cavello Posted September 2, 2007 Author Share Posted September 2, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value After my betting this weekend on the athletics.. "Four legs good. two legs bad" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevsul Posted September 2, 2007 Share Posted September 2, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value 5.05 Curragh The favourite here is opposed by 2 rivals who love the trip and course with no doubts about the ground Benbaun 3 pts E/W @7/1:hope Moss Vale 2 pts E/W @100/30:hope Both with Ladbrokes :clap:clap Well done Tom. Missed them myself as at work. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted September 4, 2007 Author Share Posted September 4, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Outlay to Date = 512.0 pts Return to date= 669.79pts. Profit to Date = +157.79 pts Yield = 30.8% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted September 7, 2007 Author Share Posted September 7, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value 6.50 Kempton. Ordinance 2 pts E/W 5/2:hope Tenjack King 1 pt E/W 4/1 :hope Both BOG with Bet365 Ordinance rated over 80 which here should be enough to be involved in the finish here in an ordinary looking maiden. The other selection should show improved form today after a slightly gentle introduction. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevsul Posted September 7, 2007 Share Posted September 7, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value 6.50 Kempton. Ordinance 2 pts E/W 5/2:hope Tenjack King 1 pt E/W 4/1 :hope Both BOG with Bet365 Ordinance rated over 80 which here should be enough to be involved in the finish here in an ordinary looking maiden. The other selection should show improved form today after a slightly gentle introduction. :clap:clap Winner in Ordinance.:ok Tenjackking NR. Nice winner mate.:clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted September 7, 2007 Author Share Posted September 7, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value 6.50 Kempton. Ordinance 2 pts E/W 5/2:clap:clap Paid 7/2 with Rule 4 Tenjack King 1 pt E/W 4/1 N/R Both BOG with Bet365 Ordinance rated over 80 which here should be enough to be involved in the finish here in an ordinary looking maiden. The other selection should show improved form today after a slightly gentle introduction. Profit on bet = 7.14 pts Profit to Date = +164.93 pts :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted September 7, 2007 Share Posted September 7, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Well done Tom mate, nice work! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted September 7, 2007 Share Posted September 7, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Congratulations on a nice healthy profit Tom.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted September 8, 2007 Author Share Posted September 8, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Just one bet for me today. 2 pts E/W Marchand D'Or 3.10 Haydock 9/1 E/W with >Bet365 BOG(1/4 odds first 3):hope A bit unlucky in running in the July Cup. Later at Deauville beat the second that day with a bit in hand. IMO a bit overpriced based on the overall form of this true Group 1 horse. __________________ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted September 8, 2007 Author Share Posted September 8, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Just one bet for me today. 2 pts E/W Marchand D'Or 3.10 Haydock 9/1 E/W with >Bet365 BOG(1/4 odds first 3):hope A bit unlucky in running in the July Cup. Later at Deauville beat the second that day with a bit in hand. IMO a bit overpriced based on the overall form of this true Group 1 horse. __________________ 2nd :ok Profit on bet +2.5 pts Profit to Date = +167.43 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted September 8, 2007 Author Share Posted September 8, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Outlay to Date = 520.0 pts Return to date= 687.43pts. Profit to Date = +167.43 pts Yield = 32.2% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted September 9, 2007 Author Share Posted September 9, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value 2.10 Fontwell Miss Saafend Plaza 2 pts E/W @ 5/1 with Sportingbet.:hope Favoured by weights today, compared with Tension Point and more importantly, IMO the blinkers are on for the second race over hurdles. These are usually put on for flat races so an improved effort could be on the card here. 2.30 Stratford Instructor 4 pts E/W @15/8 with Stan James:hope Rated at an OR of 112. This is adequate to win a race of this nature. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted September 9, 2007 Author Share Posted September 9, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value 2.10 Fontwell Miss Saafend Plaza 2 pts E/W @ 5/1 with Sportingbet.:hope:sad:$ Favoured by weights today, compared with Tension Point and more importantly, IMO the blinkers are on for the second race over hurdles. These are usually put on for flat races so an improved effort could be on the card here. 2.30 Stratford Instructor 4 pts E/W @15/8 with Stan James:hope:sad:$ Rated at an OR of 112. This is adequate to win a race of this nature. Both unplaced loss on day -12 pts Profit to Date = +155.43 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted September 9, 2007 Author Share Posted September 9, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value 5.40 Stratford General Knowledge 2pts E/W @16/1 with Bet365:hope Fell on first race this season when certain to place and not very good run LTO. But rated over 70 on the flat and I note the engagement of G Lee. P.S.Got a bit back thanks to Toni Acala drifting to 9/2:loon. Let hope that a turning point for the day:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted September 9, 2007 Author Share Posted September 9, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value 5.40 Stratford General Knowledge 2pts E/W @16/1 with Bet365:hope Fell on first race this season when certain to place and not very good run LTO. But rated over 70 on the flat and I note the engagement of G Lee. P.S.Got a bit back thanks to Toni Acala drifting to 9/2:loon. Let hope that a turning point for the day:hope Fell when leading four from from home:wall (Backed down to 7/1) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted September 14, 2007 Author Share Posted September 14, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value 3 bets.. 1 for tommorro New World Order 8.55 Wolverhampton 3 pts E/W @5/1 with Ladbrokes:hope Classic value IMO with a 2nd favoiurite with reasonable recent form against an odds-on shot without good recent form. Act on the track and also with a good draw. Wilhewispa 4.45 Bangor 2 pts E/W @8/1 with Ladbrokes.:hope Got a good chance against the odds-on favourite based on OR fiigures and with the other 2 in the first 4 in the bettting not having ran for 100+ days this looks a value E/W bet. Scorpion 4/1 Irish St Leger 3 pts E/W @4/1 with Paddy Power (No runner no bet):hope Yeats will be meeting a pretty good middle distance plus horse here and may well be turned over by his stable mate. Scorpion won the Coronation Cup and won the St Leger 2 years ago and surely should make a bold bid here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
punta Posted September 14, 2007 Share Posted September 14, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value :) great stuff so far - well done Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted September 15, 2007 Author Share Posted September 15, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Extra selection for the Irish St Leger Bellamy Cay 3.35 Curragh 2 pts E/W @16/1 with Bet365:hope Could be a sleeper. A true Group 1/2 horse. Been off the course for 5 months and changed stables. But could very well spring a surprise in this race. At the moment c2.76 for the place at Betfair. So represents E/W value based on the market figures. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gregprowt Posted September 15, 2007 Share Posted September 15, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value havent been on much of late Cavelloman, but I see your still raking in the £££ great results again yesterday great thread :ok (just a shame I keep missing your selections!!) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted September 15, 2007 Author Share Posted September 15, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value 2.00 Warwick Perfect Storm 2 pts E/W @9/1 (BOG) with Bet365 Is the only horse in the race that could beat the favourite Salute IMO. Had first outing for new yard recently and some improvement may be possible. Rated over 90 in the past on the flat and over 100 for hurdles when trained by Mr Hobbs. O.K. not a banker for a place but still moderate e/w value in a very poor claimer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted September 15, 2007 Author Share Posted September 15, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value 2.00 Warwick Perfect Storm 2 pts E/W @9/1 (BOG) with Bet365 Is the only horse in the race that could beat the favourite Salute IMO. Had first outing for new yard recently and some improvement may be possible. Rated over 90 in the past on the flat and over 100 for hurdles when trained by Mr Hobbs. O.K. not a banker for a place but still moderate e/w value in a very poor claimer. Unplaced loss -4 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted September 15, 2007 Author Share Posted September 15, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Extra selection for the Irish St Leger Bellamy Cay 3.35 Curragh 2 pts E/W @16/1 with Bet365:hope Could be a sleeper. A true Group 1/2 horse. Been off the course for 5 months and changed stables. But could very well spring a surprise in this race. At the moment c2.76 for the place at Betfair. So represents E/W value based on the market figures. Unplaced loss -4pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted September 15, 2007 Author Share Posted September 15, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value 3 bets.. 1 for tommorro New World Order 8.55 Wolverhampton 3 pts E/W @5/1 with Ladbrokes:clap:clap Classic value IMO with a 2nd favoiurite with reasonable recent form against an odds-on shot without good recent form. Act on the track and also with a good draw. Wilhewispa 4.45 Bangor 2 pts E/W @8/1 with Ladbrokes.:ok Got a good chance against the odds-on favourite based on OR fiigures and with the other 2 in the first 4 in the bettting not having ran for 100+ days this looks a value E/W bet. Scorpion 4/1 Irish St Leger 3 pts E/W @4/1 with Paddy Power (No runner no bet):ok Yeats will be meeting a pretty good middle distance plus horse here and may well be turned over by his stable mate. Scorpion won the Coronation Cup and won the St Leger 2 years ago and surely should make a bold bid here. Profit +18.6pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted September 15, 2007 Author Share Posted September 15, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value We are now for me in a quiet period for betting. Again I've shown a decent profit this flat season and I'm looking forward to jump racing in the period November to March. The old time pros would stop betting after the Leger meeting and count their winnings. I will continue but I expect bets to be less frequent over the next 6-7 weeks. Outlay to Date = 560.0pts Return to date= 722.03pts. Profit to Date = +162.03 pts :ok Yield = 28.9%:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted September 16, 2007 Author Share Posted September 16, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value 2.15 Stratford The favourite's form is based on chases. So a little value is available with the 2nd and 3rd favourites in this modest contest.Both have some form in low grade hurdle races and may turn over the favourite. Cave of the Giant 3 pts e/w @4/1 with Sportingbet:hope Phone In 2 pts e/w @9/1 with Sportingbet:hope More expected later:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted September 16, 2007 Author Share Posted September 16, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value 3.30 Longchamp Mandesha 3 pts e/w @11/4 with Ladbrokes.:hope The ods-on fav is not certain to stay this trip plus mares often show improve form at this time of year due to the fact that they don't now come into season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted September 16, 2007 Author Share Posted September 16, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Toasted Special 2.15 Bath 2 pts e/w @9/2 with Ladbrokes. Based on the figures. But an expensive purchase and well related. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevsul Posted September 16, 2007 Share Posted September 16, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value 2.15 Stratford The favourite's form is based on chases. So a little value is available with the 2nd and 3rd favourites in this modest contest.Both have some form in low grade hurdle races and may turn over the favourite. Cave of the Giant 3 pts e/w @4/1 with Sportingbet:hope Phone In 2 pts e/w @9/1 with Sportingbet:hope More expected later:hope Cave has been well backed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevsul Posted September 16, 2007 Share Posted September 16, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value 2.15 Stratford The favourite's form is based on chases. So a little value is available with the 2nd and 3rd favourites in this modest contest.Both have some form in low grade hurdle races and may turn over the favourite. Cave of the Giant 3 pts e/w @4/1 with Sportingbet:hope Phone In 2 pts e/w @9/1 with Sportingbet:hope More expected later:hope Excellent Tom.:clap:clap Was on them today, thanks mate. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevsul Posted September 16, 2007 Share Posted September 16, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Toasted Special 2.15 Bath 2 pts e/w @9/2 with Ladbrokes. Based on the figures. But an expensive purchase and well related. Placed at 6/1.:clap:clap No chance with winner, but at least a profit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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