harry_rag Posted February 20 Author Share Posted February 20 4 from 6 since the last update (Asensio, Immobile and the Dortmund pair) and 15 winners from 53 bets so far for a loss of 66.64 points and an ROI of -12.57%. Additional 10 points lost on the bet posted in error. Data sample is now up to 2506 and the ROI of all selections that qualified for this system (357) is 10.8%. Hopefully riding a bit of a recovery now after the start of the system coinciding with the ROI dipping from over 14% to around 9%! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 21 Author Share Posted February 21 On 2/8/2023 at 7:10 PM, harry_rag said: 10 points on Vinicius (Fulham) at 12/5 with 365 Just done a check and found another bet posted in error (had spreadsheet open but misread the signals)! As with the previous one I'll exclude from the results for the system but acknowledge for the purposes of the thread. That makes it 15 winners from 52 bets so far for a loss of 56.64 points with an ROI of -10.89%. Additional 20 points lost on 2 bets posted in error. Be good if I backed a winner in error at 2/1 or better to clear that deficit then I wouldn't be obliged to mention it for all eternity! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 22 Author Share Posted February 22 10 points on Martinez at 3.6 Took that earlier as posted in the CL thread. Still a bet at the lower price available now on the exchange (still a bet even at best bookies odds of 9/5). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 23 Author Share Posted February 23 10 points on Pedro (S Lisbon) at 12/5 with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 23 Author Share Posted February 23 10 points on Gouiri (Rennes) at 43/20 with Uni Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 25 Author Share Posted February 25 10 points on Gyokeres (Coverntry) at 2/1 Sky Bet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 27 Author Share Posted February 27 2 from 4 since the last update (Pedro and Gyokeres). That makes it 17 winners from 56 bets so far for a loss of 32.64 points with an ROI of -5.83%. Additional 20 points lost on 2 bets posted in error. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 28 Author Share Posted February 28 10 points on Vlahovic (Juventus) at 7/4 with Hills Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 28 Author Share Posted February 28 10 points on Foden at 21/10 with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 1 Author Share Posted March 1 On 1/30/2023 at 2:04 PM, harry_rag said: 7 winners from 35 bets so far for a loss of 141.93 points and an ROI of -40.55%. Additional 10 points lost on the bet posted in error. That's how things stood at the end of January. Foden last night for one from two since the last update so it's now 18 winners from 58 bets for a loss of 21.64 points and an ROI of -3.73% (with 20 points lost on the 2 bets posted in error). So that's 11 winners from 23 bets this month for a profit of 120.29 points (most bets being 10 point stakes). On 1/30/2023 at 2:04 PM, harry_rag said: Poor performance from these bets so far. The ROI for them in my overall data sample (now 2391 players) has dropped from 14% to 9.5%. It could be that the figure is getting more realistic as the sample grows or it could be that this is an unusually bad spell and the figure will go up again (possibly a bit of both). Data sample now up to 2547 and the ROI has recovered to 11.6%. March should be a good month if it's due to make it all the way back up to 14%! Overall the system selections are 41.98 points up (to best bookies price and 1 point level stakes) from 363 bets since I started gathering the data. There have been 11 profitable months and 8 losing ones. January's loss of 11.5 points was by far the worst return (3 points and 2.75 points being the next two biggest losses so far). February's profit of 9.9 points is the 3rd best return, only bettered by totals of 15.8 and 11.95. I'll have to have a go at calculating it properly but I'd say the sample size is close to being big enough to be confident that the positive return isn't entirely down to luck. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 1 Author Share Posted March 1 10 points on Armstrong (Southampton) at 9/4 with Betway Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 1 Author Share Posted March 1 10 points on Richarlison at 9/4 with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 3 Author Share Posted March 3 Forgot to post! 10 points on Dike (West Brom) at 3.45 and Oyarzabal (R Sociedad) at 3.6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 4 Author Share Posted March 4 10 points on Saka at 6/4 Hills and 10 on Trossard at 21/10 Uni Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 5 Author Share Posted March 5 10 points on Raphina at 3.35 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 5 Author Share Posted March 5 10 points on Salah at 2/1 with Hills Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 5 Author Share Posted March 5 10 points on Martinez at 13/10 with Uni Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 6 Author Share Posted March 6 6 losers and 3 winners (all yesterday's bets) since the last update. That makes it 21 winners from 67 bets so far for a loss of 25.61 points with an ROI of -3.82%. Additional 20 points lost on 2 bets posted in error. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 8 Author Share Posted March 8 10 points on Maeda at 13/8 with Sky Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 11 Author Share Posted March 11 10 points on Vinicius Junior at 13/8 with Sky Bet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 11 Author Share Posted March 11 10 points on Havertz at 5/2 with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 12 Author Share Posted March 12 10 points on Sakala at 6/4 with Hills or Sky Bet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 12 Author Share Posted March 12 10 points on Saka at 3.05 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 12 Author Share Posted March 12 6 minutes ago, harry_rag said: 10 points on Saka at 3.05 13/5 boost with Uni is huge if you can get on that. (Small top up for me but I'll record the bet at the price most of my money is on at.) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 12 Author Share Posted March 12 10 points each on Ben Yedder at 6/4 and Balogun at 9/4 with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 13 Author Share Posted March 13 3 losers and 4 winners since the last update (Maeda, Junior, Havertz and Balogun). That makes it 25 winners from 74 bets so far for a profit of 24.39 points with an ROI of 3.3%. 20 points lost on 2 bets posted in error. Current "target" ROI based on overall sample is 11.62% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 15 Author Share Posted March 15 10 points on Salah ar 23/10 with Hills Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 16 Author Share Posted March 16 10 points on Jesus at 9/5 with Uni Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 17 Author Share Posted March 17 10 points on Sarr (Lyon) at 17/5 with Uni Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 18 Author Share Posted March 18 10 points on Watkins at 13/8 with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
.thumb.JPG.8c5a15b710f7a4188ce438df64354c1e.JPG)
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.