Head-to Head Meetings

[only1woz]

Just wondering JTW1, didn't you have a minimum odds limit of 1.30? Are you taking any odds now?

[jtw1]

Will post selections UNDER 1.30 if the stats are very strong eg wins are in double figures.

 

Will catch up with last weeks results later on as in a bit of a rush ...

Sat
---

HANNOVER v koln 6-0-1 , 3.50

ATH MADRID v la coruna 10-1-0 , 1.25

MONTPELLIER v nice 5-1-0 , 2.0

[Galats]

Hi jtw,

I saw today ST.ETIENNE & LYON & BESIKTAS

What do you think?

[jtw1]

Firstly may i apologise for the non-appearance and irregularity over the past few weeks ... basically i had a severe bout of stupidity , greed and general lack of discipline in which i thought it would be a good idea to try other betting approaches eg over / under accas , bookings and even a dabble back on the gee-gee's ....hence the bank was almost wiped out ....

However after extensive therapy and a lie down in a darkened room i have came back to reality and shall be following the h2h's with a more [hopefully profitable ] disciplined approach.

I have been betting on stand-out h2h's over the 7 days , inc using Double chance and Asian Handicaps where i feel they are worth using , and feel i have my mojo back..

So here's where it all goes tits-up ...

Todys first bet is a double on KALJU [Estonia] and CSKA MOSCOW .

Now i understand some may think ESTONIA !!! But bear with me ...i am looking at the 'Summer leagues' now as the main Euro leagues are coming to a finale and i always believe it's best to leave these alone [mainly due to financial experience] at this time , UNLESS there is something very obvious to play for.

Therefore .. KALJU of Estonia have a decent h2h v TAMMEKA TARTU of 14-2-0 [this is a league where they play each other 4 times a season.]
KALJU are 6-0-0 at home this season with a goal record of 16-2 while TAMMEKA are 1-2-1 away from home , the sole win came against the side 2nd from bottom and have an overall record this season of 1-0-10.

CSKA have a home h2h of 7-1-0 against TEREK . There are only 4 games left in the Russian premier but CSKA are only 1 point behind ROSTOV [The Russian Leicester ??] but have a game in hand while KRASNODAR and ZENIT are just 4pts away in 3rd .
TEREK are comfortably mid-table with a slight chance of a Euro league spot if LOKOMOTIV slip up .

BET365 odds are 1.20 [KALJU] and 1.44 [CSKA]

The double returns 17.30 to a 10pt stake and will hopefully get us off to a nice start.

 

Forgot to mention those 2 are early kick-offs , 11:00 and 12:30 respectively.

Others i've spotted which i may have an interest in are...

15:00 - Sweden - ELFSBORG v gefle 5-1-0 , 1.25

19:30 - Belgium - LOKEREN v mechelen 6-1-0 [11-3-0 in all comps since 1999] , odds - 2.25 , Double chance [1X] 1.42

20.45 - PORTUGAL - sporting v SETUBAL 6-1-0 , 1.13.

23:30 - PERU - JUAN AURICH v ayacucho 8-1-0 , 1.44

 

[MPLouis]

Good to see you back jtw, and refreshing to read about your 'indiscipline' problems, and reassuring to know I'm not the only one 

[only1woz]

Nice to see you back sir. I have been keeping a record of this on my own after I noticed you were not as active as usual on here. I noticed some profit in laying the draw on any selections under @2.0 so I looked back from the start of the season. Laying the draw on these selections for £10 (obviously liability will be a fair bit higher than £10) would have produced an estimated £225 profit so far this season. Slow and steady but decent profit I think. I'll keep monitoring it and maybe start backing with small stakes at the start of next season.

Anyway, for today I've got Bordeaux, Stromsgodset and Thun.

 

Oh, and don't worry about your wee blip, we all have that from time to time

[jtw1]

Thanks guys ...appreciate the comments and good luck only1woz..

 

Next on the agenda is the LOKEREN match and i fancy a bit of the double chance @ 1.42.
This game is in the Europa League Qualifying group and with both teams still in with a chance i'll err on the side of safety.

I will add SPORTING LISBON into the double even though the odds are cramped but with SPORTING needing the win to remain in touching distance of leaders BENFICA and SETUBAL on such a poor run of form [0-1-4 in their last 5 aways] despite hovering just above the relegation zone it should be a straight-forward result tonight.

LOKEREN 1X @ 1.42 and SPORTING @ 1.12 with Bet365.

10pt double

[jtw1]

Well that was nice ...5-1 and 5-0 !!

Returned 16pts


Now there's a few early kick-offs , some VERY early on Sunday so here's the one's that caught the eye..

USA - 00:30 - COLUMBUS CREW v montreal 6-0-1 , 1.75

MEXICO - 02:06 - PACHUA v chiapas 11-0-1 , 1.30

COLUMBIA - 02:00 - JUNIOR v dep cali 7-1-0 , 1.91

JAPAN - 05:00 - NAGOYA v kobe 7-1-0 , 2.70

JAPAN - 08:00 - HIROSIMA v tosu 7-1-0 , 1.60

ITALY - 11:30 - ROMA v chievo 5-1-0 , 1.22

SCOTLAND - 12:30 - CELTIC v aberdeen 29-2-0 , 1.44

 

 

Of those top 5 i am liking the look of PACHUA and HIROSHIMA to start sunday off well .

PACHUA have qualified for the play-offs but still have a chance of a more favourable draw if they win and AMERICA drop points in their match [ not playing until 18:00 on Sunday.
CHIAPAS have picked up 1 point from their last 24 available.

Over in Japan HIROSHIMA are past the qualifying stage of the Asian Champions league and can concentrate on picking up some league points against TOSU side who have won only one of their 4 away games played this season , the single win came against the current 17th placed [2nd bottom] team.

Stake 10pt double @ 1.30 and 1.60 respectively

[jtw1]

 

Bit of a sunday lie-in means i'm a bit short of time for a proper write-up but with things still to play for i'm going for ROMA / CELTIC double @ 1.18 and 1.44 .....

Back later ...

[jtw1]

Just one game stands out in mid-afternoon / early evening and thats OVER IN Denmark ..

17:00 - MIDTJYLLAND v aarhus - 9-0-1 , 1.44.

Stake 10pts

[jtw1]

KALJU v TAMMEKA TARTU 2-0

ELFSBORG v gefle 2-0

LOKEREN v mechelen 5-1

SPORTING v setubal 5-0

JUAN AURICH v ayacucho 2-0

COLUMBUS CREW v montreal 4-4 !! [93rd min equaliser for the Canadians]

PACHUA v chiapas 2-1

JUNIOR v dep cali 2-0

NAGOYA v kobe 0-1

HIROSIMA v tosu 3-0

ROMA v chievo 3-0

CELTIC v aberdeen 3-2

MIDTJYLLAND v aarhus 1-1

Quite happy with those results ...

Bet 1 returned 7.30pts profit
Bet 2 returned 6pts profit
Bet 3 returned 10.80pts profit
Bet 4 returned 7pts profit
Bet 5 lost 10pts

Profit for 5 bets = 21.20pts


On Tuesday we are off around the globe to Kazakhstan....yes you read it right ....where FC ASTANA v akzajyk uralsk has a home h2h record of 12-0-1.

ASTANA are currently 2nd in the league [9/10 games played] with a home record of 5-0-0.
URALSK are 9th with an away record of 1-0-3 with the solitary win coming against bottom club TARAZ [1-2-7]

Odds - 1.20

Back closer to home we have DUNDALK v bray [h2h = 5-0-0]
DUNDALK are top of the Irish Premiership with a home record of 3-1-1 , points dropped to the current 2nd and 3rd placed sides .
BRAY are in 10th [of 12] with an away record of 0-1-4 [scored 1 conceded 10]

Odds - 1.17

DERRY CITY v finn harps ...despite not playing this fixture in the league since 2010 [played twice in cup comps with 2 home wins since] it's hard not to fancy DERRY's cahnce on Tuesday evening with FINN HARPS not registering a win at the Brandywell in 16 attempts since 1998 [14-2-0 in all comps]
DERRY are 4-0-1 at home this season while FINN are 0-2-3 away from their place [one draw was against the 2nd bottom placed side]

Odds - 1.53

10pt treble @ 1.20 , 1.17 , 1.53

[jtw1]

ASTANA 2-0

DUNDALK 1-0

DERRY CITY 2-2 .....a perfect example of the highs and lows of football betting with FINN HARPS leading 1-0 until the 84th min the DERRY equalise and manage to take the lead in the 88th ...all is well i exclaim !!!!!
The in the 91st min FINN score .....cue much swearing , throwing of phones and much miffed-ness.

The moral is to stick 100% to the rules which i set up for selecting teams to bet on.

Thursday
--------

GRONINGEN v heracles 8-0-1 , 1.95

This is the 1st leg of the play-offs for the Europa league but both sides faced each other last weekend with GRONINGEN winning 2-1 at home .
GRONINGEN have won 5 and drawn 1 of their last 6 league games .
HERACLES are 1-4-1 away from home .

My bet here is taking the 0 Asian handicap [same as draw-no-bet] @ 1.43 with bet365.
Despite the strong h2h i'm concerned about HERACLES 4 draws from the past 6 games so erring on the side of caution once more.

[jtw1]

GRONINGEN 2-1 Returned 14.30pts.

Will be placing all 14.30 on the next selection but after a good study at Fridays fixtures there's nothing that stands out ...roll on Saturday

[jtw1]

Spain - ATH BILBAO v seville 5-0-0 , 1.33

Peru - GARCILASO v union comercio 6-0-0 , 1.45

If ATH BILBAO can win this they will automatically qualify for the group stages of the Europa League as CELTA VIGO [1pt above them] are away to ATH MADRID and should struggle to gain 3pts there imho.

SEVILLE also have the small matter of the Europa Cup final mid-week and the players and staff must surely have one eye on that so will they field a strong squad today .
They are in 7th place , in the Qualifying stages of the Europa next season , but if they win on wednesday the will be in the Champions League so quite a lot at stake .....just not today.

Odds - 1.33


In Peru at the same time GARCILASO take on Union Comercio in round 1 of the Clausura .
They had a home record of 4-3-0 in the Apertura [played just before this comp] while UNION were 1-2-5 away from home .

In 7 corresonding fixtures [inc 1 cup] UNION have scored just one goal to GARCILASO's 14.

Odds - 1.44 All bookies have shortened the home side from an average of around 1.67 to the 1.44 mark.Wile the away win has lengthened to 4.33 to 8.00 with bet365.

I'll have 14.40 pt BILBAO / GARCILASO double myself @ 1.33 / 1.44

[jtw1]

5.00 Benfica v Nacional 6-0-0
5.00 Fenerbahce v Genclerbirligi 11-0-0

Although BILBAO won 3-1 , we were let down by GARCILASO who lost 1-0 who had 18 goal attempts [5 on target] but couldn't find the net with at least one of them...

However that was then and this is now and these 2 highlighted are the selections for todays double.

Both still have something to play for , BENFICA need at least a point to win the league from SPORTING and FEHNERBACHE need to win their last 2 and hope BESIKTAS lose their last 2 while GENCLERBIRLIGI have settled mid-table.

10pt double -
FEHNERBACHE @ 1.30
BENFICA @ 1.10

If those odds on BENFICA are too short for you then i would look at 1.40 on the Over 2.5 goals , BENFICA have beat that 6 times from 8 homes in this calander year while NACIONAL done it [mostly defeats] 5 times in 8 aways.
NACIONAL have also conceded 9 in the last 3 , inc a 4-0 defeat at PORTO.

[jtw1]

10pt double -
FEHNERBACHE @ 1.30 2-1
BENFICA @ 1.10 4-1 ....Over 2.5 also came in easily

Returned 14.30pts

Argentina 00:00 - ESTUDIANTES v boca juniors 7-0-1 , 1.53

Now i don't pretend i'm any sort of expert on South American football but from what i can make out these 2 are playing in zone 2 and ESTUDIANTES are locked in the fight for 2nd place with Atletico Tucaman ,
2nd place would give them a shot at the Copa Libertadores play-off match.

BOCA are well out of the running in Zone 2and this game is sandwiched between their 2-leg match in the Libertadores with a Uraguayan side which ended 1-1 on Thursday .
They fielded a 'weakened' side in the league game before that and are set to to the same tonight.

Hope some of that makes sense ..i'll have 14.30pts on ESTUDIANTES @ 1.53

[jtw1]

ESTUDIANTES  3-1 

Summary of last weeks bets ..

Bet 6 lost 10pts
Bet 7 returned 4.30pts profit
Bet 8 lost 14.30pts
Bet 9 returned 4.40pts profit
Bet 10 returned 7.58pts profit

Loss for the week of 7.62pts .

Profit for 10 bets = 13.58pts

 

Good Cup Final Saturday to you all .....


Just 2 games to consider today and for the 1st we're off to sunny Kazahkhstan ....

AKTOBE v taraz 11-1-0 , odds - 1.53

League form - AKTOBE are 3-0-1 at home , draw came against the current 2nd placed side .
TARAZ are bottom of the league with an away record of 0-0-4.

A tad closer to home is the Norwegian game between MOLDE and BRANN which the home side has a h2h record of 6-1-0 .
These 2 are 5th and 6th respectively in the league , MOLDE are 4-1-0 at home whilst BRANN are 2-1-3 away from home .

I can't honestly recommend the home win with 100% confidence , esp as the odds have drifted from 1.40 to 1.53 but looking at the previous results the Over 1.5 has came in 19/19 times in all comps since 1998
MOLDE have had Over 1.5 in 4/5 homes and BRANN 3/6 but have they had more shots on goal against the last sides they have faced away from home.

Odds of that happening again are 1.20 , quite reasonable considering the past record of it occuring here.

So todays bet is a 10pt double AKTOBE @ 1.53 coupled with MOLDE/BRANN OVER 1.5 @ 1.20

[jtw1]

Well that's Kazahkhstan off the holiday rota....2-2..

It took a while but goals in the 82nd and 88th kept the Over 1.5 record at 100% [since 1998 ] over in Norway .

AKTOBE v taraz 2-2

MOLDE v brann 2-0


Sunday
------

Brazil - 20:00 - GREMIO v flamengo 9-5-0 since 1998 and that should give you an idea of why i'm going for the Asian Handicap of 0 @ 1.36 .
GREMIO have an advantage over Flamengo in thet the away side had to play mid-week in a Cup-tie which went to extra-time.

URAGUAY - 23:00 - CLUB NACIONAL v danubio 6-0-1 with that solitary win coming after NACIONAL were reduced to 10 men at 0-0.
NACIONAL [3rd] are 4-1-0 at home
DANUBIO [14th] are 1-0-4 away from home , the win against the 12th placed side who themselves 1-1-4 at home.

Odds - 1.80

Stake 10pts CLUB NACIONAL @ 1.80 / GREMIO 0 Asian @ 1.36

[jtw1]

Brazil - 20:00 - GREMIO v flamengo 1-0

URAGUAY - 23:00 - CLUB NACIONAL v danubio 0-2

Disappointing weekend with both bets losing for a loss of 20pts...

[jtw1]

Saturday
--------

NORWAY - TROMSO v haugesund 5-0-0 since 2010 , TROMSO have scored 10 and conceded 1.
Odds - 2.30

VENEZUELA - LA GUAIRA v llaneros 5-1-0 , 1.33

Thats it for today on the h2h front but sometimes other things catch your eye and here's a few to consider...

NORWAY - SOGNDAL v MOLDE has finished OVER 2.5 goals in 9/10 previous corresponding fixtures [18/20 in all competitive match's since 1998] , 9/10 featured BTTS and surpisingly NONE of those 10 were draws.

Odds for Over 2.5 = 1.80
SOGNDAL win and BTTS = 5.50
MOLDE win and BTTS = 4.50
BTTS = 1.70

PARAGUAY - SOL DE AMERICA v CERRO PORTENO has had btts IN 17/18 previous corresponding fixtures [15/18 Over 2.5]

Odds for BTTS = 1.53
OVER 2.5 goals = 1.65

[jtw1]

TROMSO 2-2

SOGNDAL 4-3

SOL DE AMERICA 3-2

LA GUAIRA play this evening .

Sunday.....

Sweden - GOTEBORG v sundsvall 4-0-0 , 1.40

Sweden - HELSINGBORG v elfsborg 7-0-0 , 2.90

Those are the h2h's

Norway - ODD v Aalesund has ended OVER 2.5 goals in 9/10 corresponding fixtures , the last meeting at ODD was the exception [1-1] but there were no fewer than 32 goal attempts

Over 2.5 goal odds = 1.50 with Paddy Power , around 1.40 the rest.

PARAGUAY - DEP PETARE v ANZOATEGUI has finished UNDER 2.5 GOALS in 9/9 corresponding fixtures since 2008.
DEP PETARE have seen UNDER 2.5 in 9/10 home games this season [since 31st Jan]
ANZOATEGUI have had 7/12 aways end UNDER in the same period.

UNDER 2.5 goals = 1.95

BRAZIL - VITORIA v FLUMINENSE has finished OVER 2.5 in 9/9 corresponding fixtures , all 9 featured BTTS.
VITORIA have scored in all 5 league and 1 Cup game in Serie A this season , 5 were BTTS.
FLUMINENSE have scored in 5/7 aways this season , one of which was against current leaders who are 7-0-0 scored 20 conceded 4 so far.

OVER 2.5 GOALS = 2.05
BTTS = 1.80

[jtw1]

LA GUAIRA 2-0

GOTEBORG v sundsvall 4-1

HELSINGBORG v elfsborg 2-4

Those are the h2h's

Norway - ODD v Aalesund has ended OVER 2.5 goals in 9/10 corresponding fixtures , the last meeting at ODD was the exception [1-1] but there were no fewer than 32 goal attempts

Over 2.5 goal odds = 1.50 with Paddy Power , around 1.40 the rest. 4-1

PARAGUAY - DEP PETARE v ANZOATEGUI has finished UNDER 2.5 GOALS in 9/9 corresponding fixtures since 2008.
DEP PETARE have seen UNDER 2.5 in 9/10 home games this season [since 31st Jan]
ANZOATEGUI have had 7/12 aways end UNDER in the same period.

UNDER 2.5 goals = 1.95 1-3

BRAZIL - VITORIA v FLUMINENSE has finished OVER 2.5 in 9/9 corresponding fixtures , all 9 featured BTTS.
VITORIA have scored in all 5 league and 1 Cup game in Serie A this season , 5 were BTTS.
FLUMINENSE have scored in 5/7 aways this season , one of which was against current leaders who are 7-0-0 scored 20 conceded 4 so far.

OVER 2.5 GOALS = 2.05
BTTS = 1.80

0-0

 

So-so last weekend ...

CROATIA - D ZAGREB v l zagreb 10-0-0 , 1.25

STROMGODSET v tromso 5-1-0 , 1.55 [7/8 ended BTTS , 1.80 ]

Thats the h2h for sunday.


Brazil - INTERNACIONAL v PALMEIRAS , the away side have never won a Serie A game here since at least 1999 , thats a record of 10-3-0 .
Odds available on 1X = 1.36
Asian H'cap of 0 = 1.69

MSL - PORTLAND v SEATTLE has ended BTTS in 6/7 corresponding fixtures .
Odds 1.91

[jtw1]

quote:

CROATIA - D ZAGREB v l zagreb 3-1

STROMGODSET v tromso 1-0



Brazil - INTERNACIONAL v PALMEIRAS 0-1

MSL - PORTLAND v SEATTLE has ended BTTS in 6/7 corresponding fixtures .
Odds 1.91 3-1

Not too bad ..back from hols and raring to go ..

Sat
---

Holland - AJAX v roda 12-1-0 , 1.25

Czech Rep - JABLONEC v slovacko , 8-1-0 , 1.45

Croatia - DIN ZAGREB v zapresic 10-1-0 , 1.22

Sweden - AIK STOCKHOLM v helsingborg , 5-0-0 , 1.44

Sun
---

Holland - HERACLES v willem 6-0-1 , 1.80

Holland - PSV v alkmaar 7-0-0 , 1.40

ROSENBERG v sogndal 8-1-0 , 1.29

[jtw1]

Weekend results..

Sat
---

Holland - AJAX v roda 12-1-0 , 1.25 2-2

Czech Rep - JABLONEC v slovacko , 8-1-0 , 1.45 2-2

Croatia - DIN ZAGREB v zapresic 10-1-0 , 1.22 2-1

Sweden - AIK STOCKHOLM v helsingborg , 5-0-0 , 1.44 2-1

Sun
---

Holland - HERACLES v willem 6-0-1 , 1.80 3-1

Holland - PSV v alkmaar 7-0-0 , 1.40 1-0

ROSENBERG v sogndal 8-1-0 , 1.29 3-1

[jtw1]

Fri
---

Belgium - STANDARD v charleroi 6-1-0 , 1.85

Croatia - DIN ZAGREB v rnk split 8-1-0 , 1.40

[vasili34]

which site do you use for h2h statistics?

[jtw1]

Flashscores.com

 

1/2 on Friday

 

Sat
---
ROMA v udinese 6-0-1 , 1.44 [ 6/7 finished OVER 2.5 , 5 were win and btts]

JUVENTUS v fiorentina 5-0-0 , 1,50

SEVILLE v espanyol 4-0-0 , 1.73

Austria - SALZBURG v mattersburg 18-3-1 , 1.33

COPENHAGEN v Aalborg 13-1-0 , 1.62

AJAX v willem 15-1-0 , 1.29 [11 of last 12 have been win-to-nil]

Portugal 11:45 MARITIMO v guimaraes 6-0-0 , 2.50

[jtw1]

Avoiding Ajax for a while !!!

Sat
---
ROMA v udinese 3-0

JUVENTUS v fiorentina 4-1

SEVILLE v espanyol 6-4

Austria - SALZBURG v mattersburg 3-1

COPENHAGEN v Aalborg 1-1

AJAX v willem 1-2

Portugal 11:45 MARITIMO v guimaraes 0-2


Sat
---

Czech - SLAVIA PRAGUE v pribram 12-1-0 , 1.44

Czech - LIBEREC v brno 5-0-0 , 2.00

Czech - SPARTA PRAGUE v jablonec 8-1-0 , 1.45

ST ETIENNE v montpellier 7-1-0 , 2.20

UTRECHT v alkmaar 6-0-1 , 2.40

[jtw1]

Czech - SLAVIA PRAGUE v pribram 3-0

Czech - LIBEREC v brno 0-0

Czech - SPARTA PRAGUE v jablonec 3-0

ST ETIENNE v montpellier 3-1

UTRECHT v alkmaar 1-2

[jtw1]

Sat
---

DORTMUND v mainz 5-0-0 , 1.33

CELTIC v aberdeen 31-0-2 , 1.44

REAL MADRID v celta vigo 4-0-0 , 1.20

STURM GRAZ v altach 5-1-0 , 1.70