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Showing content with the highest reputation on 11/15/20 in all areas

  1. I’m going to go countercurrent of the forum . I think Nadal will win easilly the match against Rublev. Rublev is good player , I had win a lot of match this season indoor , but I didn’t play against top 10 ( just Thiem , Vienne) . Pospisil, Humbert, Sinner , Sonogo , Anderson , Albot ... ok , but today it’s Nadal , and it’s the Master ! I must admit that Nadal was not good recently, but he will solve the problem for win matchs . I’m sure
    3 points
  2. Hi Guis 😎 I am new here, and I would like to open a thread to tell you about my long term project. to begin , i would like to say that i'm on punter lounge to learn english, because I like sport and I think it’s a good idea to speak with you. and i'm really sorry if i speak badly. you can help me if you want and correct my language errors 🤷 My projects would be to take a big win , minimum $10,000 and play seriously , no just for fun (see betting more as an investment). I will say that I give myself a few years to get there, until 2030. I'm going to play on Betfair bookm
    2 points
  3. 9/1 Win. Returns £102.40 Bank £242
    2 points
  4. I follow @StevieDay1983, I thing it’s a match with 3-4 goals , with real gaolscorer like Lukaku , Kane , Mertens , Sterling ! ⚽️⚽️⚽️ Bank Book Bet 4 / Football Belgium v England Back Over 2.5 Goals for 10.00u @ 2.14
    2 points
  5. ipswich45

    USA Racing

    having had a break from US racing coming back with Breeders cup last week gonna put a few selections in over the evening given the few winners during the day for fun ill start with a virtual £20 and see how long that would last me and update this post as we go Selections 1722 Aqueduct - 4 Shane''s Pretty Lady 5/2 Bet365 £2 on Last Bank : £18 1800 Churchill - 5 Extreme Force 9/4 Bet365 £3 on 3rd Bank: £15 1819 Aqueduct - 8 Lutescootnboogie 7/2 Bet365 £2 on 3rd Bank : £13 1903 GPW - 3 Time's On My Si
    2 points
  6. Won +9,21u good start 🤙🤙
    2 points
  7. Hello I am new here but I do know a few.😊 Hello @harry_rag and Hello @alancraik and hello @charliepie Fancy meeting you all here 👍
    2 points
  8. Both selections ran well and certainly got a run for my money. 4 points profit on the day. Better than a kick in the teeth.
    2 points
  9. glennhughes

    Nice and Easy

    I think we discussed that before and it seems to come back up now and again. I don't let the odds or the money I built up in the bank influence my choice of bets. We have very different ways of betting. For me, this is a glory hunt. Isn't that this section is called? It's all about the number of bets in a row, I don't look at the money or the odds. Different strokes for different folks. Good luck with your thread
    2 points
  10. Its down to what weighting the cd winner has or has not got over non cd winners Lets look at some imaginary data from 295 10 horse races (2950 runners no dead heats so 295 winners) From the 2950 runners we have 550 previous cd winners of which go on to win 65 of these races (11.8% sr) That leaves 2400 non previous cd winners that win 230 of these races (9.6%) So to find a weighting for a previous cd winner you divide the races cd winners 65 by races total winners 295 =.22% then divide total previous cd winner runners 550 by the total runners 2950 = 19% Finally divide cd winn
    2 points
  11. I have a quick way of putting a rating on recent runs in handicaps I count a length as 2 pounds Then if a horse rated 80 gets beat 3 lengths I'll say it 'ran to 74' then next time out it's mark might have gone down to 78 and it gets beat 1 length and I'll say it 'ran to 76' If a horse rated 80 wins by 2 lengths I'll say it 'ran to 84' Gives a quick indication as to where a horse is relative to it's handicap mark ..... and you can look for horses who's 'ran to' figure is gradually improving. If you rate enough of their past races you also might get an idea as to what c
    2 points
  12. Chris I have a method that is based partly ratings. I do not count horse for at course, I think trainer form and jockey form at course is more important. Higher the percentage the higher the score. As for your previous post, the old saying could not be truer, money goes to money. Hope this helps
    2 points
  13. todays system selections CHELTENHAM 13:50 Yala Enki 5/1 e/w 2 places CHELTENHAM 14:25 Put The Kettle On 85/40 win CHELTENHAM 15:00 Ballyandy 15/2 e/w 5 places plus win trixie CHELTENHAM 13:50 West Approach 4/1 win CHELTENHAM 14:25 Defi Du Seuil 6/5 win plus win double I hate it when horses get equal scores, decided to not use my judgement and back them all. Top
    2 points
  14. Daniil Medvedev to beat Alexander Zverev at 1.70 with Pinnacle Zverev might've been a bit tired when the two last met in Paris, but I still think Medvedev has the edge. He's the better player by a small margin imo and Zverev has a lot going on off the court as well, which is something that is going to take its toll at some point. Matches in this tournament are often full of pressure and Medvedev has grown into the mentally stronger player of the two over time.
    2 points
  15. Andrey Rublev (+2.5) to beat Rafael Nadal at 1.81 with Pinnacle I'm not going to add much to what's already been said here, but this looks more than fine to me odds-wise and line-wise. There's some security in the handicap and I can see quite a few scenarios in which Nadal wins but doesn't cover. The outright is playable as well, but the bottom line is that Nadal has looked far worse than Rublev indoors in recent times.
    2 points
  16. charliepie

    New to the Forum

    Hi harry and alan, thought I'd have a look in here:-)
    2 points
  17. Written Tuesday November 10th, 2020 at 11 a.m. Eastern Time (spreads/odds may have changed) A dreadful 0-3 performance for the picks last week. Ouch! That does not shake my confidence at all. Bad weeks will invariably occur every season; they are part of the sports betting game. Never go too high during winning streaks and never go too low in bad times. Let’s roll up our sleeves and get back on the winning track! Here are 4 picks for you. PICK #1 (4 STARS): PITTSBURGH STEELERS -3.5 FIRST HALF VS CINCINNATI BENGALS The news that Ben Roethlisberger was placed on the
    2 points
  18. Chev Chelios

    Corner Bets

    Four bets tonight, all from the UEFA Nations League: - Austria - Northern Ireland / Austria team with more corners @1.20 - Denmark - Ireland / Denmark team with more corners @1.20 - Czech Republic - Israel / Czech Republic team with more corners @1.35 - Treble from these bets @1.94
    1 point
  19. Well done. She does reasonably well with horses on heavy going with an AE of 1.01. Overall her statistics are quite poor with an AE of 0.96. She has a particularly poor record with hurdlers, where the AE is 1.01. She does have an exceptional record with horses that have had a break of at least 45 days with an AE of 1.30. 119 runners from 702 runners over the last 7 years with a profit at BSP of £284. Also she does well in November and December where she has an AE of 1.15. Cloudy Glen ticked all the boxes, i.e. a chaser running in November after a layoff of 246 days.
    1 point
  20. waggy

    2020 Finish continued

    1657 result: Greece won 2-0. Won £20 Profit to date £718.99
    1 point
  21. StevieDay1983

    Corner Bets

    Nice bets @Chev Chelios. We have a Nations League forum if you fancy posting up your thoughts in there too. Would love to have your input!
    1 point
  22. OK lads, let's not get over-heated. @BrandNew is a football pessimistic and both @allyhibs and @johhny2 are football optimists! Let's leave it at that. Enjoy Scotland being at next summer's Euros and likely topping their Nations League group. In the meantime, head on over to the Nations League forum! I want to see more people posting their valued tips in there...
    1 point
  23. twinny

    Most Corners

    Wales 2 Ireland 4 for a £17 win bank now £639.28 no bets for Monday
    1 point
  24. Funny enough I had a few bets today looking at ratings/jockeys/napsters etc. I then came across Cloudy Glen in the 3.15 Font 15/11/20. I remembered how Venetia Williams was famous for getting winners when the going was heavy. I had a small wager. Apart from a horse falling in front of it early in the race, it came through and won by 13 lengths. So how about that. Nothing to do with ratings/jockey bookings or a Napster tip. I sometimes wonder whether a lot of strategies are not worth the paper that they are written on.
    1 point
  25. waggy

    2020 Finish continued

    1656 result: Senegal won 1-0. Won £30 Profit to date £698.99
    1 point
  26. 1 point
  27. Fallen horse was stood up and being held by the jockey by the running rail when the runners went by so looks good news thankfully
    1 point
  28. harry_rag

    New to the Forum

    As Ian Hunter or John Lydon might say, "Hello"!
    1 point
  29. Nonerunner and 3rd ....ew money
    1 point
  30. I’m going to go countercurrent of the forum . I think Nadal will win easilly the match against Rublev. Rublev is good player , I had win a lot of match this season indoor , but I didn’t play against top 10 ( just Thiem , Vienne) . Pospisil, Humbert, Sinner , Sonogo , Anderson , Albot ... ok , but today it’s Nadal , and it’s the Master ! I must admit that Nadal was not good recently, but he will solve the problem for win matchs . I’m sure Bank Book Bet 2 / Tennis Nadal v Rublev Back Nadal 10,00u @1.75
    1 point
  31. Remaining ITV & SSR races - Prices are Bet365 1425 Cheltenham - 3 Riders On The Storm 9/2 - 3rd in a different postcode 1440 Fontwell - 5 Sly Minx 10/3 - 3rd a long way back 1455 Southwell - 4 Pull Harder Con 11/2 WON 1500 Cheltenham - 18 The Shunter 10/1 EW WON 1515 Fontwell - 2 Cloudy Glen 9/2 WON 1530 Southwell - 5 Sharrabang 12/1 EW 2nd 1535 Cheltenham - 1 Courtandbould 11/2 - last 1550 Fontwell - 3 Dharma Rain 4/1 WON in the stewards room see further post below
    1 point
  32. glennhughes

    Nice and Easy

    Going to continue with the princely sum of 30 and bank the rest 168.07 Bet 41 ( In Play, 14 mns gone) Leganes v Alcorcon Lay Correct Score 1-0 29.16 @ 4.5
    1 point
  33. Chris when I give a score to any of my catagories , going, trainer form, class etc, a horse with 40% wins would get a higher score than a horse with 10%. eg 40% 4 points 10% 1 point. No horse gets more than 4 points per catogory.
    1 point
  34. Well said mate. I'll just ignore the troll, he's got history of arguing for the sake of it, clueless.
    1 point
  35. waggy

    2020 Finish continued

    1655. Go Ahead Eagles 2 x £110 @4/11 (v Den Bosch, Netherlands Eerste Division, 11.15)
    1 point
  36. The only thing rublev lacks is netplay. I would bet on him against nadal, but I can just see andrey hitting bombs and having nadal on the run but never coming in behind a good shot to end the point with a volley , and eventualy starting to commit errors because of the amount of shots he'll have to hit form the baseline. I'd go with tsitsipas taking ATLEAST 1 set against dominic. Neither of them shined recently, but I think tsitsipas just plays better on this surface than thiem and has a game that helps him indoors. You could even go for a tsitsipas win if you want to risk more.
    1 point
  37. twinny

    Most Corners

    1 bet for Sunday UEFA Nations League 5p/m k/o Wales v Ireland I have backed Ireland 17/10 Boyle (slightly better odds with 15/8 Paddy/Betvic/Bet365)
    1 point
  38. Been raining heavy all night at Fontwell, where the going is still said to be soft, Will not be surprised if it changes to soft/heavy, maybe heavy after morning course inspection
    1 point
  39. Welcome to the forum and good luck. 👍👍
    1 point
  40. Well, Katie won that easily but just not enough power to finish her off and she does indeed win on points +4pts boxing 2020 +8.5pts
    1 point
  41. ffs mate, I don't think anyone believes Scotland are going to win the world cup, merely enjoying a brief, long awaited moment of positivity, talk about pissing on the parade, maybe you should stop worrying about what motherwell players are doing next summer, and go for a nice relaxing bath.
    1 point
  42. Lost - minus 95.68 To be honest I didn't really fancy that 1.40 at Cheltenham but I couldn't find anything else. Even though it was fairly small field I still thought 4 or 5 of them could win which is no good for this type of bet. I like to pick races where I think only a maximum of 3 can win and then pick my final two from that. I think maybe if you're struggling to find something just have a day off !
    1 point
  43. Valiant Thor

    VT's NFL Selections

    Not neglecting this thread. A couple of weeks ago I changed the code to only get the spreads from uk books (see week 5), I also decided to upgrade the code from python 2 to 3 whilst I was at it and seem to have messed up somewhere along the line (not a pro coder, Im self taught) Been on it on and off for past 2 week and think I should have selections back up and running next week Rule to self if its not broke dont mess with it
    1 point
  44. Unfortunately I had to go to work this morning Steve so celebrations were muted but that was a very well deserved and hard earned result. It's true it took a while for me to be convinced by Steve Clarke, his squad selections and results were poor to start with but it's clear that he's found a system that works and solved a couple of problems on the way, the belief the players have in themselves is clear as day and that goes a long way in football. Finding a way to fit Tierney and Robertson into the side, dropping McTominay deeper, bringing in Declan Gallacher and Lyndon Dykes are all piec
    1 point
  45. From a betting perspective it's a shame Cefn Druids/Haverfordwest is off because the Druids have started badly and Haverfordwest are having a semi-decent run and their 15/8 looked very generous... Friday: Caernarfon v Connah's Quay looks priced up about right so I'm not involved, although it's difficult to see beyond a Nomads win. If crowds were allowed this would probably be my destination for the weekend. I'm on Cardiff Met to beat Aberystwyth, which I got at 9/5. I have Cardiff as slight outsiders and that looked slightly generous. To my surprise the price has come in sign
    1 point
  46. Not sure where you picked that up from, he's their former owner and ran the club into the ground. I've only just signed up here, but follow Welsh football closely, so will chip in with comments and info. I don't think David Cotterall has quite made the impact on the league that many would have been expecting - not yet at least, anyway. Barry are vulnerable defensively and in goal, I don't think this team as they were 12 months ago. Both TNS and Bala Town to win -1, is 3/1. That's a bet I like. I also fancy Cardiff Met and Aber over 2.5 goals, combine that with the abo
    1 point
  47. I need to start a bank for my selections. My new strategy at the moment is based around prize money among one or two other things, but it’s a prize money system. It’s not new and it’s probably been done to death over the years. Started two months ago with it and I’ve made profit for the first two months. This month I’m slightly down, but I’m positive it can be profitable. It’s simple and I enjoy it at the moment.
    1 point
  48. The process to arrive at the day's selections is fairly automated so only takes a couple of minutes. I dread to think how many hours I have spent analysing data in the past. I think if I divided my profits by the amount of time I'd probably be earning about 1p / hour. I do enjoy the process though and there are always new angles to be looked at, you have now got me fixated on developing a system for heavy going.
    1 point
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