harry_rag Posted February 12, 2022 Author Share Posted February 12, 2022 5 out of 5 today. If I’ve got my sums right, tomorrow’s stake is 11.65 points. Bet 13: 11.65 points on England to beat Italy by 8 or more points at 1/9 with Uni This game (6 Nations for the avoidance of doubt) was always going to feature, it was just a matter of the preferred angle of attack. England win, win the second half or get 20+ points were all possibles. To be honest, the latter at 1/25 could still be an option! aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 13, 2022 Author Share Posted February 13, 2022 16 hours ago, harry_rag said: If I’ve got my sums right, tomorrow’s stake is 11.65 points. 11.64 points to be precise (blame it on how rounding works)! Bet 14: 11.64 points on England to have the highest scoring half v Italy at 1/20 with 365 Double jeopardy if you like, in the event of an England misfire but, all things considered, I'm happy enough that both should land. England to reach 20 points had shortened to 1/33 so this appealed more. No big surprise if Italy have at least one blank half. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 13, 2022 Author Share Posted February 13, 2022 Bet 15: 11.64 points on > 0.5 goals in Union Berlin v Dortmund at 1.07 1.1 for the home +3 handicap was tempting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 13, 2022 Author Share Posted February 13, 2022 Bet 16: 11.64 points on Celtic +1 v Raith at 1.02 I don't see much chance of a shock here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 13, 2022 Author Share Posted February 13, 2022 Bet 17: 11.64 points on Bordeaux clean sheet = no v Lens (so, Lens to score) at 1.13 After a shorty might as well bring the 5 up for the day with something at the other end of the odds spectrum, though still a bet I'm confident in and happy with the price. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 13, 2022 Author Share Posted February 13, 2022 I'm risking calling Celtic +1 weighed in with them 3 up and 15 minutes left so that makes it 17 without loss for the thread so far. I'm +12.59 points from the staking plan (ROI 6.81%) compared to 12.05 if I'd staked a simple 10% of bank and 11.53 to 10 point level stakes. That gap should widen if I can keep things rolling a while longer without running into a losing bet. Next stake is 12.52 points. aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 14, 2022 Author Share Posted February 14, 2022 Bets 18 and 19 are 12.52 points on >0,5 goals in Spezia v Fiorentina at 1.06 and Peterhead v Dundee at 1.08 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 14, 2022 Author Share Posted February 14, 2022 Bet 20: 12.52 points on A Bilbao +3 v Mallorca at 1.03 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 15, 2022 Author Share Posted February 15, 2022 3 out of 3, next stake is 12.93 points. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 15, 2022 Author Share Posted February 15, 2022 Bet 21: 12.93 points on >2.5 cards in PSG v R Madrid at 1.12 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 15, 2022 Author Share Posted February 15, 2022 Bet 22: 12.93 points on >0.5 goals in Sporting Lisbon v Man C at 1.05 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 16, 2022 Author Share Posted February 16, 2022 Both bets won, next stake is 13.37 points. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 16, 2022 Author Share Posted February 16, 2022 Bet 23: 13.37 points on A Madrid to score v Levante at 1.09 Using the Levante clean sheet = no market but it's clearer to just state the bet the other way round so will do from here on in. aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 16, 2022 Author Share Posted February 16, 2022 Bet 24: 13.37 points on Bayern to score v Salzburg at 1.08 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 16, 2022 Author Share Posted February 16, 2022 Bet 25: 13.37 points on Liverpool +3 v Inter at 1.04 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 16, 2022 Author Share Posted February 16, 2022 1st loser encountered, 2nd narrowly averted! Will tally up tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 17, 2022 Author Share Posted February 17, 2022 2 from 3 yesterday and 24 out of 25 overall. First "reload" required, next stake is 13.01 points. Still in front, 5.03 to actual stakes v 5.59 had I done 10% of bank or 6.04 to level stakes. Longest winning run so far is 22 bets and current run is 2. aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldric Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 I used to do something similar to this. Called it last bank standing.. I was never that successful with it but always felt it could / should work well. Was trying to search back but can't find anything on my phone. harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 17, 2022 Author Share Posted February 17, 2022 Bet 26 (3): 13.01 points on >0.5 goals in Dortmund v Rangers at 1.05 Number in brackets denotes current run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 17, 2022 Author Share Posted February 17, 2022 Bet 27 (4): 13.01 points on PSV to score v Maccabi Tel Aviv at 1.0907 (Small part matched at 1.1.) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 17, 2022 Author Share Posted February 17, 2022 Bet 28 (5): 13.01 points on >0.5 goals in Atalanta v Olympiakos at 1.08 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 18, 2022 Author Share Posted February 18, 2022 3 winners yesterday. Bet 29 (6): 13.57 points on both teams to receive a card in Elche v Vallecano at 1/10 with 365 Was considering 20+ points at 1/100 as a "bullet dodging" bet, this makes much more appeal as a value play at the odds. hagis 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 18, 2022 Author Share Posted February 18, 2022 Bet 30 (7): 13.57 points on Elche +2 v Vallecano at 1.17 Pushing the envelope a bit in terms of price for this thread but I like the perceived value enough to risk it. Obviously +3 is a safer punt but it fell between two stools, not close enough to being a "certainty" for my other thread and not a big enough price to tempt me in for this one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 18, 2022 Author Share Posted February 18, 2022 Bet 31 (8): 13.57 points on Leverkusen to score v Mainz at 1.23 Bursting the envelope with this one but I just can't have the disparity between the >0.5 total price and this. I expect goals and primarily from the visitors. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 19, 2022 Author Share Posted February 19, 2022 3 winners yesterday, next stake is 14.9 points. aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 21, 2022 Author Share Posted February 21, 2022 Bet 32 (9): 14.9 points on >0.5 goals in Cagliari v Napoli at 1.1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 21, 2022 Author Share Posted February 21, 2022 Bet 33 (9 or 1*): 14.9 points on Spezia +3 v Bologna at 1.13 Away team in better recent form than their hosts and can't see them losing with that much of a start. * Bet 32 still in play. aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldric Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 3 hours ago, harry_rag said: Bet 33 (9 or 1*): 14.9 points on Spezia +3 v Bologna at 1.13 Away team in better recent form than their hosts and can't see them losing with that much of a start. * Bet 32 still in play. Followed you on this one ? harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 21, 2022 Author Share Posted February 21, 2022 5 minutes ago, aldric said: Followed you on this one ? The tracker becomes the tracked! aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 22, 2022 Author Share Posted February 22, 2022 Both bets won yesterday. Numbering went a bit astray, next bet is 34th in total and 11th in current run, stake will be 15.58 points. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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