Non Handicap E/w Value

[cavello]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value

O.K. this is an odd one with Bet365 for a Grand Prix, With Kimi Raikkonen at 1.78 for a place on the lay side for a podium place.. But with 7/1 at quarter odds we are getting 2.75. Most others going 1/5 odds so this represents mathematical value. 2 pts E/W advised.:hope

05/08/2007

Hungarian Grand Prix (To Win Outright)

Kimi Raikkonen

7/1

3 places 1/4 odds

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For those with Betfair accounts its possible to trade out now in mid race on both the win and podium markets to ensure a profit whatever happens now @ 13.43:ok 2nd Profit on Bet = +1.5pts:ok

[cavello]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Profit to Date = 130.05 pts Hopefully I can find some E/W value for the World Athletics Champs at the end of this month.

[cavello]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Outlay to Date = 376.0 pts Return to date= 506.05pts. Profit to Date = +130.05 pts Yield = 34.5%

[cavello]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value May post up on 8.00 Windsor will be watching market and bet posted will be at BOG in the last 5 minutes.

[cavello]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value O.K.a bit early 4 pts E/W Midsummer Fun 4/1(BOG) Bet365:hope 2 pts E/W Hidaki1 10/1 (BOG) BET365:hope Based on fiogures plus breeding

[cavello]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value

O.K.a bit early 4 pts E/W Midsummer Fun 4/1(BOG) Bet365:hope:ok 3rd 2 pts E/W Hidaki1 10/1 (BOG) BET365:hope:ok 2nd Based on figures plus breeding

Profit on Bet = + 1.2 pts

[cavello]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Profit to Date = +131.25 pts

[cavello]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value 3.10 Pontefract. An odds-on shot here opposed by one rival who should run better over todays 6 furlong Effingham and entered in the Mill Reef Stakes plus a second rival with 2 placed effotrt.

	Effingham @ SP:hope
Unit Stake: 4 pts E/W Single
Stake: 8 pts
2	Nickel Silver @ SP:hope
Unit Stake: 2 pts E/W Single
Stake: 4 pts

[cavello]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value 5.10 Pontefract will post very late(5.00 to 5.05) if value bet available later.

[cavello]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Loss on above bet -12 pts Bet for 5.10 3 pts E/W Zifzaf

[cavello]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value 2nd loss on that -0.75pt. Loss on day = -12.75 pts.

[cavello]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Profit to Date = +118.50 pts

[cavello]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value 6.10 Folkstone Mr Keppel 3pts e/wl @9/1 with Bet 365.:hope Just behiind the short price favourite LTO at Newmarket., Backed down to 5/1 first time out at Ascot. Had some fancy entries and hopefully can show a bit of form here.

[cavello]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value 3rd Profit on Bet = +2.4 p Profit to Date = +120.90 pts

[cavello]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value 7.55 Wexford

Laetitia 3 pts e/w @6/1 with Ladbrokes.:hope Will appreciate the longer trip today compared with her previous outing over 12 furlongs. Got a low weight and ridden by a good claimer.

[kevsul]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value :hope Good Luck With this one mate.:ok

[cavello]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value

7.55 Wexford

Laetitia 3 pts e/w @6/1 with Ladbrokes.:hope Will appreciate the longer trip today compared with her previous outing over 12 furlongs. Got a low weight and ridden by a good claimer.

3rd. Would have won IMO on a more galloping track. Profit on Bet = + 0.6 pts

[cavello]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Profit to Date = +121.50 pts

[kevsul]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value

7.55 Wexford

Laetitia 3 pts e/w @6/1 with Ladbrokes.:hope Will appreciate the longer trip today compared with her previous outing over 12 furlongs. Got a low weight and ridden by a good claimer.

:clap:clap Placed. well done ..:clap

[cavello]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value This week were just not getting the rub of the green. 7 bets advised 5 placed: 4/1.10/1,3/1.9/1 and 6/1.:wall

[cavello]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value No E/w Bets Today.

[cavello]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Early Post for Sunday. 5.15 Curragh. 3 pts E/W Campfire Glow @10/1 with Paddy Power.:hope Looks overpriced for this race. Mr Weld appears to have a good indication of the second favourite's ability here. This coupled with Campfire Glow easy win recently over 7 furlongss at Galway makes this a 6/1-8/1 shot in my book.. Bit of a risk taking such an early price but I feel this one will shorten later:hope

[cavello]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value 4.15 Curragh 4 pts E/W Evening Time.:hope @5/2 with Bet365 and Paddy Power Won by 5 lenghts LTO on similiar surface in a listed event beating rivals rated around 100, So this horse may be a prospective Group 1 caandidate in the future.

[cavello]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value

4.15 Curragh 4 pts E/W Evening Time.:hope @5/2 with Bet365 and Paddy Power Won by 5 lenghts LTO on similiar surface in a listed event beating rivals rated around 100, So this horse may be a prospective Group 1 caandidate in the future.

2nd loss on bet -1.75pts:wall

[kevsul]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value

Early Post for Sunday. 5.15 Curragh. 3 pts E/W Campfire Glow @10/1 with Paddy Power.:hope Looks overpriced for this race. Mr Weld appears to have a good indication of the second favourite's ability here. This coupled with Campfire Glow easy win recently over 7 furlongss at Galway makes this a 6/1-8/1 shot in my book.. Bit of a risk taking such an early price but I feel this one will shorten later:hope

Wins at 12/1 .:clap:clap:clap:clap:clap:cheers:cheers:beer:beer

[cavello]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value

4.15 Curragh 4 pts E/W Evening Time.:hope @5/2 with Bet365 and Paddy Power Won by 5 lenghts LTO on similiar surface in a listed event beating rivals rated around 100, So this horse may be a prospective Group 1 caandidate in the future.

Yes and I got 30/1 on Betfair and 5/1 for the place. It drifted on the exchanges like a barge, :clap:clap:clap:clap:clap:clap:nana:nana:nana

[mileni4uk]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Where did this 12/1 came from?! :\ Was 30's at Betfair and every fooking bookie was offering 14/1 seconds before the off. I'm very very surpirsed it's 12/1. Maybe someone can explain it ?!

[cavello]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value

Early Post for Sunday. 5.15 Curragh. 3 pts E/W Campfire Glow @10/1 with Paddy Power.:hope Looks overpriced for this race. Mr Weld appears to have a good indication of the second favourite's ability here. This coupled with Campfire Glow easy win recently over 7 furlongss at Galway makes this a 6/1-8/1 shot in my book.. Bit of a risk taking such an early price but I feel this one will shorten later:hope

Profit on Bet = 36 pts (more for the late backers on Betfair) :clap:clap:clapForza del Cavello:clap:clap:clap Profit to Date = +155.75 pts

[cavello]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value Outlay to Date = 432.0 pts Return to date= 588.75pts. Profit to Date = +155.75 pts Yield = 36.1%

[cavello]

Re: Non Handicap E/w Value One expected tomorrow for the 5.15 Newton Abbot. Will post late about 5.00 to 5.05. With rain expected need to see how the going changes.