harry_rag Posted January 25, 2023 Author Share Posted January 25, 2023 10 points on Ingvartsen (Mainz) at 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 25, 2023 Author Share Posted January 25, 2023 10 points on Harker (Halifax) at 23/10 with PP Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 25, 2023 Author Share Posted January 25, 2023 10 points on Gregoritsch (Freiburg) at 3.37 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 27, 2023 Author Share Posted January 27, 2023 10 points on A Silva (RB Leipzig) at 7/5 Uni Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 27, 2023 Author Share Posted January 27, 2023 10 points on Gouiri (Rennes) at 13/5 with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 28, 2023 Author Share Posted January 28, 2023 10 points on Son at 7/4 with Hills Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 28, 2023 Author Share Posted January 28, 2023 10 points on Lookman (Atalanta) at 7/5 with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 28, 2023 Author Share Posted January 28, 2023 10 points on Fernades at 2.96 (15/8 Sky Bet acceptable) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 29, 2023 Author Share Posted January 29, 2023 10 points on Salah at 2.84 Don't like backing him but a system is a system! (My strong gut feeling is he's loss making to back and I know he's hugely profitable to sell player goal minutes, possibly the most profitable player of all). A good player no doubt, but massively overrated by the markets. alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 30, 2023 Author Share Posted January 30, 2023 2 from 13 since the last update (Son and Lookman) and 7 winners from 35 bets so far for a loss of 141.93 points and an ROI of -40.55%. Additional 10 points lost on the bet posted in error. Poor performance from these bets so far. The ROI for them in my overall data sample (now 2391 players) has dropped from 14% to 9.5%. It could be that the figure is getting more realistic as the sample grows or it could be that this is an unusually bad spell and the figure will go up again (possibly a bit of both). I've carried on with the "B" bets off line (decided I wanted to press on at least until my data sample reached 1000) and they're showing a decent return so far having previously hovered around the break even point. My "studied" bets are doing better still (where a possible bet is flagged and I look at the player's stats) so the overall return on anytime bets is decent but these "A" bets are letting the side down. A long way to go before I recover last year's overall losses on the market but I'm hoping I can stay in the black, largely by sticking to system and studied bets (as opposed to blindly backing most bets just because they were flagged as possible value). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 1, 2023 Author Share Posted February 1, 2023 (edited) No further bets so as you were for month end. As stated above, there's been significant drop in the overall ROI for these selections so I'm hoping to see a big correction next month! My overall ROI for all anytime bets this month was 13.55% with the "B" system and all non-system bets both coming in at around 32% so I'll be interested to see how that develops and whether or not I can stay in the black overall. Tale of the tape in simple terms is that bets at 3/1 plus have been making the profits but that's to be expected when the bets posted in here have done so badly (they are at the shorter end of the price range). There's a paid tipster in the anytime market who has a decent record so I'll be tracking myself against him out of interest. He managed an ROI of 25.7% from 113 bets this month. I'm also comparing notes with someone I know who has been doing much better than me over the last few months and who takes a much simpler approach to his bet selection. I'm awaiting his month end figures but he's hit his first losing month since September. Basically trying to stay out of the red by being more selective this year and it'll be good to have a couple of other high volume punters in this market to benchmark myself against. Edited February 1, 2023 by harry_rag Submitted before finishing last sentence Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 1, 2023 Author Share Posted February 1, 2023 10 points on Belotti (Roma) at 9/4 Sky Bet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 2, 2023 Author Share Posted February 2, 2023 10 points on Vlahovic (Juventus) at 3.05 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 3, 2023 Author Share Posted February 3, 2023 10 points on Dike (West Brom) at 2/1 with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 4, 2023 Author Share Posted February 4, 2023 10 points on Salah at 2.94 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 5, 2023 Author Share Posted February 5, 2023 10 points on Maeda (Celtic) at 5/2 with Sky Bet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 5, 2023 Author Share Posted February 5, 2023 10 points on Castellanos (Girona) at 11/5 with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 5, 2023 Author Share Posted February 5, 2023 10 points on Alvarez at 4.1 and Muller at 43/20 with Uni Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 5, 2023 Author Share Posted February 5, 2023 1 minute ago, harry_rag said: Muller at 43/20 with Uni 47/20, now in to 9/4. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 6, 2023 Author Share Posted February 6, 2023 2 from 8 since the last update (Belotti and Muller) and 9 winners from 43 bets so far for a loss of 155.93 points and an ROI of -36.26%. Additional 10 points lost on the bet posted in error. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 8, 2023 Author Share Posted February 8, 2023 10 points on Vinicius (Fulham) at 12/5 with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 11, 2023 Author Share Posted February 11, 2023 10 points on Neymar at 11/4 with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 11, 2023 Author Share Posted February 11, 2023 10 points on Maeda (Celtic) at 2/1 Sky Bet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 13, 2023 Author Share Posted February 13, 2023 10 points on Salah at 2.56 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 14, 2023 Author Share Posted February 14, 2023 2 from 4 since the last update (Maeda and Salah) and 11 winners from 47 bets so far for a loss of 140.64 points and an ROI of -29.92%. Additional 10 points lost on the bet posted in error. alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 15, 2023 Author Share Posted February 15, 2023 10 points on Asensio at 5/2 with Uni Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 19, 2023 Author Share Posted February 19, 2023 10 points on Immobile at 6/4 with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 19, 2023 Author Share Posted February 19, 2023 10 points on Ben-Yedder at 8/5 with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 19, 2023 Author Share Posted February 19, 2023 10 points each on Malen at 12/5 and Adeyemi at 3/1 (Dortmund) with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 19, 2023 Author Share Posted February 19, 2023 10 points on Sanchez (Marseille) at 21/10 with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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