win   20/1

 

 

 

P/L    +  159. 8/10th   PTS

[Racing Chat - Friday 30th September.]

1 hour ago, Tedthewolf said:

2.00 Ascot i  am having a bet o 16/1 shot STONE SOLDIER who is a very decent AW horse  but some  good turf form also so in a wide open contest happy to part with  some of my hard earned cash on a horse that looks overpriced to me e/w 4 places bog .

had a "saver" on yours ted  { always do }