richard-westwood Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 Irish cesarewitch Tower of London. 8.8 7/1 Dawn rising. 8.5 18.5 HMS seahorse. 8.5 33/1 Echoes in rain. 8.2 5pt win tower ....3pt win dawn ....2pt Ew HMS The Equaliser, MCLARKE, Brahmin and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
black rabbit Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 18 minutes ago, richard-westwood said: Irish cesarewitch Tower of London. 8.8 7/1 Dawn rising. 8.5 18.5 HMS seahorse. 8.5 33/1 Echoes in rain. 8.2 5pt win tower ....3pt win dawn ....2pt Ew HMS intresting richard a pal of mine has a sizeable anti post bet ticket on "hms seahorse" Brahmin, richard-westwood, BBBC and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ivans82 Posted September 23, 2023 Share Posted September 23, 2023 Fancy The Very Man in Irish Cesarewich tomorrow e.w. at 16-1 , first 6 with Bet365 .Just got beat by Teed Up at Galway earlier in the season , Teed up 2nd fav but The Very Man 7lb better off and S Foley on board this time . black rabbit, The Equaliser, Tedthewolf and 2 others 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sporting Sam Posted September 24, 2023 Share Posted September 24, 2023 Sha Tin 7:30 Boom Alliance Each way Billionaire Secret win maybe Luke comer should purchase this horse and make it better. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kensland Posted September 24, 2023 Share Posted September 24, 2023 (edited) Hamilton. Single. 2.15. Garfield Shawdon 5/1 1st Double. 4.00. Rock Melody 3/1 3rd 5.40. Alghear 4/1 unpl singles & double Good luck all. Edited September 24, 2023 by kensland richard-westwood and The Equaliser 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sporting Sam Posted September 24, 2023 Share Posted September 24, 2023 (edited) 0800 Sha Tin ISLAND GOLDEN Win appeared to be coming to hand latest 83 days ago and impressive winner several runs back on debut AFFIRM ATOMIC BEAUTY Both each way Andre atzeni bang in form on the rock rides affirm in first time headgear. affirm and atomic both drawn together out wide and may give each other a lead into the race. Atomic a group 2 winner over much further. Win over seven on debut for Ger Lyons last September. Looks laid out to win once switched to over a mile. Until then will always be a big price over these impossibly sharp trips. Was known in Ireland as atomic Jones. So it was a toss up to call him lucky Jones or Atomic beauty i’d have gone for lucky atomic dragon! Edited September 24, 2023 by Sporting Sam Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sporting Sam Posted September 24, 2023 Share Posted September 24, 2023 (edited) I am virtually dropping each way betting from my repertoire today. I’ve realised that most of the books yesterday were bent. The overrounds would make an organised crime boss blush. So it is win or nothing from today. Where did the 1/4 odds go on big fields? Did we all go to sleep? Sure if I spot an overpriced horse at 100/1 then I may relent, but the only way to fight back against the bookmakers who are shooting fish in a barrel is to play them at their own game. If there was a national BOYCOTT on each way betting in big races until they the bookmakers returned to fairer terms ie 1/4 odds over 16 runners and better overrounds, it WOULD make a difference and if punters concentrated on WINNERS they would be in a better place anyway and bookmakers would lose millions over night. They only way to beat these guys is to play them at their own game. So starting with the big race at the curragh and in the group one race in Germany at Baden Baden today I’m going WIN ONLY No EACH WAY. It will hurt the bookmakers and the likes of mark chapman and even Tom Segal will actually have to earn their corn and report that punters have had enough. John McCririck remember him? The last journalist to take his head out of racing’s trough the gravy train that they all appear to be on today and actually say something in favour of PUNTERS. In Baden Baden I've chosen two horses I’d normally have backed each way. So I’m already getting better terms by backing them both to win because if either wins I will get Much more than if I’d backed them both each way. Winners back winners to win. INDIA & STRAIGHT Win Edited September 24, 2023 by Sporting Sam The Equaliser, Bronxie, black rabbit and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brahmin Posted September 24, 2023 Share Posted September 24, 2023 🤞 good luck all today with your racing.......Hamilton 7 races and only 1 with over 7 runners 😲.......small interest for us, made some nice profit Thursday / Saturday sooooo following @richard-westwood in Irish cesarewitch paying 6 places with 3 wins Tower of london / Echoes in rain / Dawn rising and EW HMS Seahorse The Equaliser, kensland and richard-westwood 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sporting Sam Posted September 24, 2023 Share Posted September 24, 2023 (edited) Sha Tin 1010 welcome to my ‘ brave new world’! Chrysos & Snaffles both win chrysos caused a major upset at happy valley in may with an all the way win at massive odds. Not sighted since and perhaps best caught fresh today. At the bottom of the field here weight wise. snaffles was a staying on third over shorter on seasonal reappearance and this step up to a mile puts him in a very good light. Stepping snaffles up in trip right away seems a very good option. ***************************** exceptional ride from the front by chryso .didn’t last home but run full of promise and will be interesting on dirt. Snaffles could not get an out and when finally extracted failed by a neck to a rival who had a clear run. Definitely an eye catcher. Edited September 24, 2023 by Sporting Sam Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Feather Posted September 24, 2023 Share Posted September 24, 2023 Irish Cesarewich The Shunter 33/1 general - each way - National Hunt Trainers do well in this event black rabbit 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sporting Sam Posted September 24, 2023 Share Posted September 24, 2023 (edited) Irish Cesarewitch I’ve had huge success with draw data including a 28/1 winner at Wolverhampton last night. A first opportunity to use the draw data system as it’s been flip starts for this contest until last year. I’ve left out the physics for the race by naming the selections early before the true impact of the physics can be assessed. The impact of such can be assessed after the race as always. The draw data horse here is Jackfinbar win drawn in last years winning stall (which is only part of the draw data methodology, but a precise assessment of that race still comes up with stall eighteen which points strongly to a good performance from that stall given that the occupant is the top weight and weighted by the handicapper to win the race) a group three winner in France for David O’Meara. Tower of London win strong chance if suited by the going and like significantly yesterday brings big race form from last week to the table. ECHOES IN RAIN win highest drawn highest weighted have obvious claims and the rains have arrived for one of half a dozen Mullins runners. Edited September 24, 2023 by Sporting Sam The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted September 24, 2023 Author Share Posted September 24, 2023 7 minutes ago, Sporting Sam said: Irish Cesarewitch I’ve had huge success with draw data including a 28/1 winner at Wolverhampton last night. The draw data horse here is Jackfinbar win drawn in last years winning stall (which is only part of the draw data methodology.) a group three winner in France for David O’Meara. Tower of London win strong chance if suited by the going and like significantly yesterday brings big race form from last week to the table. ECHOES IN RAIN win highest drawn highest weighted have obvious claims and the rains have arrived for one of half a dozen Mullins runners. Yes the only negative for tower is the short layoff .....and it's a big negative because not many horses can run their race after a short layoff ....but that's balanced with his form being so strong and way ahead ....it's a very interesting situation and will be interesting to see what happens and how it's pans out 😃 The Equaliser, kensland and black rabbit 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tedthewolf Posted September 24, 2023 Share Posted September 24, 2023 The Irish Ceaserewitch A wild one for me i just don't get why this horse is 66/1. Ran a very decent race when 4th in this last year lower weight and a app on top takes another 5lb off not fancied in the market but have to have a play e/w 6places BOG FALCON EIGHT 66/1 1pt e/w = 2pts invested Bedlam, BBBC, The Equaliser and 2 others 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Feather Posted September 24, 2023 Share Posted September 24, 2023 1 hour ago, White Feather said: Irish Cesarewich The Shunter 33/1 general - each way - National Hunt Trainers do well in this event Big drifter😥 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tedthewolf Posted September 24, 2023 Share Posted September 24, 2023 10 minutes ago, White Feather said: Big drifter😥 NR The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted September 24, 2023 Share Posted September 24, 2023 B/Fwd L15 YTD + 38.66, RC P/L B/Fwd YTD -59.35 Had 2 points on L15 Daily 4.10 Curragh Weston 0.50 ew at 80/1 with Skybet 7 places (that won't last long with them, I bet) 3 points staked today black rabbit and richard-westwood 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calva decoy Posted September 24, 2023 Share Posted September 24, 2023 (edited) 4.10 Curragh - NOVEL LEGEND 14/1 eway bet365 + 25% bet boost , just a quirk bet being a UK raider & has won over 16f . Have added LEGENDARY DAY 28/1 eway sky bet ( 7 places ) in the above race . Edited September 24, 2023 by calva decoy black rabbit, richard-westwood and The Equaliser 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Feather Posted September 24, 2023 Share Posted September 24, 2023 1 hour ago, Tedthewolf said: NR Thanks for letting me know, I have been out and about. Tedthewolf 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sporting Sam Posted September 24, 2023 Share Posted September 24, 2023 (edited) The curragh 13:50 gesture versatile both win gesture draw data horse versatile has missed races three times due to going and very well bred. Potential value these two against the favourites 14:00 Colonngne germany Geologist win Hollie Doyle Rides for Amy Murphy Edited September 24, 2023 by Sporting Sam Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sporting Sam Posted September 24, 2023 Share Posted September 24, 2023 (edited) Hollie Doyle brings home the bacon from Germany as Geologist wins for Amy Murphy. Vestigia win the curragh 3:35 Vestigia Reverse forecast with Uncle Albert Vestigia is the draw data horse. both of these bring good form into this nursery.draw data and a valuable sales race swings things towards vestgia with the reverse forecast the saver. Difficult to evaluate either’s form in terms of strength. Edited September 24, 2023 by Sporting Sam Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sporting Sam Posted September 24, 2023 Share Posted September 24, 2023 Plumpton 3:45 get back get back call me Rocky both win Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted September 24, 2023 Author Share Posted September 24, 2023 On 9/23/2023 at 1:59 PM, richard-westwood said: Irish cesarewitch Tower of London. 8.8 7/1 Dawn rising. 8.5 18.5 HMS seahorse. 8.5 33/1 Echoes in rain. 8.2 5pt win tower ....3pt win dawn ....2pt Ew HMS Ground was atrocious ....150/1 won ....dawn rising was touched off in 3rd .....almost black rabbit, vikki37 and The Equaliser 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tedthewolf Posted September 24, 2023 Share Posted September 24, 2023 5 hours ago, Tedthewolf said: The Irish Ceaserewitch A wild one for me i just don't get why this horse is 66/1. Ran a very decent race when 4th in this last year lower weight and a app on top takes another 5lb off not fancied in the market but have to have a play e/w 6places BOG FALCON EIGHT 66/1 1pt e/w = 2pts invested Gutted ran a cracker bit unlucky Bronxie, calva decoy, richard-westwood and 4 others 4 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sporting Sam Posted September 24, 2023 Share Posted September 24, 2023 (edited) group 1 race glory today in Germany with India winning well and Hollie Doyle winning earlier on escapologist . Hamilton 4:35 Ramon Di Loria Win Drops in class for this race and notable jockey change. down below winning mark and ran very wide last time behind horse he last beat princess karine. big big chance here under 3 lb claimer Edited September 24, 2023 by Sporting Sam Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calva decoy Posted September 24, 2023 Share Posted September 24, 2023 8 minutes ago, Tedthewolf said: Gutted ran a cracker bit unlucky Nice one @Tedthewolf , can't knock a 66/1 placed horse though I was half expecting someone on here to have tipped up a J.P.O'Brien horse even if it was a 150/1 winner . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sporting Sam Posted September 24, 2023 Share Posted September 24, 2023 The bumper at Newton abbot 1650 private walker win nicky Henderson runner is taken on with Sam Twiston-Davies ride here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
black rabbit Posted September 24, 2023 Share Posted September 24, 2023 48 minutes ago, Tedthewolf said: Gutted ran a cracker bit unlucky cracking run ted Tedthewolf 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sporting Sam Posted September 24, 2023 Share Posted September 24, 2023 (edited) 17.05 Cologne won’t be racing for five more minutes yet. So time to tell you India’s winning jockey is on board SEMARA Win jockey as pointed out earlier has a huge strike rate in last fortnight. Edited September 24, 2023 by Sporting Sam Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sporting Sam Posted September 24, 2023 Share Posted September 24, 2023 (edited) Hamilton 1740 Aighear TAFSIR Both win both goldie horses and set to dominate the long standing maiden winner despite him being Un penalised for recent win at thirsk Tafsir under mulrenen the likely winner Edited September 24, 2023 by Sporting Sam Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sporting Sam Posted September 24, 2023 Share Posted September 24, 2023 (edited) Exactly ten races today and group 1 joy with India as outlined earlier. Hollie Doyle also landed a win with Geologist earlier at cologne as well. Vestigia got going all too late and lost at the curragh by a very narrow margin. Not backing runners each way will take some adjustments on my part and happy with a first day. Two winners in the stable switchers too. was I on them? No. Edited September 24, 2023 by Sporting Sam Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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