He was a system bet and, as I said yesterday, I back them all regardless, I just thought it was amusing that he popped up as one less than 24 hours after I flagged him as an example of the worst case scenario when following the system.
I never second guess the system and, DCL aside, I can’t really think of any other players who I have an instinctive negative reaction to. Conversely, I’ve missed a few nice winners where I can’t get on at the system price and have swerved the bet at slightly shorter odds on the basis of the stats being poor. As long as the returns hold up (and we’re talking 1000s of bets now) I won’t be faffing with the formula.
I hardly ever bet on results these days. The markets are pretty efficient and I don’t feel as if I have any particular edge. I don’t really look beyond the goalscorer bets unless it’s a quiet day or something leaps out at me. Better to specialise on my strongest area rather than spread myself thinly across results, goals, cards and corners etc. (all furrows I’ve ploughed in the past).