MCLARKE
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Posts
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Posts posted by MCLARKE
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- calva decoy, MinellaWorksop and Gary66
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A tough day which is often tailor-made for @LEE-GRAYSand sure enough he is the only one to select the biggest priced winner of the day, 28/1 Editeur Du Gite, upsetting all those who has selected Edwardstone. This gives him the daily prize and takes him to the top of the table.
- MinellaWorksop and Gary66
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LEOPARDSTOWN 1.10
LEOPARDSTOWN 1.45
LEOPARDSTOWN 2.20
LEICESTER 2.35
LEOPARDSTOWN 2.55
LEICESTER 3.10
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WETHERBY 2.45
ECLAIR D'AINAY 7/1
BET365
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Leopardstown 3.00
GALLANT JOHN JOE 10/1
£10 EW Boylesports 7 places BOG
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Odds on selection
Wetherby 1.00
ROYAL MOGUL 8/11
BETUK
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BET365 4/1 TV offer selections
KEMP 12.45 Him Malaya 4/1 CHEP 1.05 Red Rookie 9/2 CHEP 1.40 Perseus Way 6/1 CHEP 2.10 Green Book 9/2 KEMP 3.09 Five Star Getaway 11/2 -
5yo selections
Lucky 15 in bold
COURSE TIME SELECTION ODDS Wetherby 12.25 Sadie Hill 25/1 Chepstow 2.10 Green Book 3/1 Chepstow 3.25 Dalamoi 5/2 Wolverhampton 5.00 Big Impact 4/1 Wolverhampton 8.00 Araifjan 9/2 - kensland, azzybear, black rabbit and 2 others
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10 hours ago, MCLARKE said:
Odds on selection
Market Rasen 0.30 Chasing Fire 2/5 Won at 4/9
14 from 21, LSP 0.50
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11 hours ago, MCLARKE said:
6th at 33/1
Profit £56
Monthly profit £79.60
- Nigwilliam and The Equaliser
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The big handicap over the Christmas period is the Coral Welsh Grand National at Chepstow, run the day after Boxing Day. This premier handicap is run over 3 miles, 6 furlongs and 130 yards and there are 23 fences to jump. 19 go to post and off time is 2.50.
Bindaree and Silver Birch both won this before going on to win the Aintree Grand National whilst Synchronised and Native River went on to win the Cheltenham Gold Cup after winning this race.
Paddy Power and William Hill offer each-way terms of 6 places which makes the race an excellent betting proposition.
BEST TO BE FIT
I have looked at the statistics over the last 9 seasons and these are my key conclusions.
1. It is helpful to have had a recent run. There have been 61 runners that have had a lay-off of more than 35 days and they all lost.
2. Horses at the head of the market perform very well. Those horses with forecast odds less of 7/1 or less have a record of 4 wins from 14 runners compared to 5 wins from 160 for those at longer odds.
3. Less exposed horses perform better than those that have run more often. Horses who have run less than 17 times have recorded 7 wins from 95 attempts compared to 2 from 79 for their more experienced opponents.
Only 2 horses match these criteria, QUICK WAVE (9/2) and THE GALLOPING BEAR (11/2). It looks justified to have these 2 at the top of the market.
I suggest backing these each way with bookmakers who are offering 6 places.
Further statistics that may prove relevant.
As already indicated favourites have a good record with 3 wins from 15 runners.
Irish bred horses have the best record with 7 wins from 111 runners.
Quick Wave is trained by Ventia Williams who has won this race twice before.
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- Kingdom for and MinellaWorksop
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7 minutes ago, BBBC said:
apologies for messing up today and making your job harder that it already is! I was dashing to the match and added my entry too quickly without checking (and I actually had thyme hill as well so serves me right)
No problem, not too big an issue, only 5 races and not a big turnout. Hope your team won !
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A low key start with just 5 races and the best priced winner 11/2. @kenslandpicked this and a couple of other winners to set the early lead and take the daily prize.
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KEMPTON 12.45
CHEPSTOW 1.05
KEMPTON 1.20
CHEPSTOW 1.40
KEMPTON 1.55
CHEPSTOW 2.10
KEMPTON 2.30
CHEPSTOW 2.50
KEMPTON 3.09
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KEMPTON 3.05
WEST CORK 6/1
BET365
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BET365 TV 4/1 offer selections
WETH 1.35 Into Overdrive 4/1 KEMP 2.30 Envoi Allen 9/2 -
Odds on selection
Market Rasen 0.30 Chasing Fire 2/5 -
Newcastle 12.15
EDEN MILL 33/1
£10 EW LIVESCOREBET 6 places BOG
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Not sure if it's me but I can't find any info on oddschecker or BET365 etc for Tuesday's cards including the Welsh National.
- Gary66 and black rabbit
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9 hours ago, Zilzalian said:
that will be interesting to see, what wins and if some do what prices.
i think i will try
crystal moon
Chemical warfareTwoshotsoftequila
Duke of luckley
It's been a bit hit and miss, I will review at the end of December and see what the results are.
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5yo selections
Lucky 15 in bold
COURSE TIME SELECTION ODDS Huntingdon 12.05 Loup De Maulde 100/30 Newcastle 12.50 Chemical Warfare 10/1 Huntingdon 1.15 Crystal Moon 5/1 Limerick 1.33 Summer Melody 11/2 Market Rasen 1.40 Duke Of Luckley 9/2 Kempton 1.55 Constitution Hill 1/7 Down Royal 1.58 Our Patron Saint 66/1 Newcastle 2.00 Twoshotsoftequila 12/1 Limerick 2.40 Adamantly Chosen 16/1 Leopardstown 2.55 Alice Avril 20/1 Kempton 3.05 Hudson De Grugy 14/1 Wolverhampton 4.45 Let Her Loose 25/1 Wolverhampton 5.20 Phoenix Aquilus 8/1
Racing Chat- Wednesday 28th December
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
5yo selections