💠🕵️‍♂️ Heisenberg's Trade 🍁☕️🍂 2k23

[Heisenberg68]

🆕 19) £129 Back Royal Challergers Bangalor @1,77 v Kolkata Knight Rider 

[Heisenberg68]

6 hours ago, Heisenberg68 said:

🆕 19) £129 Back Royal Challergers Bangalor @1,77 v Kolkata Knight Rider 

✅ Lay Royal Challengers Bangalor @1,73 / +£2,92

💰 New Bank : £410,73

[Heisenberg68]

🆕 20) £150 Back Toulouse @1,63 v Annecy

[Heisenberg68]

4 hours ago, Heisenberg68 said:

🆕 20) £150 Back Toulouse @1,63 v Annecy

✅ Lay Toulouse @1,57 / +£5,62

💰 New Bank : £416,35

[Heisenberg68]

🆕 21) £100 Back Lucknow Super Giants@1,80 v Sunrisers Hyderabad

[Heisenberg68]

2 hours ago, Heisenberg68 said:

✅ Lay Toulouse @1,57 / +£5,62

💰 New Bank : £416,35

I should have waited even longer to make a bigger profit.
The odds are still going down and I think I could have won double!
But it's always dangerous to wait.
+£5 is already very good !

[Heisenberg68]

16 minutes ago, Heisenberg68 said:

🆕 21) £100 Back Lucknow Super Giants@1,80 v Sunrisers Hyderabad

✅ Lay Lucknow @1,75 / +£2,80

💰 New Bank : £419,15

 

20 minutes for win 2,80%

[Heisenberg68]

🆕 22) £200 Lay Lens @1,51 v Strasbourg 

[Heisenberg68]

14 hours ago, Heisenberg68 said:

🆕 22) £200 Lay Lens @1,51 v Strasbourg 

✅ Back Lens @1,55 / +£5,06

💰 New Bank £424,21

[Heisenberg68]

🆕 23) £200 Lay Psg @1,91 v Nice

🆕 24) £100 Lay Lyon @2,20 v Rennes 
 

[Heisenberg68]

Trade in progress 

➡️ 23) £200 Lay Psg @1,91 v Nice

➡️ 24) £100 Lay Lyon @2,20 v Rennes 

🆕 25) £100 Back Montpellier @2,16 v Toulouse 

[Heisenberg68]

20 hours ago, Heisenberg68 said:

Trade in progress 

➡️ 23) £200 Lay Psg @1,91 v Nice

➡️ 24) £100 Lay Lyon @2,20 v Rennes 

🆕 25) £100 Back Montpellier @2,16 v Toulouse 

✅ Back Psg @1,95 / +£4,82

💰 New Bank £429,03

[Heisenberg68]

Trade in progress 

➡️ 24) £100 Lay Lyon @2,20 v Rennes 

➡️ 25) £100 Back Montpellier @2,16 v Toulouse 

[Heisenberg68]

19 hours ago, Heisenberg68 said:

Trade in progress 

➡️ 24) £100 Lay Lyon @2,20 v Rennes 

➡️ 25) £100 Back Montpellier @2,16 v Toulouse 

✅ Back Lyon @2,32 / +£3,79

✅ Lay Montpellier @2,06 / £+4,75 

💰 New Bank £437,57

[Heisenberg68]

🆕 26) £235 Lay Man City @1,86 v Bayern 

[Heisenberg68]

On 4/9/2023 at 5:40 PM, Heisenberg68 said:

🆕 26) £235 Lay Man City @1,86 v Bayern 

❌ Lay Man City @1,80 / -£7.51

💰 New Bank £430,06

[Heisenberg68]

🆕 27) £250 Back Napoli @2,82 v AC Milan 

[Heisenberg68]

On 4/11/2023 at 9:23 AM, Heisenberg68 said:

🆕 27) £250 Back Napoli @2,82 v AC Milan 

❌ Lay Napoli @2,9. / -£6,90

💰 New Bank £423,16

[Heisenberg68]

I think I made two mistakes.

Obviously I can't win every time, but I backed City when their game against Southampton wasn't over. With that 4-1 away win, and Bayern not looking too flabby, I should have realised that the odds were going to drop!

For Napoli, I traded on odds that were not definite. There was no real favourite and it is much more complicated to determine if the odds will fall or rise.

I'm doing a assessment this afternoon.

 

Before posting a Trade on this thread, you should know that I spend a lot of time trying to be Matched! and also analyze the match to know where the punters will bet.

For example, I've been trying to get Back Nice (V Basel Thursday) @2.20 for 2 days.

 

Edited April 12, 2023 by Heisenberg68

[harry_rag]

You’re still gambling, just on which way the price will move rather than the outcome of the game. You need to see the outcome of 100s of trades before you can form an opinion on whether this will be profitable or not.

You had a really good run (9 straight wins I think) then hit a couple of losses. You shouldn’t accept all your wins as proof that you’re doing it right but assume a loss signifies you did something wrong. Sometimes you need to stick to a strategy long enough to test it properly rather than tinker every time you hit a setback and risk throwing the good out with the bad. If you can maintain a 9-2 winning strike rate you’ll do ok.

[Heisenberg68]

1 hour ago, harry_rag said:

You’re still gambling, just on which way the price will move rather than the outcome of the game. You need to see the outcome of 100s of trades before you can form an opinion on whether this will be profitable or not.

You had a really good run (9 straight wins I think) then hit a couple of losses. You shouldn’t accept all your wins as proof that you’re doing it right but assume a loss signifies you did something wrong. Sometimes you need to stick to a strategy long enough to test it properly rather than tinker every time you hit a setback and risk throwing the good out with the bad. If you can maintain a 9-2 winning strike rate you’ll do ok.

Thank you very much. 

As I have always told you, your advice helped me a lot.

I don't change my selection method but I adjust according to my mistakes. 

[Heisenberg68]

After 27 Trades :

💰 Bank : £423,16

✅ ROI : 0.71%

✅ Target end April : £418

 

It is now mid-April and the objective of the month has been reached.

I will therefore make few trades until the end of the month.
The most important thing is the target that has been set (+3% every month).

 

This is the business plan :

	Start of the month	Bank +£200	End Month With Win 3 %
01/23	£0	£200	£206
02/23	£206	£406	£406
03/23	£406	£406	£406
04/23	£406	£406	£418
05/23	£418	£618	£637
06/23	£637	£837	£862
07/23	£862	£1 062	£1 094
08/23	£1 094	£1 294	£1 332
09/23	£1 332	£1 532	£1 578
10/23	£1 578	£1 778	£1 832
11/23	£1 832	£2 032	£2 093
12/23	£2 093	£2093 + £300	£2 465

 

 

[Heisenberg68]

Hi followers! 😎

I'm readjusting my business plan again for the end of the year.

Nothing changes in the rules, it's just the bank that will be lower on 31 December.
In any case 2024 will be exciting with in principle about a £2000 bank to trade with.

I don't know how it is in England, but inflation hurts everyone. Firms, employees... Everyone.

It's in this context that I'm going to have to make a choice until the summer and be reasonable financially.

All this to say that I am not going to deposit any money for the month of May yet.

In June I will only deposit £100 and then after that I could easily resume as normal.

So my business plan is changed to end the year at £2000.
Nothing catastrophic in itself, but it is mandatory.

 

Let's not forget that betting and trading is only one part of our lives.
I forgot this at one point, and reconnecting to real life has done me good.

Don't forget that!

Here we go again... Objective unchanged . +3% per month.

 

	Start of the month	Bank +£200	Win 3 %
01/23	£0	£200	£206
02/23	£206	£406	£406
03/23	£406	£406	£406
04/23	£406	£406	£418
05/23	£418	£418	£431
06/23	£431	£531	£547
07/23	£547	£747	£769
08/23	£769	£969	£998
09/23	£998	£1 198	£1 234
10/23	£1 234	£1 434	£1 477
11/23	£1 477	£1 677	£1 727
12/23	£1 727	£1747 + £300	£2 047

 

 

 

[Heisenberg68]

😎

As I often say, after the rain, comes the good weather.

My difficult period (health, financial, family) is over and I can pick up where I left off.

And this is very good news.

 

After 27 Trades :

💰 Bank : £423,16

✅ ROI : 0.71%

✅ Target end Mai : £431

Edited May 22, 2023 by Heisenberg68

[Heisenberg68]

🆕 28) £150 Back Celta Vigo @2.18 v Girona

[Heisenberg68]

2 hours ago, Heisenberg68 said:

🆕 28) £150 Back Celta Vigo @2.18 v Girona

✅ Lay Celta Vigo  @2,10 / +£5,60

💰 New Bank £425,76

[Heisenberg68]

🆕 29) £150 Back Barcelona @2.00 v Villadolid

[Heisenberg68]

🆕 29) £150 Back Barcelona @2.00 v Villadolid

➡️ 25) £220 Back Sociedad @1.42 v Almeria

[Heisenberg68]

🆕 29) £53 Back Barcelona @2.08 v Villadolid

[Heisenberg68]

6 hours ago, Heisenberg68 said:

🆕 29) £150 Back Barcelona @2.00 v Villadolid

➡️ 25) £220 Back Sociedad @1.42 v Almeria

🔄 Lay Sociedad  @1,42 / +£0,00