ads25 Posted September 29, 2006 Author Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) Sounds like a masterful plan Miguel :gimme I will watch it home as usual and update the forum for those who want to know what's going on. I am heading down to telstra Stadium Sunday to watch the melbourne/Queensland game and should be a cracker too, can't wait to hear the noise of 40,000+ people, should be a real buzz. cheers :ok I am also heading down to the game Beejayville so should be a cracker. I hope they get the 40,000 there like the sydney match. We will have to catch up for a few ales before the match :cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted September 29, 2006 Author Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) Team Shots Per Goal Team Shots Goals Shots Per Goal S/R 1 Melbourne Vict 56 11 5.1 19.64% 2 Adelaide Utd 59 8 7.4 13.56% 3 Queensland 84 11 7.6 13.10% 4 Sydney FC 54 7 7.7 12.96% 5 Newcastle Jets 56 6 9.3 10.71% 6 Perth Glory 78 4 19.5 5.13% 7 NZ Knights 40 1 40.0 2.50% 8 CC Mariners 56 1 56.0 1.79% Good stat this, i like looking at this table. Interesting Perth have had the second most amount of shots, im thinking they must close their eyes when they shoot or something cause they struggle to score. They should be getting alot more with that many shots. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted September 29, 2006 Author Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) Newcastle vs Perth The injury depleted Jets take on the fully fit Glory in promises to be a good entertaining match. I see alot of people have tipped Perth to win this one but im kind of leading towards the other way. I think Newcstle are more than able to take something away from this match even without the players that are missing which include Joel Griffiths, Paul Okon, Vaughan Coveny & Stuart Musialik. But all is not lost as there are capable repalcements, for Paul Okon - Steve Old will come in and he is a very good centre back and he will look to have a blinder so he can keep his spot in the team. Milton Rodrigues has been a revelation so far for the jets and he is making his first start on home soil tonight and i think he may be able to rip the game apart. Tony Faria, Steve Eagleton, Tolgay Ozbey & Labinot Haliti are the other players to come in. On the other hand Perth Glory have a clean slate as far as fresh injuries are concerned and will field their best team, but im not sure there best team is anything to brag about. The Glory are bad travellers and Newcastle have been moving closer and closer to a victory every week now. The only thing that worries me is the draw so im going to take a bit of a risk and put small stakes on a 1-1 correct score to save just incase it finishes a draw. I see alot of people are keen on taking Perth so i would advice using a Asian Handicap on them as caution. Pick Newcastle to WIN at $2.30 - (5/10) Pick Score to end 1-1 as a saver at $7.00 (2/10) Happy Punting everyone!! Ads25 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OLeg Posted September 29, 2006 Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) Hi Oleg :welcome It's not that opponents can't win in the next round after playing away in Perth, I was wondering what the stats were because Perth is on the West side of Australia and a 3 hour plane flight from the Eastern States...So to give you an idea... Top of Australia Queensland 1 hour Perth 3 hours Central Coast Over Newcastle Jets Tasman 4 hrs NZ Knights Sydney Sea 1 hour Adelaide 1 hour Melbourne Something like the above, on right is Eastern States from Queensland down to Melbourne and average plane flight, then from East to West where Perth is and average plane flight. In the AFL which is Australian Rules football here in Oz there is a theory that teams that take the 3 hour plane trip from the Easterns states to Perth struggle with the distance travelled and the return flight, so that when they play their next game they are disadvantaged cos they run out of legs, or are just tired from the plane trip, plus Perth ground is very hard and combined with the heat and hardness, can cause tiredness for the next game. Queensland also has warm, humid weather too, and does have a little effect too on away teams. Compare the ground to a turf race track surface, Perth ground would be Fast while Eastern states ground would/could be Good/Dead/Slow. Melbourne and Sydney are cooler this time of year and playing in the really hot states can have an effect on them endurance wise the next week, so Perth are at an advantage that way when at home, also Queensland for that matter. And it is interesting that for whatever reason, Melbourne have lost both their next matches after making away trip to Perth, it may just be coincidence. It might be worth me checking stats of teams who flew over the Tasman and played in New Zealand and see how they went the following week. Hope this made some sense to you...Teams here are not used to travelling long distances to play a game, it is something they have to get used to, so an advantage for the home team. Bear in mind the stats were only on one season of A League and may not mean anything... Thanks a lot man :nana:clap Couldn't actually ask for a better explanation! I'll follow you on Perth today. But to be more safe will take dnb option. Good luck to everyone! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aristoteles Posted September 29, 2006 Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) Newcastle Jets v Perth Glory 6.Perth Glory51134497.NZ Knights611441108.Newcastle Jets50323611 I believe seeing also I classify it and the disputed encounter end to hour the 2 squares are equivalent. But creed that the absences for the Newcastle Jets are much heavy and therefore I go for sign 2 in Asian Handicap (0-0.5) Newcastle Jets Out: 12. Paul Okon, 15. Stuart Musialik, 18. Joel Griffiths • Prediction = 2 (0,-0.5) • Odds = 1.825 • Stake = 7/10 • Bookmakers = Bet1128 Good luck Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aristoteles Posted September 29, 2006 Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) Newcastle Jets v Perth Glory 6.Perth Glory51134497.NZ Knights611441108.Newcastle Jets50323611 I believe seeing also I classify it and the disputed encounter end to hour the 2 squares are equivalent. But creed that the absences for the Newcastle Jets are much heavy and therefore I go for sign 2 in Asian Handicap (0-0.5) Newcastle Jets Out: 12. Paul Okon, 15. Stuart Musialik, 18. Joel Griffiths • Prediction = 2 (0,-0.5) • Odds = 1.825 • Stake = 7/10 • Bookmakers = Bet1128 Good luck I add Newcastle Jets v Perth Glory Newcastle Jets 6/11 Perth Glory 4/9 • Prediction = 2 Over 2/2.5 • Odds = 2.10 • Stake = 7/10 • Bookmakers = Bet1128 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darklights Posted September 29, 2006 Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) arghhh.... hard match this one..still got no idea who to choose..and the stats aren't helping either....mayb i'll wait for later if i can see through all the stats or skip this.....:\ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beejayville Posted September 29, 2006 Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) Scorers for each team tonight... Player Team Total M Bridge Newcastle Jets 2 M Rodriguez Newcastle Jets 2 J Griffiths Newcastle Jets 1 S Young Perth Glory 1 S Colosimo Perth Glory 1 J Coyne Perth Glory 1 D Tarka Perth Glory 1 All playing tonight except for Griffiths, so the Jets lose 20% of their goal scoring and probably a higher percentage for Griffith's drive and passes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arneko_fe Posted September 29, 2006 Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) Newcastle Jets -vs- Perth Glory I'm not an expert in A-League but looking into the table, I see some value on over 2.25 @ 2.05 Home Away M W D L P F A M W D L P F A Jets 8 1 1 6 4 6 16 8 0 5 3 5 8 13 Perth 8 1 3 4 6 7 10 8 3 1 4 10 11 15 Newcastle Jets Average goals 2.75 Perth Average 3.25 Furthermore looking at the fantastic stats on shots from BJ both of them have decent percentage in shots. Therefore, I will back Over 2.25 @ 2.05 medium stake. Cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted September 29, 2006 Author Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) Scorers for each team tonight... Player Team Total M Bridge Newcastle Jets 2 M Rodriguez Newcastle Jets 2 J Griffiths Newcastle Jets 1 S Young Perth Glory 1 S Colosimo Perth Glory 1 J Coyne Perth Glory 1 D Tarka Perth Glory 1 All playing tonight except for Griffiths, so the Jets lose 20% of their goal scoring and probably a higher percentage for Griffith's drive and passes. Griffiths is a big loss, but Milton Rodriguez is really hitting his straps now. Ive seen him play a couple of times and he is inspirational. Jets are very good through the midfield and i think he could be the factor tonight Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted September 29, 2006 Author Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) Squads for tonights game: Newcastle Jets: 20.Ben Kennedy (gk), 2.Steve Eagleton, 3.Jade North, 5.Milton Rodriquez, 6.Andrew Durante, 7.Tony Faria, 8.Matt Thompson, 10.Nick Carle, 11.Tarek Elrich, 13.Adam D’Apuzzo, 16.Labinot Haliti, 17.Tolgay Ozbey, 19.Mark Bridge, 22.Steven Old, 24.Paul Kohler Perth Glory: 1.Jason PETKOVIC (gk), 3.David TARKA, 4.Simon COLOSIMO, 5.Jamie HARNWELL (Captain), 6.Jeremy CHRISTIE, 8.David MICEVSKI, 10.Bobby DESPOTOVSKI, 11.Stan LAZARIDIS, 12.Leo BERTOS, 13.Ante KOVACEVIC, 14.Jamie COYNE, 16.Adrian WEBSTER, 17.Stuart YOUNG, 19.Naum SEKULOVSKI, 20.Aleks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beejayville Posted September 29, 2006 Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) Thanks a lot man :nana:clap Couldn't actually ask for a better explanation! I'll follow you on Perth today. But to be more safe will take dnb option. Good luck to everyone! Probably a good idea Oleg, Newcastle are quite capable on their day but have 2 big outs, especially Griffiths, a draw is well on the cards tho. Interestingly enough Perth have scored all their goals in the second half while the Jets are 50/50 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted September 29, 2006 Author Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) Probably a good idea Oleg, Newcastle are quite capable on their day but have 2 big outs, especially Griffiths, a draw is well on the cards tho. Interestingly enough Perth have scored all their goals in the second half while the Jets are 50/50 Ive gone Newcastle for the win, but im going the 1-1 correct score as back up with small stakes. If the match ends drawn then 1-1 is the likely result Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beejayville Posted September 29, 2006 Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) Fernando out for six Adelaide United has been dealt a major blow with the news striker Fernando could be sidelined for up to six weeks with a knee injury. Fernando's injury comes at the worst possible time for Adelaide after Chinese striker Shengqing Qu was handed a two-match ban after being found guilty of violent conduct also from the match against the Roar. Defender Kristian Rees and midfielder Matthew Kemp have come into the squad for this week's vital Hyundai A-League clash with Sydney FC at Hindmarsh Stadium on Monday. Not good news for Adelaide as the following table shows that rech and Qu are scoring 66% of their goals. Fernando rech is going to be a huge loss for Adelaide and not sure where their goalpower will come from with him out. Player Team Goals F Rech Adelaide Utd 3 T Dodd Adelaide Utd 1 R Cornthwaite Adelaide Utd 1 S Qu Adelaide Utd 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted September 29, 2006 Author Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) Not good news for Adelaide as the following table shows that rech and Qu are scoring 66% of their goals. Fernando rech is going to be a huge loss for Adelaide and not sure where their goalpower will come from with him out. Player Team Goals F Rech Adelaide Utd 3 T Dodd Adelaide Utd 1 R Cornthwaite Adelaide Utd 1 S Qu Adelaide Utd 1 Not to mention Qu is out to, next couple of weeks could be tiring for Adelaide without these two. Also it was anounced today that Romario (former Brazil player) will be playing 4 games for Adelaide in november/december Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beejayville Posted September 29, 2006 Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) Ive gone Newcastle for the win' date=' but im going the 1-1 correct score as back up with small stakes. If the match ends drawn then 1-1 is the likely result[/quote'] I respect your opinion very much Ads cos you have been on fire recently and can't remember the last time one of your tips did not salute, and you have been especially good with the scoreline selections. Just not sure how you can pick a team to win that has only won the 1 game in it's last sixteen with any confidence. The last 16 games for the Jets are 1W-6D-9L with 14 GF and 29 GA and have only the 1 win at home in their last eight, and 2 of those losses were against the team they are playing tonight, Perth (0-1 and 1-3). Good luck tho!!! But not good when we are on different sides tho :eek Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joker250003 Posted September 29, 2006 Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) Good Luck to you guys !! I have layed Perth tonight! ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beejayville Posted September 29, 2006 Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) For those wanting a live web broadcast... http://abc.net.au/newcastle/football/ Broadcast commences at 7.30pm (AEST) http://www.sportfm905.com/ Broadcast commences 5.50pm (AWST) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted September 29, 2006 Author Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) I respect your opinion very much Ads cos you have been on fire recently and can't remember the last time one of your tips did not salute, and you have been especially good with the scoreline selections. Just not sure how you can pick a team to win that has only won the 1 game in it's last sixteen with any confidence. The last 16 games for the Jets are 1W-6D-9L with 14 GF and 29 GA and have only the 1 win at home in their last eight, and 2 of those losses were against the team they are playing tonight, Perth (0-1 and 1-3). Good luck tho!!! But not good when we are on different sides tho :eek Good question you raised Beejay, i just feel Newcastle can grab something from this match. Sure they have Griffiths out and Okon, however Steven Old will step in for Okon and he is a very good player. He has been waiting in the shadows for alot of this year and starting this match might be the spark that lights his fire. He will be playing very hard tonight to keep his spot and Newcastle will be the better for it. As for Perth, i just dont rate them. I dont like the way they play and so far this year they are yet to score in an away game. Perth do look the obvious choice on paper, but Newcastle have improved a bit lately and i reckon tonight they can win by about a goal, if not the draw looks a good bet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saw123 Posted September 29, 2006 Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) I respect your opinion very much Ads cos you have been on fire recently and can't remember the last time one of your tips did not salute, and you have been especially good with the scoreline selections. Just not sure how you can pick a team to win that has only won the 1 game in it's last sixteen with any confidence. The last 16 games for the Jets are 1W-6D-9L with 14 GF and 29 GA and have only the 1 win at home in their last eight, and 2 of those losses were against the team they are playing tonight, Perth (0-1 and 1-3). Good luck tho!!! But not good when we are on different sides tho :eek Beej, agree with what u said,but the thing is bets kept on coming on Newcastle ,I been watching it on AH in Asia for 3 hrs, Will jump on Newcastle and forget about the record Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beejayville Posted September 29, 2006 Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) Beej, agree with what u said,but the thing is bets kept on coming on Newcastle ,I been watching it on AH in Asia for 3 hrs, Will jump on Newcastle and forget about the record That's interesting Saw and thanx for the heads up! :cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darklights Posted September 29, 2006 Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) with all the lack of goals,and unavailable strikers,would it be safe to asume it will be an unders game? but then, i worry bout the high shots rate..thats why i say the stats doesnt make sense...yet to decide my pick.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beejayville Posted September 29, 2006 Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) with all the lack of goals' date='and unavailable strikers,would it be safe to asume it will be an unders game? but then, i worry bout the high shots rate..thats why i say the stats doesnt make sense...yet to decide my pick..[/quote'] That's why I don't really like Under/Over 2.5 bets Dark...Look at last week where two high scoring sides Queensland/Adelaide playout a 0-0 draw, but Queensland have 27 shots and could have quite easily scored 3 goals easily with a bit of luck, but didn't. I'm not sure how tonight's game will pan out, my gut says a 2-1 win to Perth but I am not one for scorelines, think this may be an attacking game tho and both of these defences have been ripped apart by different teams, so could be high scoring game, but don't quote me :loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ianm001 Posted September 29, 2006 Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) Ive gone for Perth to win this one. I am certainly no expert when it comes to the A-League but looking at the h2h between the sides and that coupled with Jets' injury problems I feel that Perth will sneak it. GL :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darklights Posted September 29, 2006 Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) That's why I don't really like Under/Over 2.5 bets Dark...Look at last week where two high scoring sides Queensland/Adelaide playout a 0-0 draw, but Queensland have 27 shots and could have quite easily scored 3 goals easily with a bit of luck, but didn't. I'm not sure how tonight's game will pan out, my gut says a 2-1 win to Perth but I am not one for scorelines, think this may be an attacking game tho and both of these defences have been ripped apart by different teams, so could be high scoring game, but don't quote me :loon hahaha beej..better on Over than under... i'll just throw something on Over 2.25 and see how it goes....... with the insurance of Meatman's France L2 later..hehehe...gd luck all! going out for my daily dose of street soccer might be back during 2nd half Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted September 29, 2006 Author Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) Under/Over betting is a flip of a coin really. Newcastle could have 20 shots on target to night but the game may end 0-0, but on anotehr night it could be 5-0 Depends on the situation of the night, its just too hard to call. Stats go out the window i rekcon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saw123 Posted September 29, 2006 Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) hahaha beej..better on Over than under... i'll just throw something on Over 2.25 and see how it goes....... with the insurance of Meatman's France L2 later..hehehe...gd luck all! going out for my daily dose of street soccer might be back during 2nd half maybe u are right,something fishy here??? 1st half Newcastle (o) @+.76Asia,why are they so confident on Newcastle Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beejayville Posted September 29, 2006 Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) Game about to start at Newcastle. Good luck to all punters on the A League tonight. I'm hoping for a Perth victory. cheers :cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beejayville Posted September 29, 2006 Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) maybe u are right,something fishy here??? 1st half Newcastle (o) @+.76Asia,why are they so confident on Newcastle Perth havn't scored a goal in the first half in 5 rounds is one reason :) Game on in Newcastle!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beejayville Posted September 29, 2006 Share Posted September 29, 2006 Re: Australian A-League Round 6 (Sept 28- Oct 02) Actually game is nearly on :loon Players shaking hands. Will update the forum if anything substantial happens so if you don't hear from me the game is 0-0 or someone has given me a better offer :rollin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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