MCLARKE
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Posts
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Posts posted by MCLARKE
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LEICESTER 8.55 KINGFAST 10/3
£10 EW BOYLESPORTS 5 PLACES
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KEMPTON 5.15 THE BIG HOUSE 10/3
£10 EW BETVICTOR 4 PLACES
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NEWBURY 8.15 ELIGIBLE 7/2
£10 EW BETFRED 5 PLACES
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CHEPSTOW 4.30 HEY HO LETS GO 5/1
£10 EW UNIBET 5 PLACES
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Due to the favourite-longshot bias I think you will struggle to make any money backing longshots.
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I think this was the first racing book I bought. It recorded the performance of the maximum rated (13 points) over the course of a year and it showed a reasonable profit. I checked it once over a number of following years and needless to say it showed a loss. If only racing was that easy !
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Picking the top prizemoney race of the day is a bit of a random selection protection. Normally the top rated race may be a class 3 or 4 race. Whilst on a quality card at Royal Ascot most of the races would be class 1 or 2. I can understand the logic of concentrating on class 1 races but not the best race on a particular day.
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I would argue that they are not a complete waste of time. If the average POI is -23% then a return of -48% for horses wearing a hood 1st time is significant.
I do agree though that you need to dig deeper to find an edge, there are no easy ways to make a profit in this game.
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Thanks, also looks like horses wearing head gear for the 1st time should be avoided. I must admit I don't like a selection to be wearing head-gear.
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Thanks for that, doesn't seem to make much difference then. Out of interest, where do you get your data from?
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235 P: Blue Templar
310 P: SOME NECK
350 P: STORMY IRELAND
425 P: SURIN
500 P: ONEFORTHEROADTOM
535 P: CANARDIER
610 P: SILVER SHEEN -
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340 P: ENNISKILLEN
420 P: HARDLINE
455 P: MOYHENNA
530 P: MELON
605 P: BATTLEOVERDOYEN
635 P: CAID DU BERLAIS
710 P: ANNAMIX
745 P: ROYAL THIEF -
340 P: SHARE THE HONOUR
420 P: BUN DORAN
450 P: SIZING COAL
530 P: BACARDYS
605 P: MY SISTER SARAH
640 P: CHACUN POUR SOI
715 P: ALLEZ DANCE
745 P: YOU RAISED ME UP -
340 P: PRESS CONFERENCE
420 P: THE BIG DOG
455 P: CRACK TIEPY
530 P: CAREFULLY SELECTED
605 P: BELLSHILL
640 P: COLREEVY
710 P: SIZING GRANITE
745 P: BIOVERDIA -
3.40 LIKE A DEMON
4.20 QUICK GRABIM
4.55 GOLDEN SPEAR
5.30 GREAT FIELD
6.05 FESTIVAL DEX
6.40 GETABIRD
7.15 ZAMBEZI FIX
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Thanks. I did have a look at this but I was also after historical data to do some testing and I don't think this was available. I ended up using DATAFORM for the historical data but it is quite expensive (about £10 per week).
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On 4/27/2019 at 11:14 PM, Escaping Captivity said:
In comparison I spend about the same amount of money for the service I use and that includes the downloading of spreadsheets with all the days runners and an whole array of info to boot.
As for recording one's bets, I find a spreadsheet to be perfectly feasible and it only takes a few minutes to input the data.
I use a spreadsheet to produce my bets so it's quite an easy task to add the results to this.
Out of interest what service do you use to get the data for the days runners etc.
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13 hours ago, Escaping Captivity said:
One golden rule that everyone has missed. Probably the most important too.
Always use a staking plan.
I've been betting for over 30 years and have not found anything better than level stakes.
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If my cumulative profit has reached a new high at the end of a week then I will increase my base stake by £1.
My original base stake in October 16 was £10, it is now £54.
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I seem to recall reading somewhere that, contrary to popular belief, horses do not perform better on their 1st run after being gelded. Does anybody have any data to prove / disprove this?
I don't think I'd be very co-operative if someone had done this to me !
£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
YARMOUTH 3.40 SWISS PEAK 19/4
£10 EW LADBROKES 4 PLACES