Jump to content
** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

Snooker: The Masters 10-17 Jan


Recommended Posts

  • Replies 189
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Re: Snooker: The Masters 10-17 Jan

Well done guys on 0 Centuries. Ebdon missed that easy red on 93 in the final frame. :lol Don't know what went wrong with Fu. I wouldn't be jumping to back Ebdon in the next round. :\
Yeah, I already thought that century in last frame look like a dead cert. At least he missed :) :clap
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Snooker: The Masters 10-17 Jan 4pts J.White to beat M.King @ 7/4 (Victor Chandler) Like kev I think fans favourite Jimmy White will favour from the atmosphere here at Wembley and is a cracking price to beat Mark King whos form has been a bit up and down as of late. He did have an impressive 9-2 win over Hamilton in the 2009 UK Championships only to be beaten 9-2 himself in the next round by Wenbo. White beat King 7-6 on his way to win the Sangsom 6-red World Grand Prix in Bangkok. He also won the World Series of Snooker in Prague back in October. Read an article today in the Sunday Post with some quotes from Jimmy and he said his "enthusiasm for snooker sky-high again" and "signs that his form is coming back" which can only be taken as a positive in my eyes. I think the fact Jimmy is a surprise entry to many will make him want this more as he will be determined to prove that he did deserve a place in the tournament ahead of Liang Wenbo.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Snooker: The Masters 10-17 Jan 5pts M.Williams -1.5 Sets to beat R.McLeod @ 8/11 Boylesports Rory McLeod is the other wildcard thrown in here and he has previously struggled infront of the cameras, Williams have been around the circut a long time, a previous world champion and won this event twice, reach the Gradn Prix semi-final last year and I think he'll have to much for the wildcard.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Snooker: The Masters 10-17 Jan

Happy with Selby winning to get off to winning ways, Ding didn't really turn up. I'll post up my selection for tonight's match now. 7pts M.King -1.5 Frames to beat J.White @ 1.80 365 It is a nice story for Jimmy to be back at The Masters and given the wildcard but I think he'll come unstuck against King who went off the boil for a while but seems to be back to his best, funny player if things don't go the way he wants but I'm pretty sure he'll be in control in this match and quiet the crowd so to speak. King to take the match no worse than 6-4.
Well done Spooner and well done to Cramer too :clap Not the greatest of starts to my Snooker betting but never mind, hopefully Maguire can change that a bit.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Snooker: The Masters 10-17 Jan Probably my worst day of punting ever in here I think :sad. Not even close to a winner and made all the more frustrating in that I was taking Ebdon until yesterday :eyes. -15pts for the day and probably already looking at damage limitation but luckily there are a couple of strong betting opportunities over the next couple of days so I might still get back into profit for the week. Well done to all with winners so far. 1 for me tomorrow so far. 6pts S.Murphy (-1.5 frames) to beat S.Hendry 4/5 Paddy Power I'm not a huge fan of taking short priced handicaps but I'm going to make an exception here because Stephen Hendry's form has completely gone. His long game so far this season has been awful and unless his opponent gifts him chances he's struggling to get in consistently. He isn't going to get many chances from Shaun Murphy, the Premier League winner. He's as solid as a rock and was unlucky in the UK, walking into a rampant Ding Junhui when all the rumours were Murphy was suffering from a touch of flu. I'll forgive him that (as Ding won the event ;)) and assume his form is back to it's usual standard. Assuming it is I can't see Hendry winning 5 frames on the form he's shown this year so I will have a solid bet on Murphy to cover the 1.5 frame start.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Snooker: The Masters 10-17 Jan LOL, Russ, I was trying to work out your post then finally clued on I put 'sets' its the darts! :$ Yep, I'm with you on that one Kev. I make this a 9 out of 10 bet, I'd expect the price to drop overnight so will also post mine now. I can't add much to what you said. 9pts S.Murphy -1.5 Frames to beat S.Hendry @ 4/5 Paddy Power Shaun Murphy is a consistent player and should have to much for Hendry, who is a shadow of his old self, disappointing in recent tournaments and need x amount of chances at the table to take a frame, far away from the break builder he used to be. Murphy brings his A game he should stroll this bu even with his B, we may get a 6-4 scoreline.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Snooker: The Masters 10-17 Jan I am adopting an outright only strategy on this one and have gone for

A. Carter to win outright @ 17.5 Betfair

If he pulls his finger out he is as talented as anyone in the tournament and although he will face the rocket at the quarter final stage I reckon he could still be in with a sniff if he brings his A-game with him. He hasn’t played that well this year but showed signs of recovery to be beaten 9-8 by Ding at hte UK's. That was unlucky in my opinion and the odds seem a little overvalued.

S. Mcguire to win outright @ 11.5 Betfair

Can’t really add to much on what has already been said on the forum. I like the look of this guy and again as with Carter lost to the eventual winner of the UK, Ding who appeared to be in the form of the century.

Good luck all.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Snooker: The Masters 10-17 Jan Good luck on Murphy guys. I'm on 2 bets tomorrow too. M.Williams (-1.5 frames) to beat R.McLeod, 4pts @ 8/11 BlueSq Was tempted to take the -2.5 here but in such a short format, I just wasn't prepared the risk. It's McLeod's first time here and the atmosphere really is tough here on your first start. He did ok in the first round at the UK, going 4-1 up against Ali Carter before going down 9-7 but, to be fair, Carter wasn't in great form so I wouldn't take too much out of that. Winning the qualifying event is an achievement in itself and this will be a step too far. Williams though has the experience and is a player I like on my side in the short formats. If I look at his 1st session performances this season, the form reads pretty good; at the Shangai Masters, he was 5-3 vs Swail before a 1-5 reversal to John Higgins; at the Grand Prix, 5-0 Bingham, 5-2 Hendry, 5-2 Milkins, 1-6 Ding; at the UK Championships, he was 6-2 vs Dott and 5-3 vs Lines. Based on that, he would have brought this line in on 6 of his 8 attempts this term, with the 2 losses to top players in Ding & Higgins. McLeod is no better than any of the 6 he beat and, with the nerves sure to play a part, I'll take Williams to bring this home no worse than 6-4. S.Murphy vs S.Hendry, over 5.5 50+ breaks, 4pts @ 8/11 Paddy Power 2 open players that like to get amongst the balls so I expect plenty of 50+ breaks here. In the 10 opening round matches last season at the Masters, this line came in 8 times, the only losses being Ali Carter's 6-0 win and a low grade Maguire-Dott game. With only 6 franes in the former and a very safety minded player in Dott in the 2nd, there's no surprise. This season, Murphy's average is 1 50+ every 2.51 frames, ranked 5th, with Hendry 6 places further down on 2.94. On these averages, a 6-3 or bigger scoreline will bring this bet in whilst we'll be right on the limit with a 6-2 result. If both approach this in their normal open, attacking style, I fully expect this line to come in.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Snooker: The Masters 10-17 Jan Stephen Maguire -2.5 frames to beat Mark King, 2.1 PaddyPower Mark King played poorly tonight. Although not too bad in the safety department, there were far too many simple shots missed when the balls were in great positions. His long potting was also wayward. If he was playing anyone else but Jimmy White tonight, he would have been in big trouble. Tomorrow he will come up against Stephen Maguire, and I can't see Maguire giving King many second chances like he had tonight. Maguire's safety play will be much better. Maguire will fancy himself in this tournament, with the winner of this tie going on to play the winner of Ryan Day and Joe Perry. He will be thinking semi-finals minimum. Can see Maguire winning this no worse than 6 - 3. Shaun Murphy v Stephen Hendry, Over 0.5 centuries, 1.5 PaddyPower Both players are great break builders. At the UK championship there was 6 centuries between both players and both didn't make it past the last 16. Although this tournament is shorter format in terms of frames, I think we will see at least 1 century here.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Snooker: The Masters 10-17 Jan

Sport Snooker/Pool
Event Shaun Murphy v Stephen Hendry
Selection Lay Stephen Hendry (Lay)
Strength 10/10
Date 11/01/2010
Bookmaker/Price Betfair @ 3.25 (Lay)
Reasoning I'm a big fan of Murphy and think he'll have too much scoring power. Hendrys game seems to have gone downhill, and if he's going to focus on an event it's going to be the World Championships. He still goes for all the long pots when really he'd probably be better off playing a tight game as he doesn't make enough. Murphy lost to Ding int he UK but Ding ended up playing really well, and Murphy will surely get chances in this and should be good enough to take them.
Sport Snooker/Pool
Event Mark Williams v Rory McLeod
Selection Lay Rory McLeod (Lay)
Strength 10/10
Date 11/01/2010
Bookmaker/Price Betfair @ 3.30 (Lay)
Reasoning This should be straightforward for Williams. For me he's still a quality player and seems to have some reasonable form. McLeod has always struggled on TV, he was close to Carter in the UK but that was a pretty poor match. I can't see him scoring well enough here to keep with Williams and this should be a straightforward victory.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Snooker: The Masters 10-17 Jan How funny was Mark King's entrance by the way :lol Anyway, couple of bets for me tomorrow: 2pts S.Maguire -1.5 frames to beat M.King @ 4/5 (Betfred) As already stated this is a fairly easy quarter to the draw for Maguire who will be determine to get 2010 off to great start. King beat White last night in fairly confortable fashion with a 6-2 victory. White was definately off form but on another day could have won this as King did give him plenty of chances to work his way back into the match but unfortunately he didn't take them. He was impressive in the 7th frame with a break of 85 but overall he did miss a few easy shots on his way to victory. Maguire will be a much tougher opponent than White and King will need to perform a lot better than he did tonight if he wants to cause an upset. 3pts S.Maguire to have the highest break vs M.King @ 8/15 (Skybet) King only managed breaks of 56, 64 and 85 last night against Jimmy White and I don't expect him to better that by much in the game tonight due to him missing some simple shots in the match last night. Now I don't watch much Snooker but I am hopefully in the progress of changing that so I do not know how good Maguire is at hitting big break but basing on King's performance last night and the fact I fancy Maguire to do well in this tournament, I will go with my gut feeling that he will hit a minimum of 1 century in this match and failing that, he will at least top King's highest break. :ok

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Snooker: The Masters 10-17 Jan And, on to the evening match. S.Maguire to beat M.King 6-3, 1pt @ 9/2 Skybet S.Maguire to beat M.King 6-4, 1pt @ 5/1 Skybet Covering the 2 correct scores here at decent odds to give us a slight margin for error but still returning around 2/1 the pair. Maguire is in a relatively easy quarter and must fancy his chances of going all the way after recovering from an early injury and the death of his grandfather. He reach the quarters of the UK and played very well last week in the Championship League. Meanwhile, Mark King was here last night and beat Jimmy White 6-2 and, despite playing some ok snooker at times, it won't be enough to beat Stephen here. I cannot see a final frame decider here but, at the same time, I do think King will do enough a pinch a few frames here especially as he will have had the Wembley experience from just 24 hours ago. In addition, these 2 aren't the biggest break builders early on, as shown in their 50+ break rate of 3.50 & 4.33. That suggests some tight frames giving King plenty of opportunities so, at a decent price, I'll take the correct score bet here.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Snooker: The Masters 10-17 Jan Good luck Russ, I'm hoping for 6-3 ;). 4pts S.Maguire (-2.5 frames) to beat M.King 11/10 Paddy Power The price of this handicap looks a bit big. Stephen Maguire comes into this event in a bit of form and would be expected to see off Mark King. To be fair to the Londoner, he played ok last night notching up 3 solid half centuries but Jimmy White wasn't at the races and King won't get given as many chances in this match as he did in that match. These two have met 4 times in their career and Maguire's won all 4 and won them fairly comfortably. It's a slight concern that King's played on the table this week and Maguire hasn't but it shouldn't be too big a deal. Maguire has an excellent chance of going deep in this event and in order to do that he needs to dispatch of Mark King which I think he'll do for the loss of no more than 3 frames.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Snooker: The Masters 10-17 Jan Good luck tonight Kev, Russ, & Stu. 6-3 would be a perfect scoreline. ;) I'm hoping Maguire gets through against King as I have quite a strong bet on him to win that quater. Currently in profit by 15.44pts after 5 bets and 4 winners, got a couple of outrights and quater winners that I like so fingers crossed. I won't be playing any bets tomorrow, as I have O'Sullivan & Carter in the outright.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Snooker: The Masters 10-17 Jan Not sure how we managed that with 'On Fire':lol. At 2-3, he looked nailed to lose the next but found something from somewhere and, after that, it was pretty much plain sailing. Today is what Other Sports betting is all about. Super stuff with a 100% record, all 12 bets winning:eek. Well done to Kev, Spooner, Cramer, StuSimmy & nickcook:clap Personally, a great day with 3 winners. Particularly pleased with the Hendry/Murphy overs bet. Puts me on +7.87pts for the tournament.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Snooker: The Masters 10-17 Jan

Stephen Maguire -2.5 frames to beat Mark King' date= 2.1 PaddyPower Mark King played poorly tonight. Although not too bad in the safety department, there were far too many simple shots missed when the balls were in great positions. His long potting was also wayward. If he was playing anyone else but Jimmy White tonight, he would have been in big trouble. Tomorrow he will come up against Stephen Maguire, and I can't see Maguire giving King many second chances like he had tonight. Maguire's safety play will be much better. Maguire will fancy himself in this tournament, with the winner of this tie going on to play the winner of Ryan Day and Joe Perry. He will be thinking semi-finals minimum. Can see Maguire winning this no worse than 6 - 3. Shaun Murphy v Stephen Hendry, Over 0.5 centuries, 1.5 PaddyPower Both players are great break builders. At the UK championship there was 6 centuries between both players and both didn't make it past the last 16. Although this tournament is shorter format in terms of frames, I think we will see at least 1 century here.
:beer:beer:beer:beer A good start to the tournament which means I have ended the day up despite some horrific results in the football. Hope I can continue this into tomorrow. Two picks for me.. Ronnie O'Sullivan v Neil Robertson, O'Sullivan over 0.5 centuries, 4/6 Two great players tomorrow and I think we will see scoring similar to that of what Hendry and Murphy produced today (3 centuries at least in that game). I'm sure it will be a tight game which means we will get close to 11 frames completed. I'm backing Ronnie to score at least one century here. Also there will be a good crowd in tomorrow, I know this as I have tickets! Think Ronnie will be out to entertain us definately in a tournament he won last year. Ali Carter -1.5 frames v Mark Williams, 11/10 Ali performed well at the recent UK Championship and was unlucky to lose out 9 - 8 to Ding in the quater finals. I think he will fancy himself against Mark Williams who didn't look completely fluent in his play today. I think Mark will get a couple of frames but expecting Ali to come through at no worse than 6 - 4. :hope:hope Fingers crossed and hoping for a Ronnie maximum tomorrow when I'm there
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Snooker: The Masters 10-17 Jan

Not sure how we managed that with 'On Fire':lol. At 2-3, he looked nailed to lose the next but found something from somewhere and, after that, it was pretty much plain sailing. Today is what Other Sports betting is all about. Super stuff with a 100% record, all 12 bets winning:eek. Well done to Kev, Spooner, Cramer, StuSimmy & nickcook:clap
At 5 - 3 up he was very lucky with Mark King potting a great blue and then going in off! But we'll take it. Also congrats to all, lets hope we can do it again tomorrow.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Snooker: The Masters 10-17 Jan I'm taking 2 bets tomorrow, although no single bet on the Ronnie match. You just never know which Rocket we'll get. A.Carter (-1.5 frames) to beat M.Williams, 3pts @ 11/10 Boylesports Mark Williams won here against Rory McLeod but didn't particularly fire on all cylinders and I think he'll struggle against Carter, a player suited to this venue. Williams lost out in the 2nd round of the UK to Peter Lines, that's hardly form to get carried away with and, in the Grand Prix, where he had a decent run, he was involved in one of the lowest quality snooker matches I've seen against Hendry. Ali Carter, though, played superbly in last years opening round here, completing a 6-0 rout of Ebdon before falling to an inspired O'Sullivan. Ali had a slow start to the season but looks to be on the up with a good run in the UK, losing out 9-8 to eventual winner Ding in a top quality match featuring 14 50+ breaks. In the first 2 rounds, he overcame McLeod when clearly struggling for form before improving to see off Stephen Lee easily. He really looks to be hitting form and this venue will bring out the best of him, so at a decent price I'll take him to finish the Welshman for the loss of no more than 4 frames. A.Carter to beat M.Williams (4/6 Betfred) & R.O'Sullivan to beat N.Robertson (4/9 Betfred), 3pts win double I think I've said everything I need to say on Ali Carter above. But what of the other match? In honesty, you never know which Ronnie will come out but this is his home and he won't want to be exiting at this early stage. He's not someone to discount here and was awesome last year when taking the title. Looked in fine nick at the UK winning his first 3 matches by the same score of 9-3, taking the scalps on Matthew Stevens, Ebdon & Mark Selby before succumbing to Higgins in the semi. He was present at the BDO Darts last week and he looked very relaxed and at ease with himself. When you have a laid back Ronnie, you have an unbelievably dangerous player and I'll take him to win this along with Carter for a double.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Snooker: The Masters 10-17 Jan Some top picks on this thread (and during the UK as well) :clap so it's high time I came along and lowered the standard a bit. ;) N Robertson to beat R O'Sullivan 5/10 @ 3.2 (Betfair) I've long been of the opinion that backing Ronnie at short odds for individual matches is a quick way to the poor house, and the odds don't stack up on this match for me. Ronnie may be looking relaxed, but he's admitted he's frustrated with his game and his long potting was probably the poorest I've ever seen it in the UK Championships. Robertson, on the other hand, has been in top form this season and looks to have really found his confidence again. His matches against John Higgins in the Grand Prix and the UK show that he's not intimidated by someone scoring big against him, and his long potting game is in much better health than Ronnie's of late. Ronnie leads the head to head 3-2, though Robbo beat him 3-0 in the Championship League earlier this month, rattling in 2 centuries. OK, the CL may be no more than glorified practise, but it shows that Neil's still cueing well and I'd rate this match as much closer to 50:50 than the odds suggest, making Robbo the value pick for me. Good luck everyone - hope the great tipping form continues. :hope

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Snooker: The Masters 10-17 Jan

Sport Snooker/Pool
Event Ronnie O'Sullivan v Neil Robertson
Selection Neil Robertson
Strength 10/10
Date 12/01/2010
Bookmaker/Price Betfair @ 3.20 (Back)
Reasoning I'm the type of guy that wastes quite a bit of money opposing O'Sullivan. But here, he has a really tough match and in first to 6 I don't think Robertson should be above 2.75. O'Sullivan has an excellent record here but recently his form has been patchy and in particular his long potting has been average. This is an area where Robertson excels and could give him the edge in this match. Robertson seems to exjoy the big atmospheres and should thrive here. I think this will be a very close match and I can see Robertson taking it.
Sport Snooker/Pool
Event Ali Carter v Mark Williams
Selection Ali Carter
Strength 10/10
Date 12/01/2010
Bookmaker/Price Expekt @ 1.67 (Back)
Reasoning Williams beat McLeod yesterday but it wasn't a great match. Carter is a much tougher proposition and I see Williams struggling. Carter has been in excellent form the past year and seems like a guy who is rising to the big stages. I can see him putting in a really good performance here and looks like a good favourite against Williams.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Snooker: The Masters 10-17 Jan Another cracking thread this. I recovered a bit yesterday to get my overall total back to -5.8pts which hopefully can be wiped out over the next couple of days. Just the one for me this afternoon. 3pts R.O'Sullivan vs N.Robertson - Over 9 Frames 6/5 Bet365 This price looks fairly big given the qualities of these two players. Ronnie hasn't quite been on his game this season yet but it's a testiment to how good he is that he's won a ranking tournament and lost in the semi final of another as well as losing in the final of the Premier League. Neil Robertson won the Grand Prix and lost an epic against John Higgins in the UK Championship so both players have form behind them this season. As has been said above though, Ronnie's long game hasn't been all there really. I'm not sure this purple cue he's meant to be using is going to help matters much either. I think he'll win but this could well be closer than most would think. I can see this ending 6-4 or 6-5 either way although the danger is we get a burst of potting like Higgins sat and watched in their semi final in Telford. Saying that, Robertson can give as good as he gets so I'll take the overs at a fairly tasty price.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


×
×
  • Create New...