cavello Posted June 3, 2007 Share Posted June 3, 2007 This thread is for e/w value bets and so I can keep all my selections/advice of this type in one thread. Staking levels Max Single 10pts E/W min Staking 2pts E/W Doubles Max 5 pts E/W min staking 1pt E/W Short write ups for form based selection. Figures for market related selections(there still should be some form here) Will kick off soon. But on Monday /Tuesday evenings I'm involved in study for Australian soccer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevsul Posted June 3, 2007 Share Posted June 3, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value :hope Good Luck with this Mate. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rich46 Posted June 3, 2007 Share Posted June 3, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value :hope Second that will definetly be following.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted June 9, 2007 Author Share Posted June 9, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Will be cross doubles here. May suprise some people but short price selection can sometimes represent E/W value. Captain Gerrard @ 6/4 Wolgan Valley @ 5/4 X Halkerston @ 12/1 Velocitys Gift @ 7/1 4 x 1 pt E/W Doubes all BOG. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted June 9, 2007 Author Share Posted June 9, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value add 2 x 1 pt e/w doubles Menadha 9/1 x Halkerston @ sp Velocitys Gift @ sp With Betfred Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted June 9, 2007 Author Share Posted June 9, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value :sad add 2 x 1 pt e/w doubles Menadha 9/1 x Halkerston @ sp Velocitys Gift @ sp With Betfred - 2 points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted June 9, 2007 Author Share Posted June 9, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Will be cross doubles here. May suprise some people but short price selection can sometimes represent E/W value. :gBC('80906427#2#9090#1')'> Captain Gerrard @ 6/4 Wolgan Valley @ 5/4 X Halkerston @ 12/1 Velocitys Gift @ 7/1 4 x 1 pt E/W Doubes all BOG. - 8 PTS. The small stakes were based on the fact that so many unexposed horse were running today.:eyes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted June 10, 2007 Author Share Posted June 10, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Single today Middleton Dene 2.20 Perth 3 pts E/W @9/4 with Sportingodds:hope Consistent form and stays the trip going the one area of concern. 1.37/ 1.4 for the place at betfair getting 1.45. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted June 10, 2007 Author Share Posted June 10, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value :nana Single today Middleton Dene 2.20 Perth 3 pts E/W @9/4 with Sportingodds:hope Consistent form and stays the trip going the one area of concern. 1.37/ 1.4 for the place at betfair getting 1.45. :clap I hope you pressed up and had more on when the price went to 3/1. I did:ok :nana :nana Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevsul Posted June 10, 2007 Share Posted June 10, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value :clap Nice going mate.:ok Unfortunately I missed this as i am at work.:sad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted June 10, 2007 Author Share Posted June 10, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Unlucky Kev, I should have advised 6 pts E/W But got got confused with the scale I was using. Not been much around recently to get serious with on the E/W front. This week I've had only 6 bets total 3 winners 11/4, 2/1(Dutch price) 5/6(Max Bet) plus a dabble on a few low stake e/w doubles(which lost) I think things will get better soon with 2-Y-O & 3-Y-O maidens having a bit more form. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted June 10, 2007 Author Share Posted June 10, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Outlay to Date = 18 pts Return to date= 14.1pts. Profit to Date = -3.9 pts* * Should have been in front if I had paid more attention to my staking scale on the thread.:spank With place return more the a 66% chance stakes should have been more then 5 pts on my scale here.:wall Approx Singles Staking plan. Under 5/2 6- 10 pts 11/4 to 9/2 4 - 7 pts 5/1 to 8/1 3 - 5 pts 8/1 to 12/1 2 t- 3pts >12/1 2 pts e/w Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted June 12, 2007 Author Share Posted June 12, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Mister Wiseguy 10/1 3 PTS E/W Blue Square Chalice Welcome 40/1 2 pts E/W Betdirect Command marshall 7/2 (BOG) 4 ps E/W Bet365 Bit of form for all these in a race made up a very poor field except fot the fav Total Outlay 18pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted June 12, 2007 Author Share Posted June 12, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Mister Wiseguy 10/1 3 PTS E/W Blue Square 3rd +3 pts Chalice Welcome 40/1 2 pts E/W Betdirect unplaced(ran reasonable) -4 pts Command marshall 7/2 (BOG) 4 ps E/W Bet365 2nd -1.2 pts Bit of form for all these in a race made up a very poor field except fot the fav Total Outlay 18pts Total Outlay 18pts Return 15.8 pts Lost of 2.2 pts. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted June 14, 2007 Author Share Posted June 14, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Forest Silver 6.35 Fontwell 6 pts E/W @5/2 general Rated closely with fav and not yet fully exposed. On breeding may be better over this shorter distance Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted June 14, 2007 Author Share Posted June 14, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Forest Silver 6.35 Fontwell 6 pts E/W @5/2 general Rated closely with fav and not yet fully exposed. On breeding may be better over this shorter distance :clap :clap :clap :clap Profit of 18.75pts and now in front of course. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted June 14, 2007 Author Share Posted June 14, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Outlay to Date = 48 pts Return to date= 60.65pts. Profit to Date = +12.65 Yield to Date= 26.4%:ok Note if I had suggested the correct stake last Sunday profits would be higher:\ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevsul Posted June 14, 2007 Share Posted June 14, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Forest Silver 6.35 Fontwell 6 pts E/W @5/2 general Rated closely with fav and not yet fully exposed. On breeding may be better over this shorter distance :clap :clap Nice winner .:ok aslo good odds . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted June 15, 2007 Author Share Posted June 15, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value This one based purely on the figures in a 5 horse race. Here we have a margin of 20% plus in our favour based on exchange odds. Star of Rosanna 6.30 Chepstow 4 pts E/W @4/1 Bet365(BOG):hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted June 15, 2007 Author Share Posted June 15, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value This one based purely on the figures in a 5 horse race. Here we have a margin of 20% plus in our favour based on exchange odds. Star of Rosanna 6.30 Chepstow 4 pts E/W @4/1 Bet365(BOG):hope Money back here. Small profit for me. I laid back in running @1.2 my win stake.:ok Outlay to Date = 56 pts Return to date= 68.65pts. Profit to Date = +12.65 Yield to Date= 22.6%:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mileni4uk Posted June 15, 2007 Share Posted June 15, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Not being in the ATR part of the forum I haven't followed your threads. Good to see you're in profit, mate. Keep it up :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted June 16, 2007 Author Share Posted June 16, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Nothing at present to attract me. But may be bets between 5 and 6 this evening depending on withdrawal. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted June 19, 2007 Author Share Posted June 19, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Jack Rolfe 7.15 Newton Abbot 3 pts E/W @ 5/1 with Sportingodds Fit from flat and best OR in race. NB. Another single may become value in this race later Hope to post up some doubles later if no withdrawals or big price movements. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevsul Posted June 19, 2007 Share Posted June 19, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value :hope For today Tom.:ok Not at work so can have a flutter Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted June 19, 2007 Author Share Posted June 19, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value 3 pts E/W Ramonti 4.20 Ascot @ 11/2 Sportingodds:hope with Dutch Art 3.45 Ascot @100/30 Sportingodds:hope 1 pt E/W Double lets hope no non-runners in above races. Dead 8 in both Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted June 19, 2007 Author Share Posted June 19, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Darusso 7.15 Newton Abbot 4 pts E/W @100/30 with Blue Square Jack Rofle now non-runner. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevsul Posted June 19, 2007 Share Posted June 19, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value 3 pts E/W Ramonti 4.20 Ascot @ 11/2 :clap :clap :clap Sportingodds:hope with Dutch Art 3.45 Ascot @100/30 Sportingodds:hope :sad :sad 1 pt E/W Double lets hope no non-runners in above races. Dead 8 in both Back the winner in an e/w single as in the ATR section.:clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted June 19, 2007 Author Share Posted June 19, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Dutch Art just missed a placed.(hd). Profit on above bet 18.62 pts:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted June 19, 2007 Author Share Posted June 19, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Darusso 7.15 Newton Abbot 4 pts E/W @100/30 with Blue Square Jack Rofle now non-runner. 2nd. Outlay to Date = 72.0 pts Return to date= 101.93 pts. Profit to Date = +29.93 pts Yield to Date= 41.6 %:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sousa Posted June 20, 2007 Share Posted June 20, 2007 Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Impressive stuff Cavelloman. Keep up the good work. Much appreciated. :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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