
MCLARKE
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Posts
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Posts posted by MCLARKE
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Thanks, LEMALE. The system I am using has been very profitable over the last 2 years so hopefully will deliver but as always there are frustrating bad runs when you start to doubt yourself.
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PONTEFRACT 2.00 TRICKY DICKY 3/1
£10 EW UNIBET 4 PLACES
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Perhaps I should have remained quiet giving advice to LEMALE given his fantastic performance in the Naps competition. Looking at my results in this thread it looks like I need advice from him.
After 1 week the loss is £103.
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CARTMEL 2.35 MAGNA CARTER 15/2
£10 EW UNIBET 4 PLACES
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NEWCASTLE 1.50 AIR RAID 19/4
£10 EW LADBROKES 4 PLACES
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YARMOUTH 3.40 SWISS PEAK 19/4
£10 EW LADBROKES 4 PLACES
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LEICESTER 8.55 KINGFAST 10/3
£10 EW BOYLESPORTS 5 PLACES
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KEMPTON 5.15 THE BIG HOUSE 10/3
£10 EW BETVICTOR 4 PLACES
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NEWBURY 8.15 ELIGIBLE 7/2
£10 EW BETFRED 5 PLACES
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CHEPSTOW 4.30 HEY HO LETS GO 5/1
£10 EW UNIBET 5 PLACES
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Due to the favourite-longshot bias I think you will struggle to make any money backing longshots.
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I think this was the first racing book I bought. It recorded the performance of the maximum rated (13 points) over the course of a year and it showed a reasonable profit. I checked it once over a number of following years and needless to say it showed a loss. If only racing was that easy !
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Picking the top prizemoney race of the day is a bit of a random selection protection. Normally the top rated race may be a class 3 or 4 race. Whilst on a quality card at Royal Ascot most of the races would be class 1 or 2. I can understand the logic of concentrating on class 1 races but not the best race on a particular day.
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I would argue that they are not a complete waste of time. If the average POI is -23% then a return of -48% for horses wearing a hood 1st time is significant.
I do agree though that you need to dig deeper to find an edge, there are no easy ways to make a profit in this game.
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Thanks, also looks like horses wearing head gear for the 1st time should be avoided. I must admit I don't like a selection to be wearing head-gear.
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Thanks for that, doesn't seem to make much difference then. Out of interest, where do you get your data from?
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235 P: Blue Templar
310 P: SOME NECK
350 P: STORMY IRELAND
425 P: SURIN
500 P: ONEFORTHEROADTOM
535 P: CANARDIER
610 P: SILVER SHEEN -
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340 P: ENNISKILLEN
420 P: HARDLINE
455 P: MOYHENNA
530 P: MELON
605 P: BATTLEOVERDOYEN
635 P: CAID DU BERLAIS
710 P: ANNAMIX
745 P: ROYAL THIEF -
340 P: SHARE THE HONOUR
420 P: BUN DORAN
450 P: SIZING COAL
530 P: BACARDYS
605 P: MY SISTER SARAH
640 P: CHACUN POUR SOI
715 P: ALLEZ DANCE
745 P: YOU RAISED ME UP -
340 P: PRESS CONFERENCE
420 P: THE BIG DOG
455 P: CRACK TIEPY
530 P: CAREFULLY SELECTED
605 P: BELLSHILL
640 P: COLREEVY
710 P: SIZING GRANITE
745 P: BIOVERDIA
£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome
in At The Races
Posted
HAMILTON 3.15 THE BIG HOUSE 9/2
£10 EW BOYLESPORTS 4 PLACES